UPDATED: 04-19-26 10:00 PDT

boys Southern AA 1
  
Southern AA           
W-L: ( 1- 7) PR = 83.0350

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Severn Run ( 2- 4, 79.8) 14- 5 324 H Centennial ( 6- 3, 87.4) 9-15 327 A Chesapeake AA ( 7- 2, 91.0) 1-14 330 H Northeast AA ( 6- 1, 87.5) 2-12 402 A Northern Calvert ( 7- 3, 86.6) 7-10 408 A Mount Hebron ( 4- 3, 88.2) 4-14 410 H Severna Park ( 6- 2, 96.8) 1-19 414 H Glen Burnie ( 5- 3, 83.8) 13-14 417 A Broadneck ( 4- 1, 94.5) 421 H Annapolis ( 3- 4, 88.3) 424 H South River ( 4- 2, 90.2) 428 A Meade ( 1- 6, 79.2) 429 A Crofton ( 4- 4, 90.4)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Severn Run             14- 5       9     4           1.46
   324 H Centennial              9-15      -6    -4          -0.95
   327 A Chesapeake  AA          1-14     -13    -8           0.00
   330 H Northeast AA            2-12     -10    -4          -0.81
   402 A Northern Calvert        7-10      -3    -4           0.81
   408 A Mount Hebron            4-14     -10    -5           0.00
   410 H Severna Park            1-19     -18   -13           0.00
   414 H Glen Burnie            13-14      -1     0          -0.50

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Southern AA Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Southern AA   Southern AA
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Southern AA   Southern AA
Bishop McNamara Bishop McNamara   Bishop McNamara
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Southern AA   Southern AA
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Southern AA   Southern AA
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC FCA LC   FCA LC
Friends Friends   Friends
Garrett County LC Garrett County LC   Garrett County LC
Georgetown Day Southern AA   Southern AA
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Southern AA   Southern AA
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Southern AA   Southern AA
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School   Indian Creek School
Jemicy School Southern AA   Southern AA
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Southern AA   Southern AA
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Southern AA   Southern AA
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Southern AA   Southern AA
Mount Carmel Southern AA   Southern AA
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Park School   Park School
Salisbury School Salisbury School   Salisbury School
Sandy Spring Friends Sandy Spring Friends   Sandy Spring Friends
Severn School Severn School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal St Andrews Episcopal   St Andrews Episcopal
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Southern AA   Southern AA
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Southern AA   Southern AA
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Southern AA   Southern AA
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Southern AA   Southern AA
Academy for College Academy for College   Academy for College
Annapolis Annapolis tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Annapolis
Arundel Southern AA insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Southern AA
Atholton Southern AA tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Southern AA
Baltimore Polytechni Southern AA   Southern AA
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Southern AA   Southern AA
Blair Southern AA   Southern AA
Blake Southern AA   Southern AA
Bohemia Manor Southern AA   Southern AA
Boonsboro Southern AA   Southern AA
Bowie Bowie   Bowie
Broadneck Broadneck tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Broadneck
Brunswick Southern AA   Southern AA
Calvert Calvert tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Calvert
Cambridge SD Southern AA   Southern AA
Carver A&T Southern AA   Southern AA
Catoctin Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Catonsville
Centennial Centennial Centennial  
Century Century   Century
CH Flowers CH Flowers   CH Flowers
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA  
Chesapeake BC Southern AA   Southern AA
Chopticon Chopticon tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chopticon
City College City College   City College
Clarksburg Clarksburg   Clarksburg
CM Wright CM Wright   CM Wright
Crofton Crofton insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Crofton
Damascus Damascus   Damascus
Digital Harbor Digital Harbor   Digital Harbor
Dr Henry Wise Southern AA   Southern AA
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dunbar Southern AA   Southern AA
Dundalk Southern AA   Southern AA
DuVal DuVal   DuVal
Eastern Tech Eastern Tech   Eastern Tech
Easton Easton   Easton
Edgewood Southern AA   Southern AA
Edmondson-Westside Edmondson-Westside   Edmondson-Westside
Einstein Southern AA   Southern AA
Eleanor Roosevelt Eleanor Roosevelt   Eleanor Roosevelt
Elkton Southern AA   Southern AA
Fairmont Heights Southern AA   Southern AA
Fallston Fallston   Fallston
Forest Park Southern AA   Southern AA
Francis Scott Key Southern AA   Southern AA
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Southern AA   Southern AA
Frederick Douglass B Frederick Douglass B   Frederick Douglass B
Frederick Douglass P Frederick Douglass P   Frederick Douglass P
Friendly Friendly   Friendly
Gaithersburg Southern AA   Southern AA
Glen Burnie Glen Burnie Glen Burnie  
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Gov Thomas Johnson Southern AA   Southern AA
Great Mills Southern AA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern AA
Guilford Park Guilford Park tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Guilford Park
Gwynn Park Gwynn Park   Gwynn Park
Hammond Southern AA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern AA
Harford Tech Harford Tech   Harford Tech
Havre De Grace Southern AA   Southern AA
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
High Point High Point   High Point
Howard Howard insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Howard
Huntingtown Huntingtown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett   JM Bennett
Joppatowne Southern AA   Southern AA
Kennedy Southern AA   Southern AA
Kent County Southern AA   Southern AA
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Southern AA   Southern AA
La Plata Southern AA   Southern AA
Lackey Southern AA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern AA
Lake Clifton Southern AA   Southern AA
Lansdowne Southern AA   Southern AA
Laurel Southern AA   Southern AA
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Southern AA   Southern AA
Long Reach Southern AA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern AA
Magruder Magruder   Magruder
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Meade Southern AA tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Southern AA
Mergenthaler Southern AA   Southern AA
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Milford Mill Southern AA   Southern AA
MJ McDonough Southern AA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern AA
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron Mount Hebron  
National Academy Fou National Academy Fou   National Academy Fou
New Town New Town   New Town
North Caroline North Caroline   North Caroline
North County North County insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) North County
North Dorchester Southern AA   Southern AA
North East Cecil Southern AA   Southern AA
North Hagerstown Southern AA   Southern AA
North Harford North Harford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Harford
North Point Southern AA   Southern AA
Northeast AA Northeast AA Northeast AA  
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert Northern Calvert  
Northwest Southern AA   Southern AA
Northwestern PG Northwestern PG   Northwestern PG
Northwood Southern AA   Southern AA
Oakdale Oakdale   Oakdale
Oakland Mills Southern AA insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Southern AA
Old Mill Southern AA   Southern AA
Overlea Southern AA   Southern AA
Owings Mills Southern AA   Southern AA
Oxon Hill Oxon Hill   Oxon Hill
Paint Branch Southern AA   Southern AA
Parkdale Southern AA   Southern AA
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Parkville   Parkville
Patapsco Southern AA   Southern AA
Patterson HS Southern AA   Southern AA
Patterson Mill Patterson Mill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Patterson Mill
Patuxent Patuxent   Patuxent
Perry Hall Southern AA   Southern AA
Perryville Perryville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Perryville
Pikesville Pikesville   Pikesville
Poolesville Southern AA   Southern AA
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Southern AA   Southern AA
Reginald F Lewis Southern AA   Southern AA
Reservoir Southern AA   Southern AA
Richard Montgomery Southern AA   Southern AA
Rising Sun Rising Sun   Rising Sun
River Hill River Hill tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) River Hill
Rockville Rockville   Rockville
Seneca Valley Southern AA   Southern AA
Severn Run Southern AA Southern AA  
Severna Park Severna Park Severna Park  
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Smithsburg   Smithsburg
South Carroll South Carroll   South Carroll
South Hagerstown Southern AA   Southern AA
South River South River South River   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point   Sparrows Point
Springbrook Southern AA   Southern AA
St Charles Southern AA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern AA
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Southern AA   Southern AA
Surrattsville Surrattsville   Surrattsville
Thomas Stone Southern AA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern AA
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Southern AA   Southern AA
Urbana Urbana insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Urbana
Walkersville Walkersville   Walkersville
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman   Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Southern AA   Southern AA
Western STES Southern AA   Southern AA
Westlake Southern AA   Southern AA
Westminster Westminster   Westminster
Wheaton Southern AA   Southern AA
Wicomico Southern AA   Southern AA
Wilde Lake Wilde Lake insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Wilde Lake
Winston Churchill Southern AA   Southern AA
Winters Mill Winters Mill insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Winters Mill
Woodlawn Woodlawn   Woodlawn
Wootton Wootton   Wootton
Archbishop Carroll Southern AA   Southern AA
DC International PCS Southern AA   Southern AA
Jackson Reed Jackson Reed   Jackson Reed

PowerWise = 94


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.47

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Severn Run      ( 2- 4, 79.8)    14- 5      -20.11      11.13      -0.30         0.81             8.76
   0 H Centennial      ( 6- 3, 87.4)     9-15      -12.52      18.72      -0.30         0.81           -10.36
   0 A Chesapeake  AA  ( 7- 2, 91.0)     1-14       -8.88      22.35       0.30         0.81            -6.94
   0 H Northeast AA    ( 6- 1, 87.5)     2-12      -12.38      18.86      -0.30         0.81           -10.25
   0 A Northern Calve  ( 7- 3, 86.6)     7-10      -13.35      17.89       0.30         0.81           -10.55
   0 A Mount Hebron    ( 4- 3, 88.2)     4-14      -11.73      19.50       0.30         0.81            -9.25
   0 H Severna Park    ( 6- 2, 96.8)     1-19       -3.12      28.12      -0.30         0.81            -2.76
   0 H Glen Burnie     ( 5- 3, 83.8)    13-14      -16.07      15.16      -0.30         0.81           -13.23
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -54.58

winning pts = 8.7588 losing points = -63.3422

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------