: Probability Massachusetts Boys

            UPDATED: 09-13-25 23:55 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 Boston College HS 16 4 15.00
2 St Johns Prep Danver 19 0 12.50
3 Billerica Memorial 20 1 9.00
4 Acton Boxborough 17 4 8.00
5 Mansfield 20 2 7.50
6 Lincoln-Sudbury Regi 12 4 6.00
7 Duxbury 14 6 5.00
8 Scituate 19 5 5.00
9 Hingham 16 3 4.00
10 Reading Memorial 19 4 3.50
11 Longmeadow 14 4 3.00
12 Marshfield 13 6 3.00
13 Medfield 18 4 2.00
14 Newburyport 16 2 2.00
15 Westford Academy 16 4 2.00
16 Andover HS 12 4 1.50
17 Bishop Feehan 17 3 1.50
18 Nauset 17 5 1.50
19 Westwood 16 5 1.50
20 Catholic Memorial 8 12 0.00
21 Concord-Carlisle 17 4 0.00
22 Winchester 12 8 0.00
23 Xaverian Brothers 9 10 0.00
24 Dracut 17 4 0.00
25 Falmouth HS 18 6 0.00
26 North Andover 9 11 0.00
27 Norwell 17 6 0.00
28 Walpole 17 4 0.00
29 Abington 14 6 0.00
30 Agawam 13 4 0.00
31 Algonquin 16 4 0.00
32 Amesbury 4 14 0.00
33 Amherst-Pelham Reg 9 7 0.00
34 AMSA Charter 7 12 0.00
35 Apponequet Regional 14 4 0.00
36 Archbishop Williams 11 8 0.00
37 Arlington Catholic 15 5 0.00
38 Arlington HS 13 6 0.00
39 Ashland 9 10 0.00
40 Assabet Valley RVT 10 10 0.00
41 Attleboro 5 13 0.00
42 Auburn 12 7 0.00
43 Barnstable 8 10 0.00
44 Bay Path RVT 1 17 0.00
45 Bedford 10 8 0.00
46 Belchertown 6 11 0.00
47 Bellingham 6 13 0.00
48 Belmont 5 14 0.00
49 Beverly 4 12 0.00
50 Bishop Fenwick 2 15 0.00
51 Bishop Stang 10 8 0.00
52 Blackstone Valley RV 2 15 0.00
53 Blue Hills RVT 6 12 0.00
54 Boston Latin School 8 12 0.00
55 Bourne 10 9 0.00
56 Braintree 3 15 0.00
57 Bridgewater-Raynham 9 10 0.00
58 Bristol-Plymouth RVT 12 7 0.00
59 Brookline 5 13 0.00
60 Burlington 11 9 0.00
61 Cambridge Rindge-Lat 4 13 0.00
62 Canton 9 8 0.00
63 Cape Cod Academy 2 9 0.00
64 Cape Cod Tech 3 15 0.00
65 Central Catholic 5 13 0.00
66 Chelmsford 2 15 0.00
67 Chicopee Comprehensi 4 12 0.00
68 Cohasset 21 3 0.00
69 Danvers 6 12 0.00
70 Dartmouth 4 9 0.00
71 Dedham 1 16 0.00
72 Dennis-Yarmouth Regi 9 9 0.00
73 Dighton-Rehoboth Reg 11 7 0.00
74 Doherty Memorial 3 13 0.00
75 Dover-Sherborn 14 6 0.00
76 East Bridgewater 8 11 0.00
77 East Longmeadow 13 4 0.00
78 Essex Tech 10 10 0.00
79 Fairhaven 13 6 0.00
80 Foxborough 5 14 0.00
81 Framingham 4 14 0.00
82 Franklin 15 6 0.00
83 Gloucester 5 11 0.00
84 Grafton 7 12 0.00
85 Granby 9 9 0.00
86 Greater Lowell RVT 6 11 0.00
87 Greater New Bedford 3 16 0.00
88 Groton-Dunstable Reg 6 12 0.00
89 Hamilton-Wenham Regi 1 15 0.00
90 Hanover 8 12 0.00
91 Haverhill 10 7 0.00
92 Holliston 12 7 0.00
93 Hoosac Valley 15 2 0.00
94 Hopkinton 9 10 0.00
95 Hudson 5 9 0.00
96 Hull 6 12 0.00
97 Ipswich 14 5 0.00
98 King Philip Regional 15 5 0.00
99 Lenox/Lee 10 8 0.00
100 Leominster 7 11 0.00
101 Lexington 9 10 0.00
102 Littleton 17 2 0.00
103 Lowell 6 11 0.00
104 Lowell Catholic 7 9 0.00
105 Lunenburg 10 7 0.00
106 Lynn Classical-Engli 8 9 0.00
107 Lynnfield 13 7 0.00
108 Malden 3 15 0.00
109 Malden Catholic 3 15 0.00
110 Manchester-Essex Reg 17 5 0.00
111 Marblehead 10 9 0.00
112 Marthas Vineyard 5 13 0.00
113 Masconomet 13 6 0.00
114 Mashpee 8 11 0.00
115 McCann Technical 12 6 0.00
116 Medford 14 5 0.00
117 Medway 9 10 0.00
118 Melrose 9 9 0.00
119 Methuen 12 7 0.00
120 Middleborough 3 14 0.00
121 Milford 13 8 0.00
122 Milton HS 9 11 0.00
123 Minnechaug Regional 16 2 0.00
124 Minuteman Regional 7 8 0.00
125 Monomoy Regional 11 8 0.00
126 Monson 1 14 0.00
127 Montachusett RVT 11 7 0.00
128 Mount Greylock Regio 2 7 0.00
129 Nantucket 15 6 0.00
130 Nashoba Regional 15 6 0.00
131 Nashoba Valley Tech 3 14 0.00
132 Natick 14 6 0.00
133 Needham 12 8 0.00
134 New Bedford 1 17 0.00
135 Newton North 10 9 0.00
136 Newton South 1 15 0.00
137 Nipmuc Regional 10 8 0.00
138 North Attleboro 11 8 0.00
139 North Middlesex 9 11 0.00
140 North Quincy Co-op 4 14 0.00
141 North Reading 10 10 0.00
142 Northampton 14 3 0.00
143 Northeast Metro RVT 5 12 0.00
144 Norton 3 15 0.00
145 Norwood 4 12 0.00
146 Oakmont Regional 16 5 0.00
147 Old Colony RVT 12 8 0.00
148 Old Rochester Region 14 4 0.00
149 Oliver Ames 3 14 0.00
150 Peabody Vets Memoria 6 12 0.00
151 Pembroke 8 11 0.00
152 Pentucket Regional 13 7 0.00
153 Pittsfield 2 14 0.00
154 Plymouth North 11 9 0.00
155 Plymouth South 13 7 0.00
156 Pope Francis Prep 4 10 0.00
157 Rockland 13 6 0.00
158 Salem 7 11 0.00
159 Sandwich 9 11 0.00
160 Seekonk 6 11 0.00
161 Sharon 10 7 0.00
162 Shawsheen Valley RVT 20 2 0.00
163 Shepherd Hill 4 13 0.00
164 Shrewsbury 6 13 0.00
165 Silver Lake 12 7 0.00
166 Smith VoTech 5 6 0.00
167 Somerset Berkley 5 11 0.00
168 Somerville 7 11 0.00
169 South Hadley 3 15 0.00
170 South Shore RVT 16 3 0.00
171 Southeastern RVT 16 3 0.00
172 Springfield Central 3 9 0.00
173 St Bernards 8 10 0.00
174 St John Paul II 12 8 0.00
175 St Johns Shrewsbury 6 13 0.00
176 St Marys Lynn 11 7 0.00
177 Stoneham 4 15 0.00
178 Stoughton 3 15 0.00
179 Swampscott 11 9 0.00
180 Tantasqua Regional 7 13 0.00
181 Taunton 2 15 0.00
182 Tech Boston Academy 2 2 0.00
183 Tewksbury Memorial 9 10 0.00
184 Tri-County RVT 6 11 0.00
185 Triton Regional 1 17 0.00
186 Tyngsborough 10 7 0.00
187 Upper Cape Cod RVT 8 10 0.00
188 Wachusett Regional 15 4 0.00
189 Wahconah 3 12 0.00
190 Wakefield Memorial 16 4 0.00
191 Waltham 12 7 0.00
192 Watertown 4 13 0.00
193 Wayland 2 14 0.00
194 Wellesley 11 10 0.00
195 West Springfield 13 4 0.00
196 Westborough 12 5 0.00
197 Westfield 3 13 0.00
198 Weston 16 3 0.00
199 Westport 2 16 0.00
200 Weymouth 2 16 0.00
201 Whittier RVT 15 5 0.00
202 Wilmington 4 14 0.00
203 Winthrop 15 5 0.00
204 Woburn Memorial 5 13 0.00