UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:47 PDT

boys Xavier 1
  
Xavier                
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 85.8268

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Hamden ( 8- 8, 83.7) 9- 7 409 H Fairfield Prep ( 9- 2, 97.9) 3-21 411 A East Catholic ( 6-10, 83.1) 16- 6 414 H Amity Regional (10- 6, 88.8) 7-12 416 H Southington ( 9- 8, 88.2) 6-14 418 H Simsbury ( 9- 7, 87.2) 2- 7 421 A Notre Dame-West Have (11- 3, 93.5) 4-19 428 A Newington ( 0-15, 73.9) 20- 2 502 A East Lyme (13- 2, 89.8) 7-16 505 A Guilford (13- 3, 92.6) 2-14 507 H Daniel Hand ( 9- 7, 89.9) 1-15 509 H Hall ( 6-10, 84.6) 11- 6 512 H Cheshire HS ( 9- 4, 91.6) 6-20 516 A Brookfield (10- 6, 85.9) 11- 9 518 H Canton ( 8- 8, 83.3) 18- 6 519 A Lyman Hall ( 9- 7, 83.0) 12- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Hamden                  9- 7       2     2           0.22
   409 H Fairfield Prep          3-21     -18   -12           0.00
   411 A East Catholic          16- 6      10     2    +      2.62
   414 H Amity Regional          7-12      -5    -3    -     -2.40
   416 H Southington             6-14      -8    -2    -     -3.00
   418 H Simsbury                2- 7      -5    -1    -     -3.95
   421 A Notre Dame-West Have    4-19     -15    -8           0.00
   428 A Newington              20- 2      18    12           0.00
   502 A East Lyme               7-16      -9    -4          -0.67
   505 A Guilford                2-14     -12    -7           0.00
   507 H Daniel Hand             1-15     -14    -4          -1.25
   509 H Hall                   11- 6       5     2    +      3.44
   512 H Cheshire HS             6-20     -14    -5           0.00
   516 A Brookfield             11- 9       2     0    +      2.42
   518 H Canton                 18- 6      12     3    +      2.12
   519 A Lyman Hall             12- 9       3     3           0.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Amity Regional          7-12      -5    -3    -     -2.40
   416 H Southington             6-14      -8    -2    -     -3.00
   418 H Simsbury                2- 7      -5    -1    -     -3.95

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A East Catholic          16- 6      10     2    +      2.62
   509 H Hall                   11- 6       5     2    +      3.44
   516 A Brookfield             11- 9       2     0    +      2.42
   518 H Canton                 18- 6      12     3    +      2.12

Xavier PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional Amity Regional  
Avon HS Xavier Xavier   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Bacon Academy Xavier Xavier   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Berlin Xavier Xavier   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Bethel Xavier Xavier   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Branford Xavier Xavier   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Brien McMahon Xavier tied -  1- 1 Xavier
Bristol Co-Op Xavier Xavier   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Brookfield Xavier Xavier  
Bunnell-Stratford Xavier Xavier   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Canton Xavier Xavier  
Capital-Classical Pr Xavier   Xavier
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS  
Conard Conard Conard   5- 2 vs 3- 4
Cromwell Xavier   Xavier
Danbury Xavier   Xavier
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand Daniel Hand  
Darien Darien Darien   1- 0 vs 0- 1
East Catholic Xavier Xavier  
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme  
Ellington Xavier Xavier   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Enfield Xavier tied -  1- 0 Xavier
EO Smith Xavier Xavier   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep  
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde tied -  2- 0 Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington tied -  3- 1 Farmington
Fitch Groton Xavier tied -  1- 1 Xavier
Foran Xavier tied -  2- 3 Xavier
Glastonbury Glastonbury Glastonbury   5- 1 vs 2- 4
Granby Memorial Xavier Xavier   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Guilford Guilford Guilford  
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth tied -  1- 2 Haddam-Killingworth
Hall Xavier Xavier  
Hamden Xavier Xavier  
Holy Cross Xavier Xavier   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Immaculate Danbury Xavier Xavier   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow tied -  0- 3 Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Xavier Xavier   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Lakeview United Xavier Xavier   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Ledyard-Griswold Xavier tied -  0- 1 Xavier
Lewis Mills Xavier tied -  2- 0 Xavier
Lyman Hall Xavier Xavier  
Maloney-Platt Xavier   Xavier
Masuk Xavier Xavier   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Middletown Xavier   Xavier
Montville Xavier tied -  0- 1 Xavier
Morgan School Xavier   Xavier
New Canaan New Canaan New Canaan   1- 0 vs 0- 1
New Fairfield New Fairfield New Fairfield   3- 3 vs 1- 5
New Milford Xavier Xavier   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Newington Xavier Xavier  
Newtown Newtown Newtown   3- 1 vs 1- 3
North Branford North Branford   North Branford
North Haven Xavier Xavier   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Northwest Catholic Xavier Xavier   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Norwalk Xavier   Xavier
Norwich Free Academy Xavier   Xavier
Norwich Tech Xavier   Xavier
Notre Dame-Fairfield Xavier Xavier   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have  
Old Lyme Xavier   Xavier
Old Saybrook Xavier   Xavier
Pomperaug Xavier Xavier   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Prince-Cheney Tech Xavier   Xavier
RHAM Xavier tied -  1- 1 Xavier
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Xavier Xavier   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Rocky Hill Xavier tied -  1- 0 Xavier
Sheehan Xavier Xavier   2- 3 vs 0- 5
Shelton Xavier Xavier   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury  
Somers Somers tied -  1- 0 Somers
South Windsor Xavier tied -  1- 2 Xavier
Southington Southington Southington  
St Bernard-Wheeler Xavier tied -  0- 1 Xavier
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic Xavier Xavier   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Stamford Xavier Xavier   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Xavier tied -  0- 1 Xavier
Suffield Suffield Suffield   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Tolland Xavier Xavier   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Trumbull Xavier tied -  0- 3 Xavier
Valley Regional Xavier   Xavier
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Xavier   Xavier
Waterford Xavier Xavier   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Watertown Xavier   Xavier
West Haven Xavier Xavier   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Westhill Xavier tied -  0- 1 Xavier
Weston Weston Weston   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Wethersfield Xavier tied -  3- 0 Xavier
Wilbur Cross Xavier Xavier   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Wilton Wilton Wilton   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Windsor Xavier   Xavier
Wolcott Xavier   Xavier
Woodstock Academy Xavier tied -  1- 1 Xavier

PairWisePlus = 69


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.57

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Hamden          ( 8- 8, 83.7)     9- 7      -16.19      21.54       0.33         0.91            19.92
   0 H Fairfield Prep  ( 9- 2, 97.9)     3-21       -2.01      35.72      -0.33         0.91            -2.13
   0 A East Catholic   ( 6-10, 83.1)    16- 6      -16.79      20.94       0.33         0.91            19.37
   0 H Amity Regional  (10- 6, 88.8)     7-12      -11.14      26.59      -0.33         0.91           -10.45
   0 H Southington     ( 9- 8, 88.2)     6-14      -11.74      25.99      -0.33         0.91           -10.99
   0 H Simsbury        ( 9- 7, 87.2)     2- 7      -12.69      25.04      -0.33         0.91           -11.86
   0 A Notre Dame-Wes  (11- 3, 93.5)     4-19       -6.37      31.36       0.33         0.91            -5.50
   0 A Newington       ( 0-15, 73.9)    20- 2      -25.99      11.74       0.33         0.91            11.00
   0 A East Lyme       (13- 2, 89.8)     7-16      -10.08      27.65       0.33         0.91            -8.87
   0 A Guilford        (13- 3, 92.6)     2-14       -7.29      30.44       0.33         0.91            -6.34
   0 H Daniel Hand     ( 9- 7, 89.9)     1-15       -9.99      27.74      -0.33         0.91            -9.39
   0 H Hall            ( 6-10, 84.6)    11- 6      -15.30      22.43      -0.33         0.91            20.12
   0 H Cheshire HS     ( 9- 4, 91.6)     6-20       -8.27      29.46      -0.33         0.91            -7.83
   0 A Brookfield      (10- 6, 85.9)    11- 9      -13.99      23.74       0.33         0.91            21.92
   0 H Canton          ( 8- 8, 83.3)    18- 6      -16.62      21.11      -0.33         0.91            18.91
   0 A Lyman Hall      ( 9- 7, 83.0)    12- 9      -16.92      20.81       0.33         0.91            19.25
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        57.12

winning pts = 130.4786 losing points = -73.3586

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------