UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:40 PDT

boys Reservoir 1
  
Reservoir             
W-L: ( 1- 3) PR = 86.4986

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Oakland Mills ( 1- 2, 81.2) 15- 2 324 H North County ( 2- 0, 90.1) 6- 9 326 H Wilde Lake ( 2- 2, 90.4) 4- 9 327 A Guilford Park ( 3- 0, 88.1) 5- 6 408 A Arundel ( 1- 2, 85.3) 414 A Howard ( 0- 3, 84.0) 417 A River Hill ( 2- 1, 91.1) 421 A Centennial ( 3- 1, 90.3) 423 H Atholton ( 1- 2, 86.4) 427 A Hammond ( 1- 3, 81.9) 428 H Mount Hebron ( 2- 1, 87.1) 430 H Long Reach ( 0- 4, 77.7)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Oakland Mills          15- 2      13     5           0.12
   324 H North County            6- 9      -3    -3           0.19
   326 H Wilde Lake              4- 9      -5    -4          -1.47
   327 A Guilford Park           5- 6      -1    -2           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Reservoir Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Annapolis Area Chris   Annapolis Area Chris
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Reservoir tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Reservoir
Bishop McNamara Bishop McNamara   Bishop McNamara
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Reservoir   Reservoir
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Cristo Rey Jesuit   Cristo Rey Jesuit
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC FCA LC   FCA LC
Friends Friends   Friends
Garrett County LC Garrett County LC   Garrett County LC
Georgetown Day Georgetown Day   Georgetown Day
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Glenelg Country   Glenelg Country
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Reservoir   Reservoir
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School   Indian Creek School
Jemicy School Reservoir   Reservoir
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Reservoir   Reservoir
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Reservoir   Reservoir
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Mercersburg Academy   Mercersburg Academy
Mount Carmel Reservoir   Reservoir
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Park School   Park School
Salisbury School Salisbury School   Salisbury School
Sandy Spring Friends Sandy Spring Friends   Sandy Spring Friends
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Reservoir   Reservoir
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Reservoir   Reservoir
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Reservoir   Reservoir
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Tome School   Tome School
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Reservoir   Reservoir
Academy for College Academy for College   Academy for College
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Reservoir   Reservoir
Atholton Reservoir   Reservoir
Baltimore Polytechni Baltimore Polytechni   Baltimore Polytechni
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Reservoir   Reservoir
Blair Blair   Blair
Blake Blake   Blake
Bohemia Manor Reservoir   Reservoir
Boonsboro Reservoir   Reservoir
Bowie Bowie   Bowie
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Reservoir   Reservoir
Calvert Calvert   Calvert
Cambridge SD Cambridge SD   Cambridge SD
Carver A&T Reservoir   Reservoir
Catoctin Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Centennial insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Centennial
Century Century   Century
CH Flowers Reservoir   Reservoir
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Reservoir   Reservoir
Chopticon Chopticon   Chopticon
City College City College   City College
Clarksburg Reservoir   Reservoir
CM Wright CM Wright   CM Wright
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Reservoir   Reservoir
Digital Harbor Digital Harbor   Digital Harbor
Dr Henry Wise Reservoir   Reservoir
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dunbar Dunbar   Dunbar
Dundalk Reservoir   Reservoir
DuVal Reservoir   Reservoir
Eastern Tech Eastern Tech   Eastern Tech
Easton Reservoir   Reservoir
Edgewood Reservoir   Reservoir
Edmondson-Westside Edmondson-Westside   Edmondson-Westside
Einstein Reservoir   Reservoir
Eleanor Roosevelt Reservoir   Reservoir
Elkton Reservoir   Reservoir
Fairmont Heights Reservoir   Reservoir
Fallston Fallston   Fallston
Forest Park Forest Park   Forest Park
Francis Scott Key Reservoir   Reservoir
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Reservoir   Reservoir
Frederick Douglass B Reservoir   Reservoir
Frederick Douglass P Frederick Douglass P   Frederick Douglass P
Friendly Friendly   Friendly
Gaithersburg Gaithersburg   Gaithersburg
Glen Burnie Glen Burnie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Glen Burnie
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Reservoir   Reservoir
Great Mills Reservoir   Reservoir
Guilford Park Guilford Park Guilford Park  
Gwynn Park Gwynn Park   Gwynn Park
Hammond Reservoir insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Reservoir
Harford Tech Reservoir   Reservoir
Havre De Grace Reservoir   Reservoir
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
High Point High Point   High Point
Howard Reservoir   Reservoir
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett   JM Bennett
Joppatowne Reservoir   Reservoir
Kennedy Reservoir   Reservoir
Kent County Reservoir   Reservoir
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Reservoir   Reservoir
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey Reservoir   Reservoir
Lake Clifton Reservoir   Reservoir
Lansdowne Reservoir   Reservoir
Laurel Reservoir   Reservoir
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Loch Raven   Loch Raven
Long Reach Reservoir   Reservoir
Magruder Magruder   Magruder
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade Reservoir tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Reservoir
Mergenthaler Reservoir   Reservoir
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Milford Mill Reservoir   Reservoir
MJ McDonough Reservoir   Reservoir
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron   Mount Hebron
National Academy Fou National Academy Fou   National Academy Fou
New Town New Town   New Town
North Caroline Reservoir   Reservoir
North County North County North County  
North Dorchester Reservoir   Reservoir
North East Cecil Reservoir   Reservoir
North Hagerstown Reservoir   Reservoir
North Harford North Harford   North Harford
North Point Reservoir   Reservoir
Northeast AA Northeast AA   Northeast AA
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Reservoir   Reservoir
Northwestern PG Reservoir   Reservoir
Northwood Reservoir   Reservoir
Oakdale Reservoir   Reservoir
Oakland Mills Reservoir Reservoir  
Old Mill Reservoir   Reservoir
Overlea Reservoir   Reservoir
Owings Mills Reservoir   Reservoir
Oxon Hill Oxon Hill   Oxon Hill
Paint Branch Reservoir   Reservoir
Parkdale Parkdale   Parkdale
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Parkville   Parkville
Patapsco Patapsco   Patapsco
Patterson HS Reservoir   Reservoir
Patterson Mill Reservoir   Reservoir
Patuxent Reservoir   Reservoir
Perry Hall Perry Hall   Perry Hall
Perryville Perryville   Perryville
Pikesville Pikesville   Pikesville
Poolesville Poolesville   Poolesville
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Reservoir   Reservoir
Reginald F Lewis Reservoir   Reservoir
Richard Montgomery Reservoir   Reservoir
Rising Sun Rising Sun   Rising Sun
River Hill River Hill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) River Hill
Rockville Rockville   Rockville
Seneca Valley Seneca Valley   Seneca Valley
Severn Run Reservoir tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Reservoir
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Smithsburg   Smithsburg
South Carroll South Carroll   South Carroll
South Hagerstown Reservoir   Reservoir
South River South River   South River
Southern AA Reservoir   Reservoir
Sparrows Point Reservoir   Reservoir
Springbrook Reservoir   Reservoir
St Charles Reservoir   Reservoir
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Suitland   Suitland
Surrattsville Surrattsville   Surrattsville
Thomas Stone Reservoir   Reservoir
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Reservoir   Reservoir
Urbana Urbana   Urbana
Walkersville Walkersville   Walkersville
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman   Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Reservoir   Reservoir
Western STES Western STES   Western STES
Westlake Reservoir   Reservoir
Westminster Westminster   Westminster
Wheaton Reservoir   Reservoir
Wicomico Reservoir   Reservoir
Wilde Lake Wilde Lake Wilde Lake  
Winston Churchill Reservoir   Reservoir
Winters Mill Reservoir   Reservoir
Woodlawn Woodlawn   Woodlawn
Wootton Wootton   Wootton
Archbishop Carroll Reservoir   Reservoir
DC International PCS Reservoir   Reservoir
Jackson Reed Jackson Reed   Jackson Reed

PowerWise = 89


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.26

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Oakland Mills   ( 1- 2, 81.2)    15- 2      -18.69       6.38       0.41         0.82             5.53
   0 H North County    ( 2- 0, 90.1)     6- 9       -9.81      15.25      -0.41         0.82            -8.33
   0 H Wilde Lake      ( 2- 2, 90.4)     4- 9       -9.46      15.60      -0.41         0.82            -8.05
   0 A Guilford Park   ( 3- 0, 88.1)     5- 6      -11.80      13.26       0.41         0.82            -9.29
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -20.14

winning pts = 5.5281 losing points = -25.6684

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------