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Conf = Catholic Region = MA 1 Nickname = A Lancers Coach = Rick MazzeiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.0804977 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 405 H St Peters Marian MA 2 ( 8-11, 87.1) 12- 0 408 H Catholic Memorial MA 2 ( 5-11, 75.7) 14- 0 412 A Xaverian Bros MA 1 (14- 5, 86.7) 9- 4 414 H Boston College HS MA 1 ( 4-12, 77.4) 9- 5 416 A Xaverian NY Cathlc ( 0-12, 68.6) 12- 0 421 A Medfield MA 3 (22- 2, 91.7) 4- 9 426 A St Johns Prep Danvers MA 1 (12- 8, 87.1) 6-11 428 H Hamilton-Wenham MA 3 ( 4-11, 73.3) 8- 7 503 A Catholic Memorial MA 2 ( 5-11, 75.7) 5- 4 505 H Xaverian Bros MA 1 (14- 5, 86.7) 4- 7 510 A Boston College HS MA 1 ( 4-12, 77.4) 6- 5 512 H St Johns Prep Danvers MA 1 (12- 8, 87.1) 5- 4 514 H Arlington MA 2 (11- 7, 79.7) 6- 5 516 A Peabody MA 1 ( 4-14, 74.3) 6- 3 518 H King Philip MA 2 ( 7-10, 70.3) 13- 7 523 A Beverly MA 1 (12- 6, 84.6) 15-14 2o 525 H St Johns Shrewsbury MA 2 (17- 4, 99.9) 3-16 604 H St Johns Prep Danvers MA 1 (12- 8, 87.1) 7-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H St Peters Marian 12- 0 12 -1 n/a 408 H Catholic Memorial 14- 0 14 10 0.00 412 A Xaverian Bros 9- 4 5 -2 +++ 7.42 414 H Boston College HS 9- 5 4 8 -- -4.41 416 A Xaverian 12- 0 12 15 n/a 421 A Medfield 4- 9 -5 -7 + 2.38 426 A St Johns Prep Danvers 6-11 -5 -2 - -2.17 428 H Hamilton-Wenham 8- 7 1 12 --- -9.00 503 A Catholic Memorial 5- 4 1 8 --- -7.59 505 H Xaverian Bros 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.04 510 A Boston College HS 6- 5 1 6 -- -5.95 512 H St Johns Prep Danvers 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.36 514 H Arlington 6- 5 1 6 -- -5.12 516 A Peabody 6- 3 3 10 --- -7.00 518 H King Philip 13- 7 6 15 -- -4.00 523 A Beverly 15-14 2o 1 0 1.26 525 H St Johns Shrewsbury 3-16 -13 -14 n/a 604 H St Johns Prep Danvers 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.64UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 H Hamilton-Wenham 8- 7 1 12 --- -9.00 503 A Catholic Memorial 5- 4 1 8 --- -7.59 516 A Peabody 6- 3 3 10 --- -7.00 414 H Boston College HS 9- 5 4 8 -- -4.41 510 A Boston College HS 6- 5 1 6 -- -5.95 514 H Arlington 6- 5 1 6 -- -5.12 518 H King Philip 13- 7 6 15 -- -4.00 426 A St Johns Prep Danvers 6-11 -5 -2 - -2.17 505 H Xaverian Bros 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.04 604 H St Johns Prep Danvers 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.64OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H St Peters Marian 12- 0 12 -1 +++ 412 A Xaverian Bros 9- 4 5 -2 +++ 7.42 421 A Medfield 4- 9 -5 -7 + 2.38 512 H St Johns Prep Danvers 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.36/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 85.05 Local Power Rank........... 17 Local SOS Rating......... 61.40 Local SOS Rank............. 11 Local RPI Rating......... 0.59 Local RPI Rank............. 19 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 65 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 15 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.3