UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:47 PDT

boys Wilbur Cross 1
  
Wilbur Cross          
W-L: ( 0-15) PR = 62.1699

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 409 H North Haven ( 4-12, 78.9) 3-16 414 H Jonathan Law ( 5-11, 75.2) 1-17 416 A Rockville Co-op ( 4-11, 75.0) 2-12 417 A Wolcott (10- 6, 77.7) 4-15 421 A Lyman Hall ( 9- 7, 83.0) 2-26 423 H Sheehan ( 7- 9, 83.1) 1-20 428 H Shelton ( 6-10, 82.0) 3-19 502 A Ledyard-Griswold ( 4-12, 74.5) 4-15 504 H Middletown ( 7- 9, 73.2) 7-21 505 A Hamden ( 8- 8, 83.7) 0-17 507 A West Haven ( 3-13, 73.5) 1-15 512 H Branford (12- 4, 85.3) 3-23 514 A Foran (10- 6, 84.0) 1-20 515 A Holy Cross ( 7- 9, 78.9) 3-15 518 A Cromwell ( 2-14, 65.3) 6-10 522 H Cromwell ( 2-14, 65.3)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H North Haven             3-16     -13   -16           0.00
   414 H Jonathan Law            1-17     -16   -13           0.00
   416 A Rockville Co-op         2-12     -10   -13           0.00
   417 A Wolcott                 4-15     -11   -16           0.00
   421 A Lyman Hall              2-26     -24   -21           0.00
   423 H Sheehan                 1-20     -19   -21           0.00
   428 H Shelton                 3-19     -16   -20           0.00
   502 A Ledyard-Griswold        4-15     -11   -13           0.00
   504 H Middletown              7-21     -14   -11           0.00
   505 A Hamden                  0-17     -17   -22           0.00
   507 A West Haven              1-15     -14   -12           0.00
   512 H Branford                3-23     -20   -23           0.00
   514 A Foran                   1-20     -19   -22           0.00
   515 A Holy Cross              3-15     -12   -17           0.00
   518 A Cromwell                6-10      -4    -3          -0.51

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Wilbur Cross PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional Amity Regional   6- 0 vs 0- 6
Avon HS Avon HS   Avon HS
Bacon Academy Bacon Academy Bacon Academy   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Berlin Berlin Berlin   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Bethel Bethel Bethel   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Branford Branford Branford  
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bristol Co-Op Bristol Co-Op Bristol Co-Op   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Brookfield Brookfield   Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford Bunnell-Stratford Bunnell-Stratford   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Canton Canton Canton   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Capital-Classical Pr Capital-Classical Pr   Capital-Classical Pr
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Conard Conard   Conard
Cromwell Cromwell Cromwell  
Danbury Danbury   Danbury
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic   East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Ellington Ellington Ellington   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Enfield Enfield Enfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
EO Smith EO Smith EO Smith   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Farmington Farmington Farmington   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Fitch Groton Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Foran Foran Foran  
Glastonbury Glastonbury   Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford Guilford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Hall Hall   Hall
Hamden Hamden Hamden  
Holy Cross Holy Cross Holy Cross  
Immaculate Danbury Immaculate Danbury Immaculate Danbury   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Jonathan Law Jonathan Law  
Lakeview United Lakeview United tied -  0- 2 Lakeview United
Ledyard-Griswold Ledyard-Griswold Ledyard-Griswold  
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   Lewis Mills
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall Lyman Hall  
Maloney-Platt Maloney-Platt Maloney-Platt   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Masuk Masuk Masuk   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Middletown Middletown Middletown  
Montville Montville Montville   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Morgan School Morgan School Morgan School   1- 1 vs 0- 2
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield   New Fairfield
New Milford New Milford   New Milford
Newington Newington tied -  0- 1 Newington
Newtown Newtown   Newtown
North Branford North Branford North Branford   5- 0 vs 0- 5
North Haven North Haven North Haven  
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic   Northwest Catholic
Norwalk Norwalk Norwalk   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy   Norwich Free Academy
Norwich Tech Norwich Tech tied -  0- 4 Norwich Tech
Notre Dame-Fairfield Notre Dame-Fairfield tied -  0- 3 Notre Dame-Fairfield
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Old Lyme Old Lyme Old Lyme   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook Old Saybrook   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Pomperaug Pomperaug Pomperaug   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Prince-Cheney Tech Prince-Cheney Tech   Prince-Cheney Tech
RHAM RHAM RHAM   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Rockville Co-op Rockville Co-op  
Rocky Hill Rocky Hill Rocky Hill   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Sheehan Sheehan Sheehan  
Shelton Shelton Shelton  
Simsbury Simsbury   Simsbury
Somers Somers Somers   1- 0 vs 0- 1
South Windsor South Windsor   South Windsor
Southington Southington   Southington
St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic tied -  0- 2 St Paul Catholic
Stamford Stamford Stamford   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Stonington Stonington   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Suffield Suffield Suffield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Tolland Tolland   Tolland
Trumbull Trumbull   Trumbull
Valley Regional Valley Regional Valley Regional   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Vinal/Goodwin Tech Vinal/Goodwin Tech   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Waterford Waterford Waterford   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Watertown Watertown Watertown   3- 0 vs 0- 3
West Haven West Haven West Haven  
Westhill Westhill Westhill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Weston Weston   Weston
Wethersfield Wethersfield Wethersfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor Windsor Windsor   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Wolcott Wolcott Wolcott  
Woodstock Academy Woodstock Academy Woodstock Academy   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Xavier Xavier Xavier   2- 0 vs 0- 2

PairWisePlus = 0


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.57

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H North Haven     ( 4-12, 78.9)     3-16      -21.04      16.69      -0.33         0.97           -20.76
   0 H Jonathan Law    ( 5-11, 75.2)     1-17      -24.68      13.05      -0.33         0.97           -24.29
   0 A Rockville Co-o  ( 4-11, 75.0)     2-12      -24.92      12.82       0.33         0.97           -23.87
   0 A Wolcott         (10- 6, 77.7)     4-15      -22.18      15.55       0.33         0.97           -21.22
   0 A Lyman Hall      ( 9- 7, 83.0)     2-26      -16.92      20.81       0.33         0.97           -16.10
   0 H Sheehan         ( 7- 9, 83.1)     1-20      -16.75      20.98      -0.33         0.97           -16.59
   0 H Shelton         ( 6-10, 82.0)     3-19      -17.85      19.88      -0.33         0.97           -17.66
   0 A Ledyard-Griswo  ( 4-12, 74.5)     4-15      -25.35      12.38       0.33         0.97           -24.29
   0 H Middletown      ( 7- 9, 73.2)     7-21      -26.71      11.02      -0.33         0.97           -26.26
   0 A Hamden          ( 8- 8, 83.7)     0-17      -16.19      21.54       0.33         0.97           -15.39
   0 A West Haven      ( 3-13, 73.5)     1-15      -26.39      11.34       0.33         0.97           -25.30
   0 H Branford        (12- 4, 85.3)     3-23      -14.65      23.09      -0.33         0.97           -14.55
   0 A Foran           (10- 6, 84.0)     1-20      -15.87      21.86       0.33         0.97           -15.09
   0 A Holy Cross      ( 7- 9, 78.9)     3-15      -21.00      16.73       0.33         0.97           -20.07
   0 A Cromwell        ( 2-14, 65.3)     6-10      -34.57       3.16       0.33         0.97           -33.25
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -314.68

winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -314.6826

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------