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Region = PA 3DWEST Nickname = A Colts Coach = David TravisGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 78.6318970 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 307 A Central Catholic PA 2DWEST (17- 6, 94.3) 2-24 318 A Peters Township PA 1DWEST ( 7-14, 87.0) 2-14 323 H Fairmont PA Indep ( 0- 5, 63.7) 14- 4 330 H Canon-McMillan PA 3DWEST ( 3-11, 73.2) 7- 8 406 A Taylor Allderdice PA 3DWEST (12-10, 83.1) 4-13 411 A Pine Richland PA 2DWEST (11-10, 89.9) 1-14 413 A Greensburg Cath Cent PA 3DWEST (15- 2, 88.5) 3-10 418 H Butler Area PA 2DWEST ( 0-16, 66.9) 10- 1 420 A Morgantown PA 3DWEST ( 5- 9, 77.4) 13-10 423 A Winchester Thurston PA 3DWEST ( 8- 7, 77.8) 4- 5 425 A Erie-Spears PA Indep ( 4- 6, 73.2) 2- 0 428 A Baldwin PA 2DWEST ( 8-11, 84.9) 3-11 502 H Kiski Prep PA 3DWEST ( 7- 8, 74.9) 8- 1 504 H University PA 3DWEST ( 6-12, 74.7) 13- 1 509 A North Hills PA 2DWEST (10- 6, 88.1) 2-14 511 H Erie-McDowell PA 3DWEST ( 6- 7, 79.2) 8- 6 517 H Vincentian Academy PA 3DWEST ( 2-10, 67.2) 11- 0 520 A Taylor Allderdice PA 3DWEST (12-10, 83.1) 7- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Central Catholic 2-24 -22 -17 0.00 318 A Peters Township 2-14 -12 -10 0.00 323 H Fairmont 14- 4 10 16 0.00 330 H Canon-McMillan 7- 8 -1 6 --- -7.49 406 A Taylor Allderdice 4-13 -9 -6 - -2.56 411 A Pine Richland 1-14 -13 -13 0.00 413 A Greensburg Cath Cent 3-10 -7 -11 + 3.00 418 H Butler Area 10- 1 9 12 -1.00 420 A Morgantown 13-10 3 0 + 3.71 423 A Winchester Thurston 4- 5 -1 -1 0.17 425 A Erie-Spears 2- 0 2 3 -1.46 428 A Baldwin 3-11 -8 -8 0.26 502 H Kiski Prep 8- 1 7 4 + 2.18 504 H University 13- 1 12 4 ++ 5.07 509 A North Hills 2-14 -12 -11 0.00 511 H Erie-McDowell 8- 6 2 0 1.53 517 H Vincentian Academy 11- 0 11 12 0.00 520 A Taylor Allderdice 7- 8 -1 -6 ++ 5.44UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H Canon-McMillan 7- 8 -1 6 --- -7.49 406 A Taylor Allderdice 4-13 -9 -6 - -2.56OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 504 H University 13- 1 12 4 ++ 5.07 520 A Taylor Allderdice 7- 8 -1 -6 ++ 5.44 413 A Greensburg Cath Cent 3-10 -7 -11 + 3.00 420 A Morgantown 13-10 3 0 + 3.71 502 H Kiski Prep 8- 1 7 4 + 2.18/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 78.16 Local Power Rank........... 21 Local SOS Rating......... 57.15 Local SOS Rank............. 23 Local RPI Rating......... 0.43 Local RPI Rank............. 21 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 13 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 27 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 6.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -22.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -22.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.0