UPDATED: 05-14-26 08:50 PDT

boys Patriot 1
  
Patriot               
W-L: ( 9- 7) PR = 81.8344

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Freedom South Ridin ( 9- 5, 86.0) 5-15 323 H South County ( 2-14, 80.8) 12-10 325 A John Champe ( 3- 9, 78.6) 13- 7 327 H Forest Park ( 8- 7, 77.1) 7- 6 407 H Colonial Forge (10- 5, 79.6) 9- 7 410 A Brentsville (11- 2, 81.7) 8- 9 411 A Westfield ( 8- 7, 83.4) 4-10 413 H Independence (12- 0, 90.8) 4-19 415 H Colgan ( 9- 6, 79.3) 15- 9 417 N McLean ( 8- 7, 83.9) 19- 6 420 H Battlefield (10- 3, 90.3) 2-15 427 H Osbourn Park ( 6- 7, 69.4) 19- 3 430 A Gainesville ( 8- 7, 81.9) 8- 9 504 A Osbourn ( 4-10, 69.3) 18- 2 506 A Stafford ( 7- 6, 77.9) 12-11 511 A Independence (12- 0, 90.8) 0-20

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Freedom  South Ridin    5-15     -10    -5          -0.39
   323 H South County           12-10       2     1           0.52
   325 A John Champe            13- 7       6     3    +      2.19
   327 H Forest Park             7- 6       1     5    --    -4.00
   407 H Colonial Forge          9- 7       2     3          -0.66
   410 A Brentsville             8- 9      -1     0          -0.65
   411 A Westfield               4-10      -6    -2    -     -2.95
   413 H Independence            4-19     -15    -9           0.00
   415 H Colgan                 15- 9       6     3    +      2.06
   417 N McLean                 19- 6      13    -2    +++    7.06
   420 H Battlefield             2-15     -13    -8           0.00
   427 H Osbourn Park           19- 3      16    13           0.00
   430 A Gainesville             8- 9      -1     0          -0.50
   504 A Osbourn                18- 2      16    12           0.00
   506 A Stafford               12-11       1     3    -     -2.47
   511 A Independence            0-20     -20    -9           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Forest Park             7- 6       1     5    --    -4.00
   411 A Westfield               4-10      -6    -2    -     -2.95
   506 A Stafford               12-11       1     3    -     -2.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 N McLean                 19- 6      13    -2    +++    7.06
   325 A John Champe            13- 7       6     3    +      2.19
   415 H Colgan                 15- 9       6     3    +      2.06

Patriot PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle   Albemarle
Alexandria City Patriot tied -  1- 0 Patriot
Annandale Patriot tied -  1- 0 Patriot
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield Battlefield  
Bayside Patriot   Patriot
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville Brentsville  
Briar Woods Briar Woods tied -  1- 2 Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run Broad Run   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Brooke Point Patriot Patriot   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Patriot   Patriot
Centreville Patriot tied -  1- 1 Patriot
Chantilly Chantilly Chantilly   3- 1 vs 2- 2
Charlottesville Patriot   Patriot
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Patriot   Patriot
Clover Hill Patriot   Patriot
Colgan Patriot Patriot  
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Patriot Patriot  
Cosby Cosby Cosby   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox   Cox
Culpeper County Patriot tied -  0- 1 Patriot
Deep Run Deep Run   Deep Run
Dominion Patriot tied -  1- 1 Patriot
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Patriot tied -  1- 0 Patriot
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Patriot Patriot   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Patriot   Patriot
Fairfax Patriot Patriot   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Falls Church Patriot   Patriot
Fauquier Patriot   Patriot
First Colonial First Colonial   First Colonial
Fishburne Military A Patriot   Patriot
Flint Hill Flint Hill   Flint Hill
Fluvanna County Patriot   Patriot
Forest Park Patriot Patriot  
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Patriot   Patriot
Fredericksburg Acade Patriot   Patriot
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin  
Freedom Woodbridge Patriot   Patriot
Gainesville Gainesville Gainesville  
Gar-field Patriot Patriot   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland   Goochland
Grafton LC Patriot   Patriot
Grassfield LC Patriot   Patriot
Green Run Patriot   Patriot
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hayfield Patriot tied -  0- 1 Patriot
Heritage Leesburg Patriot tied -  1- 0 Patriot
Herndon Patriot Patriot   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Hickory LC Patriot   Patriot
Hidden Valley Patriot   Patriot
Highland School Patriot   Patriot
Highland Springs Patriot   Patriot
Hylton Patriot Patriot   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Independence Independence Independence  
James Monroe James Monroe   James Monroe
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe Patriot Patriot  
Justice Patriot   Patriot
Kellam Kellam   Kellam
Kempsville Patriot   Patriot
Kettle Run Patriot tied -  0- 1 Patriot
Lafayette LC Patriot   Patriot
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock tied -  1- 0 Lake Braddock
Landstown Patriot   Patriot
Langley Patriot Patriot   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Lewis Patriot Patriot   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Liberty Bealeton Patriot Patriot   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Lightridge Lightridge Lightridge   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lloyd C Bird Patriot   Patriot
Lord Botetourt Patriot   Patriot
Loudoun County Loudoun County tied -  0- 2 Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Patriot Patriot   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Madison Madison Madison   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Manchester Patriot   Patriot
Marshall Patriot Patriot   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Massaponax Patriot Patriot   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Matoaca Patriot   Patriot
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean Patriot Patriot  
Mechanicsville Patriot   Patriot
Menchville LC Patriot   Patriot
Meridian Meridian Meridian   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin Mills Godwin   Mills Godwin
Monacan Patriot   Patriot
Monticello Patriot tied -  0- 1 Patriot
Mount Vernon Patriot   Patriot
Mountain View Mountain View Mountain View   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School Patriot   Patriot
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Patriot   Patriot
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford Patriot Patriot   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Northern VA Home Sch Patriot tied -  1- 0 Patriot
Oakton Oakton Oakton   3- 1 vs 2- 2
Ocean Lakes Patriot   Patriot
Orange County Patriot   Patriot
Osbourn Patriot Patriot  
Osbourn Park Patriot Patriot  
Park View Patriot Patriot   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Patrick Henry Ashla Patriot   Patriot
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Patriot Patriot   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Patriot Patriot   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Powhatan Patriot   Patriot
Princess Anne Patriot   Patriot
Riverbend Patriot Patriot   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Riverside Riverside Riverside   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Robinson Robinson tied -  2- 0 Robinson
Rock Ridge Patriot   Patriot
Rockbridge County Patriot   Patriot
Rockingham LC Patriot   Patriot
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Patriot   Patriot
Seton School Patriot   Patriot
South County Patriot Patriot  
South Lakes Patriot Patriot   2- 1 vs 1- 2
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Patriot tied -  1- 1 Patriot
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Patriot Patriot  
Steward School Patriot   Patriot
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Strasburg LC Patriot   Patriot
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Patriot   Patriot
Tandem Friends Patriot   Patriot
Thomas Dale Patriot   Patriot
Thomas Jefferson Patriot   Patriot
Trinity Christian Patriot Patriot   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Trinity Episcopal Patriot   Patriot
Trinity Meadow View Patriot   Patriot
Tuscarora Patriot Patriot   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Unity Reed Patriot   Patriot
Veritas School Patriot   Patriot
Virginia Academy Patriot   Patriot
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Patriot Patriot   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Wakefield School Patriot   Patriot
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty tied -  2- 0 Washington-Liberty
West Potomac West Potomac tied -  1- 0 West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield West Springfield   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield Westfield  
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming Patriot   Patriot
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Patriot Patriot   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Woodgrove Woodgrove tied -  1- 1 Woodgrove
Woodson Woodson tied -  2- 2 Woodson
York LC Patriot   Patriot
Yorktown Yorktown Yorktown   3- 0 vs 1- 2

PairWisePlus = 101


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.48

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Freedom  South  ( 9- 5, 86.0)     5-15      -13.91      23.03       0.45         0.72            -9.66
   0 H South County    ( 2-14, 80.8)    12-10      -19.09      17.86      -0.45         0.72            12.49
   0 A John Champe     ( 3- 9, 78.6)    13- 7      -21.33      15.62       0.45         0.72            11.53
   0 H Forest Park     ( 8- 7, 77.1)     7- 6      -22.85      14.10      -0.45         0.72             9.79
   0 H Colonial Forge  (10- 5, 79.6)     9- 7      -20.27      16.67      -0.45         0.72            11.64
   0 A Brentsville     (11- 2, 81.7)     8- 9      -18.16      18.78       0.45         0.72           -12.71
   0 A Westfield       ( 8- 7, 83.4)     4-10      -16.47      20.48       0.45         0.72           -11.49
   0 H Independence    (12- 0, 90.8)     4-19       -9.07      27.87      -0.45         0.72            -6.84
   0 H Colgan          ( 9- 6, 79.3)    15- 9      -20.56      16.39      -0.45         0.72            11.43
   0 N McLean          ( 8- 7, 83.9)    19- 6      -16.01      20.94      -0.00         0.72            15.02
   0 H Battlefield     (10- 3, 90.3)     2-15       -9.61      27.33      -0.45         0.72            -7.22
   0 H Osbourn Park    ( 6- 7, 69.4)    19- 3      -30.46       6.48      -0.45         0.72             4.33
   0 A Gainesville     ( 8- 7, 81.9)     8- 9      -18.02      18.92       0.45         0.72           -12.61
   0 A Osbourn         ( 4-10, 69.3)    18- 2      -30.62       6.33       0.45         0.72             4.87
   0 A Stafford        ( 7- 6, 77.9)    12-11      -21.99      14.96       0.45         0.72            11.06
   0 A Independence    (12- 0, 90.8)     0-20       -9.07      27.87       0.45         0.72            -6.19
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        25.44

winning pts = 92.1543 losing points = -66.7098

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------