UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:50 PDT

boys Southern AA 1
  
Southern AA           
W-L: ( 5-12) PR = 83.7379

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Severn Run ( 6- 7, 82.8) 14- 5 324 H Centennial (10- 6, 85.5) 9-15 327 A Chesapeake AA (12- 5, 90.5) 1-14 330 H Northeast AA ( 9- 4, 86.2) 2-12 402 A Northern Calvert ( 9- 7, 85.7) 7-10 408 A Mount Hebron ( 8- 6, 87.4) 4-14 410 H Severna Park (16- 2, 96.8) 1-19 414 H Glen Burnie (10- 4, 86.3) 13-14 417 A Broadneck (13- 3, 94.4) 2-24 421 H Annapolis ( 6- 9, 86.6) 3-13 424 H South River ( 8- 6, 88.0) 2-13 428 A Meade ( 2-11, 78.8) 14- 2 429 A Crofton ( 7- 8, 88.5) 2-14 507 A Reginald F Lewis ( 0- 5, 68.8) 18- 1 511 A Hammond ( 3-10, 80.5) 18- 7 513 A Academy for College (11- 1, 82.7) 15- 6 515 H Middletown (14- 3, 92.5) 7-23

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Severn Run             14- 5       9     1    +      3.62
   324 H Centennial              9-15      -6    -1    -     -3.61
   327 A Chesapeake  AA          1-14     -13    -7           0.00
   330 H Northeast AA            2-12     -10    -2    -     -2.94
   402 A Northern Calvert        7-10      -3    -2          -0.61
   408 A Mount Hebron            4-14     -10    -4          -0.96
   410 H Severna Park            1-19     -18   -13           0.00
   414 H Glen Burnie            13-14      -1    -2           1.15
   417 A Broadneck               2-24     -22   -11           0.00
   421 H Annapolis               3-13     -10    -2    -     -2.53
   424 H South River             2-13     -11    -4          -1.11
   428 A Meade                  14- 2      12     5           0.47
   429 A Crofton                 2-14     -12    -5           0.00
   507 A Reginald F Lewis       18- 1      17    15           0.00
   511 A Hammond                18- 7      11     3    +      2.16
   513 A Academy for College    15- 6       9     1    ++     4.35
   515 H Middletown              7-23     -16    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Centennial              9-15      -6    -1    -     -3.61
   330 H Northeast AA            2-12     -10    -2    -     -2.94
   421 H Annapolis               3-13     -10    -2    -     -2.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 A Academy for College    15- 6       9     1    ++     4.35
   321 H Severn Run             14- 5       9     1    +      3.62
   511 A Hammond                18- 7      11     3    +      2.16

Southern AA PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Southern AA   Southern AA
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Southern AA   Southern AA
Bishop McNamara Bishop McNamara   Bishop McNamara
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Southern AA   Southern AA
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Southern AA   Southern AA
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC Southern AA   Southern AA
Friends Southern AA   Southern AA
Garrett County LC Southern AA   Southern AA
Georgetown Day Southern AA   Southern AA
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Southern AA   Southern AA
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Southern AA   Southern AA
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School   Indian Creek School
Jemicy School Southern AA   Southern AA
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Southern AA   Southern AA
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Southern AA   Southern AA
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Southern AA   Southern AA
Mount Carmel Southern AA   Southern AA
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Southern AA   Southern AA
Salisbury School Southern AA   Southern AA
Sandy Spring Friends Southern AA   Southern AA
Severn School Severn School Severn School   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Southern AA   Southern AA
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Southern AA   Southern AA
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Southern AA   Southern AA
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Southern AA   Southern AA
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Southern AA   Southern AA
Academy for College Southern AA Southern AA  
Annapolis Annapolis Annapolis  
Arundel Southern AA Southern AA   2- 4 vs 1- 5
Atholton Southern AA Southern AA   1- 3 vs 0- 4
Baltimore Polytechni Southern AA Southern AA   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase tied -  0- 1 Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Southern AA   Southern AA
Blair Southern AA tied -  0- 1 Southern AA
Blake Southern AA   Southern AA
Bohemia Manor Southern AA   Southern AA
Boonsboro Southern AA tied -  0- 1 Southern AA
Bowie Southern AA   Southern AA
Broadneck Broadneck Broadneck  
Brunswick Southern AA tied -  0- 1 Southern AA
Calvert Calvert tied -  0- 1 Calvert
Cambridge SD Southern AA   Southern AA
Carver A&T Southern AA   Southern AA
Catoctin Catoctin tied -  0- 1 Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville Catonsville   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Centennial Centennial Centennial  
Century Century tied -  0- 1 Century
CH Flowers Southern AA   Southern AA
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA  
Chesapeake BC Southern AA   Southern AA
Chopticon Chopticon Chopticon   1- 1 vs 0- 2
City College Southern AA Southern AA   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Clarksburg Clarksburg   Clarksburg
CM Wright CM Wright   CM Wright
Crofton Crofton Crofton  
Damascus Damascus   Damascus
Digital Harbor Southern AA   Southern AA
Dr Henry Wise Southern AA   Southern AA
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dunbar Southern AA Southern AA   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Dundalk Southern AA   Southern AA
DuVal Southern AA   Southern AA
Eastern Tech Eastern Tech   Eastern Tech
Easton Southern AA   Southern AA
Edgewood Southern AA   Southern AA
Edmondson-Westside Southern AA   Southern AA
Einstein Southern AA   Southern AA
Eleanor Roosevelt Southern AA   Southern AA
Elkton Southern AA   Southern AA
Fairmont Heights Southern AA   Southern AA
Fallston Fallston tied -  0- 1 Fallston
Forest Park Southern AA Southern AA   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Francis Scott Key Southern AA   Southern AA
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Southern AA tied -  0- 1 Southern AA
Frederick Douglass B Southern AA   Southern AA
Frederick Douglass P Southern AA   Southern AA
Friendly Southern AA   Southern AA
Gaithersburg Southern AA   Southern AA
Glen Burnie Glen Burnie Glen Burnie  
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Gov Thomas Johnson Southern AA tied -  0- 1 Southern AA
Great Mills Southern AA tied -  0- 1 Southern AA
Guilford Park Guilford Park tied -  3- 0 Guilford Park
Gwynn Park Southern AA tied -  0- 1 Southern AA
Hammond Southern AA Southern AA  
Harford Tech Southern AA   Southern AA
Havre De Grace Southern AA   Southern AA
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
High Point Southern AA   Southern AA
Howard Howard Howard   1- 3 vs 0- 4
Huntingtown Huntingtown Huntingtown   2- 0 vs 0- 2
JM Bennett JM Bennett tied -  0- 1 JM Bennett
Joppatowne Southern AA   Southern AA
Kennedy Southern AA   Southern AA
Kent County Southern AA   Southern AA
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Southern AA   Southern AA
La Plata Southern AA   Southern AA
Lackey Southern AA tied -  0- 1 Southern AA
Lake Clifton Southern AA Southern AA   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Lansdowne Southern AA   Southern AA
Laurel Southern AA Southern AA   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Leonardtown Leonardtown Leonardtown   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Liberty Liberty tied -  0- 2 Liberty
Linganore Linganore Linganore   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Loch Raven Southern AA   Southern AA
Long Reach Southern AA tied -  1- 2 Southern AA
Magruder Southern AA   Southern AA
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Meade Southern AA Southern AA  
Mergenthaler Southern AA Southern AA   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Middletown Middletown Middletown  
Milford Mill Southern AA   Southern AA
MJ McDonough Southern AA tied -  0- 1 Southern AA
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron Mount Hebron  
National Academy Fou Southern AA   Southern AA
New Town Southern AA   Southern AA
North Caroline North Caroline   North Caroline
North County North County North County   3- 3 vs 2- 4
North Dorchester Southern AA   Southern AA
North East Cecil Southern AA   Southern AA
North Hagerstown Southern AA   Southern AA
North Harford North Harford tied -  0- 1 North Harford
North Point Southern AA tied -  0- 1 Southern AA
Northeast AA Northeast AA Northeast AA  
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert Northern Calvert  
Northwest Southern AA   Southern AA
Northwestern PG Southern AA   Southern AA
Northwood Southern AA   Southern AA
Oakdale Oakdale tied -  0- 1 Oakdale
Oakland Mills Southern AA tied -  2- 3 Southern AA
Old Mill Southern AA Southern AA   3- 4 vs 2- 5
Overlea Southern AA   Southern AA
Owings Mills Southern AA   Southern AA
Oxon Hill Southern AA   Southern AA
Paint Branch Southern AA   Southern AA
Parkdale Southern AA Southern AA   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Southern AA   Southern AA
Patapsco Southern AA   Southern AA
Patterson HS Southern AA Southern AA   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Patterson Mill Southern AA tied -  0- 1 Southern AA
Patuxent Patuxent tied -  0- 1 Patuxent
Perry Hall Southern AA   Southern AA
Perryville Southern AA Southern AA   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Pikesville Southern AA   Southern AA
Poolesville Southern AA tied -  0- 1 Southern AA
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard tied -  0- 1 Quince Orchard
Randallstown Southern AA   Southern AA
Reginald F Lewis Southern AA Southern AA  
Reservoir Southern AA tied -  1- 2 Southern AA
Richard Montgomery Southern AA   Southern AA
Rising Sun Rising Sun   Rising Sun
River Hill River Hill tied -  1- 4 River Hill
Rockville Southern AA tied -  0- 1 Southern AA
Seneca Valley Southern AA   Southern AA
Severn Run Southern AA Southern AA  
Severna Park Severna Park Severna Park  
Sherwood Sherwood tied -  0- 1 Sherwood
Smithsburg Smithsburg tied -  0- 1 Smithsburg
South Carroll South Carroll tied -  0- 1 South Carroll
South Hagerstown Southern AA   Southern AA
South River South River South River  
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point   Sparrows Point
Springbrook Southern AA   Southern AA
St Charles Southern AA   Southern AA
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Suitland Southern AA   Southern AA
Surrattsville Southern AA   Southern AA
Thomas Stone Southern AA tied -  0- 1 Southern AA
Towson Towson Towson   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Tuscarora Southern AA   Southern AA
Urbana Urbana Urbana   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Walkersville Walkersville Walkersville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman   Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Southern AA   Southern AA
Western STES Southern AA Southern AA   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Westlake Southern AA   Southern AA
Westminster Westminster Westminster   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Wheaton Southern AA   Southern AA
Wicomico Southern AA   Southern AA
Wilde Lake Wilde Lake Wilde Lake   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Winston Churchill Southern AA   Southern AA
Winters Mill Winters Mill Winters Mill   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Woodlawn Southern AA   Southern AA
Wootton Southern AA   Southern AA
Archbishop Carroll Southern AA   Southern AA
DC International PCS Southern AA   Southern AA
Jackson Reed Jackson Reed   Jackson Reed

PairWisePlus = 129


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.06

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Severn Run      ( 6- 7, 82.8)    14- 5      -17.13      16.89      -0.42         0.71            11.69
   0 H Centennial      (10- 6, 85.5)     9-15      -14.35      19.67      -0.42         0.71           -10.48
   0 A Chesapeake  AA  (12- 5, 90.5)     1-14       -9.44      24.58       0.42         0.71            -6.41
   0 H Northeast AA    ( 9- 4, 86.2)     2-12      -13.69      20.34      -0.42         0.71           -10.01
   0 A Northern Calve  ( 9- 7, 85.7)     7-10      -14.19      19.84       0.42         0.71            -9.77
   0 A Mount Hebron    ( 8- 6, 87.4)     4-14      -12.54      21.49       0.42         0.71            -8.60
   0 H Severna Park    (16- 2, 96.8)     1-19       -3.13      30.90      -0.42         0.71            -2.52
   0 H Glen Burnie     (10- 4, 86.3)    13-14      -13.60      20.43      -0.42         0.71            -9.94
   0 A Broadneck       (13- 3, 94.4)     2-24       -5.50      28.53       0.42         0.71            -3.61
   0 H Annapolis       ( 6- 9, 86.6)     3-13      -13.28      20.74      -0.42         0.71            -9.72
   0 H South River     ( 8- 6, 88.0)     2-13      -11.86      22.17      -0.42         0.71            -8.71
   0 A Meade           ( 2-11, 78.8)    14- 2      -21.11      12.92       0.42         0.71             9.46
   0 A Crofton         ( 7- 8, 88.5)     2-14      -11.40      22.63       0.42         0.71            -7.79
   0 A Reginald F Lew  ( 0- 5, 68.8)    18- 1      -31.09       2.93       0.42         0.71             2.38
   0 A Hammond         ( 3-10, 80.5)    18- 7      -19.41      14.61       0.42         0.71            10.66
   0 A Academy for Co  (11- 1, 82.7)    15- 6      -17.22      16.80       0.42         0.71            12.22
   0 H Middletown      (14- 3, 92.5)     7-23       -7.36      26.67      -0.42         0.71            -5.52
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -46.66

winning pts = 46.4113 losing points = -93.0696

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------