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Region = CT 1 FCIAC Nickname = T Senators Coach = Mike EpsteinGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.0375519 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 406 H Simsbury CT 1 CCIAC (13- 4, 91.0) 8- 7 o 409 H New Milford CT 2 SWCIAC (10- 7, 92.6) 16- 6 412 A Darien CT 1 FCIAC (23- 0, 99.9) 2-13 416 A Ridgefield CT 1 FCIAC ( 7-10, 83.3) 17- 6 419 H Wilton CT 1 FCIAC (16- 5, 94.4) 6-11 421 A Westhill CT 2 FCIAC ( 3-13, 79.7) 15- 7 423 H South Windsor CT 1 CCIAC ( 6-10, 77.4) 15- 3 426 H Trumbull CT 2 FCIAC (14- 6, 96.7) 17- 9 429 A Fairfield-Ludlowe CT 1 FCIAC ( 5-11, 79.7) 11- 3 503 H Staples-Westport CT 1 FCIAC (12- 6, 90.4) 9- 6 506 H Fairfield-Warde CT 1 FCIAC ( 3-13, 76.5) 16- 5 510 A St Joseph-Trumbull CT 2 FCIAC ( 6-10, 86.7) 15- 1 514 A Norwalk CT 1 FCIAC ( 9- 9, 83.3) 16- 5 517 H New Canaan CT 1 FCIAC (14- 6, 90.8) 10-11 523 H Newtown CT 1 SWCIAC ( 3-14, 75.4) 15- 1 524 A Barlow-Redding CT 1 SWCIAC (12- 6, 90.2) 7- 8 527 H Staples-Westport CT 1 FCIAC (12- 6, 90.4) 14- 6 531 N Darien CT 1 FCIAC (23- 0, 99.9) 3-12 604 A Southington CT 1 CCIAC (12- 6, 89.8) 13-12 607 H Fairfield Prep CT 1 SCIAC (11- 9, 87.5) 11- 3 609 N Daniel Hand-Madison CT 1 SCIAC (18- 3, 94.0) 14- 8 613 H Darien CT 1 FCIAC (23- 0, 99.9) 5-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 H Simsbury 8- 7 o 1 2 -1.54 409 H New Milford 16- 6 10 0 n/a 412 A Darien 2-13 -11 -8 -1.02 416 A Ridgefield 17- 6 11 7 + 2.42 419 H Wilton 6-11 -5 0 -- -4.12 421 A Westhill 15- 7 8 11 n/a 423 H South Windsor 15- 3 12 16 0.00 426 H Trumbull 17- 9 8 -3 n/a 429 A Fairfield-Ludlowe 11- 3 8 11 - -2.00 503 H Staples-Westport 9- 6 3 3 -0.17 506 H Fairfield-Warde 16- 5 11 17 0.00 510 A St Joseph-Trumbull 15- 1 14 4 n/a 514 A Norwalk 16- 5 11 7 + 2.37 517 H New Canaan 10-11 -1 2 - -3.70 523 H Newtown 15- 1 14 18 0.00 524 A Barlow-Redding 7- 8 -1 0 -1.67 527 H Staples-Westport 14- 6 8 3 ++ 4.83 531 N Darien 3-12 -9 -7 -1.33 604 A Southington 13-12 1 1 -0.09 607 H Fairfield Prep 11- 3 8 6 1.97 609 N Daniel Hand-Madison 14- 8 6 -1 +++ 7.75 613 H Darien 5-10 -5 -6 1.35UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 H Wilton 6-11 -5 0 -- -4.12 421 A Westhill 15- 7 8 11 - 429 A Fairfield-Ludlowe 11- 3 8 11 - -2.00 517 H New Canaan 10-11 -1 2 - -3.70OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H New Milford 16- 6 10 0 +++ 426 H Trumbull 17- 9 8 -3 +++ 609 N Daniel Hand-Madison 14- 8 6 -1 +++ 7.75 510 A St Joseph-Trumbull 15- 1 14 4 ++ 527 H Staples-Westport 14- 6 8 3 ++ 4.83 416 A Ridgefield 17- 6 11 7 + 2.42 514 A Norwalk 16- 5 11 7 + 2.37/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 92.23 Local Power Rank........... 6 Local SOS Rating......... 74.90 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 5 Championship Probability . 5.0 Championship Rank ....... 6 Local Quality Win Rating.115.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 5 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 8- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.0