Topsail
W-L: (10- 3) PR = 98.1838
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
303 A Cardinal Gibbons ( 8- 3, 99.2) 11- 5
304 A New Bern ( 3-10, 84.8) 18- 0
311 H South Brunswick ( 5- 4, 88.7) 18- 0
312 H New Hanover ( 2-10, 82.8) 14- 1
314 A Middle Creek (12- 2, 99.9) 7- 5
317 A Ashley ( 6- 4, 94.9) 10-11
320 A North Brunswick ( 4-11, 83.4) 18- 0
321 H Chapel Hill ( 7- 6, 88.8) 18- 7
324 H Laney ( 7- 5, 93.6) 14- 5
327 H Hoggard (10- 1, 98.6) 6-12
328 H Apex Friendship (12- 1, 98.2) 7- 8
331 A West Brunswick ( 2- 9, 83.8) 17- 0
414 A New Hanover ( 2-10, 82.8) 19- 2
417 H Ashley ( 6- 4, 94.9)
421 H North Brunswick ( 4-11, 83.4)
422 H Croatan ( 6- 4, 95.3)
424 A Laney ( 7- 5, 93.6)
428 A Hoggard (10- 1, 98.6)
501 H West Brunswick ( 2- 9, 83.8)
505 A South Brunswick ( 5- 4, 88.7)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
303 A Cardinal Gibbons 11- 5 6 -1 +++ 6.30
304 A New Bern 18- 0 18 13 0.00
311 H South Brunswick 18- 0 18 10 0.00
312 H New Hanover 14- 1 13 16 0.00
314 A Middle Creek 7- 5 2 -2 ++ 4.04
317 A Ashley 10-11 -1 3 - -3.98
320 A North Brunswick 18- 0 18 14 0.00
321 H Chapel Hill 18- 7 11 10 0.00
324 H Laney 14- 5 9 5 0.13
327 H Hoggard 6-12 -6 0 -- -4.94
328 H Apex Friendship 7- 8 -1 0 -1.35
331 A West Brunswick 17- 0 17 14 0.00
414 A New Hanover 19- 2 17 15 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
327 H Hoggard 6-12 -6 0 -- -4.94
317 A Ashley 10-11 -1 3 - -3.98
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
303 A Cardinal Gibbons 11- 5 6 -1 +++ 6.30
314 A Middle Creek 7- 5 2 -2 ++ 4.04
|
Topsail Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Apex |
Topsail |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Topsail |
| Apex Friendship |
Apex Friendship |
Apex Friendship |
 
| |
| Ardrey Kell |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Arendell Parrott Aca |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Asheville HS |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Asheville School |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Ashley |
Ashley |
Ashley |
 
| |
| Athens Drive |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Atkins |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Ballantyne Ridge |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Bishop McGuinness |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Bradford Prep |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Broughton |
Topsail |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Topsail |
| Butler |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Cannon School |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Cape Fear Academy |
Topsail |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Topsail |
| Cape Fear HS |
Topsail |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Topsail |
| Cardinal Gibbons |
Topsail |
Topsail |
 
| |
| Carrboro |
Topsail |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Topsail |
| Cary Academy |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Cary Christian |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Cary HS |
Topsail |
|
Topsail   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Cedar Ridge |
Topsail |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Topsail |
| Chapel Hill |
Topsail |
Topsail |
 
| |
| Charlotte Catholic |
Charlotte Catholic |
|
 
| Charlotte Catholic |
| Charlotte CDS |
Charlotte CDS |
|
 
| Charlotte CDS |
| Charlotte Christian |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Charlotte Latin |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Christ School |
Topsail |
|
Topsail   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Christ The King |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Clayton |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Cleveland |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Community School-Dav |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Corinth Holders |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Cornerstone Charter |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Croatan |
Topsail |
|
tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) |
Topsail |
| Cuthbertson |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Davie |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| DH Conley |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Durham Academy |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| East Chapel Hill |
Topsail |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Topsail |
| East Forsyth |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Eastern Alamance |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Eastern Guilford |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Enloe |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Fike |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| First Flight |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Forsyth Country Day |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Fuquay-Varina |
Topsail |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Topsail |
| Garner |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Glenn |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Grays Creek |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Green Hope |
Topsail |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Topsail |
| Green Level |
Topsail |
|
Topsail   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Greensboro Day |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Grimsley |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Havelock |
Topsail |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Topsail |
| Heritage |
Topsail |
|
Topsail   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Hickory |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| High Point Central |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Hillsborough Orange |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Hoggard |
Hoggard |
Hoggard |
 
| |
| Holly Springs |
Topsail |
|
Topsail   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Hough |
Hough |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Hough |
| Hunt |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Independence |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Jack Britt |
Topsail |
|
Topsail   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Jacksonville |
Topsail |
|
tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) |
Topsail |
| JF Webb |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| JH Rose |
Topsail |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Topsail |
| John Paul II Catholi |
Topsail |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Topsail |
| Jordan |
Topsail |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Topsail |
| Lake Norman Charter |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Lake Norman HS |
Lake Norman HS |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Lake Norman HS |
| Laney |
Topsail |
Topsail |
 
| |
| Leesville Road |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Lincoln Charter |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Marvin Ridge |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Middle Creek |
Topsail |
Topsail |
 
| |
| Millbrook |
Topsail |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Topsail |
| Mooresville |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Mount Tabor |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Mountain Island Char |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Myers Park |
Topsail |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Topsail |
| New Bern |
Topsail |
Topsail |
 
| |
| New Hanover |
Topsail |
Topsail |
 
| |
| North Brunswick |
Topsail |
Topsail |
 
| |
| North Davidson |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| North Lincoln |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| North Raleigh Christ |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Northern Durham |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Northern Guilford |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Northside |
Topsail |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Topsail |
| Northwest Guilford |
Topsail |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Topsail |
| Northwood |
Topsail |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Topsail |
| Page |
Topsail |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Topsail |
| Panther Creek |
Topsail |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Topsail |
| Parkwood |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Patton Morganton |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Pine Forest |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Pine Lake Prep |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Pinecrest |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Porter Ridge |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Providence |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Providence Day |
Topsail |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Topsail |
| Queens Grant |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Ragsdale |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Ravenscroft School |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Reagan |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Riverside Durham |
Topsail |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Topsail |
| RJ Reynolds |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Rolesville |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Roxboro Community |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Sanderson |
Topsail |
|
Topsail   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Seaforth |
Topsail |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Topsail |
| South Brunswick |
Topsail |
Topsail |
 
| |
| South Garner |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| South Iredell |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| South Mecklenburg |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| South View |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Southeast Alamance |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Southeast Guilford |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Southern Alamance |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Southlake Christian |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Southwest Guilford |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| St Davids School |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| St Stephens |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Sun Valley |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Swansboro |
Topsail |
|
tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) |
Topsail |
| TC Roberson |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Terry Sanford |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Union Pines |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Vance Charter |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Voyager Academy |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Wake Forest |
Topsail |
|
Topsail   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Wake Prep |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Wakefield |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Walter M Williams |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Watauga |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Weddington |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| West Brunswick |
Topsail |
Topsail |
 
| |
| West Carteret |
Topsail |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Topsail |
| West Forsyth |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| West Stokes |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Western Alamance |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Western Guilford |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Willow Spring |
Topsail |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Topsail |
PowerWise = 141

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.41
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Cardinal Gibbo ( 8- 3, 99.2) 11- 5 -0.73 29.29 0.32 0.72 21.43
0 A New Bern ( 3-10, 84.8) 18- 0 -15.07 14.95 0.32 0.72 11.05
0 H South Brunswic ( 5- 4, 88.7) 18- 0 -11.21 18.82 -0.32 0.72 13.39
0 H New Hanover ( 2-10, 82.8) 14- 1 -17.14 12.89 -0.32 0.72 9.10
0 A Middle Creek (12- 2, 99.9) 7- 5 -0.00 30.03 0.32 0.72 21.96
0 A Ashley ( 6- 4, 94.9) 10-11 -5.02 25.01 0.32 0.72 -3.40
0 A North Brunswic ( 4-11, 83.4) 18- 0 -16.46 13.57 0.32 0.72 10.05
0 H Chapel Hill ( 7- 6, 88.8) 18- 7 -11.10 18.93 -0.32 0.72 13.47
0 H Laney ( 7- 5, 93.6) 14- 5 -6.26 23.76 -0.32 0.72 16.97
0 H Hoggard (10- 1, 98.6) 6-12 -1.34 28.69 -0.32 0.72 -1.20
0 H Apex Friendshi (12- 1, 98.2) 7- 8 -1.75 28.28 -0.32 0.72 -1.50
0 A West Brunswick ( 2- 9, 83.8) 17- 0 -16.12 13.91 0.32 0.72 10.30
0 A New Hanover ( 2-10, 82.8) 19- 2 -17.14 12.89 0.32 0.72 9.56
------
131.20
|
winning pts = 137.2942 losing points = -6.0953
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------