UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:53 PDT

boys Swartz Creek 1
  
Swartz Creek          
W-L: ( 2-17) PR = 75.8285

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 A Fenton ( 5-15, 76.0) 7- 8 324 A Linden (15- 3, 84.2) 0-19 325 H West Bloomfield ( 7- 9, 78.8) 5-15 407 A Goodrich/Lake Fenton ( 5- 9, 77.8) 9-17 410 H Saginaw Heritage ( 9- 8, 85.7) 3-17 413 H Ortonville Brandon ( 9-10, 78.7) 3- 9 417 H Fenton ( 5-15, 76.0) 9- 8 418 A Haslett-Williamston (12- 6, 88.3) 0-14 420 H Bay City John Glenn (11- 6, 81.6) 6- 8 421 H Linden (15- 3, 84.2) 4-20 424 H Goodrich/Lake Fenton ( 5- 9, 77.8) 8- 2 427 A Bay City Western ( 6-14, 78.9) 5-14 429 A Bay City Central (15- 6, 81.3) 7-13 430 H Davison ( 7-11, 78.5) 3-12 504 A DeWitt ( 4-15, 84.5) 4-21 506 A Waterford United ( 9- 9, 80.0) 3-12 508 A Ortonville Brandon ( 9-10, 78.7) 6- 7 512 H Oxford (14- 6, 86.7) 3-22 514 A Hartland (18- 4, 93.8) 0-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Fenton                  7- 8      -1    -1          -0.08
   324 A Linden                  0-19     -19    -9           0.00
   325 H West Bloomfield         5-15     -10    -2    -     -2.86
   407 A Goodrich/Lake Fenton    9-17      -8    -3    -     -2.21
   410 H Saginaw Heritage        3-17     -14    -9           0.00
   413 H Ortonville Brandon      3- 9      -6    -2    -     -2.88
   417 H Fenton                  9- 8       1     1           0.36
   418 A Haslett-Williamston     0-14     -14   -13           0.00
   420 H Bay City John Glenn     6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.00
   421 H Linden                  4-20     -16    -8           0.00
   424 H Goodrich/Lake Fenton    8- 2       6    -1    +++    6.24
   427 A Bay City Western        5-14      -9    -4          -1.12
   429 A Bay City Central        7-13      -6    -6           0.00
   430 H Davison                 3-12      -9    -2    -     -3.11
   504 A DeWitt                  4-21     -17    -9           0.00
   506 A Waterford United        3-12      -9    -5          -0.08
   508 A Ortonville Brandon      6- 7      -1    -4    +      2.68
   512 H Oxford                  3-22     -19   -10           0.00
   514 A Hartland                0-19     -19   -19           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H West Bloomfield         5-15     -10    -2    -     -2.86
   407 A Goodrich/Lake Fenton    9-17      -8    -3    -     -2.21
   413 H Ortonville Brandon      3- 9      -6    -2    -     -2.88
   430 H Davison                 3-12      -9    -2    -     -3.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Goodrich/Lake Fenton    8- 2       6    -1    +++    6.24
   420 H Bay City John Glenn     6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.00
   508 A Ortonville Brandon      6- 7      -1    -4    +      2.68

Swartz Creek PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allen Park Allen Park   Allen Park
Anchor Bay Anchor Bay Anchor Bay   1- 0 vs 1- 1
Ann Arbor Father Gab Ann Arbor Father Gab   Ann Arbor Father Gab
Ann Arbor Greenhills Swartz Creek   Swartz Creek
Ann Arbor Huron Swartz Creek Swartz Creek   1- 1 vs 0- 1
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer   Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Ann Arbor Skyline Ann Arbor Skyline   1- 1 vs 1- 2
Bay City Central Bay City Central Bay City Central  
Bay City John Glenn Bay City John Glenn Bay City John Glenn  
Bay City Western Bay City Western Bay City Western  
Bedford Bedford   Bedford
Belleville Belleville tied -  0- 1 Belleville
Birmingham United Birmingham United tied -  0- 1 Birmingham United
Birmingham United B Birmingham United B   Birmingham United B
Bishop Foley Bishop Foley tied -  0- 1 Bishop Foley
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills tied -  0- 1 Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton tied -  0- 1 Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B   Brighton B
Brother Rice Brother Rice   Brother Rice
Brother Rice Orange Brother Rice Orange   Brother Rice Orange
Brownstown Woodhaven Swartz Creek   Swartz Creek
Byron Center Byron Center Byron Center   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Cadillac Cadillac   Cadillac
Caledonia Caledonia Caledonia   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Canton Canton Canton   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Cass Tech Cass Tech   Cass Tech
Chelsea Chelsea tied -  0- 1 Chelsea
Chippewa Valley Swartz Creek tied -  0- 3 Swartz Creek
Clarkston Clarkston tied -  0- 1 Clarkston
Coopersville Coopersville Coopersville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Cranbrook Cranbrook   Cranbrook
Dakota Dakota tied -  0- 1 Dakota
Davison Davison Davison  
De La Salle De La Salle   De La Salle
Detroit Catholic Cen Detroit Catholic Cen   Detroit Catholic Cen
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   1- 0 vs 0- 1
DeWitt DeWitt DeWitt  
Dexter Dexter Dexter   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Divine Child Divine Child   Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids tied -  0- 1 East Grand Rapids
East Kentwood Swartz Creek   Swartz Creek
East Lansing East Lansing East Lansing   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Farmington Swartz Creek tied -  0- 2 Swartz Creek
Fenton Swartz Creek Swartz Creek   1- 7 vs 0- 7
Flint Powers Flint Powers Flint Powers   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Eastern Forest Hills Eastern tied -  0- 1 Forest Hills Eastern
Forest Hills Norther Forest Hills Norther Forest Hills Norther   1- 0 vs 1- 1
Goodrich/Lake Fenton Goodrich/Lake Fenton Goodrich/Lake Fenton   3- 5 vs 1- 8
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   6- 1 vs 0- 7
Grand Haven Grand Haven   Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Grand Rapids Catholi Grand Rapids Catholi   Grand Rapids Catholi
Grand Rapids Christi Grand Rapids Christi   Grand Rapids Christi
Grandville Grandville Grandville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Grosse Ile Grosse Ile   Grosse Ile
Grosse Pointe North Swartz Creek Swartz Creek   1- 1 vs 0- 1
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   Grosse Pointe South
Harper Creek Harper Creek Harper Creek   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Hartland Hartland Hartland  
Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston  
Henry Ford II Henry Ford II   Henry Ford II
Holland Christian Holland Christian   Holland Christian
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa   Holland West Ottawa
Holt Holt Holt   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Howell Howell tied -  0- 3 Howell
Hudsonville Hudsonville   Hudsonville
Jackson Swartz Creek   Swartz Creek
Jenison Jenison Jenison   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Kalamazoo United Swartz Creek   Swartz Creek
Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills   1- 0 vs 0- 1
L'Anse Creuse L'Anse Creuse   L'Anse Creuse
L'Anse Creuse North L'Anse Creuse North L'Anse Creuse North   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Lake Orion Lake Orion Lake Orion   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lake Shore Lake Shore   Lake Shore
Lakeview Lakeview Lakeview   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic   Lansing Catholic
Lapeer Swartz Creek Swartz Creek   1- 5 vs 0- 4
Lincoln Ypsilanti Lincoln Ypsilanti   Lincoln Ypsilanti
Linden Linden Linden  
Livonia United Livonia United tied -  0- 1 Livonia United
Lowell Lowell Lowell   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Mattawan Mattawan   Mattawan
Midland Midland Midland   1- 8 vs 1- 9
Midland Dow Midland Dow Midland Dow   6- 1 vs 0- 7
Mona Shores Mona Shores   Mona Shores
Northview Northview   Northview
Northville Northville tied -  0- 1 Northville
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Novi Novi tied -  0- 1 Novi
Okemos Okemos Okemos   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Orchard Lake St Mary Orchard Lake St Mary   Orchard Lake St Mary
Ortonville Brandon Ortonville Brandon Ortonville Brandon  
Oxford Oxford Oxford  
Pennfield Swartz Creek   Swartz Creek
Petoskey Petoskey Petoskey   1- 1 vs 0- 3
Pinckney Pinckney   Pinckney
Plymouth Plymouth tied -  0- 1 Plymouth
Port Huron United Port Huron United   Port Huron United
Portage Central Portage Central tied -  0- 1 Portage Central
Portage Northern Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Reeths Puffer Reeths Puffer   Reeths Puffer
Riverview Gabriel Ri Riverview Gabriel Ri   Riverview Gabriel Ri
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Rochester HS Rochester HS Rochester HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Rochester Stoney Cre Rochester Stoney Cre Rochester Stoney Cre   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Rockford Rockford Rockford   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Romeo Romeo Romeo   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Royal Oak HS Royal Oak HS Royal Oak HS   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Royal Oak Shrine Royal Oak Shrine tied -  0- 1 Royal Oak Shrine
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage  
Salem Salem tied -  0- 2 Salem
Saline Saline tied -  0- 1 Saline
Sault Area Sault Area Sault Area   3- 2 vs 0- 5
South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Spring Lake Spring Lake   Spring Lake
St Clair St Clair   St Clair
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied -  0- 4 St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
St Mary Catholic Cen St Mary Catholic Cen   St Mary Catholic Cen
Tecumseh Tecumseh   Tecumseh
Traverse City Centra Traverse City Centra   Traverse City Centra
Traverse City West Traverse City West Traverse City West   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Troy Troy tied -  0- 1 Troy
Troy Athens Troy Athens Troy Athens   2- 1 vs 0- 3
University Detroit J University Detroit J   University Detroit J
University Liggett University Liggett   University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower tied -  0- 1 Utica Eisenhower
Vicksburg Vicksburg tied -  0- 1 Vicksburg
Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Walled Lake Western Walled Lake Western   Walled Lake Western
Waterford United Waterford United Waterford United  
West Bloomfield West Bloomfield West Bloomfield  
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Zeeland Zeeland   Zeeland

PairWisePlus = 12


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.61

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Fenton          ( 5-15, 76.0)     7- 8      -23.93       6.35       0.78         0.82           -19.03
   0 A Linden          (15- 3, 84.2)     0-19      -15.67      14.61       0.78         0.82           -12.24
   0 H West Bloomfiel  ( 7- 9, 78.8)     5-15      -21.15       9.13      -0.78         0.82           -18.02
   0 A Goodrich/Lake   ( 5- 9, 77.8)     9-17      -22.06       8.23       0.78         0.82           -17.49
   0 H Saginaw Herita  ( 9- 8, 85.7)     3-17      -14.18      16.11      -0.78         0.82           -12.29
   0 H Ortonville Bra  ( 9-10, 78.7)     3- 9      -21.17       9.11      -0.78         0.82           -18.04
   0 H Fenton          ( 5-15, 76.0)     9- 8      -23.93       6.35      -0.78         0.82             4.58
   0 A Haslett-Willia  (12- 6, 88.3)     0-14      -11.61      18.67       0.78         0.82            -8.90
   0 H Bay City John   (11- 6, 81.6)     6- 8      -18.26      12.02      -0.78         0.82           -15.64
   0 H Linden          (15- 3, 84.2)     4-20      -15.67      14.61      -0.78         0.82           -13.52
   0 H Goodrich/Lake   ( 5- 9, 77.8)     8- 2      -22.06       8.23      -0.78         0.82             6.12
   0 A Bay City Weste  ( 6-14, 78.9)     5-14      -20.97       9.31       0.78         0.82           -16.59
   0 A Bay City Centr  (15- 6, 81.3)     7-13      -18.63      11.66       0.78         0.82           -14.67
   0 H Davison         ( 7-11, 78.5)     3-12      -21.40       8.88      -0.78         0.82           -18.23
   0 A DeWitt          ( 4-15, 84.5)     4-21      -15.42      14.86       0.78         0.82           -12.03
   0 A Waterford Unit  ( 9- 9, 80.0)     3-12      -19.93      10.35       0.78         0.82           -15.74
   0 A Ortonville Bra  ( 9-10, 78.7)     6- 7      -21.17       9.11       0.78         0.82           -16.76
   0 H Oxford          (14- 6, 86.7)     3-22      -13.23      17.05      -0.78         0.82           -11.52
   0 A Hartland        (18- 4, 93.8)     0-19       -6.11      24.17       0.78         0.82            -4.38
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -234.40

winning pts = 10.6996 losing points = -245.0970

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------