UPDATED: 08-07-26 18:52 PDT

boys Stonington 1
  
Stonington            
W-L: (11- 6) PR = 81.2692

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 H Bacon Academy ( 6-10, 78.6) 4- 8 409 A Bacon Academy ( 6-10, 78.6) 6- 2 416 H Branford (13- 6, 84.6) 7- 8 421 A Ledyard-Griswold ( 4-12, 73.8) 13- 3 423 A Woodstock Academy ( 9- 8, 79.0) 10- 4 425 H North Haven ( 4-12, 78.2) 12- 7 428 H Fitch Groton ( 8- 6, 80.5) 7- 6 430 A East Lyme (17- 3, 89.5) 4-15 502 H Lewis Mills (17- 3, 84.4) 12-14 505 H Waterford (10- 7, 81.5) 9- 8 509 A Norwich Tech ( 3-13, 68.9) 15- 2 512 A St Bernard-Wheeler ( 8- 7, 80.4) 13-11 516 H Montville ( 8- 9, 75.1) 14- 5 521 A Valley Regional ( 3-13, 71.1) 11- 0 523 H Morgan School ( 7-10, 79.7) 6- 4 526 N Waterford (10- 7, 81.5) 8- 9 603 A Canton ( 9- 9, 83.2) 11-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Bacon Academy           4- 8      -4     3    ---   -7.32
   409 A Bacon Academy           6- 2       4     2           1.96
   416 H Branford                7- 8      -1    -3           1.66
   421 A Ledyard-Griswold       13- 3      10     7           0.00
   423 A Woodstock Academy      10- 4       6     2    +      3.35
   425 H North Haven            12- 7       5     4           1.30
   428 H Fitch  Groton           7- 6       1     1          -0.42
   430 A East Lyme               4-15     -11    -9           0.00
   502 H Lewis Mills            12-14      -2    -3           0.52
   505 H Waterford               9- 8       1     0           0.62
   509 A Norwich Tech           15- 2      13    12           0.00
   512 A St Bernard-Wheeler     13-11       2     0           1.79
   516 H Montville              14- 5       9     7           0.00
   521 A Valley Regional        11- 0      11    10           0.00
   523 H Morgan School           6- 4       2     2          -0.25
   526 N Waterford               8- 9      -1     0          -0.74
   603 A Canton                 11-16      -5    -3    -     -2.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Bacon Academy           4- 8      -4     3    ---   -7.32
   603 A Canton                 11-16      -5    -3    -     -2.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Woodstock Academy      10- 4       6     2    +      3.35

Stonington PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional Amity Regional   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Avon HS Avon HS   Avon HS
Bacon Academy Stonington Stonington   6- 3 vs 2- 6
Berlin Stonington tied -  0- 1 Stonington
Bethel Stonington   Stonington
Branford Branford Branford  
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon tied -  0- 1 Brien McMahon
Bristol Co-Op Stonington tied -  0- 2 Stonington
Brookfield Brookfield tied -  1- 0 Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford Stonington tied -  1- 0 Stonington
Canton Canton Canton  
Capital-Classical Pr Capital-Classical Pr   Capital-Classical Pr
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Conard Conard tied -  0- 1 Conard
Cromwell Stonington Stonington   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Danbury Danbury   Danbury
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand tied -  1- 0 Daniel Hand
Darien Darien tied -  1- 0 Darien
East Catholic East Catholic East Catholic   1- 2 vs 1- 3
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme  
Ellington Stonington Stonington   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Enfield Enfield   Enfield
EO Smith Stonington tied -  0- 1 Stonington
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington Farmington   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Fitch Groton Stonington Stonington  
Foran Foran tied -  1- 1 Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury   Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford Guilford   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Hall Hall   Hall
Hamden Hamden tied -  1- 1 Hamden
Holy Cross Stonington tied -  0- 1 Stonington
Immaculate Danbury Stonington tied -  0- 1 Stonington
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow tied -  0- 1 Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Stonington Stonington   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Lakeview United Stonington   Stonington
Ledyard-Griswold Stonington Stonington  
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall Lyman Hall   2- 1 vs 2- 2
Maloney-Platt Stonington   Stonington
Masuk Masuk Masuk   1- 0 vs 1- 1
Middletown Stonington Stonington   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Montville Stonington Stonington  
Morgan School Stonington Stonington  
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield New Fairfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
New Milford New Milford   New Milford
Newington Stonington Stonington   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Newtown Newtown   Newtown
North Branford North Branford North Branford   4- 0 vs 3- 1
North Haven Stonington Stonington  
Northwest Catholic Stonington Stonington   2- 2 vs 1- 2
Norwalk Stonington   Stonington
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy   Norwich Free Academy
Norwich Tech Stonington Stonington  
Notre Dame-Fairfield Stonington Stonington   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Old Lyme Stonington Stonington   5- 2 vs 0- 6
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook Old Saybrook   5- 0 vs 4- 1
Pomperaug Stonington tied -  0- 1 Stonington
Prince-Cheney Tech Prince-Cheney Tech   Prince-Cheney Tech
RHAM Stonington Stonington   4- 2 vs 1- 4
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Stonington tied -  1- 1 Stonington
Rocky Hill Stonington   Stonington
Sheehan Sheehan Sheehan   2- 1 vs 2- 2
Shelton Shelton tied -  1- 1 Shelton
Simsbury Simsbury   Simsbury
Somers Somers Somers   1- 0 vs 0- 1
South Windsor South Windsor South Windsor   1- 2 vs 1- 3
Southington Southington   Southington
St Bernard-Wheeler Stonington Stonington  
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic Stonington Stonington   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Stamford Stamford   Stamford
Staples Staples   Staples
Suffield Suffield Suffield   2- 0 vs 1- 2
Tolland Stonington Stonington   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Trumbull Trumbull   Trumbull
Valley Regional Stonington Stonington  
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Stonington Stonington   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Waterford Waterford Waterford   7- 2 vs 7- 3
Watertown Stonington tied -  0- 1 Stonington
West Haven Stonington Stonington   3- 2 vs 1- 3
Westhill Stonington   Stonington
Weston Weston tied -  0- 1 Weston
Wethersfield Wethersfield Wethersfield   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Wilbur Cross Stonington Stonington   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor Stonington   Stonington
Wolcott Stonington   Stonington
Woodstock Academy Stonington Stonington  
Xavier Xavier Xavier   1- 1 vs 0- 2

PairWisePlus = 41


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.34

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Bacon Academy   ( 6-10, 78.6)     4- 8      -21.31      17.13      -0.64         0.96           -21.10
   0 A Bacon Academy   ( 6-10, 78.6)     6- 2      -21.31      17.13       0.64         0.96            17.08
   0 H Branford        (13- 6, 84.6)     7- 8      -15.33      23.11      -0.64         0.96           -15.35
   0 A Ledyard-Griswo  ( 4-12, 73.8)    13- 3      -26.09      12.35       0.64         0.96            12.49
   0 A Woodstock Acad  ( 9- 8, 79.0)    10- 4      -20.92      17.52       0.64         0.96            17.46
   0 H North Haven     ( 4-12, 78.2)    12- 7      -21.69      16.74      -0.64         0.96            15.48
   0 H Fitch  Groton   ( 8- 6, 80.5)     7- 6      -19.41      19.03      -0.64         0.96            17.68
   0 A East Lyme       (17- 3, 89.5)     4-15      -10.37      28.06       0.64         0.96            -9.36
   0 H Lewis Mills     (17- 3, 84.4)    12-14      -15.47      22.96      -0.64         0.96           -15.49
   0 H Waterford       (10- 7, 81.5)     9- 8      -18.38      20.06      -0.64         0.96            18.67
   0 A Norwich Tech    ( 3-13, 68.9)    15- 2      -31.03       7.41       0.64         0.96             7.73
   0 A St Bernard-Whe  ( 8- 7, 80.4)    13-11      -19.48      18.95       0.64         0.96            18.84
   0 H Montville       ( 8- 9, 75.1)    14- 5      -24.84      13.59      -0.64         0.96            12.45
   0 A Valley Regiona  ( 3-13, 71.1)    11- 0      -28.84       9.60       0.64         0.96             9.84
   0 H Morgan School   ( 7-10, 79.7)     6- 4      -20.24      18.19      -0.64         0.96            16.88
   0 N Waterford       (10- 7, 81.5)     8- 9      -18.38      20.06      -0.00         0.96           -17.67
   0 A Canton          ( 9- 9, 83.2)    11-16      -16.73      21.70       0.64         0.96           -15.47
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        70.16

winning pts = 164.5965 losing points = -94.4383

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------