South Lakes
W-L: ( 2- 3) PR = 86.1075
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
317 A Herndon ( 2- 1, 88.9) 7-13
323 A Annandale ( 2- 2, 81.2) 21- 2
325 A Heritage Leesburg ( 1- 2, 88.8) 9-12
328 H Fairfax ( 3- 1, 86.9) 9-10
330 H Forest Park ( 3- 3, 83.6) 17- 2
406 H Langley ( 1- 2, 85.4)
408 H Lake Braddock ( 1- 3, 87.6)
420 H Madison ( 4- 1, 93.5)
422 A Washington-Liberty ( 1- 3, 82.2)
424 H Centreville ( 3- 2, 87.5)
425 A South County ( 1- 4, 83.8)
430 A Oakton ( 3- 1, 92.5)
504 A Chantilly ( 5- 1, 91.4)
508 A Westfield ( 2- 2, 85.4)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 A Herndon 7-13 -6 -3 - -2.16
323 A Annandale 21- 2 19 5 0.17
325 A Heritage Leesburg 9-12 -3 -3 -0.21
328 H Fairfax 9-10 -1 -1 -0.25
330 H Forest Park 17- 2 15 3 + 2.40
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 A Herndon 7-13 -6 -3 - -2.16
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
330 H Forest Park 17- 2 15 3 + 2.40
|
South Lakes Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Albemarle |
Albemarle |
|
 
| Albemarle |
| Alexandria City |
Alexandria City |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Alexandria City |
| Annandale |
South Lakes |
South Lakes |
 
| |
| Atlee |
Atlee |
|
 
| Atlee |
| Battlefield |
Battlefield |
|
 
| Battlefield |
| Bayside |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Benedictine |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Bishop Ireton |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Bishop OConnell |
Bishop OConnell |
|
 
| Bishop OConnell |
| Blacksburg |
Blacksburg |
|
 
| Blacksburg |
| Blue Ridge School |
Blue Ridge School |
|
 
| Blue Ridge School |
| Brentsville |
Brentsville |
|
 
| Brentsville |
| Briar Woods |
Briar Woods |
|
 
| Briar Woods |
| Broad Run |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Brooke Point |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Cape Henry Collegiat |
Cape Henry Collegiat |
|
 
| Cape Henry Collegiat |
| Catholic HS |
Catholic HS |
|
 
| Catholic HS |
| Cave Spring |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Centreville |
Centreville |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Centreville |
| Chantilly |
Chantilly |
|
 
| Chantilly |
| Charlottesville |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Christchurch |
Christchurch |
|
 
| Christchurch |
| Christiansburg |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Clover Hill |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Colgan |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Collegiate School |
Collegiate School |
|
 
| Collegiate School |
| Colonial Forge |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Cosby |
Cosby |
|
 
| Cosby |
| Covenant School |
Covenant School |
|
 
| Covenant School |
| Cox |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Culpeper County |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Deep Run |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Dominion |
Dominion |
|
 
| Dominion |
| Douglas Freeman |
Douglas Freeman |
|
 
| Douglas Freeman |
| Eastern View |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| EC Glass |
EC Glass |
|
 
| EC Glass |
| Edison |
South Lakes |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
South Lakes |
| Episcopal |
Episcopal |
|
 
| Episcopal |
| Eukarya Christian |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Fairfax |
Fairfax |
Fairfax |
 
| |
| Falls Church |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Fauquier |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| First Colonial |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Fishburne Military A |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Flint Hill |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Fluvanna County |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Forest Park |
South Lakes |
South Lakes |
 
| |
| Fork Union Military |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Franklin County |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Fredericksburg Acade |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Fredericksburg Chris |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Freedom South Ridin |
Freedom South Ridin |
|
 
| Freedom South Ridin |
| Freedom Woodbridge |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Gainesville |
Gainesville |
|
 
| Gainesville |
| Gar-field |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Glen Allen |
Glen Allen |
|
 
| Glen Allen |
| Goochland |
Goochland |
|
 
| Goochland |
| Grafton LC |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Grassfield LC |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Green Run |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Handley |
Handley |
|
 
| Handley |
| Hanover |
Hanover |
|
 
| Hanover |
| Hayfield |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Heritage Leesburg |
Heritage Leesburg |
Heritage Leesburg |
 
| |
| Herndon |
Herndon |
Herndon |
 
| |
| Hickory LC |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Hidden Valley |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Highland School |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Highland Springs |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Hylton |
South Lakes |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
South Lakes |
| Independence |
Independence |
|
 
| Independence |
| James Monroe |
James Monroe |
|
 
| James Monroe |
| James River |
James River |
|
 
| James River |
| Jamestown LC |
Jamestown LC |
|
 
| Jamestown LC |
| Jefferson Forest |
Jefferson Forest |
|
 
| Jefferson Forest |
| John Champe |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Justice |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Kellam |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Kempsville |
Kempsville |
|
 
| Kempsville |
| Kettle Run |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Lafayette LC |
Lafayette LC |
|
 
| Lafayette LC |
| Lake Braddock |
Lake Braddock |
|
 
| Lake Braddock |
| Landstown |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Langley |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Lewis |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Liberty Bealeton |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Lightridge |
Lightridge |
|
 
| Lightridge |
| Lloyd C Bird |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Lord Botetourt |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
| Loudoun Valley |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Madison |
Madison |
|
 
| Madison |
| Manchester |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Marshall |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Massaponax |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Matoaca |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Maury LC |
Maury LC |
|
 
| Maury LC |
| McLean |
McLean |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
McLean |
| Mechanicsville |
Mechanicsville |
|
 
| Mechanicsville |
| Menchville LC |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Meridian |
Meridian |
|
 
| Meridian |
| Midlothian |
Midlothian |
|
 
| Midlothian |
| Mills Godwin |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Monacan |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Monticello |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Mount Vernon |
South Lakes |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
South Lakes |
| Mountain View |
Mountain View |
|
 
| Mountain View |
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
|
 
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
| New Covenant School |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Norfolk Academy |
Norfolk Academy |
|
 
| Norfolk Academy |
| Norfolk Christian |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Norfolk Collegiate |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| North Cross School |
North Cross School |
|
 
| North Cross School |
| North Stafford |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Northern VA Home Sch |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Oakton |
Oakton |
|
 
| Oakton |
| Ocean Lakes |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Orange County |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Osbourn |
South Lakes |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
South Lakes |
| Osbourn Park |
Osbourn Park |
|
 
| Osbourn Park |
| Park View |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Patrick Henry Ashla |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Patrick Henry Roano |
Patrick Henry Roano |
|
 
| Patrick Henry Roano |
| Patriot |
South Lakes |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
South Lakes |
| Paul VI |
Paul VI |
|
 
| Paul VI |
| Potomac Falls |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Potomac School |
Potomac School |
|
 
| Potomac School |
| Potomac-Dumfries |
South Lakes |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
South Lakes |
| Powhatan |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Princess Anne |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Riverbend |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Riverside |
Riverside |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Riverside |
| Robinson |
Robinson |
|
 
| Robinson |
| Rock Ridge |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Rockbridge County |
Rockbridge County |
|
 
| Rockbridge County |
| Rockingham LC |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Salem |
Salem |
|
 
| Salem |
| Salem Virginia Beach |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Seton School |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| South County |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| St Annes-Belfield |
St Annes-Belfield |
|
 
| St Annes-Belfield |
| St Christophers |
St Christophers |
|
 
| St Christophers |
| St John Paul the Gre |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| St Stephen-St Agnes |
St Stephen-St Agnes |
|
 
| St Stephen-St Agnes |
| Stafford |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Steward School |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Stone Bridge |
Stone Bridge |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Stone Bridge |
| Strasburg LC |
Strasburg LC |
|
 
| Strasburg LC |
| Tabb LC |
Tabb LC |
|
 
| Tabb LC |
| Tallwood |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Tandem Friends |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Thomas Dale |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Thomas Jefferson |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Trinity Christian |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Trinity Episcopal |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Trinity Meadow View |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Tuscarora |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Unity Reed |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Veritas School |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Virginia Academy |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Virginia Episcopal S |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Wakefield HS |
South Lakes |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
South Lakes |
| Wakefield School |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Washington-Liberty |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| West Potomac |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| West Springfield |
West Springfield |
|
 
| West Springfield |
| Western Albemarle |
Western Albemarle |
|
 
| Western Albemarle |
| Westfield |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| William Byrd |
William Byrd |
|
 
| William Byrd |
| William Fleming |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Woodberry Forest |
Woodberry Forest |
|
 
| Woodberry Forest |
| Woodbridge |
South Lakes |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
South Lakes |
| Woodgrove |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Woodson |
Woodson |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Woodson |
| York LC |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| Yorktown |
Yorktown |
|
 
| Yorktown |
PowerWise = 104

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.27
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Herndon ( 2- 1, 88.9) 7-13 -11.03 16.73 0.08 0.65 -7.15
0 A Annandale ( 2- 2, 81.2) 21- 2 -18.70 9.06 0.08 0.65 5.97
0 A Heritage Lees ( 1- 2, 88.8) 9-12 -11.08 16.68 0.08 0.65 -7.19
0 H Fairfax ( 3- 1, 86.9) 9-10 -12.96 14.80 -0.08 0.65 -8.52
0 H Forest Park ( 3- 3, 83.6) 17- 2 -16.31 11.45 -0.08 0.65 7.42
------
-9.46
|
winning pts = 13.3940 losing points = -22.8516
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------