: Probability Pennsylvania Boys

            UPDATED: 09-14-25 07:19 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 Malvern Prep 11 3 27.00
2 Haverford School 12 2 18.50
3 Springfield-Delco 21 1 15.00
4 Episcopal Academy 11 3 7.00
5 Hill School 6 3 5.00
6 La Salle College 15 4 5.00
7 Radnor 20 4 4.50
8 Springside Chestnut 8 7 4.50
9 Academy New Church 9 4 2.50
10 Marple Newtown 17 5 1.50
11 Shady Side Academy 11 7 1.50
12 Perkiomen School 5 4 0.00
13 Ridley 18 7 0.00
14 Spring-Ford 13 5 0.00
15 Manheim Township 19 4 0.00
16 Bayard Rustin 16 7 0.00
17 Downingtown East 17 6 0.00
18 Easton Area 19 1 0.00
19 Garnet Valley 13 6 0.00
20 St Josephs Prep 16 5 0.00
21 Westtown 7 4 0.00
22 Mount Lebanon 15 1 0.00
23 Upper St Clair 12 6 0.00
24 Abington 9 8 0.00
25 AIM Academy 0 2 0.00
26 Allentown Central Ca 19 4 0.00
27 Archbishop Carroll 8 11 0.00
28 Archbishop Ryan 6 9 0.00
29 Archbishop Wood 1 15 0.00
30 Avon Grove 12 7 0.00
31 Avon Grove Charter 5 0 0.00
32 Bishop Shanahan 15 5 0.00
33 Boyertown 9 10 0.00
34 Cardinal OHara 9 11 0.00
35 Central Bucks East 14 6 0.00
36 Central Bucks South 8 10 0.00
37 Central Bucks West 7 10 0.00
38 Central Philadelphia 3 9 0.00
39 Cheltenham 1 11 0.00
40 Church Farm School 0 2 0.00
41 Coatesville 5 13 0.00
42 Conestoga 11 9 0.00
43 Conwell Egan 3 9 0.00
44 Council Rock North 6 8 0.00
45 Council Rock South 11 8 0.00
46 Delaware Valley Frie 0 1 0.00
47 Devon Prep 13 9 0.00
48 Downingtown West 17 4 0.00
49 Emmaus 9 10 0.00
50 Father Judge 10 8 0.00
51 Frankford 4 1 0.00
52 Freedom Bethlehem 7 10 0.00
53 George Washington 3 0 0.00
54 Germantown Academy 5 13 0.00
55 Great Valley 7 11 0.00
56 Harriton 7 11 0.00
57 Hatboro-Horsham 12 7 0.00
58 Haverford HS 13 7 0.00
59 Holy Ghost Prep 5 10 0.00
60 Interboro 4 10 0.00
61 Jack Barrack Academy 3 3 0.00
62 Kennett 6 13 0.00
63 Lansdale Catholic 6 13 0.00
64 Liberty Bethlehem 6 12 0.00
65 Lower Merion 3 15 0.00
66 Masterman 1 4 0.00
67 Methacton 7 9 0.00
68 Moravian Academy 11 7 0.00
69 Nazareth Area 13 7 0.00
70 Neshaminy 3 15 0.00
71 New Hope-Solebury 8 10 0.00
72 North Penn 11 7 0.00
73 Northampton Area 6 12 0.00
74 Northeast 1 3 0.00
75 Northwestern Lehigh 11 8 0.00
76 Olney Charter 9 1 0.00
77 Owen J Roberts 12 6 0.00
78 Parkland 16 5 0.00
79 Penncrest 10 9 0.00
80 Pennridge 17 6 0.00
81 Pennsbury 8 5 0.00
82 Perkiomen Valley 14 6 0.00
83 Phoenixville 6 12 0.00
84 Pleasant Valley 3 15 0.00
85 Plymouth-Whitemarsh 10 9 0.00
86 Pope John Paul II 9 8 0.00
87 Pottsgrove 2 14 0.00
88 Quakertown 2 16 0.00
89 Saucon Valley 2 14 0.00
90 Shipley School 3 7 0.00
91 Souderton 17 4 0.00
92 Southern Lehigh 10 9 0.00
93 Springfield Twp 2 15 0.00
94 Strath Haven 6 12 0.00
95 Sun Valley 7 11 0.00
96 Unionville 8 10 0.00
97 Upper Darby 2 17 0.00
98 Upper Dublin 12 8 0.00
99 Upper Merion 5 13 0.00
100 Upper Moreland 13 6 0.00
101 West Chester East 7 11 0.00
102 West Chester Henders 8 10 0.00
103 West Philadelphia 1 2 0.00
104 Wissahickon 12 6 0.00
105 Baldwin 3 12 0.00
106 Bethel Park 13 8 0.00
107 Butler Area 5 8 0.00
108 Canon-McMillan 6 7 0.00
109 Cathedral Prep 5 6 0.00
110 Central Catholic 8 10 0.00
111 Chartiers Valley 7 11 0.00
112 Erie-McDowell 8 4 0.00
113 Fairview 4 6 0.00
114 Fox Chapel 10 5 0.00
115 Franklin Regional 8 10 0.00
116 Freeport Area 6 6 0.00
117 Greensburg Central C 1 9 0.00
118 Hampton 16 6 0.00
119 Hempfield Greensburg 5 9 0.00
120 Hickory 2 8 0.00
121 Indiana Area 9 9 0.00
122 Knoch 1 7 0.00
123 Latrobe 9 7 0.00
124 Mars Area 19 3 0.00
125 Meadville-Crawford C 7 4 0.00
126 Moon Area 2 7 0.00
127 North Allegheny 8 5 0.00
128 North Catholic 1 9 0.00
129 North Hills 6 9 0.00
130 Norwin 2 6 0.00
131 Penn-Trafford 8 7 0.00
132 Peters Township 12 8 0.00
133 Pine Richland 8 6 0.00
134 Plum 3 5 0.00
135 Quaker Valley 9 6 0.00
136 Seneca Valley 9 6 0.00
137 Seton LaSalle 1 6 0.00
138 Sewickley Academy 8 3 0.00
139 Shaler Area 8 6 0.00
140 South Fayette 19 2 0.00
141 Taylor Allderdice 1 11 0.00
142 Trinity Area 4 6 0.00
143 Winchester Thurston 2 7 0.00
144 Abington Heights 12 6 0.00
145 Bellefonte 11 6 0.00
146 Berks Catholic 7 8 0.00
147 Bishop McDevitt 6 11 0.00
148 Carlisle 7 9 0.00
149 Cedar Cliff 2 16 0.00
150 Cedar Crest 4 12 0.00
151 Central Dauphin 14 6 0.00
152 Central Dauphin East 3 14 0.00
153 Central York 19 4 0.00
154 Chambersburg 8 10 0.00
155 Cocalico 12 7 0.00
156 Conestoga Valley 8 8 0.00
157 Conrad Weiser 5 12 0.00
158 Crestwood 13 5 0.00
159 Cumberland Valley 16 4 0.00
160 Dallas 7 10 0.00
161 Dallastown 13 6 0.00
162 Daniel Boone 1 16 0.00
163 Danville Area 3 12 0.00
164 Delaware Valley 13 2 0.00
165 Delone Catholic 8 10 0.00
166 Dover Area 1 14 0.00
167 Eastern York 8 10 0.00
168 Elizabethtown 5 13 0.00
169 Ephrata 12 7 0.00
170 Exeter Township 10 8 0.00
171 Garden Spot 8 9 0.00
172 Governor Mifflin 8 10 0.00
173 Hempfield 7 10 0.00
174 Hershey 11 9 0.00
175 Kennard-Dale 4 13 0.00
176 Lake-Lehman 7 10 0.00
177 Lakeland 2 10 0.00
178 Lampeter-Strasburg 18 5 0.00
179 Lancaster CDS 7 11 0.00
180 Lewisburg 9 5 0.00
181 Lower Dauphin 16 6 0.00
182 Mechanicsburg 14 6 0.00
183 Mifflin County 1 17 0.00
184 Muhlenberg 2 12 0.00
185 New Oxford 13 5 0.00
186 North Pocono 5 12 0.00
187 Northern York 6 12 0.00
188 Palmyra 13 7 0.00
189 Penn Manor 16 8 0.00
190 Red Land 5 13 0.00
191 Red Lion 8 7 0.00
192 Schuylkill Valley 2 11 0.00
193 Scranton Prep 17 4 0.00
194 Selinsgrove 15 3 0.00
195 South-Western 15 5 0.00
196 Spring Grove 10 8 0.00
197 State College 16 4 0.00
198 Susquehannock 7 9 0.00
199 Trinity HS 24 1 0.00
200 Tunkhannock 2 12 0.00
201 Twin Valley 19 5 0.00
202 Warwick 10 8 0.00
203 Wilkes-Barre Area 2 10 0.00
204 Wilson West Lawn 18 4 0.00
205 Wyoming Area 3 10 0.00
206 Wyoming Seminary 8 6 0.00
207 Wyomissing 9 9 0.00
208 York Catholic 11 6 0.00
209 York Suburban 3 15 0.00