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Region = AZ South Nickname = Z Thunder Coach = Bill LynchGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.1318893 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 209 H Highland AZ Fiesta ( 5- 7, 80.7) 9- 6 215 A Gilbert AZ Fiesta ( 8- 5, 89.8) 9-11 217 A Hamilton AZ Fiesta ( 3- 8, 74.8) 12- 4 226 A Phoenix Country Day AZ North ( 7- 6, 89.1) 10- 9 4o 302 H Chandler AZ Fiesta (13- 3, 97.1) 5-10 311 A Tucson AZ South ( 6- 5, 83.1) 10- 3 312 A Tucson Tanque Verde AZ South ( 5- 7, 80.2) 8- 5 323 H Mesa AZ Desert ( 1-11, 69.4) 11- 3 330 H Mesquite AZ Fiesta ( 9- 5, 91.8) 12-11 407 H Desert Mountain AZ Desert ( 8- 6, 89.3) 9-16 413 A Dobson AZ South ( 2-10, 76.8) 10- 2 421 H Mountain Pointe AZ South ( 7- 5, 86.1) 5- 6 426 A Chaparral AZ North (15- 0, 99.9) 1-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 H Highland 9- 6 3 6 - -3.41 215 A Gilbert 9-11 -2 -2 0.97 217 A Hamilton 12- 4 8 12 - -2.00 226 A Phoenix Country Day 10- 9 4o 1 -2 + 3.21 302 H Chandler 5-10 -5 -9 ++ 4.98 311 A Tucson 10- 3 7 3 + 3.27 312 A Tucson Tanque Verde 8- 5 3 6 - -3.65 323 H Mesa 11- 3 8 17 - -2.00 330 H Mesquite 12-11 1 -4 ++ 5.60 407 H Desert Mountain 9-16 -7 -2 -- -4.86 413 A Dobson 10- 2 8 10 - -2.00 421 H Mountain Pointe 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.06 426 A Chaparral 1-16 -15 -13 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Desert Mountain 9-16 -7 -2 -- -4.86 209 H Highland 9- 6 3 6 - -3.41 217 A Hamilton 12- 4 8 12 - -2.00 312 A Tucson Tanque Verde 8- 5 3 6 - -3.65 323 H Mesa 11- 3 8 17 - -2.00 413 A Dobson 10- 2 8 10 - -2.00 421 H Mountain Pointe 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.06OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Chandler 5-10 -5 -9 ++ 4.98 330 H Mesquite 12-11 1 -4 ++ 5.60 226 A Phoenix Country Day 10- 9 4o 1 -2 + 3.21 311 A Tucson 10- 3 7 3 + 3.27/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.01 Local Power Rank........... 9 Local SOS Rating......... 68.33 Local SOS Rank............. 7 Local RPI Rating......... 0.55 Local RPI Rank............. 7 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 8 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -6.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 8- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7