: Probability Pennsylvania Boys

            UPDATED: 05-28-26 10:01 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 Malvern Prep 14 0 30.00
2 La Salle College 15 1 24.00
3 Hill School 4 1 10.00
4 Haverford School 11 3 8.00
5 Episcopal Academy 9 5 6.00
6 Springfield-Delco 15 1 6.00
7 Bayard Rustin 15 3 4.00
8 Radnor 14 3 4.00
9 Downingtown West 20 2 2.00
10 Garnet Valley 12 8 2.00
11 Perkiomen School 5 3 2.00
12 Ridley 18 3 2.00
13 Abington 8 8 0.00
14 Academy New Church 4 11 0.00
15 AIM Academy 6 7 0.00
16 Allentown Central Ca 15 4 0.00
17 Archbishop Carroll 8 10 0.00
18 Archbishop Ryan 7 10 0.00
19 Archbishop Wood 3 13 0.00
20 Avon Grove 13 7 0.00
21 Bishop Shanahan 11 4 0.00
22 Boyertown 8 9 0.00
23 Cardinal OHara 18 3 0.00
24 Central Bucks East 9 11 0.00
25 Central Bucks South 8 10 0.00
26 Central Bucks West 9 7 0.00
27 Central Philadelphia 6 4 0.00
28 Church Farm School 5 4 0.00
29 Coatesville 5 13 0.00
30 Conestoga 9 8 0.00
31 Conwell Egan 3 12 0.00
32 Council Rock North 11 6 0.00
33 Council Rock South 13 5 0.00
34 Delaware Valley Frie 3 4 0.00
35 Devon Prep 10 11 0.00
36 Downingtown East 14 8 0.00
37 Easton Area 17 3 0.00
38 Emmaus 10 10 0.00
39 Father Judge 11 6 0.00
40 Frankford 5 2 0.00
41 Freedom Bethlehem 6 9 0.00
42 Germantown Academy 3 15 0.00
43 Great Valley 6 12 0.00
44 Harriton 5 11 0.00
45 Hatboro-Horsham 11 7 0.00
46 Haverford HS 10 9 0.00
47 Holy Ghost Prep 9 7 0.00
48 Jack Barrack Academy 5 6 0.00
49 Kennett 7 11 0.00
50 Lansdale Catholic 6 14 0.00
51 Liberty Bethlehem 3 14 0.00
52 Lower Merion 3 15 0.00
53 Marple Newtown 13 5 0.00
54 Masterman 8 3 0.00
55 Methacton 7 9 0.00
56 Moravian Academy 12 7 0.00
57 Nazareth Area 12 8 0.00
58 Neshaminy 3 14 0.00
59 New Hope-Solebury 7 10 0.00
60 North Penn 2 16 0.00
61 Northampton Area 9 10 0.00
62 Northwestern Lehigh 12 7 0.00
63 Olney Charter 5 4 0.00
64 Owen J Roberts 7 10 0.00
65 Parkland 14 5 0.00
66 Penn Charter 7 11 0.00
67 Penncrest 13 6 0.00
68 Pennridge 11 5 0.00
69 Pennsbury 7 6 0.00
70 Perkiomen Valley 16 8 0.00
71 Phoenixville 1 16 0.00
72 Pleasant Valley 5 11 0.00
73 Plymouth-Whitemarsh 11 8 0.00
74 Pope John Paul II 6 10 0.00
75 Pottsgrove 4 11 0.00
76 Quakertown 2 16 0.00
77 Roman Catholic 1 11 0.00
78 Saucon Valley 3 14 0.00
79 Shipley School 6 5 0.00
80 Solanco 2 0 0.00
81 Souderton 12 8 0.00
82 Southern Lehigh 10 9 0.00
83 Spring-Ford 16 4 0.00
84 Springfield Twp 6 11 0.00
85 Springside Chestnut 6 9 0.00
86 St Josephs Prep 15 4 0.00
87 Strath Haven 9 10 0.00
88 Sun Valley 5 12 0.00
89 Unionville 6 12 0.00
90 Upper Dublin 13 7 0.00
91 Upper Merion 3 14 0.00
92 Upper Moreland 10 9 0.00
93 West Chester East 11 8 0.00
94 West Chester Henders 15 7 0.00
95 Westtown 6 4 0.00
96 William Tennent 1 1 0.00
97 Wissahickon 12 5 0.00
98 Baldwin 5 10 0.00
99 Bethel Park 11 6 0.00
100 Butler Area 7 7 0.00
101 Canon-McMillan 13 5 0.00
102 Cathedral Prep 9 2 0.00
103 Central Catholic 4 13 0.00
104 Chartiers Valley 10 8 0.00
105 Erie-McDowell 3 6 0.00
106 Fairview 4 7 0.00
107 Fox Chapel 15 4 0.00
108 Franklin Regional 7 9 0.00
109 Freeport Area 6 9 0.00
110 Hampton 15 5 0.00
111 Hempfield Greensburg 7 9 0.00
112 Hickory 8 2 0.00
113 Indiana Area 11 6 0.00
114 Knoch 4 11 0.00
115 Latrobe 10 8 0.00
116 Mars Area 14 4 0.00
117 Meadville-Crawford C 1 7 0.00
118 Moon Area 5 12 0.00
119 Mount Lebanon 15 1 0.00
120 North Allegheny 6 5 0.00
121 North Catholic 6 8 0.00
122 North Hills 2 14 0.00
123 Norwin 4 8 0.00
124 Penn-Trafford 9 10 0.00
125 Peters Township 15 5 0.00
126 Pine Richland 11 5 0.00
127 Plum 6 8 0.00
128 Quaker Valley 9 5 0.00
129 Seneca Valley 6 8 0.00
130 Seton LaSalle 1 12 0.00
131 Sewickley Academy 9 4 0.00
132 Shady Side Academy 9 3 0.00
133 Shaler Area 10 6 0.00
134 South Fayette 16 4 0.00
135 Taylor Allderdice 2 12 0.00
136 Trinity Area 4 9 0.00
137 Upper St Clair 8 8 0.00
138 Winchester Thurston 2 10 0.00
139 Abington Heights 16 4 0.00
140 Bellefonte 10 6 0.00
141 Berks Catholic 4 9 0.00
142 Bishop McDevitt 9 7 0.00
143 Carlisle 12 5 0.00
144 Cedar Cliff 2 15 0.00
145 Cedar Crest 8 10 0.00
146 Central Dauphin 7 11 0.00
147 Central York 14 7 0.00
148 Chambersburg 10 8 0.00
149 Cocalico 14 7 0.00
150 Conestoga Valley 5 12 0.00
151 Conrad Weiser 9 9 0.00
152 Crestwood 10 6 0.00
153 Cumberland Valley 17 3 0.00
154 Dallas 6 12 0.00
155 Dallastown 6 10 0.00
156 Daniel Boone 3 13 0.00
157 Danville Area 6 10 0.00
158 Delaware Valley 10 4 0.00
159 Delone Catholic 4 12 0.00
160 Dover Area 1 14 0.00
161 Eastern York 4 13 0.00
162 Elizabethtown 1 17 0.00
163 Ephrata 10 7 0.00
164 Exeter Township 12 7 0.00
165 Garden Spot 9 9 0.00
166 Gettysburg 1 17 0.00
167 Governor Mifflin 10 7 0.00
168 Hempfield 10 7 0.00
169 Hershey 8 11 0.00
170 Kennard-Dale 10 8 0.00
171 Lake-Lehman 7 9 0.00
172 Lampeter-Strasburg 21 2 0.00
173 Lancaster CDS 6 11 0.00
174 Lewisburg 1 13 0.00
175 Lower Dauphin 19 3 0.00
176 Manheim Township 19 0 0.00
177 Mechanicsburg 11 8 0.00
178 Mifflin County 4 14 0.00
179 Mifflinburg 2 12 0.00
180 Muhlenberg 2 13 0.00
181 New Oxford 16 6 0.00
182 North Pocono 9 7 0.00
183 Northern York 4 14 0.00
184 Palmyra 13 7 0.00
185 Penn Manor 14 5 0.00
186 Red Land 5 13 0.00
187 Red Lion 12 5 0.00
188 Schuylkill Valley 1 11 0.00
189 Scranton Prep 18 0 0.00
190 Selinsgrove 14 4 0.00
191 South-Western 14 6 0.00
192 Spring Grove 15 5 0.00
193 State College 17 2 0.00
194 Susquehannock 6 10 0.00
195 Trinity HS 14 6 0.00
196 Tunkhannock 2 13 0.00
197 Twin Valley 17 4 0.00
198 Warwick 12 6 0.00
199 West York 1 15 0.00
200 Wilkes-Barre Area 1 11 0.00
201 Wilson West Lawn 19 4 0.00
202 Wyoming Seminary 10 5 0.00
203 Wyomissing 4 13 0.00
204 York Catholic 5 10 0.00
205 York Suburban 10 10 0.00