UPDATED: 04-04-26 09:08 PDT

boys South County 1
  
South County          
W-L: ( 1- 4) PR = 83.8468

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A Westfield ( 2- 2, 85.4) 6- 9 323 A Patriot ( 3- 1, 85.3) 10-12 325 H Edison ( 1- 2, 80.6) 14- 6 328 H Chantilly ( 5- 1, 91.4) 9-21 330 N Oakton ( 3- 1, 92.5) 4-13 406 A Washington-Liberty ( 1- 3, 82.2) 413 H Woodson ( 1- 3, 87.7) 417 A Alexandria City ( 3- 1, 86.5) 422 H Robinson ( 2- 1, 93.2) 424 A West Springfield ( 5- 0, 92.4) 425 H South Lakes ( 2- 3, 86.1) 430 A Fairfax ( 3- 1, 86.9) 504 H West Potomac ( 2- 0, 84.7) 506 H Lake Braddock ( 1- 3, 87.6)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Westfield               6- 9      -3    -2          -1.36
   323 A Patriot                10-12      -2    -2          -0.49
   325 H Edison                 14- 6       8     3           1.69
   328 H Chantilly               9-21     -12    -8           0.00
   330 N Oakton                  4-13      -9    -9           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

South County Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle   Albemarle
Alexandria City Alexandria City   Alexandria City
Annandale South County   South County
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield   Battlefield
Bayside Bayside   Bayside
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville   Brentsville
Briar Woods Briar Woods   Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run   Broad Run
Brooke Point South County   South County
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Cave Spring   Cave Spring
Centreville Centreville   Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly Chantilly  
Charlottesville South County   South County
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Christiansburg   Christiansburg
Clover Hill South County   South County
Colgan Colgan   Colgan
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Cosby Cosby   Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox   Cox
Culpeper County South County   South County
Deep Run South County   South County
Dominion Dominion   Dominion
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View South County   South County
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison South County South County  
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Eukarya Christian   Eukarya Christian
Fairfax Fairfax   Fairfax
Falls Church South County   South County
Fauquier Fauquier   Fauquier
First Colonial South County   South County
Fishburne Military A Fishburne Military A   Fishburne Military A
Flint Hill South County   South County
Fluvanna County Fluvanna County   Fluvanna County
Forest Park South County tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South County
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County South County   South County
Fredericksburg Acade South County   South County
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Freedom South Ridin
Freedom Woodbridge Freedom Woodbridge   Freedom Woodbridge
Gainesville Gainesville   Gainesville
Gar-field South County   South County
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland   Goochland
Grafton LC South County   South County
Grassfield LC South County   South County
Green Run Green Run   Green Run
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hayfield South County tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) South County
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Herndon Herndon tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Herndon
Hickory LC Hickory LC   Hickory LC
Hidden Valley South County   South County
Highland School South County   South County
Highland Springs Highland Springs   Highland Springs
Hylton South County   South County
Independence Independence   Independence
James Monroe James Monroe   James Monroe
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe South County tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South County
Justice South County   South County
Kellam South County   South County
Kempsville Kempsville   Kempsville
Kettle Run South County   South County
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lake Braddock
Landstown South County   South County
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis South County   South County
Liberty Bealeton South County   South County
Lightridge Lightridge   Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird Lloyd C Bird   Lloyd C Bird
Lord Botetourt Lord Botetourt   Lord Botetourt
Loudoun County Loudoun County   Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley South County   South County
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester South County   South County
Marshall South County insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South County
Massaponax South County   South County
Matoaca Matoaca   Matoaca
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) McLean
Mechanicsville Mechanicsville   Mechanicsville
Menchville LC South County   South County
Meridian Meridian   Meridian
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin South County   South County
Monacan Monacan   Monacan
Monticello South County   South County
Mount Vernon South County   South County
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School South County   South County
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate South County   South County
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford South County   South County
Northern VA Home Sch South County   South County
Oakton Oakton Oakton  
Ocean Lakes South County   South County
Orange County South County   South County
Osbourn South County   South County
Osbourn Park Osbourn Park   Osbourn Park
Park View South County   South County
Patrick Henry Ashla Patrick Henry Ashla   Patrick Henry Ashla
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot Patriot  
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls South County   South County
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries South County   South County
Powhatan South County   South County
Princess Anne Princess Anne   Princess Anne
Riverbend Riverbend   Riverbend
Riverside Riverside insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Riverside
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge South County   South County
Rockbridge County Rockbridge County   Rockbridge County
Rockingham LC South County   South County
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach South County   South County
Seton School South County   South County
South Lakes South Lakes   South Lakes
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre South County   South County
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Stafford   Stafford
Steward School South County   South County
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC Strasburg LC   Strasburg LC
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood South County   South County
Tandem Friends Tandem Friends   Tandem Friends
Thomas Dale South County   South County
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Trinity Christian Trinity Christian   Trinity Christian
Trinity Episcopal South County   South County
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View   Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora South County   South County
Unity Reed Unity Reed   Unity Reed
Veritas School Veritas School   Veritas School
Virginia Academy South County   South County
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS South County   South County
Wakefield School Wakefield School   Wakefield School
Washington-Liberty South County   South County
West Potomac West Potomac   West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield Westfield  
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming William Fleming   William Fleming
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge South County   South County
Woodgrove South County   South County
Woodson Woodson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Woodson
York LC York LC   York LC
Yorktown Yorktown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Yorktown

PowerWise = 62


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.27

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Westfield       ( 2- 2, 85.4)     6- 9      -14.50      13.26       0.08         0.65            -9.42
   0 A Patriot         ( 3- 1, 85.3)    10-12      -14.62      13.14       0.08         0.65            -9.50
   0 H Edison          ( 1- 2, 80.6)    14- 6      -19.28       8.48      -0.08         0.65             5.48
   0 H Chantilly       ( 5- 1, 91.4)     9-21       -8.47      19.29      -0.08         0.65            -5.58
   0 N Oakton          ( 3- 1, 92.5)     4-13       -7.43      20.33      -0.00         0.65            -4.85
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -23.86

winning pts = 5.4845 losing points = -29.3478

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------