Farragut                      5 - 8


 
                                     Region = TN 1  East             
   Nickname = N Admirals             Coach  =   Chris Kelly           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   90.8471298    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 N Ravenwood              TN 2  Centrl  (15- 1, 99.9)     8- 9   
 311 A Louisville St Xavier   KY            (15- 5, 95.9)     7- 6   
 313 N Louisville Ballard     KY            (11- 7, 89.8)    13- 5   
 313 N Louisville Trinity     KY            (17- 2, 99.9)     6- 9   
 318 A SouthEast Guilford     NC    3A/2A   (11- 6, 88.7)    10- 9  o
 319 A Western  Guilford      NC    3A/2A   (15- 4, 93.0)     5- 7   
 401 H Univ School Nashville  TN 1  West    ( 4-11, 84.8)    15- 9   
 402 A Montgomery Bell Acad   TN 1  East    (10- 9, 91.5)     7-16   
 409 H Father Ryan            TN 1  West    ( 8- 8, 88.4)    10-14   
 409 H Cordova/Lausanne       TN 2  West    (14- 4, 94.6)     9-12   
 415 H McCallie               TN 1  East    (10- 3, 97.8)     5-14   
 421 H West Knoxville         TN 2  East    ( 5- 8, 83.6)    10- 3   
 423 A Webb Bell Buckle       TN 1  East    (10- 9, 89.5)     5- 6  o


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 N Ravenwood               8- 9      -1   -11          n/a  
   311 A Louisville St Xavier    7- 6       1    -8          n/a  
   313 N Louisville Ballard     13- 5       8     0          n/a  
   313 N Louisville Trinity      6- 9      -3   -11          n/a  
   318 A SouthEast Guilford     10- 9  o    1     0          n/a  
   319 A Western  Guilford       5- 7      -2    -5          n/a  
   401 H Univ School Nashville  15- 9       6     5           0.76
   402 A Montgomery Bell Acad    7-16      -9    -3    --    -5.19
   409 H Father Ryan            10-14      -4     1    --    -5.62
   409 H Cordova/Lausanne        9-12      -3    -5          n/a  
   415 H McCallie                5-14      -9    -7          -1.22
   421 H West Knoxville         10- 3       7     5          n/a  
   423 A Webb Bell Buckle        5- 6  o   -1    -1           0.76


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Montgomery Bell Acad    7-16      -9    -3    --    -5.19
   409 H Father Ryan            10-14      -4     1    --    -5.62


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 N Ravenwood               8- 9      -1   -11    +++        
   311 A Louisville St Xavier    7- 6       1    -8    +++        
   313 N Louisville Ballard     13- 5       8     0    +++        
   313 N Louisville Trinity      6- 9      -3   -11    +++        
   319 A Western  Guilford       5- 7      -2    -5    +          
   409 H Cordova/Lausanne        9-12      -3    -5    +          




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.88 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.90 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.39 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0


  
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