UPDATED: 04-28-26 08:46 PDT

boys St Paul Catholic 1
  
St Paul Catholic      
W-L: ( 3- 4) PR = 80.2912

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 H South Windsor ( 6- 4, 83.1) 7- 8 410 A Lakeview United ( 0- 8, 72.0) 12- 3 411 H Immaculate Danbury ( 3- 5, 79.4) 8- 5 416 A East Catholic ( 4- 4, 84.0) 10-19 420 A Wolcott ( 4- 4, 78.6) 7- 9 421 H Watertown ( 4- 3, 79.6) 7- 4 425 A Northwest Catholic ( 2- 5, 80.0) 2- 3 428 A Lewis Mills ( 6- 1, 86.5) 502 A Woodstock Academy ( 3- 4, 80.5) 506 H Wolcott ( 4- 4, 78.6) 507 H Pomperaug ( 4- 4, 84.2) 511 A Holy Cross ( 3- 4, 81.5) 514 H Lakeview United ( 0- 8, 72.0) 515 H Bristol Co-Op ( 1- 4, 76.5) 518 A Watertown ( 4- 3, 79.6) 521 H Holy Cross ( 3- 4, 81.5)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H South Windsor           7- 8      -1    -3           1.68
   410 A Lakeview United        12- 3       9     8           0.00
   411 H Immaculate  Danbury     8- 5       3     1           1.98
   416 A East Catholic          10-19      -9    -4          -1.20
   420 A Wolcott                 7- 9      -2     2    -     -3.60
   421 H Watertown               7- 4       3     1    +      2.18
   425 A Northwest Catholic      2- 3      -1     0          -1.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Wolcott                 7- 9      -2     2    -     -3.60

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Watertown               7- 4       3     1    +      2.18

St Paul Catholic PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Avon HS Avon HS   Avon HS
Bacon Academy Bacon Academy tied -  0- 2 Bacon Academy
Berlin Berlin tied -  0- 1 Berlin
Bethel Bethel   Bethel
Branford Branford   Branford
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   Brien McMahon
Bristol Co-Op St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Brookfield Brookfield tied -  1- 0 Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford St Paul Catholic tied -  0- 1 St Paul Catholic
Canton Canton tied -  1- 0 Canton
Capital-Classical Pr Capital-Classical Pr   Capital-Classical Pr
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Conard Conard Conard   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Cromwell St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Danbury Danbury   Danbury
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   Daniel Hand
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic East Catholic  
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Ellington Ellington Ellington   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Enfield Enfield Enfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
EO Smith St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington Farmington   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   Fitch Groton
Foran Foran   Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury Glastonbury   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford   Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth   Haddam-Killingworth
Hall Hall tied -  0- 1 Hall
Hamden Hamden   Hamden
Holy Cross Holy Cross tied -  2- 1 Holy Cross
Immaculate Danbury St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic  
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow tied -  1- 0 Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Lakeview United St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic  
Ledyard-Griswold St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall   Lyman Hall
Maloney-Platt St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Masuk Masuk   Masuk
Middletown St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Montville St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Morgan School St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield   New Fairfield
New Milford New Milford   New Milford
Newington St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Newtown Newtown   Newtown
North Branford North Branford   North Branford
North Haven North Haven   North Haven
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic  
Norwalk St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy   Norwich Free Academy
Norwich Tech St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Notre Dame-Fairfield St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   Notre Dame-West Have
Old Lyme St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook   Old Saybrook
Pomperaug Pomperaug tied -  1- 0 Pomperaug
Prince-Cheney Tech Prince-Cheney Tech   Prince-Cheney Tech
RHAM RHAM RHAM   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Rocky Hill Rocky Hill Rocky Hill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Sheehan Sheehan   Sheehan
Shelton Shelton   Shelton
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Somers Somers Somers   1- 0 vs 0- 1
South Windsor South Windsor South Windsor  
Southington Southington   Southington
St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler tied -  0- 1 St Bernard-Wheeler
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   St Joseph Trumbull
Stamford Stamford   Stamford
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Stonington   Stonington
Suffield Suffield   Suffield
Tolland St Paul Catholic tied -  1- 2 St Paul Catholic
Trumbull Trumbull   Trumbull
Valley Regional St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Vinal/Goodwin Tech St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Waterford Waterford   Waterford
Watertown St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic  
West Haven St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Westhill St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Weston Weston tied -  1- 0 Weston
Wethersfield Wethersfield Wethersfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Wilbur Cross St Paul Catholic tied -  0- 1 St Paul Catholic
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Wolcott Wolcott Wolcott  
Woodstock Academy Woodstock Academy   Woodstock Academy
Xavier Xavier Xavier   1- 0 vs 0- 1

PairWisePlus = 26


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.67

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H South Windsor   ( 6- 4, 83.1)     7- 8      -16.81      15.35      -0.12         0.95           -16.12
   0 A Lakeview Unite  ( 0- 8, 72.0)    12- 3      -27.85       4.31       0.12         0.95             4.22
   0 H Immaculate  Da  ( 3- 5, 79.4)     8- 5      -20.52      11.65      -0.12         0.95            10.98
   0 A East Catholic   ( 4- 4, 84.0)    10-19      -15.92      16.24       0.12         0.95           -15.05
   0 A Wolcott         ( 4- 4, 78.6)     7- 9      -21.33      10.84       0.12         0.95           -20.20
   0 H Watertown       ( 4- 3, 79.6)     7- 4      -20.31      11.85      -0.12         0.95            11.18
   0 A Northwest Cath  ( 2- 5, 80.0)     2- 3      -19.88      12.28       0.12         0.95           -18.83
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -43.83

winning pts = 26.3775 losing points = -70.2035

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------