UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:40 PDT

boys Southern AA 1
  
Southern AA           
W-L: ( 1- 4) PR = 85.5693

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Severn Run ( 1- 2, 82.5) 14- 5 324 H Centennial ( 3- 1, 90.3) 9-15 327 A Chesapeake AA ( 2- 1, 90.9) 1-14 330 H Northeast AA ( 3- 0, 92.2) 2-12 402 A Northern Calvert ( 4- 2, 87.4) 7-10 408 A Mount Hebron ( 2- 1, 87.1) 410 H Severna Park ( 2- 2, 96.9) 414 H Glen Burnie ( 1- 1, 89.1) 417 A Broadneck ( 2- 0, 98.2) 421 H Annapolis ( 3- 0, 96.0) 424 H South River ( 1- 2, 90.3) 428 A Meade ( 0- 2, 83.6) 429 A Crofton ( 2- 2, 91.6)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Severn Run             14- 5       9     4           1.48
   324 H Centennial              9-15      -6    -4          -0.71
   327 A Chesapeake  AA          1-14     -13    -6           0.00
   330 H Northeast AA            2-12     -10    -6           0.00
   402 A Northern Calvert        7-10      -3    -2          -0.76

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Southern AA Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Annapolis Area Chris   Annapolis Area Chris
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Southern AA   Southern AA
Bishop McNamara Bishop McNamara   Bishop McNamara
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Southern AA   Southern AA
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Cristo Rey Jesuit   Cristo Rey Jesuit
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC FCA LC   FCA LC
Friends Friends   Friends
Garrett County LC Garrett County LC   Garrett County LC
Georgetown Day Georgetown Day   Georgetown Day
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Glenelg Country   Glenelg Country
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Southern AA   Southern AA
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School   Indian Creek School
Jemicy School Southern AA   Southern AA
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Southern AA   Southern AA
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Southern AA   Southern AA
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Mercersburg Academy   Mercersburg Academy
Mount Carmel Mount Carmel   Mount Carmel
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Park School   Park School
Salisbury School Salisbury School   Salisbury School
Sandy Spring Friends Sandy Spring Friends   Sandy Spring Friends
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Southern AA   Southern AA
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Southern AA   Southern AA
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti St Vincent Pallotti   St Vincent Pallotti
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Tome School   Tome School
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Southern AA   Southern AA
Academy for College Academy for College   Academy for College
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Southern AA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern AA
Atholton Atholton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Atholton
Baltimore Polytechni Baltimore Polytechni   Baltimore Polytechni
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Southern AA   Southern AA
Blair Blair   Blair
Blake Blake   Blake
Bohemia Manor Southern AA   Southern AA
Boonsboro Southern AA   Southern AA
Bowie Bowie   Bowie
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Southern AA   Southern AA
Calvert Calvert   Calvert
Cambridge SD Cambridge SD   Cambridge SD
Carver A&T Southern AA   Southern AA
Catoctin Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Catonsville
Centennial Centennial Centennial  
Century Century   Century
CH Flowers Southern AA   Southern AA
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA  
Chesapeake BC Southern AA   Southern AA
Chopticon Chopticon   Chopticon
City College City College   City College
Clarksburg Clarksburg   Clarksburg
CM Wright CM Wright   CM Wright
Crofton Crofton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Crofton
Damascus Southern AA   Southern AA
Digital Harbor Digital Harbor   Digital Harbor
Dr Henry Wise Southern AA   Southern AA
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dunbar Dunbar   Dunbar
Dundalk Southern AA   Southern AA
DuVal Southern AA   Southern AA
Eastern Tech Eastern Tech   Eastern Tech
Easton Southern AA   Southern AA
Edgewood Southern AA   Southern AA
Edmondson-Westside Edmondson-Westside   Edmondson-Westside
Einstein Einstein   Einstein
Eleanor Roosevelt Southern AA   Southern AA
Elkton Southern AA   Southern AA
Fairmont Heights Fairmont Heights   Fairmont Heights
Fallston Fallston   Fallston
Forest Park Forest Park   Forest Park
Francis Scott Key Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Southern AA   Southern AA
Frederick Douglass B Southern AA   Southern AA
Frederick Douglass P Frederick Douglass P   Frederick Douglass P
Friendly Friendly   Friendly
Gaithersburg Gaithersburg   Gaithersburg
Glen Burnie Glen Burnie   Glen Burnie
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Southern AA   Southern AA
Great Mills Great Mills   Great Mills
Guilford Park Guilford Park   Guilford Park
Gwynn Park Gwynn Park   Gwynn Park
Hammond Southern AA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern AA
Harford Tech Southern AA   Southern AA
Havre De Grace Havre De Grace   Havre De Grace
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
High Point High Point   High Point
Howard Southern AA   Southern AA
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett   JM Bennett
Joppatowne Southern AA   Southern AA
Kennedy Southern AA   Southern AA
Kent County Southern AA   Southern AA
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Southern AA   Southern AA
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey Southern AA   Southern AA
Lake Clifton Southern AA   Southern AA
Lansdowne Lansdowne   Lansdowne
Laurel Southern AA   Southern AA
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Loch Raven   Loch Raven
Long Reach Southern AA   Southern AA
Magruder Magruder   Magruder
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade Southern AA   Southern AA
Mergenthaler Southern AA   Southern AA
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Milford Mill Southern AA   Southern AA
MJ McDonough Southern AA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern AA
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mount Hebron
National Academy Fou National Academy Fou   National Academy Fou
New Town New Town   New Town
North Caroline Southern AA   Southern AA
North County North County tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) North County
North Dorchester North Dorchester   North Dorchester
North East Cecil Southern AA   Southern AA
North Hagerstown Southern AA   Southern AA
North Harford North Harford   North Harford
North Point Southern AA   Southern AA
Northeast AA Northeast AA Northeast AA  
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert Northern Calvert  
Northwest Southern AA   Southern AA
Northwestern PG Southern AA   Southern AA
Northwood Southern AA   Southern AA
Oakdale Southern AA   Southern AA
Oakland Mills Southern AA insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southern AA
Old Mill Southern AA   Southern AA
Overlea Southern AA   Southern AA
Owings Mills Southern AA   Southern AA
Oxon Hill Oxon Hill   Oxon Hill
Paint Branch Southern AA   Southern AA
Parkdale Parkdale   Parkdale
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Parkville   Parkville
Patapsco Patapsco   Patapsco
Patterson HS Patterson HS   Patterson HS
Patterson Mill Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Patuxent Patuxent   Patuxent
Perry Hall Perry Hall   Perry Hall
Perryville Perryville   Perryville
Pikesville Pikesville   Pikesville
Poolesville Poolesville   Poolesville
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Southern AA   Southern AA
Reginald F Lewis Southern AA   Southern AA
Reservoir Reservoir   Reservoir
Richard Montgomery Richard Montgomery   Richard Montgomery
Rising Sun Rising Sun   Rising Sun
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville Rockville   Rockville
Seneca Valley Seneca Valley   Seneca Valley
Severn Run Southern AA Southern AA  
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Smithsburg   Smithsburg
South Carroll South Carroll   South Carroll
South Hagerstown Southern AA   Southern AA
South River South River insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South River
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point   Sparrows Point
Springbrook Southern AA   Southern AA
St Charles Southern AA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern AA
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Suitland   Suitland
Surrattsville Surrattsville   Surrattsville
Thomas Stone Southern AA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern AA
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Southern AA   Southern AA
Urbana Urbana   Urbana
Walkersville Walkersville   Walkersville
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman   Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Southern AA   Southern AA
Western STES Western STES   Western STES
Westlake Southern AA   Southern AA
Westminster Westminster   Westminster
Wheaton Southern AA   Southern AA
Wicomico Wicomico   Wicomico
Wilde Lake Wilde Lake tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wilde Lake
Winston Churchill Winston Churchill   Winston Churchill
Winters Mill Southern AA   Southern AA
Woodlawn Woodlawn   Woodlawn
Wootton Wootton   Wootton
Archbishop Carroll Southern AA   Southern AA
DC International PCS Southern AA   Southern AA
Jackson Reed Jackson Reed   Jackson Reed

PowerWise = 70


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.26

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Severn Run      ( 1- 2, 82.5)    14- 5      -17.45       7.62      -0.41         0.65             4.70
   0 H Centennial      ( 3- 1, 90.3)     9-15       -9.64      15.43      -0.41         0.65            -6.55
   0 A Chesapeake  AA  ( 2- 1, 90.9)     1-14       -9.02      16.04       0.41         0.65            -5.62
   0 H Northeast AA    ( 3- 0, 92.2)     2-12       -7.70      17.37      -0.41         0.65            -5.29
   0 A Northern Calve  ( 4- 2, 87.4)     7-10      -12.50      12.57       0.41         0.65            -7.89
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -20.64

winning pts = 4.7039 losing points = -25.3439

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------