UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:47 PDT

boys St Paul Catholic 1
  
St Paul Catholic      
W-L: ( 9- 7) PR = 79.9332

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 H South Windsor ( 9- 7, 82.2) 7- 8 410 A Lakeview United ( 0-13, 71.9) 12- 3 411 H Immaculate Danbury ( 9- 7, 80.8) 8- 5 416 A East Catholic ( 6-10, 83.1) 10-19 420 A Wolcott (10- 6, 77.7) 7- 9 421 H Watertown ( 8- 7, 77.2) 7- 4 425 A Northwest Catholic ( 2-13, 79.2) 2- 3 428 A Lewis Mills (15- 1, 85.7) 3-18 502 A Woodstock Academy ( 9- 7, 79.9) 10-12 506 H Wolcott (10- 6, 77.7) 16- 6 507 H Pomperaug ( 5-11, 80.7) 8- 7 511 A Holy Cross ( 7- 9, 78.9) 7-12 514 H Lakeview United ( 0-13, 71.9) 21- 1 515 H Bristol Co-Op ( 6-10, 78.0) 10- 4 518 A Watertown ( 8- 7, 77.2) 14- 4 521 H Holy Cross ( 7- 9, 78.9) 9- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H South Windsor           7- 8      -1    -2           0.92
   410 A Lakeview United        12- 3       9     8           0.00
   411 H Immaculate  Danbury     8- 5       3     0    +      3.48
   416 A East Catholic          10-19      -9    -4          -1.49
   420 A Wolcott                 7- 9      -2     2    -     -3.88
   421 H Watertown               7- 4       3     3          -0.08
   425 A Northwest Catholic      2- 3      -1     0          -1.35
   428 A Lewis Mills             3-18     -15    -6           0.00
   502 A Woodstock Academy      10-12      -2     0          -1.69
   506 H Wolcott                16- 6      10     3    +      2.45
   507 H Pomperaug               8- 7       1     0           1.40
   511 A Holy Cross              7-12      -5     1    --    -5.70
   514 H Lakeview United        21- 1      20     8           0.00
   515 H Bristol Co-Op          10- 4       6     2    +      2.69
   518 A Watertown              14- 4      10     2    +      2.59
   521 H Holy Cross              9- 7       2     1           0.63

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 A Holy Cross              7-12      -5     1    --    -5.70
   420 A Wolcott                 7- 9      -2     2    -     -3.88

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Immaculate  Danbury     8- 5       3     0    +      3.48
   506 H Wolcott                16- 6      10     3    +      2.45
   515 H Bristol Co-Op          10- 4       6     2    +      2.69
   518 A Watertown              14- 4      10     2    +      2.59

St Paul Catholic PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional tied -  1- 0 Amity Regional
Avon HS Avon HS Avon HS   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Bacon Academy Bacon Academy Bacon Academy   1- 4 vs 0- 5
Berlin St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   2- 4 vs 1- 3
Bethel Bethel Bethel   2- 0 vs 2- 1
Branford Branford Branford   1- 0 vs 1- 1
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   Brien McMahon
Bristol Co-Op St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic  
Brookfield Brookfield tied -  3- 0 Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   4- 1 vs 0- 4
Canton Canton Canton   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Capital-Classical Pr Capital-Classical Pr   Capital-Classical Pr
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Conard Conard Conard   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Cromwell St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Danbury Danbury   Danbury
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   Daniel Hand
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic East Catholic  
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ellington Ellington Ellington   1- 2 vs 1- 3
Enfield Enfield Enfield   2- 0 vs 1- 1
EO Smith St Paul Catholic tied -  1- 0 St Paul Catholic
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   1- 0 vs 1- 1
Farmington Farmington Farmington   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Fitch Groton Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Foran Foran   Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury Glastonbury   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford   Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth   Haddam-Killingworth
Hall Hall Hall   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Hamden Hamden Hamden   1- 0 vs 1- 1
Holy Cross St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   5- 1 vs 2- 3
Immaculate Danbury St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic  
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow tied -  1- 0 Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Lakeview United St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic  
Ledyard-Griswold St Paul Catholic tied -  0- 1 St Paul Catholic
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall   Lyman Hall
Maloney-Platt St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Masuk Masuk tied -  2- 0 Masuk
Middletown St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Montville Montville Montville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Morgan School Morgan School   Morgan School
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield tied -  1- 0 New Fairfield
New Milford St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Newington St Paul Catholic tied -  0- 3 St Paul Catholic
Newtown Newtown tied -  1- 0 Newtown
North Branford North Branford   North Branford
North Haven St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic  
Norwalk St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy   Norwich Free Academy
Norwich Tech St Paul Catholic tied -  0- 1 St Paul Catholic
Notre Dame-Fairfield St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   3- 1 vs 0- 3
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   Notre Dame-West Have
Old Lyme St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook   Old Saybrook
Pomperaug St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic  
Prince-Cheney Tech Prince-Cheney Tech   Prince-Cheney Tech
RHAM RHAM RHAM   1- 3 vs 0- 4
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Rocky Hill St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   2- 1 vs 1- 1
Sheehan Sheehan   Sheehan
Shelton Shelton   Shelton
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Somers Somers Somers   1- 0 vs 0- 1
South Windsor South Windsor South Windsor  
Southington Southington Southington   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler   1- 1 vs 0- 2
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   St Joseph Trumbull
Stamford Stamford   Stamford
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Stonington Stonington   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Suffield Suffield Suffield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Tolland St Paul Catholic tied -  1- 3 St Paul Catholic
Trumbull Trumbull   Trumbull
Valley Regional St Paul Catholic tied -  0- 1 St Paul Catholic
Vinal/Goodwin Tech St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Waterford Waterford Waterford   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Watertown St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic  
West Haven St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Westhill St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Weston Weston tied -  2- 0 Weston
Wethersfield Wethersfield Wethersfield   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Wilbur Cross St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   2- 2 vs 0- 2
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Wolcott St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   3- 1 vs 1- 2
Woodstock Academy Woodstock Academy Woodstock Academy  
Xavier Xavier Xavier   1- 0 vs 0- 1

PairWisePlus = 31


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.57

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H South Windsor   ( 9- 7, 82.2)     7- 8      -17.71      20.02      -0.33         0.91           -16.43
   0 A Lakeview Unite  ( 0-13, 71.9)    12- 3      -27.96       9.77       0.33         0.91             9.20
   0 H Immaculate  Da  ( 9- 7, 80.8)     8- 5      -19.15      18.58      -0.33         0.91            16.61
   0 A East Catholic   ( 6-10, 83.1)    10-19      -16.79      20.94       0.33         0.91           -14.98
   0 A Wolcott         (10- 6, 77.7)     7- 9      -22.18      15.55       0.33         0.91           -19.89
   0 H Watertown       ( 8- 7, 77.2)     7- 4      -22.71      15.02      -0.33         0.91            13.36
   0 A Northwest Cath  ( 2-13, 79.2)     2- 3      -20.65      17.08       0.33         0.91           -18.49
   0 A Lewis Mills     (15- 1, 85.7)     3-18      -14.21      23.52       0.33         0.91           -12.63
   0 A Woodstock Acad  ( 9- 7, 79.9)    10-12      -20.00      17.73       0.33         0.91           -17.90
   0 H Wolcott         (10- 6, 77.7)    16- 6      -22.18      15.55      -0.33         0.91            13.85
   0 H Pomperaug       ( 5-11, 80.7)     8- 7      -19.23      18.50      -0.33         0.91            16.54
   0 A Holy Cross      ( 7- 9, 78.9)     7-12      -21.00      16.73       0.33         0.91           -18.81
   0 H Lakeview Unite  ( 0-13, 71.9)    21- 1      -27.96       9.77      -0.33         0.91             8.59
   0 H Bristol Co-Op   ( 6-10, 78.0)    10- 4      -21.94      15.79      -0.33         0.91            14.07
   0 A Watertown       ( 8- 7, 77.2)    14- 4      -22.71      15.02       0.33         0.91            13.97
   0 H Holy Cross      ( 7- 9, 78.9)     9- 7      -21.00      16.73      -0.33         0.91            14.92
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         1.99

winning pts = 121.1217 losing points = -119.1316

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------