UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:50 PDT

boys Winters Mill 1
  
Winters Mill          
W-L: ( 9- 6) PR = 87.3194

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 A North Hagerstown ( 5- 9, 77.8) 10- 1 323 H Mount Hebron ( 8- 6, 87.4) 3- 7 326 H Harford Tech ( 7- 7, 83.1) 11-13 404 A Glen Burnie (10- 4, 86.3) 11- 3 404 A Blair (12- 5, 82.3) 15- 3 407 A Wilde Lake ( 8- 5, 85.4) 5- 4 409 A Francis Scott Key ( 5- 9, 83.0) 9- 2 414 H Century (13- 2, 91.9) 5-10 416 H Liberty (10- 5, 90.0) 4- 8 421 A South Carroll ( 5- 9, 88.3) 7- 6 423 A Hammond ( 3-10, 80.5) 13- 1 427 H Manchester Valley ( 6- 9, 87.6) 9- 7 430 A Westminster ( 5-10, 87.7) 8- 3 501 H Glenelg HS (14- 2, 92.7) 4- 9 507 A Hereford (12- 5, 90.0) 7-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A North Hagerstown       10- 1       9     9           0.00
   323 H Mount Hebron            3- 7      -4     0    --    -4.37
   326 H Harford Tech           11-13      -2     5    ---   -6.61
   404 A Glen Burnie            11- 3       8     1    ++     4.40
   404 A Blair                  15- 3      12     5           0.40
   407 A Wilde Lake              5- 4       1     2          -0.54
   409 A Francis Scott Key       9- 2       7     4           1.11
   414 H Century                 5-10      -5    -4          -0.83
   416 H Liberty                 4- 8      -4    -2          -1.72
   421 A South Carroll           7- 6       1    -1    +      2.41
   423 A Hammond                13- 1      12     6           0.00
   427 H Manchester Valley       9- 7       2     0           1.91
   430 A Westminster             8- 3       5    -1    ++     5.82
   501 H Glenelg HS              4- 9      -5    -5          -0.07
   507 A Hereford                7-14      -7    -3          -1.86

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Harford Tech           11-13      -2     5    ---   -6.61
   323 H Mount Hebron            3- 7      -4     0    --    -4.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Glen Burnie            11- 3       8     1    ++     4.40
   430 A Westminster             8- 3       5    -1    ++     5.82
   421 A South Carroll           7- 6       1    -1    +      2.41

Winters Mill PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Bishop McNamara Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Concordia Prep Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Cristo Rey Jesuit Winters Mill   Winters Mill
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Friends Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Garrett County LC Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Georgetown Day Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Jemicy School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Winters Mill   Winters Mill
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Mount Carmel Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Salisbury School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Sandy Spring Friends Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Winters Mill   Winters Mill
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Winters Mill   Winters Mill
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Winters Mill   Winters Mill
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Aberdeen Aberdeen   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Academy for College Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Annapolis Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Arundel Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Atholton Winters Mill Winters Mill   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Baltimore Polytechni Winters Mill tied -  0- 2 Winters Mill
Bel Air Bel Air Bel Air   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase tied -  1- 1 Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Blair Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Blake Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Bohemia Manor Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Boonsboro Winters Mill tied -  1- 1 Winters Mill
Bowie Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Broadneck Broadneck tied -  2- 0 Broadneck
Brunswick Winters Mill Winters Mill   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Calvert Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Cambridge SD Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Carver A&T Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Catoctin Winters Mill Winters Mill   3- 1 vs 2- 2
Catonsville Catonsville Catonsville   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Centennial Centennial Centennial   3- 1 vs 2- 2
Century Century Century  
CH Flowers Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Chesapeake BC Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Chopticon Chopticon tied -  0- 1 Chopticon
City College Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Clarksburg Winters Mill   Winters Mill
CM Wright CM Wright CM Wright   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Crofton Crofton tied -  0- 1 Crofton
Damascus Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Digital Harbor Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Dr Henry Wise Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Dulaney Dulaney Dulaney   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Dunbar Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Dundalk Winters Mill   Winters Mill
DuVal Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Eastern Tech Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Easton Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Edgewood Winters Mill tied -  0- 1 Winters Mill
Edmondson-Westside Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Einstein Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Eleanor Roosevelt Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Elkton Winters Mill tied -  0- 1 Winters Mill
Fairmont Heights Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Fallston Fallston Fallston   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Forest Park Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Francis Scott Key Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Franklin Winters Mill tied -  0- 1 Winters Mill
Frederick Winters Mill Winters Mill   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Frederick Douglass B Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Frederick Douglass P Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Friendly Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Gaithersburg Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Glen Burnie Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS Glenelg HS  
Gov Thomas Johnson Winters Mill tied -  1- 0 Winters Mill
Great Mills Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Guilford Park Winters Mill Winters Mill   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Gwynn Park Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Hammond Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Harford Tech Harford Tech Harford Tech  
Havre De Grace Havre De Grace Havre De Grace   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Hereford Hereford Hereford  
High Point Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Howard Winters Mill Winters Mill   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Huntingtown Huntingtown tied -  1- 0 Huntingtown
JM Bennett Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Joppatowne Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Kennedy Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Kent County Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Kent Island Kent Island Kent Island   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Kenwood Winters Mill   Winters Mill
La Plata Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Lackey Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Lake Clifton Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Lansdowne Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Laurel Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty Liberty  
Linganore Linganore Linganore   5- 1 vs 4- 2
Loch Raven Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Long Reach Winters Mill Winters Mill   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Magruder Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Manchester Valley Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Meade Winters Mill Winters Mill   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mergenthaler Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Middletown Middletown Middletown   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Milford Mill Winters Mill   Winters Mill
MJ McDonough Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron Mount Hebron  
National Academy Fou Winters Mill   Winters Mill
New Town Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
North Caroline Winters Mill   Winters Mill
North County Winters Mill tied -  1- 0 Winters Mill
North Dorchester Winters Mill   Winters Mill
North East Cecil Winters Mill tied -  0- 1 Winters Mill
North Hagerstown Winters Mill Winters Mill  
North Harford North Harford North Harford   1- 0 vs 0- 1
North Point Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Northeast AA Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Northern Calvert Winters Mill tied -  0- 1 Winters Mill
Northwest Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Northwestern PG Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Northwood Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Oakdale Winters Mill Winters Mill   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Oakland Mills Winters Mill Winters Mill   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Old Mill Winters Mill Winters Mill   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Overlea Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Owings Mills Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Oxon Hill Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Paint Branch Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Parkdale Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Patapsco Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Patterson HS Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Patterson Mill Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Patuxent Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Perry Hall Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Perryville Winters Mill tied -  0- 1 Winters Mill
Pikesville Winters Mill tied -  0- 1 Winters Mill
Poolesville Winters Mill tied -  0- 1 Winters Mill
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard tied -  1- 0 Quince Orchard
Randallstown Winters Mill tied -  0- 1 Winters Mill
Reginald F Lewis Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Reservoir Winters Mill Winters Mill   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Richard Montgomery Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Rising Sun Rising Sun Rising Sun   1- 0 vs 0- 1
River Hill Winters Mill tied -  2- 2 Winters Mill
Rockville Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Seneca Valley Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Severn Run Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Severna Park Severna Park Severna Park   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Winters Mill Winters Mill   2- 0 vs 1- 1
South Carroll Winters Mill Winters Mill  
South Hagerstown Winters Mill Winters Mill   2- 0 vs 1- 1
South River Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Southern AA Winters Mill Winters Mill   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Sparrows Point Winters Mill tied -  0- 1 Winters Mill
Springbrook Winters Mill   Winters Mill
St Charles Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Surrattsville Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Thomas Stone Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Towson Towson tied -  2- 1 Towson
Tuscarora Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Urbana Urbana tied -  1- 0 Urbana
Walkersville Walkersville tied -  2- 2 Walkersville
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman   Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson tied -  1- 0 Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Western STES Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Westlake Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Westminster Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Wheaton Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Wicomico Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Wilde Lake Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Winston Churchill Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Woodlawn Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Wootton Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Archbishop Carroll Winters Mill   Winters Mill
DC International PCS Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Jackson Reed Winters Mill   Winters Mill

PairWisePlus = 158


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.06

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A North Hagersto  ( 5- 9, 77.8)    10- 1      -22.09      11.94       0.42         0.80             9.94
   0 H Mount Hebron    ( 8- 6, 87.4)     3- 7      -12.54      21.49      -0.42         0.80           -10.42
   0 H Harford Tech    ( 7- 7, 83.1)    11-13      -16.77      17.25      -0.42         0.80           -13.82
   0 A Glen Burnie     (10- 4, 86.3)    11- 3      -13.60      20.43       0.42         0.80            16.76
   0 A Blair           (12- 5, 82.3)    15- 3      -17.60      16.43       0.42         0.80            13.55
   0 A Wilde Lake      ( 8- 5, 85.4)     5- 4      -14.54      19.49       0.42         0.80            16.01
   0 A Francis Scott   ( 5- 9, 83.0)     9- 2      -16.89      17.14       0.42         0.80            14.11
   0 H Century         (13- 2, 91.9)     5-10       -8.00      26.03      -0.42         0.80            -6.77
   0 H Liberty         (10- 5, 90.0)     4- 8       -9.88      24.14      -0.42         0.80            -8.28
   0 A South Carroll   ( 5- 9, 88.3)     7- 6      -11.58      22.44       0.42         0.80            18.38
   0 A Hammond         ( 3-10, 80.5)    13- 1      -19.41      14.61       0.42         0.80            12.08
   0 H Manchester Val  ( 6- 9, 87.6)     9- 7      -12.25      21.77      -0.42         0.80            17.18
   0 A Westminster     ( 5-10, 87.7)     8- 3      -12.18      21.85       0.42         0.80            17.90
   0 H Glenelg HS      (14- 2, 92.7)     4- 9       -7.24      26.79      -0.42         0.80            -6.16
   0 A Hereford        (12- 5, 90.0)     7-14       -9.86      24.17       0.42         0.80            -7.59
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        82.87

winning pts = 135.9133 losing points = -53.0386

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------