UPDATED: 04-28-26 08:46 PDT

boys Swartz Creek 1
  
Swartz Creek          
W-L: ( 2-10) PR = 76.0478

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 A Fenton ( 2-11, 75.5) 7- 8 324 A Linden (11- 1, 84.0) 0-19 325 H West Bloomfield ( 4- 5, 78.4) 5-15 407 A Goodrich/Lake Fenton ( 4- 6, 78.4) 9-17 410 H Saginaw Heritage ( 7- 3, 86.0) 3-17 413 H Ortonville Brandon ( 6- 7, 79.3) 3- 9 417 H Fenton ( 2-11, 75.5) 9- 8 418 A Haslett-Williamston ( 7- 4, 88.0) 0-14 420 H Bay City John Glenn ( 6- 3, 80.8) 6- 8 421 H Linden (11- 1, 84.0) 4-20 424 H Goodrich/Lake Fenton ( 4- 6, 78.4) 8- 2 427 A Bay City Western ( 5- 8, 79.8) 5-14 430 H Davison ( 5- 6, 78.9) 504 A DeWitt ( 3- 8, 84.3) 506 A Waterford United ( 5- 5, 79.0) 508 A Ortonville Brandon ( 6- 7, 79.3) 512 H Oxford ( 7- 4, 85.1)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Fenton                  7- 8      -1     0          -1.13
   324 A Linden                  0-19     -19    -8           0.00
   325 H West Bloomfield         5-15     -10    -2    -     -3.07
   407 A Goodrich/Lake Fenton    9-17      -8    -3    -     -2.29
   410 H Saginaw Heritage        3-17     -14   -10           0.00
   413 H Ortonville Brandon      3- 9      -6    -3    -     -2.12
   417 H Fenton                  9- 8       1     1           0.09
   418 A Haslett-Williamston     0-14     -14   -12           0.00
   420 H Bay City John Glenn     6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.36
   421 H Linden                  4-20     -16    -8           0.00
   424 H Goodrich/Lake Fenton    8- 2       6    -2    +++    6.93
   427 A Bay City Western        5-14      -9    -4          -0.87

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H West Bloomfield         5-15     -10    -2    -     -3.07
   407 A Goodrich/Lake Fenton    9-17      -8    -3    -     -2.29
   413 H Ortonville Brandon      3- 9      -6    -3    -     -2.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Goodrich/Lake Fenton    8- 2       6    -2    +++    6.93
   420 H Bay City John Glenn     6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.36

Swartz Creek PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allen Park Allen Park   Allen Park
Anchor Bay Anchor Bay Anchor Bay   1- 0 vs 1- 1
Ann Arbor Father Gab Ann Arbor Father Gab   Ann Arbor Father Gab
Ann Arbor Greenhills Swartz Creek   Swartz Creek
Ann Arbor Huron Ann Arbor Huron   Ann Arbor Huron
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer   Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Ann Arbor Skyline   Ann Arbor Skyline
Bay City Central Bay City Central Bay City Central   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Bay City John Glenn Bay City John Glenn Bay City John Glenn  
Bay City Western Bay City Western Bay City Western  
Bedford Bedford   Bedford
Belleville Belleville   Belleville
Birmingham United Birmingham United   Birmingham United
Birmingham United B Birmingham United B   Birmingham United B
Bishop Foley Swartz Creek   Swartz Creek
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton   Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B   Brighton B
Brother Rice Brother Rice   Brother Rice
Brother Rice Orange Brother Rice Orange   Brother Rice Orange
Brownstown Woodhaven Swartz Creek   Swartz Creek
Byron Center Byron Center   Byron Center
Cadillac Cadillac   Cadillac
Caledonia Caledonia   Caledonia
Canton Canton   Canton
Cass Tech Swartz Creek   Swartz Creek
Chelsea Chelsea   Chelsea
Chippewa Valley Swartz Creek tied -  0- 2 Swartz Creek
Clarkston Clarkston   Clarkston
Coopersville Coopersville   Coopersville
Cranbrook Cranbrook   Cranbrook
Dakota Dakota   Dakota
Davison Davison Davison   3- 2 vs 2- 5
De La Salle De La Salle   De La Salle
Detroit Catholic Cen Detroit Catholic Cen   Detroit Catholic Cen
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   Detroit Country Day
DeWitt DeWitt tied -  0- 1 DeWitt
Dexter Dexter Dexter   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Divine Child Divine Child   Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   East Grand Rapids
East Kentwood Swartz Creek   Swartz Creek
East Lansing East Lansing East Lansing   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Farmington Swartz Creek tied -  0- 1 Swartz Creek
Fenton Swartz Creek Swartz Creek   1- 4 vs 0- 4
Flint Powers Flint Powers   Flint Powers
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Eastern Forest Hills Eastern   Forest Hills Eastern
Forest Hills Norther Forest Hills Norther   Forest Hills Norther
Goodrich/Lake Fenton Goodrich/Lake Fenton Goodrich/Lake Fenton   2- 3 vs 1- 5
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Grand Haven Grand Haven   Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Grand Rapids Catholi Grand Rapids Catholi   Grand Rapids Catholi
Grand Rapids Christi Grand Rapids Christi   Grand Rapids Christi
Grandville Grandville   Grandville
Grosse Ile Grosse Ile   Grosse Ile
Grosse Pointe North Swartz Creek   Swartz Creek
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   Grosse Pointe South
Harper Creek Harper Creek tied -  0- 1 Harper Creek
Hartland Hartland   Hartland
Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston  
Henry Ford II Henry Ford II   Henry Ford II
Holland Christian Holland Christian   Holland Christian
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa   Holland West Ottawa
Holt Holt Holt   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Howell Howell tied -  0- 1 Howell
Hudsonville Hudsonville   Hudsonville
Jackson Swartz Creek   Swartz Creek
Jenison Jenison   Jenison
Kalamazoo United Swartz Creek   Swartz Creek
Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills   Kenowa Hills
L'Anse Creuse L'Anse Creuse   L'Anse Creuse
L'Anse Creuse North L'Anse Creuse North L'Anse Creuse North   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Lake Orion Lake Orion Lake Orion   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Lake Shore Lake Shore   Lake Shore
Lakeview Lakeview tied -  0- 1 Lakeview
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic   Lansing Catholic
Lapeer Swartz Creek Swartz Creek   1- 2 vs 0- 1
Lincoln Ypsilanti Lincoln Ypsilanti   Lincoln Ypsilanti
Linden Linden Linden  
Livonia United Livonia United   Livonia United
Lowell Lowell   Lowell
Mattawan Mattawan   Mattawan
Midland Midland tied -  0- 4 Midland
Midland Dow Midland Dow Midland Dow   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Mona Shores Mona Shores   Mona Shores
Northview Northview   Northview
Northville Northville   Northville
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Novi Novi   Novi
Okemos Okemos Okemos   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Orchard Lake St Mary Orchard Lake St Mary   Orchard Lake St Mary
Ortonville Brandon Ortonville Brandon Ortonville Brandon  
Oxford Oxford   Oxford
Pennfield Swartz Creek   Swartz Creek
Petoskey Petoskey tied -  0- 2 Petoskey
Pinckney Pinckney   Pinckney
Plymouth Plymouth   Plymouth
Port Huron United Port Huron United   Port Huron United
Portage Central Portage Central   Portage Central
Portage Northern Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Reeths Puffer Reeths Puffer   Reeths Puffer
Riverview Gabriel Ri Riverview Gabriel Ri   Riverview Gabriel Ri
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Rochester HS Rochester HS   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Rochester Stoney Cre Rochester Stoney Cre   Rochester Stoney Cre
Rockford Rockford   Rockford
Romeo Romeo   Romeo
Royal Oak HS Royal Oak HS   Royal Oak HS
Royal Oak Shrine Royal Oak Shrine   Royal Oak Shrine
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage  
Salem Salem tied -  0- 1 Salem
Saline Saline   Saline
Sault Area Sault Area Sault Area   2- 1 vs 0- 3
South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified   South Lyon Unified
Spring Lake Spring Lake   Spring Lake
St Clair Swartz Creek   Swartz Creek
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied -  0- 1 St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
St Mary Catholic Cen St Mary Catholic Cen   St Mary Catholic Cen
Tecumseh Tecumseh   Tecumseh
Traverse City Centra Traverse City Centra   Traverse City Centra
Traverse City West Traverse City West   Traverse City West
Troy Troy   Troy
Troy Athens Troy Athens Troy Athens   2- 0 vs 0- 2
University Detroit J University Detroit J   University Detroit J
University Liggett University Liggett   University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower   Utica Eisenhower
Vicksburg Vicksburg   Vicksburg
Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern   Walled Lake Northern
Walled Lake Western Walled Lake Western   Walled Lake Western
Waterford United Waterford United Waterford United   2- 0 vs 2- 3
West Bloomfield West Bloomfield West Bloomfield  
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland tied -  0- 1 White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland Zeeland   Zeeland

PairWisePlus = 14


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.90

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Fenton          ( 2-11, 75.5)     7- 8      -24.37       4.34       0.39         0.74           -17.79
   0 A Linden          (11- 1, 84.0)     0-19      -15.87      12.84       0.39         0.74           -11.49
   0 H West Bloomfiel  ( 4- 5, 78.4)     5-15      -21.53       7.18      -0.39         0.74           -16.26
   0 A Goodrich/Lake   ( 4- 6, 78.4)     9-17      -21.53       7.18       0.39         0.74           -15.68
   0 H Saginaw Herita  ( 7- 3, 86.0)     3-17      -13.85      14.86      -0.39         0.74           -10.57
   0 H Ortonville Bra  ( 6- 7, 79.3)     3- 9      -20.58       8.13      -0.39         0.74           -15.56
   0 H Fenton          ( 2-11, 75.5)     9- 8      -24.37       4.34      -0.39         0.74             2.93
   0 A Haslett-Willia  ( 7- 4, 88.0)     0-14      -11.88      16.83       0.39         0.74            -8.53
   0 H Bay City John   ( 6- 3, 80.8)     6- 8      -19.11       9.60      -0.39         0.74           -14.47
   0 H Linden          (11- 1, 84.0)     4-20      -15.87      12.84      -0.39         0.74           -12.07
   0 H Goodrich/Lake   ( 4- 6, 78.4)     8- 2      -21.53       7.18      -0.39         0.74             5.04
   0 A Bay City Weste  ( 5- 8, 79.8)     5-14      -20.11       8.60       0.39         0.74           -14.64
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -129.08

winning pts = 7.9716 losing points = -137.0504

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------