UPDATED: 04-28-26 08:46 PDT

boys Valley Regional 1
  
Valley Regional       
W-L: ( 2- 7) PR = 73.6542

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 H Morgan School ( 3- 2, 79.8) 1-15 406 H Cromwell ( 1- 6, 67.7) 8- 2 409 A Norwich Tech ( 2- 4, 72.2) 2- 3 411 H Lewis Mills ( 6- 1, 86.5) 0-18 414 A Old Lyme ( 1- 6, 74.0) 7- 6 416 H North Branford ( 6- 1, 89.4) 0-18 418 A Montville ( 4- 3, 77.0) 4- 7 421 A Haddam-Killingworth ( 7- 0, 91.9) 2-21 423 A Old Saybrook ( 5- 2, 87.3) 0-14 501 H Old Lyme ( 1- 6, 74.0) 505 A Morgan School ( 3- 2, 79.8) 507 H Haddam-Killingworth ( 7- 0, 91.9) 512 A Cromwell ( 1- 6, 67.7) 514 H Old Saybrook ( 5- 2, 87.3) 519 A North Branford ( 6- 1, 89.4) 521 H Stonington ( 4- 2, 84.0)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Morgan School           1-15     -14    -6           0.00
   406 H Cromwell                8- 2       6     6           0.00
   409 A Norwich Tech            2- 3      -1     1    -     -2.38
   411 H Lewis Mills             0-18     -18   -13           0.00
   414 A Old Lyme                7- 6       1     0           1.41
   416 H North Branford          0-18     -18   -16           0.00
   418 A Montville               4- 7      -3    -3           0.49
   421 A Haddam-Killingworth     2-21     -19   -18           0.00
   423 A Old Saybrook            0-14     -14   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Norwich Tech            2- 3      -1     1    -     -2.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Valley Regional PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Avon HS Avon HS   Avon HS
Bacon Academy Bacon Academy Bacon Academy   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Berlin Berlin   Berlin
Bethel Bethel   Bethel
Branford Branford tied -  1- 1 Branford
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   Brien McMahon
Bristol Co-Op Bristol Co-Op tied -  0- 1 Bristol Co-Op
Brookfield Brookfield   Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford Bunnell-Stratford Bunnell-Stratford   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Canton Canton   Canton
Capital-Classical Pr Capital-Classical Pr   Capital-Classical Pr
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Conard Conard   Conard
Cromwell Valley Regional Valley Regional  
Danbury Danbury   Danbury
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   Daniel Hand
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic   East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme   East Lyme
Ellington Ellington   Ellington
Enfield Enfield   Enfield
EO Smith EO Smith   EO Smith
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington Farmington   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   Fitch Groton
Foran Foran   Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury   Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial tied -  0- 1 Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford   Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth  
Hall Hall tied -  0- 1 Hall
Hamden Hamden   Hamden
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Immaculate Danbury Immaculate Danbury   Immaculate Danbury
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Jonathan Law Jonathan Law   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Lakeview United Valley Regional   Valley Regional
Ledyard-Griswold Ledyard-Griswold Ledyard-Griswold   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall   Lyman Hall
Maloney-Platt Valley Regional   Valley Regional
Masuk Masuk   Masuk
Middletown Valley Regional   Valley Regional
Montville Montville Montville  
Morgan School Morgan School Morgan School  
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield   New Fairfield
New Milford New Milford   New Milford
Newington Newington   Newington
Newtown Newtown   Newtown
North Branford North Branford North Branford  
North Haven North Haven tied -  0- 1 North Haven
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic tied -  0- 1 Northwest Catholic
Norwalk Norwalk   Norwalk
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy   Norwich Free Academy
Norwich Tech Norwich Tech Norwich Tech  
Notre Dame-Fairfield Valley Regional tied -  0- 1 Valley Regional
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   Notre Dame-West Have
Old Lyme Valley Regional Valley Regional  
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook Old Saybrook  
Pomperaug Pomperaug tied -  0- 1 Pomperaug
Prince-Cheney Tech Prince-Cheney Tech   Prince-Cheney Tech
RHAM RHAM tied -  0- 1 RHAM
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Rockville Co-op Rockville Co-op   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Rocky Hill Rocky Hill tied -  1- 0 Rocky Hill
Sheehan Sheehan tied -  0- 1 Sheehan
Shelton Shelton   Shelton
Simsbury Simsbury   Simsbury
Somers Somers   Somers
South Windsor South Windsor   South Windsor
Southington Southington   Southington
St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler   1- 0 vs 0- 1
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Stamford Stamford   Stamford
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Stonington   Stonington
Suffield Suffield   Suffield
Tolland Tolland   Tolland
Trumbull Trumbull   Trumbull
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Valley Regional tied -  1- 1 Valley Regional
Waterford Waterford   Waterford
Watertown Watertown tied -  0- 1 Watertown
West Haven West Haven West Haven   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Westhill Westhill   Westhill
Weston Weston   Weston
Wethersfield Wethersfield   Wethersfield
Wilbur Cross Valley Regional   Valley Regional
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor Windsor   Windsor
Wolcott Wolcott   Wolcott
Woodstock Academy Woodstock Academy   Woodstock Academy
Xavier Xavier   Xavier

PairWisePlus = 8


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.67

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Morgan School   ( 3- 2, 79.8)     1-15      -20.08      12.09      -0.12         0.74           -14.96
   0 H Cromwell        ( 1- 6, 67.7)     8- 2      -32.16       1.00      -0.12         0.74             0.66
   0 A Norwich Tech    ( 2- 4, 72.2)     2- 3      -27.74       4.42       0.12         0.74           -20.47
   0 H Lewis Mills     ( 6- 1, 86.5)     0-18      -13.35      18.81      -0.12         0.74            -9.98
   0 A Old Lyme        ( 1- 6, 74.0)     7- 6      -25.95       6.22       0.12         0.74             4.69
   0 H North Branford  ( 6- 1, 89.4)     0-18      -10.47      21.70      -0.12         0.74            -7.84
   0 A Montville       ( 4- 3, 77.0)     4- 7      -22.87       9.30       0.12         0.74           -16.85
   0 A Haddam-Killing  ( 7- 0, 91.9)     2-21       -8.02      24.14       0.12         0.74            -5.86
   0 A Old Saybrook    ( 5- 2, 87.3)     0-14      -12.56      19.60       0.12         0.74            -9.22
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -79.82

winning pts = 5.3452 losing points = -85.1682

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------