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Region = NC 4A Nickname = C Falcons Coach = Jamie SliwaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.8882751 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 304 A Apex NC 4A (23- 1, 99.4) 3-11 309 H Green Hope NC 4A (10- 6, 88.5) 12-10 310 A Durham Academy NC Prvate (14- 3, 99.6) 6-18 321 N Sidwell Friends DC MAC (10- 8, 86.8) 4- 5 324 A Ravenscroft School NC Prvate ( 7- 9, 85.7) 14-15 o 401 A St Andrews Episcopal DC MAC ( 6- 9, 86.2) 9- 8 404 H East Chapel Hill NC 4A (17- 2, 99.9) 6-16 405 A SouthEast Raleigh NC 4A (11- 4, 89.8) 11-10 412 H Chapel Hill NC 4A (10-10, 90.5) 13-12 415 A Durham Riverside NC 4A (11- 7, 92.2) 7- 8 3o 418 A East Chapel Hill NC 4A (17- 2, 99.9) 6- 9 419 A Northern Durham NC 4A ( 2-17, 70.5) 19- 1 421 A Chapel Hill NC 4A (10-10, 90.5) 9-15 426 H Durham Riverside NC 4A (11- 7, 92.2) 10-11 2o 429 H Northern Durham NC 4A ( 2-17, 70.5) 15- 0 430 H Wilmington Laney NC 4A ( 6- 8, 83.0) 14- 7 503 A Chapel Hill NC 4A (10-10, 90.5) 13-12 505 N Durham Riverside NC 4A (11- 7, 92.2) 8- 4 510 H R.J. Reynolds NC 4A (11- 8, 90.4) 15-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 A Apex 3-11 -8 -11 + 2.00 309 H Green Hope 12-10 2 1 0.89 310 A Durham Academy 6-18 -12 -11 n/a 321 N Sidwell Friends 4- 5 -1 1 n/a 324 A Ravenscroft School 14-15 o -1 2 n/a 401 A St Andrews Episcopal 9- 8 1 0 n/a 404 H East Chapel Hill 6-16 -10 -10 0.00 405 A SouthEast Raleigh 11-10 1 -2 + 3.21 412 H Chapel Hill 13-12 1 0 1.93 415 A Durham Riverside 7- 8 3o -1 -4 + 3.58 418 A East Chapel Hill 6- 9 -3 -12 +++ 7.00 419 A Northern Durham 19- 1 18 17 0.00 421 A Chapel Hill 9-15 -6 -2 - -3.13 426 H Durham Riverside 10-11 2o -1 -2 1.63 429 H Northern Durham 15- 0 15 19 0.00 430 H Wilmington Laney 14- 7 7 6 0.45 503 A Chapel Hill 13-12 1 -2 + 3.87 505 N Durham Riverside 8- 4 4 -3 +++ 7.60 510 H R.J. Reynolds 15-16 -1 0 -0.17UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 N Sidwell Friends 4- 5 -1 1 - 324 A Ravenscroft School 14-15 o -1 2 - 421 A Chapel Hill 9-15 -6 -2 - -3.13OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 A East Chapel Hill 6- 9 -3 -12 +++ 7.00 505 N Durham Riverside 8- 4 4 -3 +++ 7.60 304 A Apex 3-11 -8 -11 + 2.00 405 A SouthEast Raleigh 11-10 1 -2 + 3.21 415 A Durham Riverside 7- 8 3o -1 -4 + 3.58 503 A Chapel Hill 13-12 1 -2 + 3.87
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.60 Local Power Rank........... 13 Local SOS Rating......... 76.68 Local SOS Rank............. 2 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 9 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 11 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.1 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3