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Region = NY A Sec 6 Nickname = Y Falcons Coach = Terry OstranderGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.4876862 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Orchard Park NY A Sec 6 (20- 2, 99.9) 7-14 411 H Jamestown NY A Sec 6 ( 2-12, 74.9) 16- 1 413 A Sweet Home NY B Sec 6 ( 8-11, 83.8) 12- 1 415 H West Seneca West NY A Sec 6 ( 3-13, 79.0) 13- 3 419 H St Joseph Collegiate NY A Sec 6 ( 9- 9, 82.1) 11- 5 420 A Amherst NY B Sec 6 (17- 5, 95.1) 10-15 426 H Hamburg NY B Sec 6 (18- 3, 97.2) 4-14 428 H Iroquois NY B Sec 6 ( 5- 9, 80.4) 7- 8 o 429 H Williamsville North NY A Sec 6 (12- 6, 88.9) 14- 9 502 H West Seneca East NY B Sec 6 ( 5-14, 78.4) 13- 5 503 A Niagara Wheatfield NY A Sec 6 (11- 4, 90.1) 7- 8 506 H Williamsville East NY B Sec 6 ( 4-13, 80.2) 11- 1 509 H Lakeshore Cath Ontario 13- 1 512 H Williamsville South NY B Sec 6 ( 5-12, 77.7) 14- 2 516 H Clarence NY A Sec 6 ( 2-14, 72.6) 16- 1 518 A Lancaster NY A Sec 6 (10- 5, 90.4) 10-13 520 H Niagara Wheatfield NY A Sec 6 (11- 4, 90.1) 12- 5 524 A Orchard Park NY A Sec 6 (20- 2, 99.9) 4-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Orchard Park 7-14 -7 -10 + 3.00 411 H Jamestown 16- 1 15 16 0.00 413 A Sweet Home 12- 1 11 5 ++ 4.18 415 H West Seneca West 13- 3 10 12 0.00 419 H St Joseph Collegiate 11- 5 6 9 - -3.24 420 A Amherst 10-15 -5 -5 0.47 426 H Hamburg 4-14 -10 -5 -- -4.09 428 H Iroquois 7- 8 o -1 10 --- -11.00 429 H Williamsville North 14- 9 5 2 + 2.57 502 H West Seneca East 13- 5 8 12 - -2.00 503 A Niagara Wheatfield 7- 8 -1 0 -0.50 506 H Williamsville East 11- 1 10 11 0.00 512 H Williamsville South 14- 2 12 13 0.00 516 H Clarence 16- 1 15 18 0.00 518 A Lancaster 10-13 -3 0 - -2.21 520 H Niagara Wheatfield 12- 5 7 1 ++ 5.77 524 A Orchard Park 4-12 -8 -10 + 2.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 H Iroquois 7- 8 o -1 10 --- -11.00 426 H Hamburg 4-14 -10 -5 -- -4.09 419 H St Joseph Collegiate 11- 5 6 9 - -3.24 502 H West Seneca East 13- 5 8 12 - -2.00 518 A Lancaster 10-13 -3 0 - -2.21OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 413 A Sweet Home 12- 1 11 5 ++ 4.18 520 H Niagara Wheatfield 12- 5 7 1 ++ 5.77 407 A Orchard Park 7-14 -7 -10 + 3.00 429 H Williamsville North 14- 9 5 2 + 2.57 524 A Orchard Park 4-12 -8 -10 + 2.00
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.45 Local Power Rank........... 6 Local SOS Rating......... 69.67 Local SOS Rank............. 9 Local RPI Rating......... 0.55 Local RPI Rank............. 9 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 6 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 11 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.9 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.3