UPDATED: 04-16-26 09:38 PDT

boys Southern Alamance 1
  
Southern Alamance     
W-L: ( 9- 5) PR = 87.4779

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 A Northwood ( 8- 5, 88.0) 10- 4 304 H Eastern Guilford ( 0-12, 71.9) 18- 1 310 H Northwood ( 8- 5, 88.0) 6- 8 311 H Hillsborough Orange ( 9- 4, 91.2) 10-14 313 A East Chapel Hill ( 6- 4, 89.4) 5- 7 317 H West Forsyth ( 2-10, 81.8) 15- 5 318 A Eastern Guilford ( 0-12, 71.9) 13- 4 320 A Carrboro ( 8- 5, 90.8) 7-11 324 A Union Pines (12- 0, 91.4) 9-21 327 H Eastern Alamance ( 2- 5, 79.1) 17-12 331 A Western Alamance ( 2- 7, 76.8) 14- 2 401 A West Forsyth ( 2-10, 81.8) 13- 5 402 A Walter M Williams ( 6- 5, 87.4) 10- 9 414 H Southeast Alamance ( 4- 5, 79.0) 22- 6 421 A Eastern Alamance ( 2- 5, 79.1) 422 A Seaforth ( 3- 5, 87.6) 424 H Western Alamance ( 2- 7, 76.8) 428 H Walter M Williams ( 6- 5, 87.4) 430 H Carrboro ( 8- 5, 90.8) 501 A Southeast Alamance ( 4- 5, 79.0) 505 H Union Pines (12- 0, 91.4)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Northwood              10- 4       6    -1    ++     5.80
   304 H Eastern Guilford       18- 1      17    16           0.00
   310 H Northwood               6- 8      -2     0          -1.84
   311 H Hillsborough Orange    10-14      -4    -3          -0.59
   313 A East Chapel Hill        5- 7      -2    -2           0.27
   317 H West Forsyth           15- 5      10     6           0.00
   318 A Eastern Guilford       13- 4       9    15           0.00
   320 A Carrboro                7-11      -4    -4          -0.34
   324 A Union Pines             9-21     -12    -4          -0.78
   327 H Eastern Alamance       17-12       5     9           0.00
   331 A Western Alamance       14- 2      12    10           0.00
   401 A West Forsyth           13- 5       8     5           0.00
   402 A Walter M Williams      10- 9       1     0           1.20
   414 H Southeast Alamance     22- 6      16     9           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Northwood              10- 4       6    -1    ++     5.80

Southern Alamance Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Asheville HS Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Asheville School Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Southern Alamance insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Southern Alamance
Bradford Prep Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro Carrboro  
Cary Academy Cary Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cary Academy
Cary Christian Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Cary HS Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Cedar Ridge Southern Alamance Southern Alamance   3- 4 vs 1- 5
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King   Christ The King
Clayton Southern Alamance tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Southern Alamance
Cleveland Southern Alamance insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Southern Alamance
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Cornerstone Charter Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Croatan Croatan tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Davie
DH Conley Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill  
East Forsyth Southern Alamance insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Southern Alamance
Eastern Alamance Southern Alamance Southern Alamance  
Eastern Guilford Southern Alamance Southern Alamance  
Enloe Enloe tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Enloe
Fike Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Garner Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Glenn Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Grays Creek Southern Alamance tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern Alamance
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Greensboro Day
Grimsley Southern Alamance tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern Alamance
Havelock Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Southern Alamance tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern Alamance
High Point Central Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange  
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Independence Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Jack Britt Southern Alamance tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern Alamance
Jacksonville Jacksonville   Jacksonville
JF Webb Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
JH Rose JH Rose   JH Rose
John Paul II Catholi Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Jordan Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Lincoln Charter   Lincoln Charter
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Millbrook
Mooresville Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Mount Tabor Southern Alamance tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern Alamance
Mountain Island Char Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern Southern Alamance tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern Alamance
New Hanover Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
North Brunswick Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
North Davidson Southern Alamance insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southern Alamance
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Northern Durham Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Northern Guilford
Northside Northside   Northside
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northwest Guilford
Northwood Northwood insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) Northwood
Page Page tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Page
Panther Creek Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Parkwood Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Patton Morganton Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Pine Forest Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Queens Grant Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Southern Alamance tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Southern Alamance
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ravenscroft School
Reagan Southern Alamance tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern Alamance
Riverside Durham Southern Alamance tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Southern Alamance
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Roxboro Community Southern Alamance insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Southern Alamance
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 4) Seaforth
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Garner Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
South Iredell Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
South Mecklenburg Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
South View Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Southeast Alamance Southern Alamance Southern Alamance  
Southeast Guilford Southern Alamance tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern Alamance
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Southern Alamance tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern Alamance
St Davids School Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
St Stephens Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Sun Valley Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Swansboro Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
TC Roberson Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Terry Sanford Southern Alamance insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Southern Alamance
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines Union Pines  
Vance Charter Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Voyager Academy Southern Alamance insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Southern Alamance
Wake Forest Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Wake Prep Southern Alamance tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern Alamance
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Walter M Williams Southern Alamance Southern Alamance  
Watauga Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
West Carteret Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
West Forsyth Southern Alamance Southern Alamance  
West Stokes Southern Alamance insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Southern Alamance
Western Alamance Southern Alamance Southern Alamance  
Western Guilford Southern Alamance tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern Alamance
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 79


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.41

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Northwood       ( 8- 5, 88.0)    10- 4      -11.94      18.09       0.32         0.67            12.37
   0 H Eastern Guilfo  ( 0-12, 71.9)    18- 1      -28.03       2.00      -0.32         0.67             1.13
   0 H Northwood       ( 8- 5, 88.0)     6- 8      -11.94      18.09      -0.32         0.67            -8.24
   0 H Hillsborough O  ( 9- 4, 91.2)    10-14       -8.69      21.34      -0.32         0.67            -6.05
   0 A East Chapel Hi  ( 6- 4, 89.4)     5- 7      -10.47      19.55       0.32         0.67            -6.82
   0 H West Forsyth    ( 2-10, 81.8)    15- 5      -18.09      11.94      -0.32         0.67             7.81
   0 A Eastern Guilfo  ( 0-12, 71.9)    13- 4      -28.03       2.00       0.32         0.67             1.56
   0 A Carrboro        ( 8- 5, 90.8)     7-11       -9.08      20.95       0.32         0.67            -5.89
   0 A Union Pines     (12- 0, 91.4)     9-21       -8.53      21.50       0.32         0.67            -5.52
   0 H Eastern Alaman  ( 2- 5, 79.1)    17-12      -20.81       9.21      -0.32         0.67             5.98
   0 A Western Alaman  ( 2- 7, 76.8)    14- 2      -23.09       6.93       0.32         0.67             4.87
   0 A West Forsyth    ( 2-10, 81.8)    13- 5      -18.09      11.94       0.32         0.67             8.24
   0 A Walter M Willi  ( 6- 5, 87.4)    10- 9      -12.54      17.49       0.32         0.67            11.97
   0 H Southeast Alam  ( 4- 5, 79.0)    22- 6      -20.87       9.15      -0.32         0.67             5.94
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        27.34

winning pts = 59.8591 losing points = -32.5216

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------