UPDATED: 04-16-26 09:38 PDT

boys Topsail 1
  
Topsail               
W-L: (10- 3) PR = 98.1838

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 A Cardinal Gibbons ( 8- 3, 99.2) 11- 5 304 A New Bern ( 3-10, 84.8) 18- 0 311 H South Brunswick ( 5- 4, 88.7) 18- 0 312 H New Hanover ( 2-10, 82.8) 14- 1 314 A Middle Creek (12- 2, 99.9) 7- 5 317 A Ashley ( 6- 4, 94.9) 10-11 320 A North Brunswick ( 4-11, 83.4) 18- 0 321 H Chapel Hill ( 7- 6, 88.8) 18- 7 324 H Laney ( 7- 5, 93.6) 14- 5 327 H Hoggard (10- 1, 98.6) 6-12 328 H Apex Friendship (12- 1, 98.2) 7- 8 331 A West Brunswick ( 2- 9, 83.8) 17- 0 414 A New Hanover ( 2-10, 82.8) 19- 2 417 H Ashley ( 6- 4, 94.9) 421 H North Brunswick ( 4-11, 83.4) 422 H Croatan ( 6- 4, 95.3) 424 A Laney ( 7- 5, 93.6) 428 A Hoggard (10- 1, 98.6) 501 H West Brunswick ( 2- 9, 83.8) 505 A South Brunswick ( 5- 4, 88.7)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Cardinal Gibbons       11- 5       6    -1    +++    6.30
   304 A New Bern               18- 0      18    13           0.00
   311 H South Brunswick        18- 0      18    10           0.00
   312 H New Hanover            14- 1      13    16           0.00
   314 A Middle Creek            7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.04
   317 A Ashley                 10-11      -1     3    -     -3.98
   320 A North Brunswick        18- 0      18    14           0.00
   321 H Chapel Hill            18- 7      11    10           0.00
   324 H Laney                  14- 5       9     5           0.13
   327 H Hoggard                 6-12      -6     0    --    -4.94
   328 H Apex Friendship         7- 8      -1     0          -1.35
   331 A West Brunswick         17- 0      17    14           0.00
   414 A New Hanover            19- 2      17    15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Hoggard                 6-12      -6     0    --    -4.94
   317 A Ashley                 10-11      -1     3    -     -3.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Cardinal Gibbons       11- 5       6    -1    +++    6.30
   314 A Middle Creek            7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.04

Topsail Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Topsail insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Topsail
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship Apex Friendship  
Ardrey Kell Topsail   Topsail
Arendell Parrott Aca Topsail   Topsail
Asheville HS Topsail   Topsail
Asheville School Topsail   Topsail
Ashley Ashley Ashley  
Athens Drive Topsail   Topsail
Atkins Topsail   Topsail
Ballantyne Ridge Topsail   Topsail
Bishop McGuinness Topsail   Topsail
Bradford Prep Topsail   Topsail
Broughton Topsail insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Topsail
Butler Topsail   Topsail
Cannon School Topsail   Topsail
Cape Fear Academy Topsail tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Topsail
Cape Fear HS Topsail insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Topsail
Cardinal Gibbons Topsail Topsail  
Carrboro Topsail tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Topsail
Cary Academy Topsail   Topsail
Cary Christian Topsail   Topsail
Cary HS Topsail Topsail   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cedar Ridge Topsail insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Topsail
Chapel Hill Topsail Topsail  
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Topsail   Topsail
Charlotte Latin Topsail   Topsail
Christ School Topsail Topsail   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Christ The King Topsail   Topsail
Clayton Topsail   Topsail
Cleveland Topsail   Topsail
Community School-Dav Topsail   Topsail
Corinth Holders Topsail   Topsail
Cornerstone Charter Topsail   Topsail
Croatan Topsail tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Topsail
Cuthbertson Topsail   Topsail
Davie Topsail   Topsail
DH Conley Topsail   Topsail
Durham Academy Topsail   Topsail
East Chapel Hill Topsail insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Topsail
East Forsyth Topsail   Topsail
Eastern Alamance Topsail   Topsail
Eastern Guilford Topsail   Topsail
Enloe Topsail   Topsail
Fike Topsail   Topsail
First Flight Topsail   Topsail
Forsyth Country Day Topsail   Topsail
Fuquay-Varina Topsail insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Topsail
Garner Topsail   Topsail
Glenn Topsail   Topsail
Grays Creek Topsail   Topsail
Green Hope Topsail tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Topsail
Green Level Topsail Topsail   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Greensboro Day Topsail   Topsail
Grimsley Topsail   Topsail
Havelock Topsail insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Topsail
Heritage Topsail Topsail   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hickory Topsail   Topsail
High Point Central Topsail   Topsail
Hillsborough Orange Topsail   Topsail
Hoggard Hoggard Hoggard  
Holly Springs Topsail Topsail   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hough Hough tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Hough
Hunt Topsail   Topsail
Independence Topsail   Topsail
Jack Britt Topsail Topsail   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Jacksonville Topsail tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Topsail
JF Webb Topsail   Topsail
JH Rose Topsail tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Topsail
John Paul II Catholi Topsail insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Topsail
Jordan Topsail insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Topsail
Lake Norman Charter Topsail   Topsail
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Lake Norman HS
Laney Topsail Topsail  
Leesville Road Topsail   Topsail
Lincoln Charter Topsail   Topsail
Marvin Ridge Topsail   Topsail
Middle Creek Topsail Topsail  
Millbrook Topsail tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Topsail
Mooresville Topsail   Topsail
Mount Tabor Topsail   Topsail
Mountain Island Char Topsail   Topsail
Myers Park Topsail tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Topsail
New Bern Topsail Topsail  
New Hanover Topsail Topsail  
North Brunswick Topsail Topsail  
North Davidson Topsail   Topsail
North Lincoln Topsail   Topsail
North Raleigh Christ Topsail   Topsail
Northern Durham Topsail   Topsail
Northern Guilford Topsail   Topsail
Northside Topsail tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Topsail
Northwest Guilford Topsail insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Topsail
Northwood Topsail insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Topsail
Page Topsail tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Topsail
Panther Creek Topsail tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Topsail
Parkwood Topsail   Topsail
Patton Morganton Topsail   Topsail
Pine Forest Topsail   Topsail
Pine Lake Prep Topsail   Topsail
Pinecrest Topsail   Topsail
Porter Ridge Topsail   Topsail
Providence Topsail   Topsail
Providence Day Topsail insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Topsail
Queens Grant Topsail   Topsail
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Topsail   Topsail
Ragsdale Topsail   Topsail
Ravenscroft School Topsail   Topsail
Reagan Topsail   Topsail
Riverside Durham Topsail insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Topsail
RJ Reynolds Topsail   Topsail
Rolesville Topsail   Topsail
Roxboro Community Topsail   Topsail
Sanderson Topsail Topsail   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Seaforth Topsail tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Topsail
South Brunswick Topsail Topsail  
South Garner Topsail   Topsail
South Iredell Topsail   Topsail
South Mecklenburg Topsail   Topsail
South View Topsail   Topsail
Southeast Alamance Topsail   Topsail
Southeast Guilford Topsail   Topsail
Southern Alamance Topsail   Topsail
Southlake Christian Topsail   Topsail
Southwest Guilford Topsail   Topsail
St Davids School Topsail   Topsail
St Stephens Topsail   Topsail
Sun Valley Topsail   Topsail
Swansboro Topsail tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Topsail
TC Roberson Topsail   Topsail
Terry Sanford Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Topsail   Topsail
Vance Charter Topsail   Topsail
Voyager Academy Topsail   Topsail
Wake Forest Topsail Topsail   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Wake Prep Topsail   Topsail
Wakefield Topsail   Topsail
Walter M Williams Topsail   Topsail
Watauga Topsail   Topsail
Weddington Topsail   Topsail
West Brunswick Topsail Topsail  
West Carteret Topsail insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Topsail
West Forsyth Topsail   Topsail
West Stokes Topsail   Topsail
Western Alamance Topsail   Topsail
Western Guilford Topsail   Topsail
Willow Spring Topsail tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Topsail

PowerWise = 141


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.41

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Cardinal Gibbo  ( 8- 3, 99.2)    11- 5       -0.73      29.29       0.32         0.72            21.43
   0 A New Bern        ( 3-10, 84.8)    18- 0      -15.07      14.95       0.32         0.72            11.05
   0 H South Brunswic  ( 5- 4, 88.7)    18- 0      -11.21      18.82      -0.32         0.72            13.39
   0 H New Hanover     ( 2-10, 82.8)    14- 1      -17.14      12.89      -0.32         0.72             9.10
   0 A Middle Creek    (12- 2, 99.9)     7- 5       -0.00      30.03       0.32         0.72            21.96
   0 A Ashley          ( 6- 4, 94.9)    10-11       -5.02      25.01       0.32         0.72            -3.40
   0 A North Brunswic  ( 4-11, 83.4)    18- 0      -16.46      13.57       0.32         0.72            10.05
   0 H Chapel Hill     ( 7- 6, 88.8)    18- 7      -11.10      18.93      -0.32         0.72            13.47
   0 H Laney           ( 7- 5, 93.6)    14- 5       -6.26      23.76      -0.32         0.72            16.97
   0 H Hoggard         (10- 1, 98.6)     6-12       -1.34      28.69      -0.32         0.72            -1.20
   0 H Apex Friendshi  (12- 1, 98.2)     7- 8       -1.75      28.28      -0.32         0.72            -1.50
   0 A West Brunswick  ( 2- 9, 83.8)    17- 0      -16.12      13.91       0.32         0.72            10.30
   0 A New Hanover     ( 2-10, 82.8)    19- 2      -17.14      12.89       0.32         0.72             9.56
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       131.20

winning pts = 137.2942 losing points = -6.0953

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------