UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:40 PDT

boys Patuxent 1
  
Patuxent              
W-L: ( 2- 2) PR = 86.3515

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 H Chopticon ( 2- 1, 90.5) 1-13 325 A La Plata ( 2- 1, 87.9) 6- 7 327 H Thomas Stone ( 0- 2, 82.8) 9- 5 401 H Lackey ( 0- 5, 81.8) 13- 0 408 A Westlake ( 0- 4, 78.2) 410 A Leonardtown ( 4- 1, 93.5) 413 H North Point ( 2- 1, 83.2) 417 H Huntingtown ( 4- 0, 96.0) 420 A Northern Calvert ( 4- 2, 87.4) 424 A Calvert ( 2- 0, 89.3) 429 H MJ McDonough ( 0- 3, 81.8) 501 H Great Mills ( 3- 1, 86.3)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Chopticon               1-13     -12    -4          -1.22
   325 A La Plata                6- 7      -1    -2           0.95
   327 H Thomas Stone            9- 5       4     4           0.06
   401 H Lackey                 13- 0      13     5           0.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Patuxent Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Annapolis Area Chris   Annapolis Area Chris
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Patuxent   Patuxent
Bishop McNamara Bishop McNamara   Bishop McNamara
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Patuxent   Patuxent
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Cristo Rey Jesuit   Cristo Rey Jesuit
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC FCA LC   FCA LC
Friends Friends   Friends
Garrett County LC Garrett County LC   Garrett County LC
Georgetown Day Georgetown Day   Georgetown Day
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Glenelg Country   Glenelg Country
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Patuxent   Patuxent
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School   Indian Creek School
Jemicy School Patuxent   Patuxent
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Patuxent   Patuxent
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Patuxent   Patuxent
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Mercersburg Academy   Mercersburg Academy
Mount Carmel Patuxent   Patuxent
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Park School   Park School
Salisbury School Salisbury School   Salisbury School
Sandy Spring Friends Sandy Spring Friends   Sandy Spring Friends
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Patuxent   Patuxent
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Patuxent   Patuxent
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti St Vincent Pallotti   St Vincent Pallotti
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Tome School   Tome School
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Patuxent   Patuxent
Academy for College Academy for College   Academy for College
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Patuxent   Patuxent
Atholton Atholton   Atholton
Baltimore Polytechni Baltimore Polytechni   Baltimore Polytechni
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Patuxent   Patuxent
Blair Blair   Blair
Blake Blake   Blake
Bohemia Manor Patuxent   Patuxent
Boonsboro Patuxent   Patuxent
Bowie Bowie   Bowie
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Patuxent   Patuxent
Calvert Calvert   Calvert
Cambridge SD Cambridge SD   Cambridge SD
Carver A&T Patuxent   Patuxent
Catoctin Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Century Century   Century
CH Flowers Patuxent   Patuxent
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Patuxent   Patuxent
Chopticon Chopticon Chopticon  
City College City College   City College
Clarksburg Patuxent   Patuxent
CM Wright CM Wright   CM Wright
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Patuxent   Patuxent
Digital Harbor Digital Harbor   Digital Harbor
Dr Henry Wise Patuxent   Patuxent
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dunbar Dunbar   Dunbar
Dundalk Patuxent   Patuxent
DuVal Patuxent   Patuxent
Eastern Tech Eastern Tech   Eastern Tech
Easton Patuxent   Patuxent
Edgewood Patuxent   Patuxent
Edmondson-Westside Edmondson-Westside   Edmondson-Westside
Einstein Patuxent   Patuxent
Eleanor Roosevelt Patuxent   Patuxent
Elkton Patuxent   Patuxent
Fairmont Heights Patuxent   Patuxent
Fallston Fallston   Fallston
Forest Park Forest Park   Forest Park
Francis Scott Key Patuxent   Patuxent
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Patuxent   Patuxent
Frederick Douglass B Patuxent   Patuxent
Frederick Douglass P Frederick Douglass P   Frederick Douglass P
Friendly Friendly   Friendly
Gaithersburg Gaithersburg   Gaithersburg
Glen Burnie Glen Burnie   Glen Burnie
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Patuxent   Patuxent
Great Mills Patuxent tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Patuxent
Guilford Park Guilford Park   Guilford Park
Gwynn Park Gwynn Park   Gwynn Park
Hammond Patuxent   Patuxent
Harford Tech Patuxent   Patuxent
Havre De Grace Patuxent   Patuxent
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
High Point High Point   High Point
Howard Patuxent   Patuxent
Huntingtown Huntingtown insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett   JM Bennett
Joppatowne Patuxent   Patuxent
Kennedy Patuxent   Patuxent
Kent County Patuxent   Patuxent
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Patuxent   Patuxent
La Plata La Plata La Plata  
Lackey Patuxent Patuxent  
Lake Clifton Patuxent   Patuxent
Lansdowne Patuxent   Patuxent
Laurel Patuxent   Patuxent
Leonardtown Leonardtown insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Loch Raven   Loch Raven
Long Reach Patuxent   Patuxent
Magruder Magruder   Magruder
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade Patuxent   Patuxent
Mergenthaler Patuxent   Patuxent
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Milford Mill Patuxent   Patuxent
MJ McDonough Patuxent   Patuxent
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron   Mount Hebron
National Academy Fou National Academy Fou   National Academy Fou
New Town New Town   New Town
North Caroline Patuxent   Patuxent
North County North County   North County
North Dorchester Patuxent   Patuxent
North East Cecil Patuxent   Patuxent
North Hagerstown Patuxent   Patuxent
North Harford North Harford   North Harford
North Point Patuxent tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Patuxent
Northeast AA Northeast AA   Northeast AA
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northern Calvert
Northwest Patuxent   Patuxent
Northwestern PG Patuxent   Patuxent
Northwood Patuxent   Patuxent
Oakdale Patuxent   Patuxent
Oakland Mills Patuxent   Patuxent
Old Mill Patuxent   Patuxent
Overlea Patuxent   Patuxent
Owings Mills Patuxent   Patuxent
Oxon Hill Oxon Hill   Oxon Hill
Paint Branch Patuxent   Patuxent
Parkdale Parkdale   Parkdale
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Parkville   Parkville
Patapsco Patapsco   Patapsco
Patterson HS Patuxent   Patuxent
Patterson Mill Patuxent   Patuxent
Perry Hall Perry Hall   Perry Hall
Perryville Perryville   Perryville
Pikesville Pikesville   Pikesville
Poolesville Poolesville   Poolesville
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Patuxent   Patuxent
Reginald F Lewis Patuxent   Patuxent
Reservoir Reservoir   Reservoir
Richard Montgomery Richard Montgomery   Richard Montgomery
Rising Sun Rising Sun   Rising Sun
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville Rockville   Rockville
Seneca Valley Seneca Valley   Seneca Valley
Severn Run Patuxent   Patuxent
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Smithsburg   Smithsburg
South Carroll South Carroll   South Carroll
South Hagerstown Patuxent   Patuxent
South River South River   South River
Southern AA Patuxent   Patuxent
Sparrows Point Patuxent   Patuxent
Springbrook Patuxent   Patuxent
St Charles Patuxent   Patuxent
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Suitland   Suitland
Surrattsville Surrattsville   Surrattsville
Thomas Stone Patuxent Patuxent  
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Patuxent   Patuxent
Urbana Urbana   Urbana
Walkersville Walkersville   Walkersville
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman   Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Patuxent   Patuxent
Western STES Western STES   Western STES
Westlake Patuxent   Patuxent
Westminster Westminster   Westminster
Wheaton Patuxent   Patuxent
Wicomico Patuxent   Patuxent
Wilde Lake Wilde Lake   Wilde Lake
Winston Churchill Patuxent   Patuxent
Winters Mill Patuxent   Patuxent
Woodlawn Woodlawn   Woodlawn
Wootton Wootton   Wootton
Archbishop Carroll Patuxent   Patuxent
DC International PCS Patuxent   Patuxent
Jackson Reed Jackson Reed   Jackson Reed

PowerWise = 85


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.26

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Chopticon       ( 2- 1, 90.5)     1-13       -9.36      15.71      -0.41         0.82            -7.96
   0 A La Plata        ( 2- 1, 87.9)     6- 7      -12.00      13.06       0.41         0.82            -9.46
   0 H Thomas Stone    ( 0- 2, 82.8)     9- 5      -17.08       7.98      -0.41         0.82             6.18
   0 H Lackey          ( 0- 5, 81.8)    13- 0      -18.08       6.98      -0.41         0.82             5.36
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -5.88

winning pts = 11.5383 losing points = -17.4193

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------