Mesa                          1 -11


 
                                     Region = AZ    Desert           
   Nickname = Z Jackrabbits          Coach  =   Dan McCaferty         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   79.0867996    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 H Brophy Prep            AZ    Desert  (11- 4, 92.5)     1-17   
 224 A Notre Dame Prep        AZ    North   ( 3- 9, 71.5)     8-12   
 305 H Horizon                AZ    Desert  ( 4- 8, 74.9)     3- 5   
 308 A Mountain Pointe        AZ    South   ( 7- 5, 86.1)     2-17   
 311 A Pinnacle               AZ    North   ( 1-11, 69.5)     9- 8   
 323 A Desert Vista           AZ    South   ( 8- 5, 87.0)     3-11   
 326 H Desert Mountain        AZ    Desert  ( 8- 6, 89.3)     1-15   
 402 H Saguaro                AZ    North   ( 9- 4, 90.5)     1-15   
 406 H Hamilton               AZ    Fiesta  ( 3- 8, 74.8)     7-13   
 409 A Phoenix Country Day    AZ    North   ( 7- 6, 89.1)     0- 1   
 416 H Chaparral              AZ    North   (15- 0, 99.9)     0-17   
 420 A Red Mountain           AZ    Desert  ( 2-10, 69.6)    10-12   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 H Brophy Prep             1-17     -16   -22           0.00
   224 A Notre Dame Prep         8-12      -4    -2          -1.73
   305 H Horizon                 3- 5      -2    -5    +      3.38
   308 A Mountain Pointe         2-17     -15   -16           0.00
   311 A Pinnacle                9- 8       1     0           1.26
   323 A Desert Vista            3-11      -8   -17    +      2.00
   326 H Desert Mountain         1-15     -14   -19           0.00
   402 H Saguaro                 1-15     -14   -20           0.00
   406 H Hamilton                7-13      -6    -5          -0.77
   416 H Chaparral               0-17     -17   -30           0.00
   420 A Red Mountain           10-12      -2     0          -1.71


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Horizon                 3- 5      -2    -5    +      3.38
   323 A Desert Vista            3-11      -8   -17    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.42 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.21 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.36 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -8.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3


  
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