UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:50 PDT

boys Quince Orchard 1
  
Quince Orchard        
W-L: ( 9- 4) PR = 88.5022

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 A Damascus ( 7- 6, 84.4) 23-12 325 H Northwest ( 2-11, 76.5) 19- 0 327 H Walter Johnson (11- 4, 87.5) 11- 7 407 A Wootton (10- 7, 83.5) 18- 7 409 H Winston Churchill ( 2-11, 80.6) 20- 5 413 A Crofton ( 7- 8, 88.5) 10-13 415 A Walt Whitman (10- 4, 88.0) 17-18 417 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase (11- 6, 87.8) 15-10 420 H Poolesville ( 4- 9, 79.7) 20- 5 422 A Sherwood (16- 2, 90.9) 7-18 425 A Seneca Valley ( 8- 5, 80.6) 27-12 430 A Blair (12- 5, 82.3) 19- 8 508 H Walter Johnson (11- 4, 87.5) 11-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Damascus               23-12      11     4           1.35
   325 H Northwest              19- 0      19    12           0.00
   327 H Walter Johnson         11- 7       4     1    +      2.59
   407 A Wootton                18- 7      11     5           0.44
   409 H Winston Churchill      20- 5      15     8           0.00
   413 A Crofton                10-13      -3     0    -     -2.59
   415 A Walt Whitman           17-18      -1     0          -1.13
   417 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase   15-10       5     1    +      3.85
   420 H Poolesville            20- 5      15     9           0.00
   422 A Sherwood                7-18     -11    -3    -     -2.19
   425 A Seneca Valley          27-12      15     7           0.00
   430 A Blair                  19- 8      11     6           0.00
   508 H Walter Johnson         11-12      -1     1    -     -2.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Crofton                10-13      -3     0    -     -2.59
   422 A Sherwood                7-18     -11    -3    -     -2.19
   508 H Walter Johnson         11-12      -1     1    -     -2.41

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Walter Johnson         11- 7       4     1    +      2.59
   417 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase   15-10       5     1    +      3.85

Quince Orchard PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Bishop McNamara Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Concordia Prep Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Cristo Rey Jesuit Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Friends Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Garrett County LC Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Georgetown Day Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Jemicy School Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Mount Carmel Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Salisbury School Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Sandy Spring Friends Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Academy for College Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Annapolis Quince Orchard tied -  0- 1 Quince Orchard
Arundel Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Atholton Quince Orchard tied -  0- 1 Quince Orchard
Baltimore Polytechni Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Bel Air Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Quince Orchard Quince Orchard  
Bladensburg Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Blair Quince Orchard Quince Orchard  
Blake Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Bohemia Manor Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Boonsboro Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Bowie Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Broadneck Broadneck Broadneck   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Brunswick Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Calvert Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Cambridge SD Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Carver A&T Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Catoctin Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Catonsville Catonsville Catonsville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Centennial Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Century Century tied -  1- 0 Century
CH Flowers Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Chesapeake BC Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Chopticon Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
City College Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Clarksburg Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   7- 2 vs 6- 2
CM Wright Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Crofton Crofton Crofton  
Damascus Quince Orchard Quince Orchard  
Digital Harbor Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Dr Henry Wise Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Dulaney Dulaney tied -  0- 1 Dulaney
Dunbar Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Dundalk Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
DuVal Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Eastern Tech Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Easton Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Edgewood Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Edmondson-Westside Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Einstein Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Eleanor Roosevelt Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Elkton Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Fairmont Heights Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Fallston Fallston   Fallston
Forest Park Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Francis Scott Key Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Franklin Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Frederick Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Frederick Douglass B Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Frederick Douglass P Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Friendly Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Gaithersburg Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   5- 1 vs 2- 4
Glen Burnie Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Gov Thomas Johnson Quince Orchard tied -  1- 0 Quince Orchard
Great Mills Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Guilford Park Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Gwynn Park Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Hammond Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Harford Tech Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Havre De Grace Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
High Point Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Howard Quince Orchard tied -  0- 1 Quince Orchard
Huntingtown Huntingtown Huntingtown   2- 0 vs 0- 2
JM Bennett Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Joppatowne Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Kennedy Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Kent County Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
La Plata Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Lackey Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Lake Clifton Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Lansdowne Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Laurel Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Long Reach Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Magruder Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Manchester Valley Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge tied -  0- 1 Marriotts Ridge
Meade Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Mergenthaler Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Milford Mill Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
MJ McDonough Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Mount Hebron Quince Orchard tied -  1- 0 Quince Orchard
National Academy Fou Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
New Town Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
North Caroline Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
North County Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
North Dorchester Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
North East Cecil Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
North Hagerstown Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
North Harford Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
North Point Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Northeast AA Quince Orchard tied -  0- 1 Quince Orchard
Northern Calvert Quince Orchard tied -  0- 1 Quince Orchard
Northwest Quince Orchard Quince Orchard  
Northwestern PG Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Northwood Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Oakdale Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Oakland Mills Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Old Mill Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Overlea Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Owings Mills Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Oxon Hill Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Paint Branch Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Parkdale Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Patapsco Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Patterson HS Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Patterson Mill Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Patuxent Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Perry Hall Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Perryville Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Pikesville Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Poolesville Quince Orchard Quince Orchard  
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Randallstown Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Reginald F Lewis Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Reservoir Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Richard Montgomery Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   3- 2 vs 0- 4
Rising Sun Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
River Hill Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Rockville Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Seneca Valley Quince Orchard Quince Orchard  
Severn Run Quince Orchard tied -  0- 1 Quince Orchard
Severna Park Severna Park Severna Park   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Sherwood Sherwood Sherwood  
Smithsburg Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
South Carroll Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
South Hagerstown Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
South River South River South River   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Southern AA Quince Orchard tied -  0- 1 Quince Orchard
Sparrows Point Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Springbrook Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   1- 1 vs 0- 2
St Charles Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Surrattsville Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Thomas Stone Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Urbana Urbana Urbana   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Walkersville Walkersville tied -  1- 0 Walkersville
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman Walt Whitman  
Walter Johnson Quince Orchard tied -  7- 2 Quince Orchard
Watkins Mill Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Western STES Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Westlake Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Westminster Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Wheaton Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Wicomico Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Wilde Lake Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Winston Churchill Quince Orchard Quince Orchard  
Winters Mill Quince Orchard tied -  1- 0 Quince Orchard
Woodlawn Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Wootton Quince Orchard Quince Orchard  
Archbishop Carroll Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
DC International PCS Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Jackson Reed Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard

PairWisePlus = 170


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.06

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Damascus        ( 7- 6, 84.4)    23-12      -15.46      18.57       0.42         0.93            17.61
   0 H Northwest       ( 2-11, 76.5)    19- 0      -23.36      10.66      -0.42         0.93             9.51
   0 H Walter Johnson  (11- 4, 87.5)    11- 7      -12.39      21.64      -0.42         0.93            19.69
   0 A Wootton         (10- 7, 83.5)    18- 7      -16.38      17.65       0.42         0.93            16.76
   0 H Winston Church  ( 2-11, 80.6)    20- 5      -19.28      14.74      -0.42         0.93            13.29
   0 A Crofton         ( 7- 8, 88.5)    10-13      -11.40      22.63       0.42         0.93           -10.19
   0 A Walt Whitman    (10- 4, 88.0)    17-18      -11.94      22.08       0.42         0.93           -10.70
   0 H Bethesda-Chevy  (11- 6, 87.8)    15-10      -12.13      21.90      -0.42         0.93            19.93
   0 H Poolesville     ( 4- 9, 79.7)    20- 5      -20.15      13.88      -0.42         0.93            12.49
   0 A Sherwood        (16- 2, 90.9)     7-18       -9.00      25.03       0.42         0.93            -7.96
   0 A Seneca Valley   ( 8- 5, 80.6)    27-12      -19.27      14.76       0.42         0.93            14.08
   0 A Blair           (12- 5, 82.3)    19- 8      -17.60      16.43       0.42         0.93            15.63
   0 H Walter Johnson  (11- 4, 87.5)    11-12      -12.39      21.64      -0.42         0.93           -11.88
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        98.27

winning pts = 139.0041 losing points = -40.7347

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------