: Probability Massachusetts Boys

            UPDATED: 08-07-26 18:58 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 Lincoln-Sudbury Regi 14 2 22.00
2 St Johns Prep Danver 17 2 18.00
3 Billerica Memorial 16 4 8.00
4 Boston College HS 16 3 8.00
5 Longmeadow 17 3 6.00
6 Medfield 15 6 6.00
7 Acton Boxborough 18 3 4.00
8 Andover HS 11 6 4.00
9 Shawsheen Valley RVT 21 1 4.00
10 Winchester 17 3 4.00
11 Xaverian Brothers 8 12 4.00
12 Falmouth HS 18 4 2.00
13 Hingham 14 5 2.00
14 King Philip Regional 14 5 2.00
15 Nantucket 19 4 2.00
16 Reading Memorial 17 4 2.00
17 Walpole 17 5 2.00
18 Abington 15 6 0.00
19 Agawam 14 5 0.00
20 Algonquin 2 16 0.00
21 Amesbury 5 12 0.00
22 Amherst-Pelham Reg 10 8 0.00
23 AMSA Charter 11 7 0.00
24 Apponequet Regional 7 9 0.00
25 Archbishop Williams 10 9 0.00
26 Arlington Catholic 8 9 0.00
27 Arlington HS 7 12 0.00
28 Ashland 4 14 0.00
29 Assabet Valley RVT 6 12 0.00
30 Attleboro 6 12 0.00
31 Auburn 4 14 0.00
32 Barnstable 4 13 0.00
33 Bay Path RVT 1 17 0.00
34 Bedford 2 14 0.00
35 Belchertown 8 9 0.00
36 Bellingham 4 15 0.00
37 Belmont 10 9 0.00
38 Beverly 10 7 0.00
39 Bishop Feehan 12 4 0.00
40 Bishop Fenwick 9 10 0.00
41 Bishop Stang 15 3 0.00
42 Blackstone Valley RV 8 8 0.00
43 Blue Hills RVT 3 16 0.00
44 Bourne 18 2 0.00
45 Braintree 4 14 0.00
46 Bridgewater-Raynham 12 7 0.00
47 Bristol-Plymouth RVT 6 11 0.00
48 Brookline 8 10 0.00
49 Burlington 10 9 0.00
50 Cambridge Rindge-Lat 5 11 0.00
51 Canton 12 8 0.00
52 Cape Cod Tech 13 7 0.00
53 Catholic Memorial 3 16 0.00
54 Central Catholic 7 11 0.00
55 Chelmsford 7 10 0.00
56 Chicopee Comprehensi 7 9 0.00
57 Cohasset 17 5 0.00
58 Concord-Carlisle 11 7 0.00
59 Danvers 9 11 0.00
60 Dartmouth 5 11 0.00
61 Dennis-Yarmouth Regi 12 5 0.00
62 Dighton-Rehoboth Reg 4 12 0.00
63 Doherty Memorial 1 17 0.00
64 Dover-Sherborn 14 7 0.00
65 Dracut 21 2 0.00
66 Duxbury 14 5 0.00
67 East Bridgewater 12 8 0.00
68 East Longmeadow 6 10 0.00
69 Essex Tech 1 17 0.00
70 Fairhaven 9 10 0.00
71 Falmouth Academy 2 2 0.00
72 Foxborough 13 7 0.00
73 Framingham 3 15 0.00
74 Franklin 7 12 0.00
75 Gloucester 6 10 0.00
76 Grafton 6 13 0.00
77 Greater Lowell RVT 6 10 0.00
78 Greater New Bedford 8 10 0.00
79 Groton-Dunstable Reg 5 12 0.00
80 Hamilton-Wenham Regi 12 6 0.00
81 Hanover 11 9 0.00
82 Haverhill 9 7 0.00
83 Holliston 12 7 0.00
84 Hoosac Valley 10 6 0.00
85 Hopkinton 13 6 0.00
86 Hudson 16 2 0.00
87 Hull 4 14 0.00
88 Ipswich 14 5 0.00
89 Lenox/Lee 10 8 0.00
90 Leominster 10 9 0.00
91 Lexington 5 14 0.00
92 Littleton 9 7 0.00
93 Lowell 13 6 0.00
94 Lowell Catholic 1 17 0.00
95 Lunenburg 14 5 0.00
96 Lynn Classical-Engli 7 10 0.00
97 Lynnfield 3 17 0.00
98 Malden 1 17 0.00
99 Malden Catholic 2 16 0.00
100 Manchester-Essex Reg 17 4 0.00
101 Mansfield 22 2 0.00
102 Marblehead 14 6 0.00
103 Marshfield 16 5 0.00
104 Marthas Vineyard 6 11 0.00
105 Masconomet 8 10 0.00
106 McCann Technical 2 13 0.00
107 Medford 11 8 0.00
108 Medway 6 10 0.00
109 Melrose 11 8 0.00
110 Methuen 2 14 0.00
111 Middleborough 10 8 0.00
112 Milford 14 5 0.00
113 Milton HS 14 6 0.00
114 Minnechaug Regional 12 8 0.00
115 Minuteman Regional 9 9 0.00
116 Monomoy Regional 6 13 0.00
117 Monson 11 7 0.00
118 Montachusett RVT 11 6 0.00
119 Mount Greylock Regio 15 2 0.00
120 Mystic Valley Charte 1 12 0.00
121 Nashoba Regional 9 10 0.00
122 Nashoba Valley Tech 5 11 0.00
123 Natick 15 5 0.00
124 Nauset 7 12 0.00
125 Needham 9 10 0.00
126 New Bedford 1 15 0.00
127 Newburyport 14 4 0.00
128 Newton North 17 4 0.00
129 Newton South 10 8 0.00
130 Nipmuc Regional 9 9 0.00
131 North Andover 7 13 0.00
132 North Attleboro 9 10 0.00
133 North Middlesex 7 11 0.00
134 North Quincy Co-op 8 11 0.00
135 North Reading 13 7 0.00
136 Northampton 2 14 0.00
137 Northeast Metro RVT 14 4 0.00
138 Norton 6 11 0.00
139 Norwell 18 4 0.00
140 Norwood 9 7 0.00
141 Oakmont Regional 16 4 0.00
142 Old Colony RVT 6 13 0.00
143 Old Rochester Region 9 9 0.00
144 Oliver Ames 6 12 0.00
145 Peabody Vets Memoria 2 15 0.00
146 Pembroke 11 9 0.00
147 Pentucket Regional 11 8 0.00
148 Pittsfield 4 12 0.00
149 Plymouth North 12 7 0.00
150 Plymouth South 1 18 0.00
151 Pope Francis Prep 15 4 0.00
152 Revere 1 15 0.00
153 Rockland 9 11 0.00
154 Salem 4 14 0.00
155 Sandwich 8 12 0.00
156 Saugus 9 7 0.00
157 Scituate 17 7 0.00
158 Seekonk 2 15 0.00
159 Sharon 7 12 0.00
160 Shepherd Hill 4 14 0.00
161 Shrewsbury 14 6 0.00
162 Silver Lake 8 9 0.00
163 Smith VoTech 3 10 0.00
164 Somerset Berkley 7 9 0.00
165 Somerville 7 11 0.00
166 South Hadley 9 9 0.00
167 South Shore RVT 9 10 0.00
168 Southeastern RVT 13 6 0.00
169 Springfield Central 2 12 0.00
170 St Bernards 13 6 0.00
171 St John Paul II 15 4 0.00
172 St Johns Shrewsbury 11 9 0.00
173 St Marys Lynn 12 6 0.00
174 Stoneham 8 11 0.00
175 Stoughton 3 14 0.00
176 Sturgis Charter East 4 11 0.00
177 Swampscott 10 10 0.00
178 Tantasqua Regional 7 12 0.00
179 Taunton 3 15 0.00
180 Tewksbury Memorial 14 6 0.00
181 Tri-County RVT 16 4 0.00
182 Triton Regional 7 11 0.00
183 Tyngsborough 5 12 0.00
184 Upper Cape Cod RVT 16 5 0.00
185 Wachusett Regional 14 4 0.00
186 Wahconah 8 10 0.00
187 Wakefield Memorial 16 4 0.00
188 Waltham 9 9 0.00
189 Watertown 6 11 0.00
190 Wayland 1 15 0.00
191 Wellesley 9 11 0.00
192 West Springfield 9 7 0.00
193 Westborough 14 4 0.00
194 Westfield 7 12 0.00
195 Westford Academy 8 10 0.00
196 Weston 17 2 0.00
197 Westwood 16 4 0.00
198 Weymouth 3 15 0.00
199 Whitman-Hanson 6 12 0.00
200 Whittier RVT 7 10 0.00
201 Wilmington 9 10 0.00
202 Winthrop 17 4 0.00
203 Woburn Memorial 7 12 0.00