Potomac Falls
W-L: ( 1- 4) PR = 80.1962
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
317 H Dominion ( 2- 1, 84.2) 7-16
319 A Broad Run ( 2- 3, 88.4) 1-19
324 A Freedom South Ridin ( 4- 2, 90.0) 1-13
327 A Fauquier ( 5- 0, 84.0) 6- 9
407 A Justice ( 0- 3, 71.4) 14- 2
414 A Loudoun Valley ( 0- 5, 78.4)
417 H Independence ( 3- 0, 94.7)
428 H Briar Woods ( 3- 1, 89.7)
507 H Riverside ( 4- 0, 96.1)
514 A Stone Bridge ( 5- 0, 92.8)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 H Dominion 7-16 -9 -4 -1.23
319 A Broad Run 1-19 -18 -8 0.00
324 A Freedom South Ridin 1-13 -12 -10 0.00
327 A Fauquier 6- 9 -3 -4 0.99
407 A Justice 14- 2 12 9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
Potomac Falls Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Albemarle |
Albemarle |
|
 
| Albemarle |
| Alexandria City |
Alexandria City |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Alexandria City |
| Annandale |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Atlee |
Atlee |
|
 
| Atlee |
| Battlefield |
Battlefield |
|
 
| Battlefield |
| Bayside |
Bayside |
|
 
| Bayside |
| Benedictine |
Benedictine |
|
 
| Benedictine |
| Bishop Ireton |
Bishop Ireton |
|
 
| Bishop Ireton |
| Bishop OConnell |
Bishop OConnell |
|
 
| Bishop OConnell |
| Blacksburg |
Blacksburg |
|
 
| Blacksburg |
| Blue Ridge School |
Blue Ridge School |
|
 
| Blue Ridge School |
| Brentsville |
Brentsville |
|
 
| Brentsville |
| Briar Woods |
Briar Woods |
|
 
| Briar Woods |
| Broad Run |
Broad Run |
Broad Run |
 
| |
| Brooke Point |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Cape Henry Collegiat |
Cape Henry Collegiat |
|
 
| Cape Henry Collegiat |
| Catholic HS |
Catholic HS |
|
 
| Catholic HS |
| Cave Spring |
Cave Spring |
|
 
| Cave Spring |
| Centreville |
Centreville |
|
 
| Centreville |
| Chantilly |
Chantilly |
|
 
| Chantilly |
| Charlottesville |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Christchurch |
Christchurch |
|
 
| Christchurch |
| Christiansburg |
Christiansburg |
|
 
| Christiansburg |
| Clover Hill |
Clover Hill |
|
 
| Clover Hill |
| Colgan |
Colgan |
|
 
| Colgan |
| Collegiate School |
Collegiate School |
|
 
| Collegiate School |
| Colonial Forge |
Colonial Forge |
|
 
| Colonial Forge |
| Cosby |
Cosby |
|
 
| Cosby |
| Covenant School |
Covenant School |
|
 
| Covenant School |
| Cox |
Cox |
|
 
| Cox |
| Culpeper County |
Culpeper County |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Culpeper County |
| Deep Run |
Deep Run |
|
 
| Deep Run |
| Dominion |
Dominion |
Dominion |
 
| |
| Douglas Freeman |
Douglas Freeman |
|
 
| Douglas Freeman |
| Eastern View |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| EC Glass |
EC Glass |
|
 
| EC Glass |
| Edison |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Episcopal |
Episcopal |
|
 
| Episcopal |
| Eukarya Christian |
Eukarya Christian |
|
 
| Eukarya Christian |
| Fairfax |
Fairfax |
|
 
| Fairfax |
| Falls Church |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Fauquier |
Fauquier |
Fauquier |
 
| |
| First Colonial |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Fishburne Military A |
Fishburne Military A |
|
 
| Fishburne Military A |
| Flint Hill |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Fluvanna County |
Fluvanna County |
|
 
| Fluvanna County |
| Forest Park |
Forest Park |
|
 
| Forest Park |
| Fork Union Military |
Fork Union Military |
|
 
| Fork Union Military |
| Franklin County |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Fredericksburg Acade |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Fredericksburg Chris |
Fredericksburg Chris |
|
 
| Fredericksburg Chris |
| Freedom South Ridin |
Freedom South Ridin |
Freedom South Ridin |
 
| |
| Freedom Woodbridge |
Freedom Woodbridge |
|
 
| Freedom Woodbridge |
| Gainesville |
Gainesville |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Gainesville |
| Gar-field |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Glen Allen |
Glen Allen |
|
 
| Glen Allen |
| Goochland |
Goochland |
|
 
| Goochland |
| Grafton LC |
Grafton LC |
|
 
| Grafton LC |
| Grassfield LC |
Grassfield LC |
|
 
| Grassfield LC |
| Green Run |
Green Run |
|
 
| Green Run |
| Handley |
Handley |
|
 
| Handley |
| Hanover |
Hanover |
|
 
| Hanover |
| Hayfield |
Hayfield |
|
 
| Hayfield |
| Heritage Leesburg |
Heritage Leesburg |
|
 
| Heritage Leesburg |
| Herndon |
Herndon |
|
 
| Herndon |
| Hickory LC |
Hickory LC |
|
 
| Hickory LC |
| Hidden Valley |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Highland School |
Highland School |
|
 
| Highland School |
| Highland Springs |
Highland Springs |
|
 
| Highland Springs |
| Hylton |
Hylton |
|
 
| Hylton |
| Independence |
Independence |
|
 
| Independence |
| James Monroe |
James Monroe |
|
 
| James Monroe |
| James River |
James River |
|
 
| James River |
| Jamestown LC |
Jamestown LC |
|
 
| Jamestown LC |
| Jefferson Forest |
Jefferson Forest |
|
 
| Jefferson Forest |
| John Champe |
John Champe |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
John Champe |
| Justice |
Potomac Falls |
Potomac Falls |
 
| |
| Kellam |
Kellam |
|
 
| Kellam |
| Kempsville |
Kempsville |
|
 
| Kempsville |
| Kettle Run |
Kettle Run |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Kettle Run |
| Lafayette LC |
Lafayette LC |
|
 
| Lafayette LC |
| Lake Braddock |
Lake Braddock |
|
 
| Lake Braddock |
| Landstown |
Landstown |
|
 
| Landstown |
| Langley |
Langley |
|
 
| Langley |
| Lewis |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Liberty Bealeton |
Potomac Falls |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Potomac Falls |
| Lightridge |
Lightridge |
|
 
| Lightridge |
| Lloyd C Bird |
Lloyd C Bird |
|
 
| Lloyd C Bird |
| Lord Botetourt |
Lord Botetourt |
|
 
| Lord Botetourt |
| Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
| Loudoun Valley |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Madison |
Madison |
|
 
| Madison |
| Manchester |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Marshall |
Potomac Falls |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Potomac Falls |
| Massaponax |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Matoaca |
Matoaca |
|
 
| Matoaca |
| Maury LC |
Maury LC |
|
 
| Maury LC |
| McLean |
McLean |
|
 
| McLean |
| Mechanicsville |
Mechanicsville |
|
 
| Mechanicsville |
| Menchville LC |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Meridian |
Meridian |
|
Meridian   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Midlothian |
Midlothian |
|
 
| Midlothian |
| Mills Godwin |
Mills Godwin |
|
 
| Mills Godwin |
| Monacan |
Monacan |
|
 
| Monacan |
| Monticello |
Monticello |
|
 
| Monticello |
| Mount Vernon |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Mountain View |
Mountain View |
|
 
| Mountain View |
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
|
 
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
| New Covenant School |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Norfolk Academy |
Norfolk Academy |
|
 
| Norfolk Academy |
| Norfolk Christian |
Norfolk Christian |
|
 
| Norfolk Christian |
| Norfolk Collegiate |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| North Cross School |
North Cross School |
|
 
| North Cross School |
| North Stafford |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Northern VA Home Sch |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Oakton |
Oakton |
|
 
| Oakton |
| Ocean Lakes |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Orange County |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Osbourn |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Osbourn Park |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Park View |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Patrick Henry Ashla |
Patrick Henry Ashla |
|
 
| Patrick Henry Ashla |
| Patrick Henry Roano |
Patrick Henry Roano |
|
 
| Patrick Henry Roano |
| Patriot |
Patriot |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Patriot |
| Paul VI |
Paul VI |
|
 
| Paul VI |
| Potomac School |
Potomac School |
|
 
| Potomac School |
| Potomac-Dumfries |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Powhatan |
Powhatan |
|
 
| Powhatan |
| Princess Anne |
Princess Anne |
|
 
| Princess Anne |
| Riverbend |
Riverbend |
|
 
| Riverbend |
| Riverside |
Riverside |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Riverside |
| Robinson |
Robinson |
|
 
| Robinson |
| Rock Ridge |
Potomac Falls |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Potomac Falls |
| Rockbridge County |
Rockbridge County |
|
 
| Rockbridge County |
| Rockingham LC |
Rockingham LC |
|
 
| Rockingham LC |
| Salem |
Salem |
|
 
| Salem |
| Salem Virginia Beach |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Seton School |
Seton School |
|
 
| Seton School |
| South County |
South County |
|
 
| South County |
| South Lakes |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| St Annes-Belfield |
St Annes-Belfield |
|
 
| St Annes-Belfield |
| St Christophers |
St Christophers |
|
 
| St Christophers |
| St John Paul the Gre |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| St Stephen-St Agnes |
St Stephen-St Agnes |
|
 
| St Stephen-St Agnes |
| Stafford |
Stafford |
|
 
| Stafford |
| Steward School |
Steward School |
|
 
| Steward School |
| Stone Bridge |
Stone Bridge |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Stone Bridge |
| Strasburg LC |
Strasburg LC |
|
 
| Strasburg LC |
| Tabb LC |
Tabb LC |
|
 
| Tabb LC |
| Tallwood |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Tandem Friends |
Tandem Friends |
|
 
| Tandem Friends |
| Thomas Dale |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Thomas Jefferson |
Thomas Jefferson |
|
 
| Thomas Jefferson |
| Trinity Christian |
Trinity Christian |
|
 
| Trinity Christian |
| Trinity Episcopal |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Trinity Meadow View |
Trinity Meadow View |
|
 
| Trinity Meadow View |
| Tuscarora |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Unity Reed |
Unity Reed |
|
 
| Unity Reed |
| Veritas School |
Veritas School |
|
 
| Veritas School |
| Virginia Academy |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Virginia Episcopal S |
Virginia Episcopal S |
|
 
| Virginia Episcopal S |
| Wakefield HS |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Wakefield School |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Washington-Liberty |
Washington-Liberty |
|
 
| Washington-Liberty |
| West Potomac |
West Potomac |
|
 
| West Potomac |
| West Springfield |
West Springfield |
|
 
| West Springfield |
| Western Albemarle |
Western Albemarle |
|
 
| Western Albemarle |
| Westfield |
Westfield |
|
 
| Westfield |
| William Byrd |
William Byrd |
|
 
| William Byrd |
| William Fleming |
William Fleming |
|
 
| William Fleming |
| Woodberry Forest |
Woodberry Forest |
|
 
| Woodberry Forest |
| Woodbridge |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
| Woodgrove |
Woodgrove |
|
 
| Woodgrove |
| Woodson |
Woodson |
|
 
| Woodson |
| York LC |
York LC |
|
 
| York LC |
| Yorktown |
Yorktown |
|
 
| Yorktown |
PowerWise = 39

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 4.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Dominion ( 2- 1, 84.2) 7-16 -15.70 14.47 -0.23 0.83 -13.18
0 A Broad Run ( 2- 3, 88.4) 1-19 -11.49 18.68 0.23 0.83 -9.32
0 A Freedom South ( 4- 2, 90.0) 1-13 -9.94 20.23 0.23 0.83 -8.03
0 A Fauquier ( 5- 0, 84.0) 6- 9 -15.94 14.23 0.23 0.83 -13.00
0 A Justice ( 0- 3, 71.4) 14- 2 -28.53 1.64 0.23 0.83 1.54
------
-41.98
|
winning pts = 1.5446 losing points = -43.5208
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------