UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:53 PDT

boys Troy 1
  
Troy                  
W-L: ( 4-11) PR = 83.6636

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Novi ( 5-13, 80.4) 3- 4 324 A Walled Lake Northern (15- 3, 88.2) 1-11 407 A Royal Oak HS ( 9- 7, 86.1) 8- 7 409 H Utica Eisenhower ( 4-12, 81.3) 8-10 411 A Rochester Stoney Cre (11- 8, 89.4) 2-11 414 A Oxford (14- 6, 86.7) 7- 8 416 H Grosse Pointe South (10- 9, 85.5) 5- 3 421 H Bloomfield Hills ( 9-11, 84.5) 5- 8 423 A University Detroit J ( 6-10, 85.6) 7- 9 428 H Royal Oak HS ( 9- 7, 86.1) 5- 8 430 H Oxford (14- 6, 86.7) 3-19 502 A Troy Athens ( 7-12, 79.0) 11- 2 504 A Bloomfield Hills ( 9-11, 84.5) 6- 1 508 A Oxford (14- 6, 86.7) 6-15 513 A Clarkston ( 6- 8, 88.4) 7-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Novi                    3- 4      -1     4    --    -5.00
   324 A Walled Lake Northern    1-11     -10    -5           0.00
   407 A Royal Oak HS            8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.17
   409 H Utica Eisenhower        8-10      -2     3    --    -5.13
   411 A Rochester Stoney Cre    2-11      -9    -7           0.00
   414 A Oxford                  7- 8      -1    -4    +      2.78
   416 H Grosse Pointe South     5- 3       2    -1    +      3.06
   421 H Bloomfield Hills        5- 8      -3     0    -     -2.98
   423 A University Detroit J    7- 9      -2    -3           0.74
   428 H Royal Oak HS            5- 8      -3    -2          -1.39
   430 H Oxford                  3-19     -16    -2    -     -2.78
   502 A Troy Athens            11- 2       9     4           1.16
   504 A Bloomfield Hills        6- 1       5    -2    +++    6.58
   508 A Oxford                  6-15      -9    -4          -1.22
   513 A Clarkston               7-13      -6    -6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Novi                    3- 4      -1     4    --    -5.00
   409 H Utica Eisenhower        8-10      -2     3    --    -5.13
   421 H Bloomfield Hills        5- 8      -3     0    -     -2.98
   430 H Oxford                  3-19     -16    -2    -     -2.78

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 A Bloomfield Hills        6- 1       5    -2    +++    6.58
   407 A Royal Oak HS            8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.17
   414 A Oxford                  7- 8      -1    -4    +      2.78
   416 H Grosse Pointe South     5- 3       2    -1    +      3.06

Troy PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allen Park Troy   Troy
Anchor Bay Troy Troy   2- 3 vs 1- 3
Ann Arbor Father Gab Troy   Troy
Ann Arbor Greenhills Troy   Troy
Ann Arbor Huron Troy   Troy
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer   Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Troy   Troy
Bay City Central Troy   Troy
Bay City John Glenn Troy   Troy
Bay City Western Troy   Troy
Bedford Bedford   Bedford
Belleville Belleville Belleville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Birmingham United Birmingham United Birmingham United   3- 1 vs 2- 3
Birmingham United B Birmingham United B   Birmingham United B
Bishop Foley Troy   Troy
Bloomfield Hills Troy Troy   2- 3 vs 1- 3
Brighton Brighton Brighton   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Brighton B Brighton B   Brighton B
Brother Rice Brother Rice Brother Rice   3- 0 vs 2- 3
Brother Rice Orange Brother Rice Orange   Brother Rice Orange
Brownstown Woodhaven Troy Troy   1- 1 vs 0- 1
Byron Center Byron Center   Byron Center
Cadillac Cadillac   Cadillac
Caledonia Caledonia Caledonia   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Canton Canton Canton   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Cass Tech Troy tied -  0- 1 Troy
Chelsea Troy   Troy
Chippewa Valley Troy tied -  0- 1 Troy
Clarkston Clarkston Clarkston  
Coopersville Coopersville   Coopersville
Cranbrook Cranbrook Cranbrook   4- 0 vs 2- 3
Dakota Dakota Dakota   2- 1 vs 2- 2
Davison Troy tied -  0- 2 Troy
De La Salle De La Salle De La Salle   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Detroit Catholic Cen Detroit Catholic Cen Detroit Catholic Cen   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   Detroit Country Day
DeWitt DeWitt   DeWitt
Dexter Dexter   Dexter
Divine Child Divine Child Divine Child   1- 0 vs 0- 1
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   East Grand Rapids
East Kentwood Troy   Troy
East Lansing East Lansing   East Lansing
Farmington Troy Troy   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Fenton Troy   Troy
Flint Powers Flint Powers Flint Powers   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central tied -  0- 1 Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Eastern Forest Hills Eastern   Forest Hills Eastern
Forest Hills Norther Forest Hills Norther   Forest Hills Norther
Goodrich/Lake Fenton Troy   Troy
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc tied -  0- 1 Grand Blanc
Grand Haven Grand Haven   Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Grand Rapids Catholi Grand Rapids Catholi   Grand Rapids Catholi
Grand Rapids Christi Grand Rapids Christi   Grand Rapids Christi
Grandville Grandville   Grandville
Grosse Ile Troy   Troy
Grosse Pointe North Troy Troy   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Grosse Pointe South Troy Troy  
Harper Creek Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Hartland Hartland Hartland   2- 0 vs 0- 3
Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston   Haslett-Williamston
Henry Ford II Henry Ford II   Henry Ford II
Holland Christian Holland Christian   Holland Christian
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa   Holland West Ottawa
Holt Holt Holt   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Howell Howell Howell   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Hudsonville Hudsonville Hudsonville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Jackson Troy   Troy
Jenison Jenison   Jenison
Kalamazoo United Troy   Troy
Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills   Kenowa Hills
L'Anse Creuse L'Anse Creuse L'Anse Creuse   2- 0 vs 1- 1
L'Anse Creuse North Troy tied -  0- 1 Troy
Lake Orion Lake Orion Lake Orion   5- 1 vs 3- 4
Lake Shore Lake Shore   Lake Shore
Lakeview Lakeview tied -  0- 1 Lakeview
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic   Lansing Catholic
Lapeer Troy   Troy
Lincoln Ypsilanti Troy   Troy
Linden Linden tied -  0- 1 Linden
Livonia United Troy Troy   2- 2 vs 1- 2
Lowell Lowell   Lowell
Mattawan Mattawan   Mattawan
Midland Troy   Troy
Midland Dow Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Mona Shores Mona Shores   Mona Shores
Northview Troy   Troy
Northville Northville Northville   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Notre Dame Prep Troy Troy   2- 2 vs 0- 3
Novi Novi Novi  
Okemos Okemos Okemos   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Orchard Lake St Mary Orchard Lake St Mary Orchard Lake St Mary   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Ortonville Brandon Troy Troy   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Oxford Oxford Oxford  
Pennfield Troy   Troy
Petoskey Troy   Troy
Pinckney Pinckney   Pinckney
Plymouth Plymouth Plymouth   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Port Huron United Troy tied -  1- 1 Troy
Portage Central Troy   Troy
Portage Northern Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Reeths Puffer Troy   Troy
Riverview Gabriel Ri Riverview Gabriel Ri   Riverview Gabriel Ri
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   2- 3 vs 2- 4
Rochester HS Rochester HS tied -  1- 1 Rochester HS
Rochester Stoney Cre Rochester Stoney Cre Rochester Stoney Cre  
Rockford Rockford   Rockford
Romeo Romeo Romeo   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Royal Oak HS Royal Oak HS Royal Oak HS   3- 1 vs 1- 4
Royal Oak Shrine Troy Troy   2- 3 vs 1- 3
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Salem Troy Troy   1- 2 vs 0- 2
Saline Troy   Troy
Sault Area Troy   Troy
South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified   2- 1 vs 2- 2
Spring Lake Spring Lake   Spring Lake
St Clair Troy Troy   1- 1 vs 0- 1
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Troy   Troy
St Mary Catholic Cen Troy   Troy
Swartz Creek Troy tied -  0- 1 Troy
Tecumseh Troy Troy   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Traverse City Centra Traverse City Centra   Traverse City Centra
Traverse City West Traverse City West   Traverse City West
Troy Athens Troy Troy  
University Detroit J University Detroit J University Detroit J  
University Liggett University Liggett University Liggett   3- 0 vs 2- 2
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower  
Vicksburg Vicksburg   Vicksburg
Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern  
Walled Lake Western Walled Lake Western   Walled Lake Western
Waterford United Troy tied -  1- 2 Troy
West Bloomfield Troy Troy   2- 1 vs 0- 2
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Zeeland Zeeland   Zeeland

PairWisePlus = 50


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.61

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Novi            ( 5-13, 80.4)     3- 4      -19.46      10.82      -0.78         1.04           -21.07
   0 A Walled Lake No  (15- 3, 88.2)     1-11      -11.72      18.56       0.78         1.04           -11.39
   0 A Royal Oak HS    ( 9- 7, 86.1)     8- 7      -13.84      16.44       0.78         1.04            17.92
   0 H Utica Eisenhow  ( 4-12, 81.3)     8-10      -18.58      11.70      -0.78         1.04           -20.16
   0 A Rochester Ston  (11- 8, 89.4)     2-11      -10.45      19.83       0.78         1.04           -10.07
   0 A Oxford          (14- 6, 86.7)     7- 8      -13.23      17.05       0.78         1.04           -12.97
   0 H Grosse Pointe   (10- 9, 85.5)     5- 3      -14.40      15.88      -0.78         1.04            15.72
   0 H Bloomfield Hil  ( 9-11, 84.5)     5- 8      -15.44      14.84      -0.78         1.04           -16.88
   0 A University Det  ( 6-10, 85.6)     7- 9      -14.27      16.01       0.78         1.04           -14.05
   0 H Royal Oak HS    ( 9- 7, 86.1)     5- 8      -13.84      16.44      -0.78         1.04           -15.22
   0 H Oxford          (14- 6, 86.7)     3-19      -13.23      17.05      -0.78         1.04           -14.59
   0 A Troy Athens     ( 7-12, 79.0)    11- 2      -20.85       9.43       0.78         1.04            10.63
   0 A Bloomfield Hil  ( 9-11, 84.5)     6- 1      -15.44      14.84       0.78         1.04            16.26
   0 A Oxford          (14- 6, 86.7)     6-15      -13.23      17.05       0.78         1.04           -12.97
   0 A Clarkston       ( 6- 8, 88.4)     7-13      -11.49      18.79       0.78         1.04           -11.15
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -99.98

winning pts = 60.5332 losing points = -160.5136

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------