St Johnsbury Academy
W-L: ( 5- 8) PR = 89.2756
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
414 H Randolph Union ( 3- 6, 85.2) 1- 0
417 H Montpelier ( 8- 3, 92.2) 7-10
421 A Bellows Free Academy ( 3- 9, 90.5) 3- 6
428 A Stowe ( 7- 6, 91.7) 7- 8
430 H Harwood Union (11- 1, 97.6) 4-11
502 H Mt Anthony Union ( 2- 9, 85.1) 7- 2
504 A Hartford Union (12- 1, 97.4) 2-12
508 H Mount Abraham ( 8- 4, 92.0) 4- 8
513 A Lyndon Institute ( 0-11, 84.4) 10- 3
515 A Burlington ( 2- 9, 88.1) 10- 5
519 A Colchester ( 3- 9, 87.3) 6- 7
522 H Milton (10- 3, 93.1) 6-10
526 A Spaulding ( 2-10, 84.1) 14- 3
530 H Bellows Free Academy ( 7- 5, 89.2)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
417 H Montpelier 7-10 -3 -3 -0.04
421 A Bellows Free Academy 3- 6 -3 -1 -1.77
428 A Stowe 7- 8 -1 -2 1.40
430 H Harwood Union 4-11 -7 -8 0.00
502 H Mt Anthony Union 7- 2 5 4 0.83
504 A Hartford Union 2-12 -10 -8 0.00
508 H Mount Abraham 4- 8 -4 -3 -1.24
513 A Lyndon Institute 10- 3 7 5 0.14
515 A Burlington 10- 5 5 1 + 3.84
519 A Colchester 6- 7 -1 2 - -2.98
522 H Milton 6-10 -4 -4 -0.20
526 A Spaulding 14- 3 11 5 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
519 A Colchester 6- 7 -1 2 - -2.98
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
515 A Burlington 10- 5 5 1 + 3.84
|
St Johnsbury Academy PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Bellows Free Academy |
Bellows Free Academy |
|
Bellows Free Academy   5- 4 vs 3- 6 |
|
| Bellows Free Academy |
Bellows Free Academy |
Bellows Free Academy |
 
| |
| Brattleboro Union |
Brattleboro Union |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Brattleboro Union |
| Burlington |
St Johnsbury Academy |
St Johnsbury Academy |
 
|
| Burr and Burton Acad |
Burr and Burton Acad |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Burr and Burton Acad |
| Champlain Valley Uni |
Champlain Valley Uni |
|
Champlain Valley Uni   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Colchester |
Colchester |
Colchester |
 
|
| Essex Junction |
Essex Junction |
|
Essex Junction   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Green Mountain Valle |
St Johnsbury Academy |
|
tied -  2- 3 |
St Johnsbury Academy |
| Hartford Union |
Hartford Union |
Hartford Union |
 
| |
| Harwood Union |
Harwood Union |
Harwood Union |
 
| |
| Lamoille Union |
Lamoille Union |
|
 
| Lamoille Union |
| Lyndon Institute |
St Johnsbury Academy |
St Johnsbury Academy |
 
| |
| Middlebury Union |
Middlebury Union |
|
Middlebury Union   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Milton |
Milton |
Milton |
 
| |
| Montpelier |
Montpelier |
Montpelier |
 
| |
| Mount Abraham |
Mount Abraham |
Mount Abraham |
 
| |
| Mt Anthony Union |
St Johnsbury Academy |
St Johnsbury Academy |
 
| |
| Mt Mansfield Union |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
Mt Mansfield Union   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Otter Valley Union |
St Johnsbury Academy |
|
St Johnsbury Academy   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Randolph Union |
St Johnsbury Academy |
St Johnsbury Academy |
 
| |
| Rice Memorial |
Rice Memorial |
|
Rice Memorial   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Rutland |
St Johnsbury Academy |
|
St Johnsbury Academy   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| South Burlington |
South Burlington |
|
South Burlington   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Spaulding |
St Johnsbury Academy |
St Johnsbury Academy |
 
| |
| Stowe |
Stowe |
Stowe |
 
| |
| Stratton Mountain Sc |
St Johnsbury Academy |
|
St Johnsbury Academy   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Woodstock Union |
Woodstock Union |
|
Woodstock Union   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
PairWisePlus = 9

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.90
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Randolph Union ( 3- 6, 85.2) 1- 0 -14.69 1.11 -0.01 0.84 0.92
0 H Montpelier ( 8- 3, 92.2) 7-10 -7.66 8.14 -0.01 0.84 -6.43
0 A Bellows Free A ( 3- 9, 90.5) 3- 6 -9.40 6.39 0.01 0.84 -7.87
0 A Stowe ( 7- 6, 91.7) 7- 8 -8.24 7.56 0.01 0.84 -6.90
0 H Harwood Union (11- 1, 97.6) 4-11 -2.35 13.45 -0.01 0.84 -1.98
0 H Mt Anthony Uni ( 2- 9, 85.1) 7- 2 -14.78 1.01 -0.01 0.84 0.84
0 A Hartford Union (12- 1, 97.4) 2-12 -2.50 13.30 0.01 0.84 -2.09
0 H Mount Abraham ( 8- 4, 92.0) 4- 8 -7.85 7.94 -0.01 0.84 -6.59
0 A Lyndon Institu ( 0-11, 84.4) 10- 3 -15.49 1.00 0.01 0.84 0.85
0 A Burlington ( 2- 9, 88.1) 10- 5 -11.80 4.00 0.01 0.84 3.36
0 A Colchester ( 3- 9, 87.3) 6- 7 -12.62 3.18 0.01 0.84 -10.57
0 H Milton (10- 3, 93.1) 6-10 -6.82 8.98 -0.01 0.84 -5.72
0 A Spaulding ( 2-10, 84.1) 14- 3 -15.80 1.00 0.01 0.84 0.85
------
-41.33
|
winning pts = 6.8148 losing points = -48.1415
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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