Monticello                    3 - 9


 
                                     Region = VA    Jeffsn           
   Nickname = A Mustangs                                              



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   86.6596909    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A Covenant               VA 2  VIC     (20- 5, 99.9)     4-12   
 328 N Charlottesville        VA    Jeffsn  ( 9- 4, 88.1)     5-12   
 403 A Charlottesville        VA    Jeffsn  ( 9- 4, 88.1)     3- 4   
 412 A Collegiate School      VA 1  VIP     (19- 4, 99.9)     3-14   
 419 H Rockbridge County      VA    Valley  ( 8- 5, 86.3)     6-11   
 422 H Western Albemarle      VA    Jeffsn  (11- 6, 95.9)     2-11   
 427 H Fauquier               VA    NoWest  ( 2-12, 76.4)     8- 7   
 510 A Charlottesville        VA    Jeffsn  ( 9- 4, 88.1)     4- 9   
 513 H Tandem Friends         VA 2  VIC     ( 5- 1, 90.2)     8- 9  o
 518 H Liberty-Bealeton       VA    NoWest  ( 1-13, 75.1)     8- 3   
 524 H Fauquier               VA    NoWest  ( 2-12, 76.4)    12- 5   
 526 A Western Albemarle      VA    Jeffsn  (11- 6, 95.9)     3-15   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Covenant                4-12      -8   -19          n/a  
   328 N Charlottesville         5-12      -7    -6          -0.75
   403 A Charlottesville         3- 4      -1    -7    +++    6.12
   412 A Collegiate School       3-14     -11   -19          n/a  
   419 H Rockbridge County       6-11      -5    -3          -1.43
   422 H Western Albemarle       2-11      -9   -13           1.00
   427 H Fauquier                8- 7       1     6    --    -5.33
   510 A Charlottesville         4- 9      -5    -7    +      2.12
   513 H Tandem Friends          8- 9  o   -1    -7          n/a  
   518 H Liberty-Bealeton        8- 3       5     7    -     -2.62
   524 H Fauquier               12- 5       7     6           0.67
   526 A Western Albemarle       3-15     -12   -14           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Fauquier                8- 7       1     6    --    -5.33
   518 H Liberty-Bealeton        8- 3       5     7    -     -2.62


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Charlottesville         3- 4      -1    -7    +++    6.12
   513 H Tandem Friends          8- 9  o   -1    -7    +++        
   321 A Covenant                4-12      -8   -19    +          
   510 A Charlottesville         4- 9      -5    -7    +      2.12




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.85 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.65 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0


  
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