: Probability Massachusetts Boys

            UPDATED: 10-10-25 08:05 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 St Johns Prep Danver 19 0 18.00
2 Boston College HS 16 4 16.00
3 Duxbury 14 6 8.00
4 Lincoln-Sudbury Regi 12 4 8.00
5 Acton Boxborough 17 4 6.00
6 Billerica Memorial 20 1 6.00
7 Scituate 19 5 6.00
8 Bishop Feehan 17 3 4.00
9 Mansfield 20 2 4.00
10 Marshfield 13 6 4.00
11 Nauset 17 5 4.00
12 Reading Memorial 19 4 4.00
13 Westwood 16 5 4.00
14 Catholic Memorial 8 12 2.00
15 Medfield 18 4 2.00
16 Newburyport 16 2 2.00
17 Norwell 17 6 2.00
18 Abington 14 6 0.00
19 Agawam 13 4 0.00
20 Algonquin 16 4 0.00
21 Amesbury 4 14 0.00
22 Amherst-Pelham Reg 9 7 0.00
23 AMSA Charter 7 12 0.00
24 Andover HS 12 4 0.00
25 Apponequet Regional 14 4 0.00
26 Archbishop Williams 11 8 0.00
27 Arlington Catholic 15 5 0.00
28 Arlington HS 13 6 0.00
29 Ashland 9 10 0.00
30 Assabet Valley RVT 10 10 0.00
31 Attleboro 5 13 0.00
32 Auburn 12 7 0.00
33 Barnstable 8 10 0.00
34 Bay Path RVT 1 17 0.00
35 Bedford 10 8 0.00
36 Belchertown 6 11 0.00
37 Bellingham 6 13 0.00
38 Belmont 5 14 0.00
39 Beverly 4 12 0.00
40 Bishop Fenwick 2 15 0.00
41 Bishop Stang 10 8 0.00
42 Blackstone Valley RV 2 15 0.00
43 Blue Hills RVT 6 12 0.00
44 Boston Latin School 8 12 0.00
45 Bourne 10 9 0.00
46 Braintree 3 15 0.00
47 Bridgewater-Raynham 9 10 0.00
48 Bristol-Plymouth RVT 12 7 0.00
49 Brookline 5 13 0.00
50 Burlington 11 9 0.00
51 Cambridge Rindge-Lat 4 13 0.00
52 Canton 9 8 0.00
53 Cape Cod Academy 2 9 0.00
54 Cape Cod Tech 3 15 0.00
55 Central Catholic 5 13 0.00
56 Chelmsford 2 15 0.00
57 Chicopee Comprehensi 4 12 0.00
58 Cohasset 21 3 0.00
59 Concord-Carlisle 17 4 0.00
60 Danvers 6 12 0.00
61 Dartmouth 4 9 0.00
62 Dedham 1 16 0.00
63 Dennis-Yarmouth Regi 9 9 0.00
64 Dighton-Rehoboth Reg 11 7 0.00
65 Doherty Memorial 3 13 0.00
66 Dover-Sherborn 14 6 0.00
67 Dracut 17 4 0.00
68 East Bridgewater 8 11 0.00
69 East Longmeadow 13 4 0.00
70 Essex Tech 10 10 0.00
71 Fairhaven 13 6 0.00
72 Falmouth HS 18 6 0.00
73 Foxborough 5 14 0.00
74 Framingham 4 14 0.00
75 Franklin 15 6 0.00
76 Gloucester 5 11 0.00
77 Grafton 7 12 0.00
78 Granby 9 9 0.00
79 Greater Lowell RVT 6 11 0.00
80 Greater New Bedford 3 16 0.00
81 Groton-Dunstable Reg 6 12 0.00
82 Hamilton-Wenham Regi 1 15 0.00
83 Hanover 8 12 0.00
84 Haverhill 10 7 0.00
85 Hingham 16 3 0.00
86 Holliston 12 7 0.00
87 Hoosac Valley 15 2 0.00
88 Hopkinton 9 10 0.00
89 Hudson 5 9 0.00
90 Hull 6 12 0.00
91 Ipswich 14 5 0.00
92 King Philip Regional 15 5 0.00
93 Lenox/Lee 10 8 0.00
94 Leominster 7 11 0.00
95 Lexington 9 10 0.00
96 Littleton 17 2 0.00
97 Longmeadow 14 4 0.00
98 Lowell 6 11 0.00
99 Lowell Catholic 7 9 0.00
100 Lunenburg 10 7 0.00
101 Lynn Classical-Engli 8 9 0.00
102 Lynnfield 13 7 0.00
103 Malden 3 15 0.00
104 Malden Catholic 3 15 0.00
105 Manchester-Essex Reg 17 5 0.00
106 Marblehead 10 9 0.00
107 Marthas Vineyard 5 13 0.00
108 Masconomet 13 6 0.00
109 Mashpee 8 11 0.00
110 McCann Technical 12 6 0.00
111 Medford 14 5 0.00
112 Medway 9 10 0.00
113 Melrose 9 9 0.00
114 Methuen 12 7 0.00
115 Middleborough 3 14 0.00
116 Milford 13 8 0.00
117 Milton HS 9 11 0.00
118 Minnechaug Regional 16 2 0.00
119 Minuteman Regional 7 8 0.00
120 Monomoy Regional 11 8 0.00
121 Monson 1 14 0.00
122 Montachusett RVT 11 7 0.00
123 Mount Greylock Regio 2 7 0.00
124 Nantucket 15 6 0.00
125 Nashoba Regional 15 6 0.00
126 Nashoba Valley Tech 3 14 0.00
127 Natick 14 6 0.00
128 Needham 12 8 0.00
129 New Bedford 1 17 0.00
130 Newton North 10 9 0.00
131 Newton South 1 15 0.00
132 Nipmuc Regional 10 8 0.00
133 North Andover 9 11 0.00
134 North Attleboro 11 8 0.00
135 North Middlesex 9 11 0.00
136 North Quincy Co-op 4 14 0.00
137 North Reading 10 10 0.00
138 Northampton 14 3 0.00
139 Northeast Metro RVT 5 12 0.00
140 Norton 3 15 0.00
141 Norwood 4 12 0.00
142 Oakmont Regional 16 5 0.00
143 Old Colony RVT 12 8 0.00
144 Old Rochester Region 14 4 0.00
145 Oliver Ames 3 14 0.00
146 Peabody Vets Memoria 6 12 0.00
147 Pembroke 8 11 0.00
148 Pentucket Regional 13 7 0.00
149 Pittsfield 2 14 0.00
150 Plymouth North 11 9 0.00
151 Plymouth South 13 7 0.00
152 Pope Francis Prep 4 10 0.00
153 Rockland 13 6 0.00
154 Salem 7 11 0.00
155 Sandwich 9 11 0.00
156 Seekonk 6 11 0.00
157 Sharon 10 7 0.00
158 Shawsheen Valley RVT 20 2 0.00
159 Shepherd Hill 4 13 0.00
160 Shrewsbury 6 13 0.00
161 Silver Lake 12 7 0.00
162 Smith VoTech 5 6 0.00
163 Somerset Berkley 5 11 0.00
164 Somerville 7 11 0.00
165 South Hadley 3 15 0.00
166 South Shore RVT 16 3 0.00
167 Southeastern RVT 16 3 0.00
168 Springfield Central 3 9 0.00
169 St Bernards 8 10 0.00
170 St John Paul II 12 8 0.00
171 St Johns Shrewsbury 6 13 0.00
172 St Marys Lynn 11 7 0.00
173 Stoneham 4 15 0.00
174 Stoughton 3 15 0.00
175 Swampscott 11 9 0.00
176 Tantasqua Regional 7 13 0.00
177 Taunton 2 15 0.00
178 Tech Boston Academy 2 2 0.00
179 Tewksbury Memorial 9 10 0.00
180 Tri-County RVT 6 11 0.00
181 Triton Regional 1 17 0.00
182 Tyngsborough 10 7 0.00
183 Upper Cape Cod RVT 8 10 0.00
184 Wachusett Regional 15 4 0.00
185 Wahconah 3 12 0.00
186 Wakefield Memorial 16 4 0.00
187 Walpole 17 4 0.00
188 Waltham 12 7 0.00
189 Watertown 4 13 0.00
190 Wayland 2 14 0.00
191 Wellesley 11 10 0.00
192 West Springfield 13 4 0.00
193 Westborough 12 5 0.00
194 Westfield 3 13 0.00
195 Westford Academy 16 4 0.00
196 Weston 16 3 0.00
197 Westport 2 16 0.00
198 Weymouth 2 16 0.00
199 Whittier RVT 15 5 0.00
200 Wilmington 4 14 0.00
201 Winchester 12 8 0.00
202 Winthrop 15 5 0.00
203 Woburn Memorial 5 13 0.00
204 Xaverian Brothers 9 10 0.00