UPDATED: 04-04-26 09:08 PDT

boys South Lakes 1
  
South Lakes           
W-L: ( 2- 3) PR = 86.1075

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A Herndon ( 2- 1, 88.9) 7-13 323 A Annandale ( 2- 2, 81.2) 21- 2 325 A Heritage Leesburg ( 1- 2, 88.8) 9-12 328 H Fairfax ( 3- 1, 86.9) 9-10 330 H Forest Park ( 3- 3, 83.6) 17- 2 406 H Langley ( 1- 2, 85.4) 408 H Lake Braddock ( 1- 3, 87.6) 420 H Madison ( 4- 1, 93.5) 422 A Washington-Liberty ( 1- 3, 82.2) 424 H Centreville ( 3- 2, 87.5) 425 A South County ( 1- 4, 83.8) 430 A Oakton ( 3- 1, 92.5) 504 A Chantilly ( 5- 1, 91.4) 508 A Westfield ( 2- 2, 85.4)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Herndon                 7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.16
   323 A Annandale              21- 2      19     5           0.17
   325 A Heritage  Leesburg      9-12      -3    -3          -0.21
   328 H Fairfax                 9-10      -1    -1          -0.25
   330 H Forest Park            17- 2      15     3    +      2.40

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Herndon                 7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Forest Park            17- 2      15     3    +      2.40

South Lakes Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle   Albemarle
Alexandria City Alexandria City tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alexandria City
Annandale South Lakes South Lakes  
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield   Battlefield
Bayside South Lakes   South Lakes
Benedictine South Lakes   South Lakes
Bishop Ireton South Lakes   South Lakes
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville   Brentsville
Briar Woods Briar Woods   Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run   Broad Run
Brooke Point South Lakes   South Lakes
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring South Lakes   South Lakes
Centreville Centreville tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville South Lakes   South Lakes
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg South Lakes   South Lakes
Clover Hill South Lakes   South Lakes
Colgan South Lakes   South Lakes
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge South Lakes   South Lakes
Cosby Cosby   Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox South Lakes   South Lakes
Culpeper County South Lakes   South Lakes
Deep Run South Lakes   South Lakes
Dominion Dominion   Dominion
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View South Lakes   South Lakes
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison South Lakes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South Lakes
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian South Lakes   South Lakes
Fairfax Fairfax Fairfax  
Falls Church South Lakes   South Lakes
Fauquier South Lakes   South Lakes
First Colonial South Lakes   South Lakes
Fishburne Military A South Lakes   South Lakes
Flint Hill South Lakes   South Lakes
Fluvanna County South Lakes   South Lakes
Forest Park South Lakes South Lakes  
Fork Union Military South Lakes   South Lakes
Franklin County South Lakes   South Lakes
Fredericksburg Acade South Lakes   South Lakes
Fredericksburg Chris South Lakes   South Lakes
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin   Freedom South Ridin
Freedom Woodbridge South Lakes   South Lakes
Gainesville Gainesville   Gainesville
Gar-field South Lakes   South Lakes
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland   Goochland
Grafton LC South Lakes   South Lakes
Grassfield LC South Lakes   South Lakes
Green Run South Lakes   South Lakes
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hayfield South Lakes   South Lakes
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg  
Herndon Herndon Herndon  
Hickory LC South Lakes   South Lakes
Hidden Valley South Lakes   South Lakes
Highland School South Lakes   South Lakes
Highland Springs South Lakes   South Lakes
Hylton South Lakes insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South Lakes
Independence Independence   Independence
James Monroe James Monroe   James Monroe
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe South Lakes   South Lakes
Justice South Lakes   South Lakes
Kellam South Lakes   South Lakes
Kempsville Kempsville   Kempsville
Kettle Run South Lakes   South Lakes
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   Lake Braddock
Landstown South Lakes   South Lakes
Langley South Lakes   South Lakes
Lewis South Lakes   South Lakes
Liberty Bealeton South Lakes   South Lakes
Lightridge Lightridge   Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird South Lakes   South Lakes
Lord Botetourt South Lakes   South Lakes
Loudoun County Loudoun County   Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley South Lakes   South Lakes
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester South Lakes   South Lakes
Marshall South Lakes   South Lakes
Massaponax South Lakes   South Lakes
Matoaca South Lakes   South Lakes
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) McLean
Mechanicsville Mechanicsville   Mechanicsville
Menchville LC South Lakes   South Lakes
Meridian Meridian   Meridian
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin South Lakes   South Lakes
Monacan South Lakes   South Lakes
Monticello South Lakes   South Lakes
Mount Vernon South Lakes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South Lakes
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School South Lakes   South Lakes
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian South Lakes   South Lakes
Norfolk Collegiate South Lakes   South Lakes
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford South Lakes   South Lakes
Northern VA Home Sch South Lakes   South Lakes
Oakton Oakton   Oakton
Ocean Lakes South Lakes   South Lakes
Orange County South Lakes   South Lakes
Osbourn South Lakes insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South Lakes
Osbourn Park Osbourn Park   Osbourn Park
Park View South Lakes   South Lakes
Patrick Henry Ashla South Lakes   South Lakes
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot South Lakes tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) South Lakes
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls South Lakes   South Lakes
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries South Lakes insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South Lakes
Powhatan South Lakes   South Lakes
Princess Anne South Lakes   South Lakes
Riverbend South Lakes   South Lakes
Riverside Riverside insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Riverside
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge South Lakes   South Lakes
Rockbridge County Rockbridge County   Rockbridge County
Rockingham LC South Lakes   South Lakes
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach South Lakes   South Lakes
Seton School South Lakes   South Lakes
South County South Lakes   South Lakes
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre South Lakes   South Lakes
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford South Lakes   South Lakes
Steward School South Lakes   South Lakes
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC Strasburg LC   Strasburg LC
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood South Lakes   South Lakes
Tandem Friends South Lakes   South Lakes
Thomas Dale South Lakes   South Lakes
Thomas Jefferson South Lakes   South Lakes
Trinity Christian South Lakes   South Lakes
Trinity Episcopal South Lakes   South Lakes
Trinity Meadow View South Lakes   South Lakes
Tuscarora South Lakes   South Lakes
Unity Reed South Lakes   South Lakes
Veritas School South Lakes   South Lakes
Virginia Academy South Lakes   South Lakes
Virginia Episcopal S South Lakes   South Lakes
Wakefield HS South Lakes insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South Lakes
Wakefield School South Lakes   South Lakes
Washington-Liberty South Lakes   South Lakes
West Potomac South Lakes   South Lakes
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Westfield South Lakes   South Lakes
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming South Lakes   South Lakes
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge South Lakes insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South Lakes
Woodgrove South Lakes   South Lakes
Woodson Woodson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Woodson
York LC South Lakes   South Lakes
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PowerWise = 104


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.27

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Herndon         ( 2- 1, 88.9)     7-13      -11.03      16.73       0.08         0.65            -7.15
   0 A Annandale       ( 2- 2, 81.2)    21- 2      -18.70       9.06       0.08         0.65             5.97
   0 A Heritage  Lees  ( 1- 2, 88.8)     9-12      -11.08      16.68       0.08         0.65            -7.19
   0 H Fairfax         ( 3- 1, 86.9)     9-10      -12.96      14.80      -0.08         0.65            -8.52
   0 H Forest Park     ( 3- 3, 83.6)    17- 2      -16.31      11.45      -0.08         0.65             7.42
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -9.46

winning pts = 13.3940 losing points = -22.8516

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------