Winters Mill
W-L: ( 3- 2) PR = 86.3159
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
320 A North Hagerstown ( 2- 4, 81.1) 10- 1
323 H Mount Hebron ( 2- 1, 88.9) 3- 7
326 H Harford Tech ( 1- 3, 84.3) 11-13
327 H Glenelg HS ( 1- 1, 91.4)
404 A Glen Burnie ( 2- 2, 84.9) 11- 3
404 A Blair ( 2- 2, 82.8) 15- 3
407 A Wilde Lake ( 2- 2, 87.2)
409 A Francis Scott Key ( 2- 3, 84.8)
414 H Century ( 3- 1, 93.1)
416 H Liberty ( 2- 1, 89.6)
421 A South Carroll ( 0- 4, 86.5)
423 A Hammond ( 1- 3, 78.0)
427 H Manchester Valley ( 2- 1, 87.2)
430 A Westminster ( 2- 3, 89.6)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
320 A North Hagerstown 10- 1 9 5 0.16
323 H Mount Hebron 3- 7 -4 -2 -1.77
326 H Harford Tech 11-13 -2 2 -- -4.34
404 A Glen Burnie 11- 3 8 1 + 3.92
404 A Blair 15- 3 12 3 1.84
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
326 H Harford Tech 11-13 -2 2 -- -4.34
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
404 A Glen Burnie 11- 3 8 1 + 3.92
|
Winters Mill Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Annapolis Area Chris |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Archbishop Curley |
Archbishop Curley |
|
 
| Archbishop Curley |
| Archbishop Spalding |
Archbishop Spalding |
|
 
| Archbishop Spalding |
| Beth TFiloh |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Bishop McNamara |
Bishop McNamara |
|
 
| Bishop McNamara |
| Boys Latin |
Boys Latin |
|
 
| Boys Latin |
| Bullis |
Bullis |
|
 
| Bullis |
| Calvert Hall |
Calvert Hall |
|
 
| Calvert Hall |
| Chapelgate Christian |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Concordia Prep |
Concordia Prep |
|
 
| Concordia Prep |
| Cristo Rey Jesuit |
Cristo Rey Jesuit |
|
 
| Cristo Rey Jesuit |
| DeMatha |
DeMatha |
|
 
| DeMatha |
| FCA LC |
FCA LC |
|
 
| FCA LC |
| Friends |
Friends |
|
 
| Friends |
| Garrett County LC |
Garrett County LC |
|
 
| Garrett County LC |
| Georgetown Day |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Georgetown Prep |
Georgetown Prep |
|
 
| Georgetown Prep |
| Gerstell Academy |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Gilman |
Gilman |
|
 
| Gilman |
| Glenelg Country |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Gonzaga |
Gonzaga |
|
 
| Gonzaga |
| Good Counsel |
Good Counsel |
|
 
| Good Counsel |
| Gunston School |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Heights |
Heights |
|
 
| Heights |
| Indian Creek School |
Indian Creek School |
|
 
| Indian Creek School |
| Jemicy School |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| John Carroll |
John Carroll |
|
 
| John Carroll |
| Key School |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Landon |
Landon |
|
 
| Landon |
| Loyola-Blakefield |
Loyola-Blakefield |
|
 
| Loyola-Blakefield |
| Maret |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| McDonogh |
McDonogh |
|
 
| McDonogh |
| Mercersburg Academy |
Mercersburg Academy |
|
 
| Mercersburg Academy |
| Mount Carmel |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Mount St Joseph |
Mount St Joseph |
|
 
| Mount St Joseph |
| Park School |
Park School |
|
 
| Park School |
| Salisbury School |
Salisbury School |
|
 
| Salisbury School |
| Sandy Spring Friends |
Sandy Spring Friends |
|
 
| Sandy Spring Friends |
| Severn School |
Severn School |
|
 
| Severn School |
| Sidwell Friends |
Sidwell Friends |
|
 
| Sidwell Friends |
| St Albans |
St Albans |
|
 
| St Albans |
| St Andrews Episcopal |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| St James |
St James |
|
 
| St James |
| St Johns Catholic Pr |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| St Johns College HS |
St Johns College HS |
|
 
| St Johns College HS |
| St Marys Annapolis |
St Marys Annapolis |
|
 
| St Marys Annapolis |
| St Marys Ryken |
St Marys Ryken |
|
 
| St Marys Ryken |
| St Pauls |
St Pauls |
|
 
| St Pauls |
| St Vincent Pallotti |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Sts Peter & Paul |
Sts Peter & Paul |
|
 
| Sts Peter & Paul |
| Tome School |
Tome School |
|
 
| Tome School |
| Worcester Prep |
Worcester Prep |
|
 
| Worcester Prep |
| Aberdeen |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Academy for College |
Academy for College |
|
 
| Academy for College |
| Annapolis |
Annapolis |
|
 
| Annapolis |
| Arundel |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Atholton |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Baltimore Polytechni |
Baltimore Polytechni |
|
 
| Baltimore Polytechni |
| Bel Air |
Bel Air |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Bel Air |
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
| Bladensburg |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Blair |
Winters Mill |
Winters Mill |
 
| |
| Blake |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Bohemia Manor |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Boonsboro |
Winters Mill |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Winters Mill |
| Bowie |
Bowie |
|
 
| Bowie |
| Broadneck |
Broadneck |
|
 
| Broadneck |
| Brunswick |
Winters Mill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Winters Mill |
| Calvert |
Calvert |
|
 
| Calvert |
| Cambridge SD |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Carver A&T |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Catoctin |
Catoctin |
|
 
| Catoctin |
| Catonsville |
Catonsville |
|
 
| Catonsville |
| Centennial |
Centennial |
|
 
| Centennial |
| Century |
Century |
|
 
| Century |
| CH Flowers |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Chesapeake AA |
Chesapeake AA |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Chesapeake AA |
| Chesapeake BC |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Chopticon |
Chopticon |
|
 
| Chopticon |
| City College |
City College |
|
 
| City College |
| Clarksburg |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| CM Wright |
CM Wright |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
CM Wright |
| Crofton |
Crofton |
|
 
| Crofton |
| Damascus |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Digital Harbor |
Digital Harbor |
|
 
| Digital Harbor |
| Dr Henry Wise |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Dulaney |
Dulaney |
|
 
| Dulaney |
| Dunbar |
Dunbar |
|
 
| Dunbar |
| Dundalk |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| DuVal |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Eastern Tech |
Eastern Tech |
|
 
| Eastern Tech |
| Easton |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Edgewood |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Edmondson-Westside |
Edmondson-Westside |
|
 
| Edmondson-Westside |
| Einstein |
Winters Mill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Winters Mill |
| Eleanor Roosevelt |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Elkton |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Fairmont Heights |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Fallston |
Fallston |
|
 
| Fallston |
| Forest Park |
Forest Park |
|
 
| Forest Park |
| Francis Scott Key |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Franklin |
Franklin |
|
 
| Franklin |
| Frederick |
Winters Mill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Winters Mill |
| Frederick Douglass B |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Frederick Douglass P |
Frederick Douglass P |
|
 
| Frederick Douglass P |
| Friendly |
Friendly |
|
 
| Friendly |
| Gaithersburg |
Gaithersburg |
|
 
| Gaithersburg |
| Glen Burnie |
Winters Mill |
Winters Mill |
 
| |
| Glenelg HS |
Glenelg HS |
|
 
| Glenelg HS |
| Gov Thomas Johnson |
Winters Mill |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Winters Mill |
| Great Mills |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Guilford Park |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Gwynn Park |
Gwynn Park |
|
 
| Gwynn Park |
| Hammond |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Harford Tech |
Harford Tech |
Harford Tech |
 
| |
| Havre De Grace |
Winters Mill |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Winters Mill |
| Hereford |
Hereford |
|
 
| Hereford |
| High Point |
High Point |
|
 
| High Point |
| Howard |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Huntingtown |
Huntingtown |
|
 
| Huntingtown |
| JM Bennett |
JM Bennett |
|
 
| JM Bennett |
| Joppatowne |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Kennedy |
Winters Mill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Winters Mill |
| Kent County |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Kent Island |
Kent Island |
|
 
| Kent Island |
| Kenwood |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| La Plata |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Lackey |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Lake Clifton |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Lansdowne |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Laurel |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Leonardtown |
Leonardtown |
|
 
| Leonardtown |
| Liberty |
Liberty |
|
 
| Liberty |
| Linganore |
Linganore |
|
 
| Linganore |
| Loch Raven |
Loch Raven |
|
 
| Loch Raven |
| Long Reach |
Winters Mill |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Winters Mill |
| Magruder |
Magruder |
|
 
| Magruder |
| Manchester Valley |
Manchester Valley |
|
 
| Manchester Valley |
| Marriotts Ridge |
Marriotts Ridge |
|
 
| Marriotts Ridge |
| Meade |
Winters Mill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Winters Mill |
| Mergenthaler |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Middletown |
Middletown |
|
 
| Middletown |
| Milford Mill |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| MJ McDonough |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Mount Hebron |
Mount Hebron |
Mount Hebron |
 
| |
| National Academy Fou |
National Academy Fou |
|
 
| National Academy Fou |
| New Town |
New Town |
|
 
| New Town |
| North Caroline |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| North County |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| North Dorchester |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| North East Cecil |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| North Hagerstown |
Winters Mill |
Winters Mill |
 
| |
| North Harford |
North Harford |
|
 
| North Harford |
| North Point |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Northeast AA |
Northeast AA |
|
 
| Northeast AA |
| Northern Calvert |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Northwest |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Northwestern PG |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Northwood |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Oakdale |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Oakland Mills |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Old Mill |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Overlea |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Owings Mills |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Oxon Hill |
Oxon Hill |
|
 
| Oxon Hill |
| Paint Branch |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Parkdale |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Parkside |
Parkside |
|
 
| Parkside |
| Parkville |
Parkville |
|
 
| Parkville |
| Patapsco |
Patapsco |
|
 
| Patapsco |
| Patterson HS |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Patterson Mill |
Winters Mill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Winters Mill |
| Patuxent |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Perry Hall |
Perry Hall |
|
 
| Perry Hall |
| Perryville |
Perryville |
|
 
| Perryville |
| Pikesville |
Pikesville |
|
 
| Pikesville |
| Poolesville |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Queen Annes County |
Queen Annes County |
|
 
| Queen Annes County |
| Quince Orchard |
Quince Orchard |
|
 
| Quince Orchard |
| Randallstown |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Reginald F Lewis |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Reservoir |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Richard Montgomery |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Rising Sun |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| River Hill |
River Hill |
|
 
| River Hill |
| Rockville |
Rockville |
|
 
| Rockville |
| Seneca Valley |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Severn Run |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Severna Park |
Severna Park |
|
 
| Severna Park |
| Sherwood |
Sherwood |
|
 
| Sherwood |
| Smithsburg |
Smithsburg |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Smithsburg |
| South Carroll |
South Carroll |
|
 
| South Carroll |
| South Hagerstown |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| South River |
South River |
|
 
| South River |
| Southern AA |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Sparrows Point |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Springbrook |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| St Charles |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Stephen Decatur |
Stephen Decatur |
|
 
| Stephen Decatur |
| Suitland |
Suitland |
|
 
| Suitland |
| Surrattsville |
Surrattsville |
|
 
| Surrattsville |
| Thomas Stone |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Towson |
Towson |
|
 
| Towson |
| Tuscarora |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Urbana |
Urbana |
|
 
| Urbana |
| Walkersville |
Walkersville |
|
 
| Walkersville |
| Walt Whitman |
Walt Whitman |
|
 
| Walt Whitman |
| Walter Johnson |
Walter Johnson |
|
 
| Walter Johnson |
| Watkins Mill |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Western STES |
Western STES |
|
 
| Western STES |
| Westlake |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Westminster |
Westminster |
|
 
| Westminster |
| Wheaton |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Wicomico |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Wilde Lake |
Wilde Lake |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Wilde Lake |
| Winston Churchill |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Woodlawn |
Woodlawn |
|
 
| Woodlawn |
| Wootton |
Wootton |
|
 
| Wootton |
| Archbishop Carroll |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| DC International PCS |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Jackson Reed |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
PowerWise = 103

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.38
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A North Hagersto ( 2- 4, 81.1) 10- 1 -18.79 7.77 0.36 0.68 5.49
0 H Mount Hebron ( 2- 1, 88.9) 3- 7 -10.99 15.56 -0.36 0.68 -7.67
0 H Harford Tech ( 1- 3, 84.3) 11-13 -15.56 11.00 -0.36 0.68 -10.76
0 A Glen Burnie ( 2- 2, 84.9) 11- 3 -15.03 11.53 0.36 0.68 8.03
0 A Blair ( 2- 2, 82.8) 15- 3 -17.10 9.45 0.36 0.68 6.63
------
1.73
|
winning pts = 20.1582 losing points = -18.4289
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------