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Region = CT 1 SWCIAC Nickname = T Falcons Coach = John DistlerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.7599945 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 409 A Ridgefield CT 1 FCIAC ( 7-10, 83.3) 12- 7 412 A Daniel Hand-Madison CT 1 SCIAC (18- 3, 94.0) 7-15 414 H Notre Dame-Fairfield CT 2 SWCIAC ( 6-10, 87.2) 17- 1 416 A Simsbury CT 1 CCIAC (13- 4, 91.0) 8- 7 419 H New Fairfield CT 2 SWCIAC (16- 6, 96.5) 14- 1 422 H New Canaan CT 1 FCIAC (14- 6, 90.8) 5- 8 426 H Fairfield Prep CT 1 SCIAC (11- 9, 87.5) 14- 5 429 H Greenwich CT 1 FCIAC (12- 7, 91.1) 4-13 503 A New Milford CT 2 SWCIAC (10- 7, 92.6) 14- 6 505 H Newtown CT 1 SWCIAC ( 3-14, 75.4) 15- 3 510 H Guilford CT 1 SCIAC ( 8- 9, 81.2) 15- 8 514 H Glastonbury CT 1 CCIAC (11- 6, 87.0) 9-10 517 H Immaculate Danbury CT 2 SWCIAC ( 8- 8, 90.0) 14- 2 519 A Weston CT 2 SWCIAC (12- 7, 95.4) 12- 5 521 A Wilton CT 1 FCIAC (16- 5, 94.4) 4-14 524 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk CT 1 FCIAC (16- 6, 92.2) 8- 7 601 N Newtown CT 1 SWCIAC ( 3-14, 75.4) 8- 2 604 A Somers CT 1 NWCIAC (16- 4, 92.8) 8-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 A Ridgefield 12- 7 5 5 -0.59 412 A Daniel Hand-Madison 7-15 -8 -5 - -2.94 414 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 17- 1 16 4 n/a 416 A Simsbury 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.08 419 H New Fairfield 14- 1 13 -5 n/a 422 H New Canaan 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.72 426 H Fairfield Prep 14- 5 9 4 ++ 4.95 429 H Greenwich 4-13 -9 0 --- -9.43 503 A New Milford 14- 6 8 -3 n/a 505 H Newtown 15- 3 12 16 0.00 510 H Guilford 15- 8 7 10 - -3.00 514 H Glastonbury 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.53 517 H Immaculate Danbury 14- 2 12 1 n/a 519 A Weston 12- 5 7 -6 n/a 521 A Wilton 4-14 -10 -5 -- -4.50 524 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk 8- 7 1 0 1.67 601 N Newtown 8- 2 6 14 -- -4.00 604 A Somers 8-11 -3 -3 0.86UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 H Greenwich 4-13 -9 0 --- -9.43 514 H Glastonbury 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.53 521 A Wilton 4-14 -10 -5 -- -4.50 601 N Newtown 8- 2 6 14 -- -4.00 412 A Daniel Hand-Madison 7-15 -8 -5 - -2.94 422 H New Canaan 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.72 510 H Guilford 15- 8 7 10 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 H New Fairfield 14- 1 13 -5 +++ 503 A New Milford 14- 6 8 -3 +++ 517 H Immaculate Danbury 14- 2 12 1 +++ 519 A Weston 12- 5 7 -6 +++ 414 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 17- 1 16 4 ++ 426 H Fairfield Prep 14- 5 9 4 ++ 4.95 416 A Simsbury 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.08/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.25 Local Power Rank........... 11 Local SOS Rating......... 74.93 Local SOS Rank............. 4 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 11 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 12 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 11 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3