UPDATED: 04-04-26 09:08 PDT

boys Patriot 1
  
Patriot               
W-L: ( 3- 1) PR = 85.2805

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Freedom South Ridin ( 3- 1, 91.8) 5-15 323 H South County ( 1- 4, 83.8) 12-10 325 A John Champe ( 0- 2, 80.3) 13- 7 327 H Forest Park ( 3- 3, 83.6) 7- 6 407 H Colonial Forge ( 2- 3, 85.4) 410 A Brentsville ( 3- 1, 86.7) 411 A Westfield ( 2- 2, 85.4) 413 H Independence ( 1- 0, 92.5) 415 H Colgan ( 3- 1, 85.6) 417 N McLean ( 2- 3, 89.3) 420 H Battlefield ( 0- 1, 87.9) 427 H Osbourn Park ( 2- 0, 87.0) 430 A Gainesville ( 2- 1, 89.1) 504 A Osbourn ( 2- 2, 76.5)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Freedom  South Ridin    5-15     -10    -7           0.00
   323 H South County           12-10       2     2           0.49
   325 A John Champe            13- 7       6     5           0.15
   327 H Forest Park             7- 6       1     2          -0.77

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Patriot Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle   Albemarle
Alexandria City Alexandria City   Alexandria City
Annandale Patriot   Patriot
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield   Battlefield
Bayside Patriot   Patriot
Benedictine Patriot   Patriot
Bishop Ireton Patriot   Patriot
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville   Brentsville
Briar Woods Briar Woods   Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run   Broad Run
Brooke Point Patriot   Patriot
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Patriot   Patriot
Centreville Centreville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Chantilly
Charlottesville Patriot   Patriot
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Patriot   Patriot
Clover Hill Patriot   Patriot
Colgan Colgan   Colgan
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Cosby Cosby   Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Patriot   Patriot
Culpeper County Patriot   Patriot
Deep Run Patriot   Patriot
Dominion Dominion   Dominion
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Patriot   Patriot
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Patriot insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Patriot
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Patriot   Patriot
Fairfax Fairfax   Fairfax
Falls Church Patriot   Patriot
Fauquier Patriot   Patriot
First Colonial Patriot   Patriot
Fishburne Military A Patriot   Patriot
Flint Hill Patriot   Patriot
Fluvanna County Patriot   Patriot
Forest Park Patriot Patriot  
Fork Union Military Patriot   Patriot
Franklin County Patriot   Patriot
Fredericksburg Acade Patriot   Patriot
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin  
Freedom Woodbridge Patriot   Patriot
Gainesville Gainesville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gainesville
Gar-field Patriot   Patriot
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland   Goochland
Grafton LC Patriot   Patriot
Grassfield LC Patriot   Patriot
Green Run Patriot   Patriot
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hayfield Patriot   Patriot
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC Hickory LC   Hickory LC
Hidden Valley Patriot   Patriot
Highland School Patriot   Patriot
Highland Springs Patriot   Patriot
Hylton Patriot insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Patriot
Independence Independence   Independence
James Monroe James Monroe   James Monroe
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe Patriot Patriot  
Justice Patriot   Patriot
Kellam Patriot   Patriot
Kempsville Kempsville   Kempsville
Kettle Run Patriot   Patriot
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   Lake Braddock
Landstown Patriot   Patriot
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis Patriot   Patriot
Liberty Bealeton Patriot   Patriot
Lightridge Lightridge   Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird Patriot   Patriot
Lord Botetourt Patriot   Patriot
Loudoun County Loudoun County   Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Patriot   Patriot
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester Patriot   Patriot
Marshall Patriot   Patriot
Massaponax Patriot   Patriot
Matoaca Patriot   Patriot
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville Mechanicsville   Mechanicsville
Menchville LC Patriot   Patriot
Meridian Meridian insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Meridian
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin Patriot   Patriot
Monacan Patriot   Patriot
Monticello Patriot   Patriot
Mount Vernon Patriot   Patriot
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School Patriot   Patriot
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Patriot   Patriot
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford Patriot   Patriot
Northern VA Home Sch Patriot   Patriot
Oakton Oakton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Oakton
Ocean Lakes Patriot   Patriot
Orange County Patriot   Patriot
Osbourn Patriot   Patriot
Osbourn Park Osbourn Park   Osbourn Park
Park View Patriot   Patriot
Patrick Henry Ashla Patrick Henry Ashla   Patrick Henry Ashla
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Patriot tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Patriot
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Patriot insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Patriot
Powhatan Patriot   Patriot
Princess Anne Princess Anne   Princess Anne
Riverbend Riverbend   Riverbend
Riverside Riverside   Riverside
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge Patriot   Patriot
Rockbridge County Rockbridge County   Rockbridge County
Rockingham LC Patriot   Patriot
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Patriot   Patriot
Seton School Patriot   Patriot
South County Patriot Patriot  
South Lakes South Lakes tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) South Lakes
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Patriot   Patriot
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Stafford   Stafford
Steward School Patriot   Patriot
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC Strasburg LC   Strasburg LC
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Patriot   Patriot
Tandem Friends Patriot   Patriot
Thomas Dale Patriot   Patriot
Thomas Jefferson Patriot   Patriot
Trinity Christian Patriot   Patriot
Trinity Episcopal Patriot   Patriot
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View   Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora Patriot   Patriot
Unity Reed Patriot   Patriot
Veritas School Patriot   Patriot
Virginia Academy Patriot   Patriot
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Patriot   Patriot
Wakefield School Patriot   Patriot
Washington-Liberty Patriot   Patriot
West Potomac Patriot   Patriot
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Westfield
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming Patriot   Patriot
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Patriot insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Patriot
Woodgrove Patriot   Patriot
Woodson Woodson   Woodson
York LC Patriot   Patriot
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PowerWise = 90


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.27

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Freedom  South  ( 3- 1, 91.8)     5-15       -8.06      19.70       0.08         0.82            -6.51
   0 H South County    ( 1- 4, 83.8)    12-10      -16.05      11.71      -0.08         0.82             9.49
   0 A John Champe     ( 0- 2, 80.3)    13- 7      -19.55       8.21       0.08         0.82             6.77
   0 H Forest Park     ( 3- 3, 83.6)     7- 6      -16.31      11.45      -0.08         0.82             9.28
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        19.03

winning pts = 25.5392 losing points = -6.5129

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------