UPDATED: 04-16-26 09:38 PDT

boys Watauga 1
  
Watauga               
W-L: ( 6- 6) PR = 83.5059

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 226 H Patton Morganton ( 1- 9, 78.4) 14- 6 303 A Asheville HS ( 3- 6, 83.1) 10-12 305 H Hickory ( 5- 4, 84.3) 8- 3 309 A Lincoln Charter ( 6- 7, 88.0) 2-20 320 A Roxboro Community ( 1- 7, 77.5) 13- 5 321 A Riverside Durham ( 4- 5, 80.7) 19- 8 324 A TC Roberson ( 3- 7, 83.7) 5- 9 325 H North Lincoln (10- 2, 91.6) 7-20 326 H Lincoln Charter ( 6- 7, 88.0) 7-11 331 A Patton Morganton ( 1- 9, 78.4) 23- 5 402 H Asheville HS ( 3- 6, 83.1) 11-10 414 A St Stephens ( 7- 4, 85.2) 5-16 416 A Hickory ( 5- 4, 84.3) 421 H St Stephens ( 7- 4, 85.2) 423 A North Lincoln (10- 2, 91.6) 423 H North Lincoln (10- 2, 91.6) 428 H TC Roberson ( 3- 7, 83.7)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 H Patton  Morganton      14- 6       8     5           0.00
   303 A Asheville HS           10-12      -2     0    -     -2.08
   305 H Hickory                 8- 3       5     0    ++     5.44
   309 A Lincoln Charter         2-20     -18    -5          -0.19
   320 A Roxboro Community      13- 5       8     6           0.00
   321 A Riverside Durham       19- 8      11     3    +      2.48
   324 A TC Roberson             5- 9      -4    -1    -     -3.45
   325 H North Lincoln           7-20     -13    -8           0.00
   326 H Lincoln Charter         7-11      -4    -4           0.17
   331 A Patton  Morganton      23- 5      18     5           0.26
   402 H Asheville HS           11-10       1     1           0.28
   414 A St Stephens             5-16     -11    -2    -     -2.98

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Asheville HS           10-12      -2     0    -     -2.08
   324 A TC Roberson             5- 9      -4    -1    -     -3.45
   414 A St Stephens             5-16     -11    -2    -     -2.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Hickory                 8- 3       5     0    ++     5.44
   321 A Riverside Durham       19- 8      11     3    +      2.48

Watauga Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Arendell Parrott Aca   Arendell Parrott Aca
Asheville HS Watauga tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Watauga
Asheville School Asheville School   Asheville School
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Watauga   Watauga
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Watauga   Watauga
Bradford Prep Watauga   Watauga
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Watauga   Watauga
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Watauga   Watauga
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary Christian Watauga   Watauga
Cary HS Watauga insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Watauga
Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cedar Ridge
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King Christ The King   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Clayton Clayton   Clayton
Cleveland Watauga   Watauga
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders   Corinth Holders
Cornerstone Charter Watauga   Watauga
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie Davie   3- 0 vs 1- 3
DH Conley Watauga   Watauga
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Eastern Alamance Watauga insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Watauga
Eastern Guilford Watauga   Watauga
Enloe Enloe   Enloe
Fike Fike   Fike
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Watauga   Watauga
Garner Garner   Garner
Glenn Glenn   Glenn
Grays Creek Watauga   Watauga
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day   Greensboro Day
Grimsley Watauga   Watauga
Havelock Watauga   Watauga
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Watauga Watauga  
High Point Central High Point Central   High Point Central
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Watauga   Watauga
Independence Independence   Independence
Jack Britt Watauga   Watauga
Jacksonville Jacksonville   Jacksonville
JF Webb JF Webb   JF Webb
JH Rose JH Rose   JH Rose
John Paul II Catholi Watauga   Watauga
Jordan Jordan   Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Lincoln Charter Lincoln Charter  
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville Mooresville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mooresville
Mount Tabor Watauga   Watauga
Mountain Island Char Watauga tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Watauga
Myers Park Myers Park insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Myers Park
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover Watauga   Watauga
North Brunswick Watauga   Watauga
North Davidson Watauga   Watauga
North Lincoln North Lincoln North Lincoln  
North Raleigh Christ Watauga   Watauga
Northern Durham Northern Durham   Northern Durham
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northside Northside   Northside
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood Northwood   Northwood
Page Page   Page
Panther Creek Watauga   Watauga
Parkwood Parkwood   Parkwood
Patton Morganton Watauga Watauga  
Pine Forest Pine Forest   Pine Forest
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Watauga tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Watauga
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Queens Grant Queens Grant   Queens Grant
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Watauga   Watauga
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Reagan Reagan   Reagan
Riverside Durham Watauga Watauga  
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Watauga   Watauga
Roxboro Community Watauga Watauga  
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth   Seaforth
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Garner Watauga   Watauga
South Iredell Watauga insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Watauga
South Mecklenburg Watauga   Watauga
South View South View   South View
Southeast Alamance Watauga tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Watauga
Southeast Guilford Watauga   Watauga
Southern Alamance Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Watauga   Watauga
St Davids School Watauga   Watauga
St Stephens St Stephens St Stephens  
Sun Valley Sun Valley   Sun Valley
Swansboro Swansboro   Swansboro
TC Roberson TC Roberson TC Roberson  
Terry Sanford Terry Sanford   Terry Sanford
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines   Union Pines
Vance Charter Vance Charter   Vance Charter
Voyager Academy Watauga insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Watauga
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Wake Prep Watauga tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Watauga
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Walter M Williams Walter M Williams   Walter M Williams
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick West Brunswick   West Brunswick
West Carteret West Carteret   West Carteret
West Forsyth Watauga insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Watauga
West Stokes Watauga   Watauga
Western Alamance Watauga   Watauga
Western Guilford Watauga   Watauga
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 47


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.41

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Patton  Morgan  ( 1- 9, 78.4)    14- 6      -21.46       8.57      -0.32         0.78             6.47
   0 A Asheville HS    ( 3- 6, 83.1)    10-12      -16.80      13.23       0.32         0.78           -12.92
   0 H Hickory         ( 5- 4, 84.3)     8- 3      -15.64      14.39      -0.32         0.78            11.03
   0 A Lincoln Charte  ( 6- 7, 88.0)     2-20      -11.91      18.12       0.32         0.78            -9.09
   0 A Roxboro Commun  ( 1- 7, 77.5)    13- 5      -22.45       7.58       0.32         0.78             6.19
   0 A Riverside Durh  ( 4- 5, 80.7)    19- 8      -19.23      10.80       0.32         0.78             8.72
   0 A TC Roberson     ( 3- 7, 83.7)     5- 9      -16.16      13.87       0.32         0.78           -12.42
   0 H North Lincoln   (10- 2, 91.6)     7-20       -8.26      21.77      -0.32         0.78            -6.73
   0 H Lincoln Charte  ( 6- 7, 88.0)     7-11      -11.91      18.12      -0.32         0.78            -9.59
   0 A Patton  Morgan  ( 1- 9, 78.4)    23- 5      -21.46       8.57       0.32         0.78             6.97
   0 H Asheville HS    ( 3- 6, 83.1)    11-10      -16.80      13.23      -0.32         0.78            10.12
   0 A St Stephens     ( 7- 4, 85.2)     5-16      -14.69      15.33       0.32         0.78           -11.27
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -12.51

winning pts = 49.5058 losing points = -62.0119

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------