UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:47 PDT

boys Tolland 1
  
Tolland               
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 78.2945

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 406 A East Catholic ( 6-10, 83.1) 4-17 408 A Ellington ( 5-11, 79.6) 4-11 409 H Hall ( 6-10, 84.6) 5-18 413 A Canton ( 8- 8, 83.3) 4-17 415 H Lakeview United ( 0-13, 71.9) 16- 2 420 A South Windsor ( 9- 7, 82.2) 5-15 423 H Newington ( 0-15, 73.9) 16-15 427 A Lakeview United ( 0-13, 71.9) 10- 1 428 H Norwich Tech ( 3-13, 69.9) 17- 4 504 A Avon HS ( 5-11, 83.6) 6-14 507 A Berlin ( 8- 8, 79.2) 10- 6 511 H RHAM ( 4-12, 77.7) 15-12 513 A St Bernard-Wheeler ( 8- 6, 81.4) 6- 9 515 H Farmington (13- 3, 88.0) 4-20 519 H Lewis Mills (15- 1, 85.7) 4-19 521 A Wethersfield (12- 4, 83.8) 3-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A East Catholic           4-17     -13    -5           0.00
   408 A Ellington               4-11      -7    -2    -     -3.33
   409 H Hall                    5-18     -13    -6           0.00
   413 A Canton                  4-17     -13    -5           0.00
   415 H Lakeview United        16- 2      14     7           0.00
   420 A South Windsor           5-15     -10    -4          -0.77
   423 H Newington              16-15       1     5    -     -3.72
   427 A Lakeview United        10- 1       9     6           0.00
   428 H Norwich Tech           17- 4      13     9           0.00
   504 A Avon HS                 6-14      -8    -6           0.00
   507 A Berlin                 10- 6       4    -1    ++     5.19
   511 H RHAM                   15-12       3     1    +      2.10
   513 A St Bernard-Wheeler      6- 9      -3    -3           0.49
   515 H Farmington              4-20     -16    -9           0.00
   519 H Lewis Mills             4-19     -15    -7           0.00
   521 A Wethersfield            3-17     -14    -6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Ellington               4-11      -7    -2    -     -3.33
   423 H Newington              16-15       1     5    -     -3.72

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Berlin                 10- 6       4    -1    ++     5.19
   511 H RHAM                   15-12       3     1    +      2.10

Tolland PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Avon HS Avon HS Avon HS  
Bacon Academy Bacon Academy tied -  1- 4 Bacon Academy
Berlin Tolland Tolland  
Bethel Bethel   Bethel
Branford Branford   Branford
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   Brien McMahon
Bristol Co-Op Tolland tied -  0- 4 Tolland
Brookfield Brookfield tied -  1- 0 Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford Tolland tied -  1- 0 Tolland
Canton Canton Canton  
Capital-Classical Pr Capital-Classical Pr   Capital-Classical Pr
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Conard Conard Conard   5- 1 vs 1- 5
Cromwell Tolland   Tolland
Danbury Danbury   Danbury
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic East Catholic  
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ellington Ellington Ellington  
Enfield Enfield Enfield   3- 1 vs 0- 4
EO Smith Tolland Tolland   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington Farmington  
Fitch Groton Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Foran Foran   Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury Glastonbury   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford   Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Hall Hall Hall  
Hamden Hamden tied -  1- 0 Hamden
Holy Cross Holy Cross tied -  2- 0 Holy Cross
Immaculate Danbury Immaculate Danbury tied -  1- 1 Immaculate Danbury
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Tolland Tolland   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Lakeview United Tolland Tolland  
Ledyard-Griswold Tolland Tolland   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall   Lyman Hall
Maloney-Platt Tolland   Tolland
Masuk Masuk   Masuk
Middletown Tolland tied -  1- 0 Tolland
Montville Tolland tied -  1- 1 Tolland
Morgan School Morgan School   Morgan School
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield   New Fairfield
New Milford New Milford tied -  1- 0 New Milford
Newington Tolland Tolland  
Newtown Newtown Newtown   1- 0 vs 0- 1
North Branford North Branford   North Branford
North Haven North Haven tied -  0- 2 North Haven
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic tied -  1- 8 Northwest Catholic
Norwalk Norwalk   Norwalk
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy   Norwich Free Academy
Norwich Tech Tolland Tolland  
Notre Dame-Fairfield Tolland Tolland   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   Notre Dame-West Have
Old Lyme Tolland   Tolland
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook Old Saybrook   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Pomperaug Pomperaug tied -  1- 2 Pomperaug
Prince-Cheney Tech Prince-Cheney Tech   Prince-Cheney Tech
RHAM Tolland Tolland  
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Tolland tied -  1- 2 Tolland
Rocky Hill Tolland tied -  2- 1 Tolland
Sheehan Sheehan   Sheehan
Shelton Shelton   Shelton
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Somers Somers Somers   5- 0 vs 0- 5
South Windsor South Windsor South Windsor  
Southington Southington Southington   5- 0 vs 1- 4
St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler  
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic tied -  1- 3 St Paul Catholic
Stamford Stamford   Stamford
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Stonington Stonington   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Suffield Suffield Suffield   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Trumbull Trumbull   Trumbull
Valley Regional Tolland Tolland   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Tolland Tolland   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Waterford Waterford Waterford   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Watertown Tolland tied -  1- 1 Tolland
West Haven Tolland   Tolland
Westhill Tolland   Tolland
Weston Weston   Weston
Wethersfield Wethersfield Wethersfield  
Wilbur Cross Tolland   Tolland
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor Tolland Tolland   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Wolcott Tolland Tolland   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Woodstock Academy Woodstock Academy Woodstock Academy   4- 1 vs 3- 2
Xavier Xavier Xavier   4- 0 vs 1- 3

PairWisePlus = 26


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.57

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A East Catholic   ( 6-10, 83.1)     4-17      -16.79      20.94       0.33         0.91           -14.98
   0 A Ellington       ( 5-11, 79.6)     4-11      -20.27      17.46       0.33         0.91           -18.14
   0 H Hall            ( 6-10, 84.6)     5-18      -15.30      22.43      -0.33         0.91           -14.23
   0 A Canton          ( 8- 8, 83.3)     4-17      -16.62      21.11       0.33         0.91           -14.83
   0 H Lakeview Unite  ( 0-13, 71.9)    16- 2      -27.96       9.77      -0.33         0.91             8.59
   0 A South Windsor   ( 9- 7, 82.2)     5-15      -17.71      20.02       0.33         0.91           -15.82
   0 H Newington       ( 0-15, 73.9)    16-15      -25.99      11.74      -0.33         0.91            10.39
   0 A Lakeview Unite  ( 0-13, 71.9)    10- 1      -27.96       9.77       0.33         0.91             9.20
   0 H Norwich Tech    ( 3-13, 69.9)    17- 4      -30.00       7.73      -0.33         0.91             6.74
   0 A Avon HS         ( 5-11, 83.6)     6-14      -16.32      21.41       0.33         0.91           -14.56
   0 A Berlin          ( 8- 8, 79.2)    10- 6      -20.75      16.98       0.33         0.91            15.77
   0 H RHAM            ( 4-12, 77.7)    15-12      -22.17      15.56      -0.33         0.91            13.86
   0 A St Bernard-Whe  ( 8- 6, 81.4)     6- 9      -18.45      19.28       0.33         0.91           -16.49
   0 H Farmington      (13- 3, 88.0)     4-20      -11.88      25.85      -0.33         0.91           -11.12
   0 H Lewis Mills     (15- 1, 85.7)     4-19      -14.21      23.52      -0.33         0.91           -13.24
   0 A Wethersfield    (12- 4, 83.8)     3-17      -16.07      21.66       0.33         0.91           -14.33
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -83.20

winning pts = 64.5364 losing points = -147.7340

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------