Southern AA
W-L: ( 1- 4) PR = 85.5693
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
321 H Severn Run ( 1- 2, 82.5) 14- 5
324 H Centennial ( 3- 1, 90.3) 9-15
327 A Chesapeake AA ( 2- 1, 90.9) 1-14
330 H Northeast AA ( 3- 0, 92.2) 2-12
402 A Northern Calvert ( 4- 2, 87.4) 7-10
408 A Mount Hebron ( 2- 1, 87.1)
410 H Severna Park ( 2- 2, 96.9)
414 H Glen Burnie ( 1- 1, 89.1)
417 A Broadneck ( 2- 0, 98.2)
421 H Annapolis ( 3- 0, 96.0)
424 H South River ( 1- 2, 90.3)
428 A Meade ( 0- 2, 83.6)
429 A Crofton ( 2- 2, 91.6)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 H Severn Run 14- 5 9 4 1.48
324 H Centennial 9-15 -6 -4 -0.71
327 A Chesapeake AA 1-14 -13 -6 0.00
330 H Northeast AA 2-12 -10 -6 0.00
402 A Northern Calvert 7-10 -3 -2 -0.76
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
Southern AA Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Annapolis Area Chris |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Archbishop Curley |
Archbishop Curley |
|
 
| Archbishop Curley |
| Archbishop Spalding |
Archbishop Spalding |
|
 
| Archbishop Spalding |
| Beth TFiloh |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Bishop McNamara |
Bishop McNamara |
|
 
| Bishop McNamara |
| Boys Latin |
Boys Latin |
|
 
| Boys Latin |
| Bullis |
Bullis |
|
 
| Bullis |
| Calvert Hall |
Calvert Hall |
|
 
| Calvert Hall |
| Chapelgate Christian |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Concordia Prep |
Concordia Prep |
|
 
| Concordia Prep |
| Cristo Rey Jesuit |
Cristo Rey Jesuit |
|
 
| Cristo Rey Jesuit |
| DeMatha |
DeMatha |
|
 
| DeMatha |
| FCA LC |
FCA LC |
|
 
| FCA LC |
| Friends |
Friends |
|
 
| Friends |
| Garrett County LC |
Garrett County LC |
|
 
| Garrett County LC |
| Georgetown Day |
Georgetown Day |
|
 
| Georgetown Day |
| Georgetown Prep |
Georgetown Prep |
|
 
| Georgetown Prep |
| Gerstell Academy |
Gerstell Academy |
|
 
| Gerstell Academy |
| Gilman |
Gilman |
|
 
| Gilman |
| Glenelg Country |
Glenelg Country |
|
 
| Glenelg Country |
| Gonzaga |
Gonzaga |
|
 
| Gonzaga |
| Good Counsel |
Good Counsel |
|
 
| Good Counsel |
| Gunston School |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Heights |
Heights |
|
 
| Heights |
| Indian Creek School |
Indian Creek School |
|
 
| Indian Creek School |
| Jemicy School |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| John Carroll |
John Carroll |
|
 
| John Carroll |
| Key School |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Landon |
Landon |
|
 
| Landon |
| Loyola-Blakefield |
Loyola-Blakefield |
|
 
| Loyola-Blakefield |
| Maret |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| McDonogh |
McDonogh |
|
 
| McDonogh |
| Mercersburg Academy |
Mercersburg Academy |
|
 
| Mercersburg Academy |
| Mount Carmel |
Mount Carmel |
|
 
| Mount Carmel |
| Mount St Joseph |
Mount St Joseph |
|
 
| Mount St Joseph |
| Park School |
Park School |
|
 
| Park School |
| Salisbury School |
Salisbury School |
|
 
| Salisbury School |
| Sandy Spring Friends |
Sandy Spring Friends |
|
 
| Sandy Spring Friends |
| Severn School |
Severn School |
|
 
| Severn School |
| Sidwell Friends |
Sidwell Friends |
|
 
| Sidwell Friends |
| St Albans |
St Albans |
|
 
| St Albans |
| St Andrews Episcopal |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| St James |
St James |
|
 
| St James |
| St Johns Catholic Pr |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| St Johns College HS |
St Johns College HS |
|
 
| St Johns College HS |
| St Marys Annapolis |
St Marys Annapolis |
|
 
| St Marys Annapolis |
| St Marys Ryken |
St Marys Ryken |
|
 
| St Marys Ryken |
| St Pauls |
St Pauls |
|
 
| St Pauls |
| St Vincent Pallotti |
St Vincent Pallotti |
|
 
| St Vincent Pallotti |
| Sts Peter & Paul |
Sts Peter & Paul |
|
 
| Sts Peter & Paul |
| Tome School |
Tome School |
|
 
| Tome School |
| Worcester Prep |
Worcester Prep |
|
 
| Worcester Prep |
| Aberdeen |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Academy for College |
Academy for College |
|
 
| Academy for College |
| Annapolis |
Annapolis |
|
 
| Annapolis |
| Arundel |
Southern AA |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Southern AA |
| Atholton |
Atholton |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Atholton |
| Baltimore Polytechni |
Baltimore Polytechni |
|
 
| Baltimore Polytechni |
| Bel Air |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
|
 
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
| Bladensburg |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Blair |
Blair |
|
 
| Blair |
| Blake |
Blake |
|
 
| Blake |
| Bohemia Manor |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Boonsboro |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Bowie |
Bowie |
|
 
| Bowie |
| Broadneck |
Broadneck |
|
 
| Broadneck |
| Brunswick |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Calvert |
Calvert |
|
 
| Calvert |
| Cambridge SD |
Cambridge SD |
|
 
| Cambridge SD |
| Carver A&T |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Catoctin |
Catoctin |
|
 
| Catoctin |
| Catonsville |
Catonsville |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Catonsville |
| Centennial |
Centennial |
Centennial |
 
| |
| Century |
Century |
|
 
| Century |
| CH Flowers |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Chesapeake AA |
Chesapeake AA |
Chesapeake AA |
 
| |
| Chesapeake BC |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Chopticon |
Chopticon |
|
 
| Chopticon |
| City College |
City College |
|
 
| City College |
| Clarksburg |
Clarksburg |
|
 
| Clarksburg |
| CM Wright |
CM Wright |
|
 
| CM Wright |
| Crofton |
Crofton |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Crofton |
| Damascus |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Digital Harbor |
Digital Harbor |
|
 
| Digital Harbor |
| Dr Henry Wise |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Dulaney |
Dulaney |
|
 
| Dulaney |
| Dunbar |
Dunbar |
|
 
| Dunbar |
| Dundalk |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| DuVal |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Eastern Tech |
Eastern Tech |
|
 
| Eastern Tech |
| Easton |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Edgewood |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Edmondson-Westside |
Edmondson-Westside |
|
 
| Edmondson-Westside |
| Einstein |
Einstein |
|
 
| Einstein |
| Eleanor Roosevelt |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Elkton |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Fairmont Heights |
Fairmont Heights |
|
 
| Fairmont Heights |
| Fallston |
Fallston |
|
 
| Fallston |
| Forest Park |
Forest Park |
|
 
| Forest Park |
| Francis Scott Key |
Francis Scott Key |
|
 
| Francis Scott Key |
| Franklin |
Franklin |
|
 
| Franklin |
| Frederick |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Frederick Douglass B |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Frederick Douglass P |
Frederick Douglass P |
|
 
| Frederick Douglass P |
| Friendly |
Friendly |
|
 
| Friendly |
| Gaithersburg |
Gaithersburg |
|
 
| Gaithersburg |
| Glen Burnie |
Glen Burnie |
|
 
| Glen Burnie |
| Glenelg HS |
Glenelg HS |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Glenelg HS |
| Gov Thomas Johnson |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Great Mills |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Guilford Park |
Guilford Park |
|
 
| Guilford Park |
| Gwynn Park |
Gwynn Park |
|
 
| Gwynn Park |
| Hammond |
Southern AA |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Southern AA |
| Harford Tech |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Havre De Grace |
Havre De Grace |
|
 
| Havre De Grace |
| Hereford |
Hereford |
|
 
| Hereford |
| High Point |
High Point |
|
 
| High Point |
| Howard |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Huntingtown |
Huntingtown |
|
 
| Huntingtown |
| JM Bennett |
JM Bennett |
|
 
| JM Bennett |
| Joppatowne |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Kennedy |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Kent County |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Kent Island |
Kent Island |
|
 
| Kent Island |
| Kenwood |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| La Plata |
La Plata |
|
 
| La Plata |
| Lackey |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Lake Clifton |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Lansdowne |
Lansdowne |
|
 
| Lansdowne |
| Laurel |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Leonardtown |
Leonardtown |
|
 
| Leonardtown |
| Liberty |
Liberty |
|
 
| Liberty |
| Linganore |
Linganore |
|
 
| Linganore |
| Loch Raven |
Loch Raven |
|
 
| Loch Raven |
| Long Reach |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Magruder |
Magruder |
|
 
| Magruder |
| Manchester Valley |
Manchester Valley |
|
 
| Manchester Valley |
| Marriotts Ridge |
Marriotts Ridge |
|
 
| Marriotts Ridge |
| Meade |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Mergenthaler |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Middletown |
Middletown |
|
 
| Middletown |
| Milford Mill |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| MJ McDonough |
Southern AA |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Southern AA |
| Mount Hebron |
Mount Hebron |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Mount Hebron |
| National Academy Fou |
National Academy Fou |
|
 
| National Academy Fou |
| New Town |
New Town |
|
 
| New Town |
| North Caroline |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| North County |
North County |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
North County |
| North Dorchester |
North Dorchester |
|
 
| North Dorchester |
| North East Cecil |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| North Hagerstown |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| North Harford |
North Harford |
|
 
| North Harford |
| North Point |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Northeast AA |
Northeast AA |
Northeast AA |
 
| |
| Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
 
| |
| Northwest |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Northwestern PG |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Northwood |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Oakdale |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Oakland Mills |
Southern AA |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Southern AA |
| Old Mill |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Overlea |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Owings Mills |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Oxon Hill |
Oxon Hill |
|
 
| Oxon Hill |
| Paint Branch |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Parkdale |
Parkdale |
|
 
| Parkdale |
| Parkside |
Parkside |
|
 
| Parkside |
| Parkville |
Parkville |
|
 
| Parkville |
| Patapsco |
Patapsco |
|
 
| Patapsco |
| Patterson HS |
Patterson HS |
|
 
| Patterson HS |
| Patterson Mill |
Patterson Mill |
|
 
| Patterson Mill |
| Patuxent |
Patuxent |
|
 
| Patuxent |
| Perry Hall |
Perry Hall |
|
 
| Perry Hall |
| Perryville |
Perryville |
|
 
| Perryville |
| Pikesville |
Pikesville |
|
 
| Pikesville |
| Poolesville |
Poolesville |
|
 
| Poolesville |
| Queen Annes County |
Queen Annes County |
|
 
| Queen Annes County |
| Quince Orchard |
Quince Orchard |
|
 
| Quince Orchard |
| Randallstown |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Reginald F Lewis |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Reservoir |
Reservoir |
|
 
| Reservoir |
| Richard Montgomery |
Richard Montgomery |
|
 
| Richard Montgomery |
| Rising Sun |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| River Hill |
River Hill |
|
 
| River Hill |
| Rockville |
Rockville |
|
 
| Rockville |
| Seneca Valley |
Seneca Valley |
|
 
| Seneca Valley |
| Severn Run |
Southern AA |
Southern AA |
 
| |
| Severna Park |
Severna Park |
|
 
| Severna Park |
| Sherwood |
Sherwood |
|
 
| Sherwood |
| Smithsburg |
Smithsburg |
|
 
| Smithsburg |
| South Carroll |
South Carroll |
|
 
| South Carroll |
| South Hagerstown |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| South River |
South River |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
South River |
| Sparrows Point |
Sparrows Point |
|
 
| Sparrows Point |
| Springbrook |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| St Charles |
Southern AA |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Southern AA |
| Stephen Decatur |
Stephen Decatur |
|
 
| Stephen Decatur |
| Suitland |
Suitland |
|
 
| Suitland |
| Surrattsville |
Surrattsville |
|
 
| Surrattsville |
| Thomas Stone |
Southern AA |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Southern AA |
| Towson |
Towson |
|
 
| Towson |
| Tuscarora |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Urbana |
Urbana |
|
 
| Urbana |
| Walkersville |
Walkersville |
|
 
| Walkersville |
| Walt Whitman |
Walt Whitman |
|
 
| Walt Whitman |
| Walter Johnson |
Walter Johnson |
|
 
| Walter Johnson |
| Watkins Mill |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Western STES |
Western STES |
|
 
| Western STES |
| Westlake |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Westminster |
Westminster |
|
 
| Westminster |
| Wheaton |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Wicomico |
Wicomico |
|
 
| Wicomico |
| Wilde Lake |
Wilde Lake |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Wilde Lake |
| Winston Churchill |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Winters Mill |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Woodlawn |
Woodlawn |
|
 
| Woodlawn |
| Wootton |
Wootton |
|
 
| Wootton |
| Archbishop Carroll |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| DC International PCS |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Jackson Reed |
Jackson Reed |
|
 
| Jackson Reed |
PowerWise = 70

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.26
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Severn Run ( 1- 2, 82.5) 14- 5 -17.45 7.62 -0.41 0.65 4.70
0 H Centennial ( 3- 1, 90.3) 9-15 -9.64 15.43 -0.41 0.65 -6.55
0 A Chesapeake AA ( 2- 1, 90.9) 1-14 -9.02 16.04 0.41 0.65 -5.62
0 H Northeast AA ( 3- 0, 92.2) 2-12 -7.70 17.37 -0.41 0.65 -5.29
0 A Northern Calve ( 4- 2, 87.4) 7-10 -12.50 12.57 0.41 0.65 -7.89
------
-20.64
|
winning pts = 4.7039 losing points = -25.3439
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------