Herndon                       5 - 7


 
                                     Region = VA    Conc             
   Nickname = A Hornets              Coach  =   Jason Tapp            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   88.1343231    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 A Wakefield HS           VA    Natl    ( 0-13, 64.7)    15- 2   
 331 H South Lakes            VA    Lib     ( 2-10, 74.3)    12- 2   
 408 A Westfield              VA    Conc    ( 9- 7, 92.5)     8-18   
 413 H Washington-Lee         VA    Natl    ( 2-10, 71.1)    14- 3   
 414 A Thos Jefferson         VA    Conc    ( 8- 9, 88.4)     4- 8   
 420 H Fairfax                VA    Lib     ( 8- 6, 91.6)     2-11   
 426 H Falls Church           VA    Natl    ( 8- 7, 83.2)    11- 5   
 428 H Centreville            VA    Conc    ( 3- 9, 78.7)    10- 2   
 503 A Mount Vernon           VA    Natl    (14- 2, 93.2)     5-12   
 506 H Chantilly              VA    Conc    ( 7- 7, 87.3)     8-13   
 507 A Oakton                 VA    Conc    (14- 4, 98.6)     8-15   
 511 A Thos Jefferson         VA    Conc    ( 8- 9, 88.4)     9-12   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Wakefield HS           15- 2      13    18           0.00
   331 H South Lakes            12- 2      10    11           0.00
   408 A Westfield               8-18     -10    -9          -0.84
   413 H Washington-Lee         14- 3      11    14           0.00
   414 A Thos Jefferson          4- 8      -4    -5           1.05
   420 H Fairfax                 2-11      -9    -6    -     -2.94
   426 H Falls Church           11- 5       6     2    +      3.68
   428 H Centreville            10- 2       8     6           1.18
   503 A Mount Vernon            5-12      -7    -9    +      2.87
   506 H Chantilly               8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.24
   507 A Oakton                  8-15      -7   -15    +      3.00
   511 A Thos Jefferson          9-12      -3    -5    +      2.05


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Fairfax                 2-11      -9    -6    -     -2.94
   506 H Chantilly               8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.24


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Falls Church           11- 5       6     2    +      3.68
   503 A Mount Vernon            5-12      -7    -9    +      2.87
   507 A Oakton                  8-15      -7   -15    +      3.00
   511 A Thos Jefferson          9-12      -3    -5    +      2.05




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.47 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.97 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0


  
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