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Region = VA 2 Privte Nickname = A Hawks Coach = Kevin HelmickGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.7010422 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 313 H Highland Park TX 1 North (17- 0, 99.9) 7-10 330 H Our Lady-Good Counsel DC WCAC (10- 9, 93.0) 14-17 405 A Covenant VA 2 VIC (20- 5, 99.9) 8-10 407 A Notre Dame Academy MD MILL (15-10, 88.6) 13- 9 408 H Flint Hill DC MAC (10- 6, 88.1) 14- 2 416 N The Heights MD MILL (10- 6, 89.7) 10- 8 416 A Potomac School DC MAC (11- 6, 92.2) 8- 9 419 H Blue Ridge School VA 2 Tidewtr ( 9- 9, 86.6) 13- 1 421 H St Andrews Episcopal DC MAC ( 6- 9, 86.2) 13- 7 423 A McLean VA Lib (10- 5, 92.6) 6-11 428 H Paul VI DC WCAC ( 3- 9, 81.3) 13- 8 430 A Flint Hill DC MAC (10- 6, 88.1) 11- 9 503 A Nansemond-Suffolk Acad VA 1 Tidewtr (13- 4, 98.0) 5-20 507 H Woodberry Forest VA 1 VIP (16- 5, 98.2) 2-13 511 A Mercersburg Academy PA Indep (11- 3, 89.9) 4-15 513 H Fauquier VA NoWest ( 2-12, 76.4) 18- 3 517 H Steward VA 2 Privte (10- 8, 86.5) 18- 6 519 N Flint Hill DC MAC (10- 6, 88.1) 9- 4 521 N Covenant VA 2 VIC (20- 5, 99.9) 10-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H Highland Park 7-10 -3 -7 n/a 330 H Our Lady-Good Counsel 14-17 -3 0 n/a 405 A Covenant 8-10 -2 -10 +++ 8.00 407 A Notre Dame Academy 13- 9 4 0 n/a 408 H Flint Hill 14- 2 12 4 n/a 416 N The Heights 10- 8 2 1 n/a 416 A Potomac School 8- 9 -1 -2 n/a 419 H Blue Ridge School 13- 1 12 5 ++ 4.08 421 H St Andrews Episcopal 13- 7 6 6 n/a 423 A McLean 6-11 -5 -2 n/a 428 H Paul VI 13- 8 5 11 n/a 430 A Flint Hill 11- 9 2 1 n/a 503 A Nansemond-Suffolk Acad 5-20 -15 -8 n/a 507 H Woodberry Forest 2-13 -11 -5 n/a 511 A Mercersburg Academy 4-15 -11 0 n/a 513 H Fauquier 18- 3 15 15 n/a 517 H Steward 18- 6 12 6 + 4.00 519 N Flint Hill 9- 4 5 3 n/a 521 N Covenant 10-16 -6 -8 + 2.70UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 511 A Mercersburg Academy 4-15 -11 0 --- 428 H Paul VI 13- 8 5 11 -- 507 H Woodberry Forest 2-13 -11 -5 -- 330 H Our Lady-Good Counsel 14-17 -3 0 - 423 A McLean 6-11 -5 -2 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Covenant 8-10 -2 -10 +++ 8.00 313 H Highland Park 7-10 -3 -7 ++ 408 H Flint Hill 14- 2 12 4 ++ 419 H Blue Ridge School 13- 1 12 5 ++ 4.08 407 A Notre Dame Academy 13- 9 4 0 + 517 H Steward 18- 6 12 6 + 4.00 521 N Covenant 10-16 -6 -8 + 2.70/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 91.20 Local Power Rank........... 2 Local SOS Rating......... 79.01 Local SOS Rank............. 2 Local RPI Rating......... 0.67 Local RPI Rank............. 1 Championship Probability . 24.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 10 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7