UPDATED: 05-03-26 11:48 PDT

boys South Warren 1
  
South Warren          
W-L: ( 8- 2) PR = 88.3351

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 H North Hardin ( 1-14, 72.2) 27- 1 306 H Bowling Green ( 7- 4, 84.1) 12- 7 313 H Greenwood ( 5- 6, 81.5) 17- 3 324 A Central Hardin ( 4- 8, 77.9) 15- 1 328 A Henry Clay ( 8- 2, 92.4) 6-12 330 A Owensboro ( 0- 5, 76.1) 21- 0 402 A Greenwood ( 5- 6, 81.5) 15- 2 417 A Bowling Green ( 7- 4, 84.1) 16- 5 421 H Louisville Collegiat ( 8- 4, 85.7) 20- 3 425 A Lexington Catholic ( 4- 6, 89.0) 9-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H North Hardin           27- 1      26    17           0.00
   306 H Bowling Green          12- 7       5     5           0.27
   313 H Greenwood              17- 3      14     7           0.00
   324 A Central Hardin         15- 1      14    10           0.00
   328 A Henry Clay              6-12      -6    -5          -0.49
   330 A Owensboro              21- 0      21    12           0.00
   402 A Greenwood              15- 2      13     6           0.00
   417 A Bowling Green          16- 5      11     4           1.19
   421 H Louisville Collegiat   20- 3      17     3           1.90
   425 A Lexington Catholic      9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Lexington Catholic      9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

South Warren PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County South Warren   South Warren
Atherton South Warren South Warren   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Ballard Louisville South Warren South Warren   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Bluegrass South Warren   South Warren
Bowling Green South Warren South Warren  
Bryan Station South Warren   South Warren
Central Hardin South Warren South Warren  
Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo tied -  1- 0 Christian Academy-Lo
Collins South Warren South Warren   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Cooper South Warren South Warren   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Covington Catholic South Warren tied -  0- 1 South Warren
DeSales South Warren tied -  2- 0 South Warren
Dixie Heights South Warren tied -  0- 1 South Warren
DuPont Manual South Warren South Warren   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Eastern Eastern tied -  2- 1 Eastern
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass tied -  0- 2 Frederick Douglass
Great Crossing South Warren tied -  2- 0 South Warren
Greenwood South Warren South Warren  
Henry Clay Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Lafayette Lafayette tied -  1- 0 Lafayette
Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian Lexington Christian   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Louisville Collegiat South Warren South Warren  
Male South Warren South Warren   2- 0 vs 1- 1
North Hardin South Warren South Warren  
North Oldham North Oldham tied -  1- 1 North Oldham
Oldham County South Warren South Warren   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Owensboro South Warren South Warren  
Paul Laurence Dunbar South Warren South Warren   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Ryle South Warren tied -  1- 1 South Warren
Sayre Sayre Sayre   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Scott County South Warren South Warren   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Shelby County South Warren South Warren   3- 0 vs 2- 1
South Oldham South Oldham   South Oldham
St Henry South Warren   South Warren
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville   St Xavier Louisville
Tates Creek South Warren South Warren   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Walton-Verona South Warren South Warren   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Woodford County Woodford County Woodford County   2- 0 vs 0- 2

PairWisePlus = 27


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.76

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H North Hardin    ( 1-14, 72.2)    27- 1      -27.72       3.37      -0.46         1.08             3.14
   0 H Bowling Green   ( 7- 4, 84.1)    12- 7      -15.83      15.26      -0.46         1.08            15.93
   0 H Greenwood       ( 5- 6, 81.5)    17- 3      -18.44      12.66      -0.46         1.08            13.13
   0 A Central Hardin  ( 4- 8, 77.9)    15- 1      -22.04       9.06       0.46         1.08            10.24
   0 A Henry Clay      ( 8- 2, 92.4)     6-12       -7.52      23.58       0.46         1.08            -7.60
   0 A Owensboro       ( 0- 5, 76.1)    21- 0      -23.84       7.26       0.46         1.08             8.31
   0 A Greenwood       ( 5- 6, 81.5)    15- 2      -18.44      12.66       0.46         1.08            14.12
   0 A Bowling Green   ( 7- 4, 84.1)    16- 5      -15.83      15.26       0.46         1.08            16.92
   0 H Louisville Col  ( 8- 4, 85.7)    20- 3      -14.20      16.89      -0.46         1.08            17.69
   0 A Lexington Cath  ( 4- 6, 89.0)     9-13      -10.88      20.22       0.46         1.08           -11.21
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        80.67

winning pts = 99.4822 losing points = -18.8081

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------