Winters Mill
W-L: ( 1- 2) PR = 83.5111
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
320 A North Hagerstown ( 2- 4, 80.6) 10- 1
323 H Mount Hebron ( 2- 1, 87.1) 3- 7
326 H Harford Tech ( 1- 3, 83.9) 11-13
327 H Glenelg HS ( 1- 1, 93.5)
407 A Wilde Lake ( 2- 2, 90.4)
409 A Francis Scott Key ( 2- 3, 85.7)
410 A Francis Scott Key ( 2- 3, 85.7)
414 H Century ( 3- 1, 93.9)
416 H Liberty ( 2- 1, 90.4)
421 A South Carroll ( 0- 4, 87.3)
423 A Hammond ( 1- 3, 81.9)
427 H Manchester Valley ( 2- 1, 87.9)
430 A Westminster ( 1- 2, 89.6)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
320 A North Hagerstown 10- 1 9 2 + 2.54
323 H Mount Hebron 3- 7 -4 -3 -0.77
326 H Harford Tech 11-13 -2 0 -1.99
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
320 A North Hagerstown 10- 1 9 2 + 2.54
|
Winters Mill Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Annapolis Area Chris |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Archbishop Curley |
Archbishop Curley |
|
 
| Archbishop Curley |
| Archbishop Spalding |
Archbishop Spalding |
|
 
| Archbishop Spalding |
| Beth TFiloh |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Bishop McNamara |
Bishop McNamara |
|
 
| Bishop McNamara |
| Boys Latin |
Boys Latin |
|
 
| Boys Latin |
| Bullis |
Bullis |
|
 
| Bullis |
| Calvert Hall |
Calvert Hall |
|
 
| Calvert Hall |
| Chapelgate Christian |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Concordia Prep |
Concordia Prep |
|
 
| Concordia Prep |
| Cristo Rey Jesuit |
Cristo Rey Jesuit |
|
 
| Cristo Rey Jesuit |
| DeMatha |
DeMatha |
|
 
| DeMatha |
| FCA LC |
FCA LC |
|
 
| FCA LC |
| Friends |
Friends |
|
 
| Friends |
| Garrett County LC |
Garrett County LC |
|
 
| Garrett County LC |
| Georgetown Day |
Georgetown Day |
|
 
| Georgetown Day |
| Georgetown Prep |
Georgetown Prep |
|
 
| Georgetown Prep |
| Gerstell Academy |
Gerstell Academy |
|
 
| Gerstell Academy |
| Gilman |
Gilman |
|
 
| Gilman |
| Glenelg Country |
Glenelg Country |
|
 
| Glenelg Country |
| Gonzaga |
Gonzaga |
|
 
| Gonzaga |
| Good Counsel |
Good Counsel |
|
 
| Good Counsel |
| Gunston School |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Heights |
Heights |
|
 
| Heights |
| Indian Creek School |
Indian Creek School |
|
 
| Indian Creek School |
| Jemicy School |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| John Carroll |
John Carroll |
|
 
| John Carroll |
| Key School |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Landon |
Landon |
|
 
| Landon |
| Loyola-Blakefield |
Loyola-Blakefield |
|
 
| Loyola-Blakefield |
| Maret |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| McDonogh |
McDonogh |
|
 
| McDonogh |
| Mercersburg Academy |
Mercersburg Academy |
|
 
| Mercersburg Academy |
| Mount Carmel |
Mount Carmel |
|
 
| Mount Carmel |
| Mount St Joseph |
Mount St Joseph |
|
 
| Mount St Joseph |
| Park School |
Park School |
|
 
| Park School |
| Salisbury School |
Salisbury School |
|
 
| Salisbury School |
| Sandy Spring Friends |
Sandy Spring Friends |
|
 
| Sandy Spring Friends |
| Severn School |
Severn School |
|
 
| Severn School |
| Sidwell Friends |
Sidwell Friends |
|
 
| Sidwell Friends |
| St Albans |
St Albans |
|
 
| St Albans |
| St Andrews Episcopal |
St Andrews Episcopal |
|
 
| St Andrews Episcopal |
| St James |
St James |
|
 
| St James |
| St Johns Catholic Pr |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| St Johns College HS |
St Johns College HS |
|
 
| St Johns College HS |
| St Marys Annapolis |
St Marys Annapolis |
|
 
| St Marys Annapolis |
| St Marys Ryken |
St Marys Ryken |
|
 
| St Marys Ryken |
| St Pauls |
St Pauls |
|
 
| St Pauls |
| St Vincent Pallotti |
St Vincent Pallotti |
|
 
| St Vincent Pallotti |
| Sts Peter & Paul |
Sts Peter & Paul |
|
 
| Sts Peter & Paul |
| Tome School |
Tome School |
|
 
| Tome School |
| Worcester Prep |
Worcester Prep |
|
 
| Worcester Prep |
| Aberdeen |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Academy for College |
Academy for College |
|
 
| Academy for College |
| Annapolis |
Annapolis |
|
 
| Annapolis |
| Arundel |
Arundel |
|
 
| Arundel |
| Atholton |
Atholton |
|
 
| Atholton |
| Baltimore Polytechni |
Baltimore Polytechni |
|
 
| Baltimore Polytechni |
| Bel Air |
Bel Air |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Bel Air |
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
|
 
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
| Bladensburg |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Blair |
Blair |
|
 
| Blair |
| Blake |
Blake |
|
 
| Blake |
| Bohemia Manor |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Boonsboro |
Winters Mill |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Winters Mill |
| Bowie |
Bowie |
|
 
| Bowie |
| Broadneck |
Broadneck |
|
 
| Broadneck |
| Brunswick |
Winters Mill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Winters Mill |
| Calvert |
Calvert |
|
 
| Calvert |
| Cambridge SD |
Cambridge SD |
|
 
| Cambridge SD |
| Carver A&T |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Catoctin |
Catoctin |
|
 
| Catoctin |
| Catonsville |
Catonsville |
|
 
| Catonsville |
| Centennial |
Centennial |
|
 
| Centennial |
| Century |
Century |
|
 
| Century |
| CH Flowers |
CH Flowers |
|
 
| CH Flowers |
| Chesapeake AA |
Chesapeake AA |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Chesapeake AA |
| Chesapeake BC |
Chesapeake BC |
|
 
| Chesapeake BC |
| Chopticon |
Chopticon |
|
 
| Chopticon |
| City College |
City College |
|
 
| City College |
| Clarksburg |
Clarksburg |
|
 
| Clarksburg |
| CM Wright |
CM Wright |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
CM Wright |
| Crofton |
Crofton |
|
 
| Crofton |
| Damascus |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Digital Harbor |
Digital Harbor |
|
 
| Digital Harbor |
| Dr Henry Wise |
Dr Henry Wise |
|
 
| Dr Henry Wise |
| Dulaney |
Dulaney |
|
 
| Dulaney |
| Dunbar |
Dunbar |
|
 
| Dunbar |
| Dundalk |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| DuVal |
DuVal |
|
 
| DuVal |
| Eastern Tech |
Eastern Tech |
|
 
| Eastern Tech |
| Easton |
Easton |
|
 
| Easton |
| Edgewood |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Edmondson-Westside |
Edmondson-Westside |
|
 
| Edmondson-Westside |
| Einstein |
Einstein |
|
 
| Einstein |
| Eleanor Roosevelt |
Eleanor Roosevelt |
|
 
| Eleanor Roosevelt |
| Elkton |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Fairmont Heights |
Fairmont Heights |
|
 
| Fairmont Heights |
| Fallston |
Fallston |
|
 
| Fallston |
| Forest Park |
Forest Park |
|
 
| Forest Park |
| Francis Scott Key |
Francis Scott Key |
|
 
| Francis Scott Key |
| Franklin |
Franklin |
|
 
| Franklin |
| Frederick |
Winters Mill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Winters Mill |
| Frederick Douglass B |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Frederick Douglass P |
Frederick Douglass P |
|
 
| Frederick Douglass P |
| Friendly |
Friendly |
|
 
| Friendly |
| Gaithersburg |
Gaithersburg |
|
 
| Gaithersburg |
| Glen Burnie |
Glen Burnie |
|
 
| Glen Burnie |
| Glenelg HS |
Glenelg HS |
|
 
| Glenelg HS |
| Gov Thomas Johnson |
Winters Mill |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Winters Mill |
| Great Mills |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Guilford Park |
Guilford Park |
|
 
| Guilford Park |
| Gwynn Park |
Gwynn Park |
|
 
| Gwynn Park |
| Hammond |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Harford Tech |
Harford Tech |
Harford Tech |
 
| |
| Havre De Grace |
Havre De Grace |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Havre De Grace |
| Hereford |
Hereford |
|
 
| Hereford |
| High Point |
High Point |
|
 
| High Point |
| Howard |
Howard |
|
 
| Howard |
| Huntingtown |
Huntingtown |
|
 
| Huntingtown |
| JM Bennett |
JM Bennett |
|
 
| JM Bennett |
| Joppatowne |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Kennedy |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Kent County |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Kent Island |
Kent Island |
|
 
| Kent Island |
| Kenwood |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| La Plata |
La Plata |
|
 
| La Plata |
| Lackey |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Lake Clifton |
Lake Clifton |
|
 
| Lake Clifton |
| Lansdowne |
Lansdowne |
|
 
| Lansdowne |
| Laurel |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Leonardtown |
Leonardtown |
|
 
| Leonardtown |
| Liberty |
Liberty |
|
 
| Liberty |
| Linganore |
Linganore |
|
 
| Linganore |
| Loch Raven |
Loch Raven |
|
 
| Loch Raven |
| Long Reach |
Winters Mill |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Winters Mill |
| Magruder |
Magruder |
|
 
| Magruder |
| Manchester Valley |
Manchester Valley |
|
 
| Manchester Valley |
| Marriotts Ridge |
Marriotts Ridge |
|
 
| Marriotts Ridge |
| Meade |
Meade |
|
 
| Meade |
| Mergenthaler |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Middletown |
Middletown |
|
 
| Middletown |
| Milford Mill |
Milford Mill |
|
 
| Milford Mill |
| MJ McDonough |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Mount Hebron |
Mount Hebron |
Mount Hebron |
 
| |
| National Academy Fou |
National Academy Fou |
|
 
| National Academy Fou |
| New Town |
New Town |
|
 
| New Town |
| North Caroline |
North Caroline |
|
 
| North Caroline |
| North County |
North County |
|
 
| North County |
| North Dorchester |
North Dorchester |
|
 
| North Dorchester |
| North East Cecil |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| North Hagerstown |
Winters Mill |
Winters Mill |
 
| |
| North Harford |
North Harford |
|
 
| North Harford |
| North Point |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Northeast AA |
Northeast AA |
|
 
| Northeast AA |
| Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Northwest |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Northwestern PG |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Northwood |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Oakdale |
Oakdale |
|
 
| Oakdale |
| Oakland Mills |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Old Mill |
Old Mill |
|
 
| Old Mill |
| Overlea |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Owings Mills |
Owings Mills |
|
 
| Owings Mills |
| Oxon Hill |
Oxon Hill |
|
 
| Oxon Hill |
| Paint Branch |
Paint Branch |
|
 
| Paint Branch |
| Parkdale |
Parkdale |
|
 
| Parkdale |
| Parkside |
Parkside |
|
 
| Parkside |
| Parkville |
Parkville |
|
 
| Parkville |
| Patapsco |
Patapsco |
|
 
| Patapsco |
| Patterson HS |
Patterson HS |
|
 
| Patterson HS |
| Patterson Mill |
Patterson Mill |
|
 
| Patterson Mill |
| Patuxent |
Patuxent |
|
 
| Patuxent |
| Perry Hall |
Perry Hall |
|
 
| Perry Hall |
| Perryville |
Perryville |
|
 
| Perryville |
| Pikesville |
Pikesville |
|
 
| Pikesville |
| Poolesville |
Poolesville |
|
 
| Poolesville |
| Queen Annes County |
Queen Annes County |
|
 
| Queen Annes County |
| Quince Orchard |
Quince Orchard |
|
 
| Quince Orchard |
| Randallstown |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Reginald F Lewis |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Reservoir |
Reservoir |
|
 
| Reservoir |
| Richard Montgomery |
Richard Montgomery |
|
 
| Richard Montgomery |
| Rising Sun |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| River Hill |
River Hill |
|
 
| River Hill |
| Rockville |
Rockville |
|
 
| Rockville |
| Seneca Valley |
Seneca Valley |
|
 
| Seneca Valley |
| Severn Run |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Severna Park |
Severna Park |
|
 
| Severna Park |
| Sherwood |
Sherwood |
|
 
| Sherwood |
| Smithsburg |
Smithsburg |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Smithsburg |
| South Carroll |
South Carroll |
|
 
| South Carroll |
| South Hagerstown |
South Hagerstown |
|
 
| South Hagerstown |
| South River |
South River |
|
 
| South River |
| Southern AA |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Sparrows Point |
Sparrows Point |
|
 
| Sparrows Point |
| Springbrook |
Springbrook |
|
 
| Springbrook |
| St Charles |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Stephen Decatur |
Stephen Decatur |
|
 
| Stephen Decatur |
| Suitland |
Suitland |
|
 
| Suitland |
| Surrattsville |
Surrattsville |
|
 
| Surrattsville |
| Thomas Stone |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Towson |
Towson |
|
 
| Towson |
| Tuscarora |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Urbana |
Urbana |
|
 
| Urbana |
| Walkersville |
Walkersville |
|
 
| Walkersville |
| Walt Whitman |
Walt Whitman |
|
 
| Walt Whitman |
| Walter Johnson |
Walter Johnson |
|
 
| Walter Johnson |
| Watkins Mill |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Western STES |
Western STES |
|
 
| Western STES |
| Westlake |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Westminster |
Westminster |
|
 
| Westminster |
| Wheaton |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Wicomico |
Wicomico |
|
 
| Wicomico |
| Wilde Lake |
Wilde Lake |
|
 
| Wilde Lake |
| Winston Churchill |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Woodlawn |
Woodlawn |
|
 
| Woodlawn |
| Wootton |
Wootton |
|
 
| Wootton |
| Archbishop Carroll |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| DC International PCS |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Jackson Reed |
Jackson Reed |
|
 
| Jackson Reed |
PowerWise = 48

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.26
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A North Hagersto ( 2- 4, 80.6) 10- 1 -19.26 5.81 0.41 1.09 6.75
0 H Mount Hebron ( 2- 1, 87.1) 3- 7 -12.75 12.31 -0.41 1.09 -14.30
0 H Harford Tech ( 1- 3, 83.9) 11-13 -15.97 9.09 -0.41 1.09 -17.80
------
-25.35
|
winning pts = 6.7544 losing points = -32.1078
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------