Erie-Spears                   4 - 6


 
                                     Region = PA    Indep            
   Nickname = A Spears               Coach  =   Neal Brockman         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   73.9804077    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Morgantown             PA    3DWEST  ( 5- 9, 77.4)     3- 2  o
 412 A Canon-McMillan         PA    3DWEST  ( 3-11, 73.2)     7- 3   
 416 H University             PA    3DWEST  ( 6-12, 74.7)     4- 7   
 416 H Taylor Allderdice      PA    3DWEST  (12-10, 83.1)     2-14   
 418 A Vincentian Academy     PA    3DWEST  ( 2-10, 67.2)     4- 3 2o
 425 H Chartiers Valley       PA    3DWEST  ( 8-10, 78.2)     0- 2   
 514 H Kiski Prep             PA    3DWEST  ( 7- 8, 74.9)     6-11   
 517 A Winchester Thurston    PA    3DWEST  ( 8- 7, 77.8)     3- 7   
 521 A Butler Area            PA    2DWEST  ( 0-16, 66.9)     4- 3   
 522 H Erie-McDowell          PA    3DWEST  ( 6- 7, 79.2)     1- 6   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Morgantown              3- 2  o    1    -2    +      3.66
   412 A Canon-McMillan          7- 3       4    -1    ++     5.53
   416 H University              4- 7      -3     0    -     -2.95
   416 H Taylor Allderdice       2-14     -12    -8          -1.62
   418 A Vincentian Academy      4- 3 2o    1     4    -     -3.43
   425 H Chartiers Valley        0- 2      -2    -3           1.46
   514 H Kiski Prep              6-11      -5     0    --    -4.84
   517 A Winchester Thurston     3- 7      -4    -6    +      2.16
   521 A Butler Area             4- 3       1     4    -     -3.80
   522 H Erie-McDowell           1- 6      -5    -4          -0.49


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Kiski Prep              6-11      -5     0    --    -4.84
   416 H University              4- 7      -3     0    -     -2.95
   418 A Vincentian Academy      4- 3 2o    1     4    -     -3.43
   521 A Butler Area             4- 3       1     4    -     -3.80


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Canon-McMillan          7- 3       4    -1    ++     5.53
   402 H Morgantown              3- 2  o    1    -2    +      3.66
   517 A Winchester Thurston     3- 7      -4    -6    +      2.16




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.18 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.50 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.38 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    3.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7


  
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