Traverse City Centra
W-L: (11- 7) PR = 88.4506
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
318 A Midland Dow (15- 2, 89.4) 7-13
324 A Grandville (11- 9, 90.7) 10-15
408 H Traverse City West ( 7- 9, 87.3) 10-12
410 A L'Anse Creuse North ( 9- 8, 79.6) 15- 5
411 A Orchard Lake St Mary ( 8- 8, 89.1) 16-11
414 A Grand Rapids Catholi ( 2-15, 86.1) 8- 6
417 H Dakota ( 8-10, 84.1) 19- 9
418 A Notre Dame Prep ( 1-13, 81.4) 10- 3
422 A Midland ( 2-14, 78.3) 15- 3
423 A Petoskey ( 3-11, 79.8) 16- 8
425 A Holland West Ottawa ( 5-14, 86.7) 11- 3
427 H Sault Area ( 4- 4, 79.2) 16- 7
429 A Traverse City West ( 7- 9, 87.3) 9- 8
502 H Kenowa Hills (18- 4, 91.5) 7-10
505 A Coopersville (15- 4, 89.6) 9-17
507 A Vicksburg ( 5- 8, 85.8) 12- 4
509 H Mona Shores (12- 7, 90.8) 2- 5
515 A Coopersville (15- 4, 89.6) 10-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 A Midland Dow 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.23
324 A Grandville 10-15 -5 -3 - -2.01
408 H Traverse City West 10-12 -2 2 - -3.96
410 A L'Anse Creuse North 15- 5 10 8 0.00
411 A Orchard Lake St Mary 16-11 5 -1 +++ 6.43
414 A Grand Rapids Catholi 8- 6 2 2 0.38
417 H Dakota 19- 9 10 5 0.00
418 A Notre Dame Prep 10- 3 7 6 0.00
422 A Midland 15- 3 12 9 0.00
423 A Petoskey 16- 8 8 8 0.00
425 A Holland West Ottawa 11- 3 8 1 ++ 4.06
427 H Sault Area 16- 7 9 10 0.00
429 A Traverse City West 9- 8 1 0 0.60
502 H Kenowa Hills 7-10 -3 -2 -0.70
505 A Coopersville 9-17 -8 -2 - -3.12
507 A Vicksburg 12- 4 8 2 + 3.17
509 H Mona Shores 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.45
515 A Coopersville 10-12 -2 -2 -0.12
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 A Midland Dow 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.23
324 A Grandville 10-15 -5 -3 - -2.01
408 H Traverse City West 10-12 -2 2 - -3.96
505 A Coopersville 9-17 -8 -2 - -3.12
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
411 A Orchard Lake St Mary 16-11 5 -1 +++ 6.43
425 A Holland West Ottawa 11- 3 8 1 ++ 4.06
507 A Vicksburg 12- 4 8 2 + 3.17
|
Traverse City Centra PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Allen Park |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Anchor Bay |
Traverse City Centra |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Traverse City Centra |
| Ann Arbor Father Gab |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Ann Arbor Greenhills |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Ann Arbor Huron |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Ann Arbor Pioneer |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Ann Arbor Skyline |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Bay City Central |
Traverse City Centra |
|
tied -  2- 1 |
Traverse City Centra |
| Bay City John Glenn |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   2- 1 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Bay City Western |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   3- 1 vs 2- 1 |
|
| Bedford |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Belleville |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Birmingham United |
Birmingham United |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Birmingham United |
| Birmingham United B |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Bishop Foley |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Bloomfield Hills |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Brighton |
Brighton |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Brighton |
| Brighton B |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Brother Rice |
Brother Rice |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Brother Rice |
| Brother Rice Orange |
Brother Rice Orange |
|
 
| Brother Rice Orange |
| Brownstown Woodhaven |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Byron Center |
Byron Center |
|
Byron Center   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
| Cadillac |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Caledonia |
Caledonia |
|
Caledonia   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
| Canton |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Cass Tech |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Chelsea |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Chippewa Valley |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Clarkston |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Coopersville |
Coopersville |
Coopersville |
 
| |
| Cranbrook |
Cranbrook |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Cranbrook |
| Dakota |
Traverse City Centra |
Traverse City Centra |
 
| |
| Davison |
Traverse City Centra |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Traverse City Centra |
| De La Salle |
Traverse City Centra |
|
tied -  3- 0 |
Traverse City Centra |
| Detroit Catholic Cen |
Detroit Catholic Cen |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Detroit Catholic Cen |
| Detroit Country Day |
Detroit Country Day |
|
 
| Detroit Country Day |
| DeWitt |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   1- 4 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Dexter |
Dexter |
|
 
| Dexter |
| Divine Child |
Divine Child |
|
 
| Divine Child |
| East Grand Rapids |
East Grand Rapids |
|
East Grand Rapids   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| East Kentwood |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| East Lansing |
Traverse City Centra |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Traverse City Centra |
| Farmington |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Fenton |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Flint Powers |
Traverse City Centra |
|
tied -  2- 1 |
Traverse City Centra |
| Forest Hills Central |
Forest Hills Central |
|
Forest Hills Central   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Forest Hills Eastern |
Forest Hills Eastern |
|
Forest Hills Eastern   2- 1 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Forest Hills Norther |
Forest Hills Norther |
|
Forest Hills Norther   2- 1 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Goodrich/Lake Fenton |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Grand Blanc |
Traverse City Centra |
|
tied -  3- 1 |
Traverse City Centra |
| Grand Haven |
Traverse City Centra |
|
tied -  1- 4 |
Traverse City Centra |
| Grand Ledge |
Grand Ledge |
|
Grand Ledge   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Grand Rapids Catholi |
Traverse City Centra |
Traverse City Centra |
 
| |
| Grand Rapids Christi |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Grandville |
Grandville |
Grandville |
 
| |
| Grosse Ile |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Grosse Pointe North |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Grosse Pointe South |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   3- 0 vs 2- 1 |
|
| Harper Creek |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Hartland |
Hartland |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Hartland |
| Haslett-Williamston |
Haslett-Williamston |
|
Haslett-Williamston   4- 1 vs 3- 2 |
|
| Henry Ford II |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Holland Christian |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   2- 2 vs 1- 3 |
|
| Holland West Ottawa |
Traverse City Centra |
Traverse City Centra |
 
|
| Holt |
Holt |
|
Holt   2- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Howell |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Hudsonville |
Hudsonville |
|
Hudsonville   5- 0 vs 3- 3 |
|
| Jackson |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Jenison |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   2- 1 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Kalamazoo United |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Kenowa Hills |
Kenowa Hills |
Kenowa Hills |
 
| |
| L'Anse Creuse |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| L'Anse Creuse North |
Traverse City Centra |
Traverse City Centra |
 
| |
| Lake Orion |
Lake Orion |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Lake Orion |
| Lake Shore |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Lakeview |
Lakeview |
|
Lakeview   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Lansing Catholic |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Lapeer |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Lincoln Ypsilanti |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Linden |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Livonia United |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Lowell |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   2- 3 vs 1- 4 |
|
| Mattawan |
Mattawan |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Mattawan |
| Midland |
Traverse City Centra |
Traverse City Centra |
 
| |
| Midland Dow |
Midland Dow |
Midland Dow |
 
| |
| Mona Shores |
Mona Shores |
Mona Shores |
 
| |
| Northview |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   2- 2 vs 1- 3 |
|
| Northville |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Notre Dame Prep |
Traverse City Centra |
Traverse City Centra |
 
| |
| Novi |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Okemos |
Okemos |
|
 
| Okemos |
| Orchard Lake St Mary |
Traverse City Centra |
Traverse City Centra |
 
| |
| Ortonville Brandon |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Oxford |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Pennfield |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Petoskey |
Traverse City Centra |
Traverse City Centra |
 
| |
| Pinckney |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Plymouth |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Port Huron United |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Portage Central |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Portage Northern |
Traverse City Centra |
|
tied -  3- 2 |
Traverse City Centra |
| Reeths Puffer |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   1- 3 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Riverview Gabriel Ri |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Rochester Adams |
Traverse City Centra |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Traverse City Centra |
| Rochester HS |
Traverse City Centra |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Traverse City Centra |
| Rochester Stoney Cre |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Rockford |
Rockford |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Rockford |
| Romeo |
Romeo |
|
tied -  2- 1 |
Romeo |
| Royal Oak HS |
Traverse City Centra |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Traverse City Centra |
| Royal Oak Shrine |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Saginaw Heritage |
Traverse City Centra |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Traverse City Centra |
| Salem |
Traverse City Centra |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Traverse City Centra |
| Saline |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Sault Area |
Traverse City Centra |
Traverse City Centra |
 
| |
| South Lyon Unified |
Traverse City Centra |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Traverse City Centra |
| Spring Lake |
Spring Lake |
|
Spring Lake   3- 2 vs 2- 3 |
|
| St Clair |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| St Mary Catholic Cen |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Swartz Creek |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Tecumseh |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Traverse City West |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   4- 4 vs 3- 5 |
|
| Troy |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Troy Athens |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| University Detroit J |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| University Liggett |
University Liggett |
|
tied -  3- 0 |
University Liggett |
| Utica Eisenhower |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Vicksburg |
Traverse City Centra |
Traverse City Centra |
 
| |
| Walled Lake Northern |
Traverse City Centra |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Traverse City Centra |
| Walled Lake Western |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Waterford United |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   2- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| West Bloomfield |
Traverse City Centra |
|
Traverse City Centra   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| White Lake Lakeland |
Traverse City Centra |
|
 
| Traverse City Centra |
| Zeeland |
Zeeland |
|
tied -  1- 2 |
Zeeland |
PairWisePlus = 100

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.61
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Midland Dow (15- 2, 89.4) 7-13 -10.46 19.83 0.78 0.87 -8.40
0 A Grandville (11- 9, 90.7) 10-15 -9.24 21.04 0.78 0.87 -7.34
0 H Traverse City ( 7- 9, 87.3) 10-12 -12.63 17.65 -0.78 0.87 -11.63
0 A L'Anse Creuse ( 9- 8, 79.6) 15- 5 -20.29 10.00 0.78 0.87 9.35
0 A Orchard Lake S ( 8- 8, 89.1) 16-11 -10.80 19.48 0.78 0.87 17.57
0 A Grand Rapids C ( 2-15, 86.1) 8- 6 -13.85 16.44 0.78 0.87 14.93
0 H Dakota ( 8-10, 84.1) 19- 9 -15.77 14.52 -0.78 0.87 11.92
0 A Notre Dame Pre ( 1-13, 81.4) 10- 3 -18.54 11.75 0.78 0.87 10.86
0 A Midland ( 2-14, 78.3) 15- 3 -21.61 8.67 0.78 0.87 8.20
0 A Petoskey ( 3-11, 79.8) 16- 8 -20.15 10.13 0.78 0.87 9.47
0 A Holland West O ( 5-14, 86.7) 11- 3 -13.17 17.11 0.78 0.87 15.52
0 H Sault Area ( 4- 4, 79.2) 16- 7 -20.75 9.53 -0.78 0.87 7.60
0 A Traverse City ( 7- 9, 87.3) 9- 8 -12.63 17.65 0.78 0.87 15.99
0 H Kenowa Hills (18- 4, 91.5) 7-10 -8.37 21.91 -0.78 0.87 -7.93
0 A Coopersville (15- 4, 89.6) 9-17 -10.35 19.94 0.78 0.87 -8.30
0 A Vicksburg ( 5- 8, 85.8) 12- 4 -14.06 16.22 0.78 0.87 14.75
0 H Mona Shores (12- 7, 90.8) 2- 5 -9.13 21.16 -0.78 0.87 -8.59
0 A Coopersville (15- 4, 89.6) 10-12 -10.35 19.94 0.78 0.87 -8.30
------
75.65
|
winning pts = 136.1472 losing points = -60.4953
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------