UPDATED: 04-11-26 18:09 PDT

boys Winters Mill 1
  
Winters Mill          
W-L: ( 5- 2) PR = 86.7723

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 A North Hagerstown ( 2- 5, 80.0) 10- 1 323 H Mount Hebron ( 3- 2, 88.8) 3- 7 326 H Harford Tech ( 2- 4, 84.7) 11-13 404 A Glen Burnie ( 3- 3, 84.0) 11- 3 404 A Blair ( 4- 2, 83.6) 15- 3 407 A Wilde Lake ( 4- 3, 85.4) 5- 4 409 A Francis Scott Key ( 3- 4, 83.5) 9- 2 414 H Century ( 4- 1, 94.3) 416 H Liberty ( 3- 1, 91.0) 421 A South Carroll ( 1- 5, 89.0) 423 A Hammond ( 2- 3, 78.9) 427 H Manchester Valley ( 2- 2, 86.9) 430 A Westminster ( 2- 5, 87.9) 501 H Glenelg HS ( 3- 1, 93.2)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A North Hagerstown       10- 1       9     7           0.00
   323 H Mount Hebron            3- 7      -4    -2    -     -2.18
   326 H Harford Tech           11-13      -2     2    --    -4.31
   404 A Glen Burnie            11- 3       8     3    +      2.50
   404 A Blair                  15- 3      12     3    +      2.06
   407 A Wilde Lake              5- 4       1     1          -0.10
   409 A Francis Scott Key       9- 2       7     3           1.98

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Harford Tech           11-13      -2     2    --    -4.31
   323 H Mount Hebron            3- 7      -4    -2    -     -2.18

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Glen Burnie            11- 3       8     3    +      2.50
   404 A Blair                  15- 3      12     3    +      2.06

Winters Mill Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Bishop McNamara Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Winters Mill   Winters Mill
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC FCA LC   FCA LC
Friends Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Garrett County LC Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Georgetown Day Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School   Indian Creek School
Jemicy School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Winters Mill   Winters Mill
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Mount Carmel Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Salisbury School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Sandy Spring Friends Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Winters Mill   Winters Mill
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Winters Mill   Winters Mill
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Tome School   Tome School
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Academy for College Academy for College   Academy for College
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Atholton Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Baltimore Polytechni Baltimore Polytechni   Baltimore Polytechni
Bel Air Bel Air insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Blair Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Blake Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Bohemia Manor Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Boonsboro Winters Mill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Winters Mill
Bowie Bowie   Bowie
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Winters Mill Winters Mill   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Calvert Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Cambridge SD Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Carver A&T Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Catoctin Catoctin tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Centennial tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Centennial
Century Century   Century
CH Flowers Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Chopticon Chopticon   Chopticon
City College City College   City College
Clarksburg Clarksburg   Clarksburg
CM Wright CM Wright insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) CM Wright
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Damascus   Damascus
Digital Harbor Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Dr Henry Wise Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dunbar Dunbar   Dunbar
Dundalk Winters Mill   Winters Mill
DuVal Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Eastern Tech Eastern Tech   Eastern Tech
Easton Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Edgewood Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Edmondson-Westside Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Einstein Winters Mill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winters Mill
Eleanor Roosevelt Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Elkton Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Fairmont Heights Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Fallston Fallston   Fallston
Forest Park Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Francis Scott Key Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Winters Mill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winters Mill
Frederick Douglass B Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Frederick Douglass P Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Friendly Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Gaithersburg Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Glen Burnie Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Winters Mill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Winters Mill
Great Mills Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Guilford Park Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Gwynn Park Gwynn Park   Gwynn Park
Hammond Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Harford Tech Harford Tech Harford Tech  
Havre De Grace Winters Mill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Winters Mill
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
High Point Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Howard Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Joppatowne Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Kennedy Winters Mill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winters Mill
Kent County Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Winters Mill   Winters Mill
La Plata Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Lackey Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Lake Clifton Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Lansdowne Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Laurel Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Long Reach Winters Mill insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Winters Mill
Magruder Magruder   Magruder
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade Winters Mill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winters Mill
Mergenthaler Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Milford Mill Winters Mill   Winters Mill
MJ McDonough Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron Mount Hebron  
National Academy Fou Winters Mill   Winters Mill
New Town New Town   New Town
North Caroline Winters Mill   Winters Mill
North County Winters Mill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Winters Mill
North Dorchester Winters Mill   Winters Mill
North East Cecil Winters Mill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winters Mill
North Hagerstown Winters Mill Winters Mill  
North Harford North Harford   North Harford
North Point Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Northeast AA Northeast AA   Northeast AA
Northern Calvert Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Northwest Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Northwestern PG Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Northwood Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Oakdale Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Oakland Mills Winters Mill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winters Mill
Old Mill Winters Mill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winters Mill
Overlea Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Owings Mills Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Oxon Hill Oxon Hill   Oxon Hill
Paint Branch Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Parkdale Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Patapsco Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Patterson HS Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Patterson Mill Winters Mill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winters Mill
Patuxent Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Perry Hall Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Perryville Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Pikesville Pikesville   Pikesville
Poolesville Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Reginald F Lewis Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Reservoir Winters Mill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winters Mill
Richard Montgomery Winters Mill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winters Mill
Rising Sun Rising Sun insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rising Sun
River Hill Winters Mill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Winters Mill
Rockville Rockville   Rockville
Seneca Valley Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Severn Run Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Smithsburg tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Smithsburg
South Carroll South Carroll   South Carroll
South Hagerstown Winters Mill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winters Mill
South River South River   South River
Southern AA Winters Mill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winters Mill
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point   Sparrows Point
Springbrook Winters Mill   Winters Mill
St Charles Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Surrattsville Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Thomas Stone Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Urbana Urbana   Urbana
Walkersville Walkersville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Walkersville
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman   Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Western STES Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Westlake Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Westminster Westminster   Westminster
Wheaton Winters Mill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winters Mill
Wicomico Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Wilde Lake Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Winston Churchill Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Woodlawn Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Wootton Wootton   Wootton
Archbishop Carroll Winters Mill   Winters Mill
DC International PCS Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Jackson Reed Winters Mill   Winters Mill

PowerWise = 130


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 4.64

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A North Hagersto  ( 2- 5, 80.0)    10- 1      -19.91       8.89       0.23         0.66             6.05
   0 H Mount Hebron    ( 3- 2, 88.8)     3- 7      -11.08      17.73      -0.23         0.66            -7.50
   0 H Harford Tech    ( 2- 4, 84.7)    11-13      -15.21      13.59      -0.23         0.66           -10.24
   0 A Glen Burnie     ( 3- 3, 84.0)    11- 3      -15.87      12.94       0.23         0.66             8.73
   0 A Blair           ( 4- 2, 83.6)    15- 3      -16.30      12.50       0.23         0.66             8.44
   0 A Wilde Lake      ( 4- 3, 85.4)     5- 4      -14.46      14.34       0.23         0.66             9.66
   0 A Francis Scott   ( 3- 4, 83.5)     9- 2      -16.38      12.42       0.23         0.66             8.39
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        23.53

winning pts = 41.2633 losing points = -17.7320

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------