boys South Burlington 1

  
South Burlington      
W-L: ( 1- 2)  PR =    94.8012
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 416 H Middlebury Union                     ( 2- 1, 95.8)    13-14   
 418 H Champlain Valley Uni                 ( 1- 1, 96.8)     6- 7   
 422 A Essex Junction                       ( 0- 3, 89.8)    16- 4   
 425 H Mt Mansfield Union                   ( 2- 1, 94.2)   
 429 A Woodstock Union                      ( 2- 1, 97.0)   
 502 A Rice Memorial                        ( 4- 0, 95.6)   
 505 A Bellows Free Academy                 ( 1- 2, 90.0)   
 508 H Middlebury Union                     ( 2- 1, 95.8)   
 512 A Champlain Valley Uni                 ( 1- 1, 96.8)   
 515 H Essex Junction                       ( 0- 3, 89.8)   
 519 A Mt Mansfield Union                   ( 2- 1, 94.2)   
 522 H Burr and Burton Acad                 ( 2- 0, 99.9)   
 526 H Rice Memorial                        ( 4- 0, 95.6)   
 529 H Bellows Free Academy                 ( 1- 2, 90.0)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Middlebury Union       13-14      -1     0          -1.00
   418 H Champlain Valley Uni    6- 7      -1    -1           0.01
   422 A Essex Junction         16- 4      12     4           1.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

South Burlington PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Bellows Free Academy	South Burlington			South Burlington
Bellows Free Academy	South Burlington		tied - 0- 1	South Burlington
Brattleboro Union	South Burlington			South Burlington
Burlington	South Burlington			South Burlington
Burr and Burton Acad	Burr and Burton Acad		Burr and Burton Acad 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Champlain Valley Uni	Champlain Valley Uni	Champlain Valley Uni
Colchester	South Burlington			South Burlington
Essex Junction	South Burlington	South Burlington
Green Mountain Valle	South Burlington			South Burlington
Hartford Union	South Burlington			South Burlington
Harwood Union	South Burlington			South Burlington
Lamoille Union	South Burlington			South Burlington
Lyndon Institute	South Burlington			South Burlington
Middlebury Union	Middlebury Union	Middlebury Union
Milton	Milton			Milton
Montpelier	South Burlington			South Burlington
Mount Abraham	South Burlington			South Burlington
Mt Anthony Union	South Burlington			South Burlington
Mt Mansfield Union	South Burlington		tied - 1- 0	South Burlington
Otter Valley Union	South Burlington			South Burlington
Randolph Union	South Burlington			South Burlington
Rice Memorial	Rice Memorial		Rice Memorial 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Rutland	South Burlington			South Burlington
Spaulding	South Burlington			South Burlington
St Johnsbury Academy	South Burlington			South Burlington
Stowe	South Burlington			South Burlington
Stratton Mountain Sc	South Burlington			South Burlington
Woodstock Union	Woodstock Union			Woodstock Union

PairWisePlus = 22

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 1.66

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Middlebury Uni  ( 2- 1, 95.8)    13-14       -4.10       8.58      -1.00         0.55            -2.81
   0 H Champlain Vall  ( 1- 1, 96.8)     6- 7       -3.09       9.59      -1.00         0.55            -2.25
   0 A Essex Junction  ( 0- 3, 89.8)    16- 4      -10.06       2.62       1.00         0.55             2.00
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -3.07

winning pts = 1.9979 losing points = -5.0649

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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