UPDATED: 04-04-26 09:08 PDT

boys Potomac Falls 1
  
Potomac Falls         
W-L: ( 0- 4) PR = 82.2481

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 H Dominion ( 1- 0, 87.5) 7-16 319 A Broad Run ( 1- 1, 87.3) 1-19 324 A Freedom South Ridin ( 3- 1, 91.8) 1-13 327 A Fauquier ( 5- 0, 85.1) 6- 9 407 A Justice ( 0- 2, 72.6) 414 A Loudoun Valley ( 0- 3, 76.8) 417 H Independence ( 1- 0, 92.5) 428 H Briar Woods ( 2- 0, 89.5) 507 H Riverside ( 3- 0, 96.9) 514 A Stone Bridge ( 3- 0, 91.8)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Dominion                7-16      -9    -5           0.00
   319 A Broad Run               1-19     -18    -5           0.00
   324 A Freedom  South Ridin    1-13     -12   -10           0.00
   327 A Fauquier                6- 9      -3    -3          -0.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Potomac Falls Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle   Albemarle
Alexandria City Alexandria City   Alexandria City
Annandale Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield   Battlefield
Bayside Bayside   Bayside
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville   Brentsville
Briar Woods Briar Woods   Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run Broad Run  
Brooke Point Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Cave Spring   Cave Spring
Centreville Centreville   Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Christiansburg   Christiansburg
Clover Hill Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Colgan Colgan   Colgan
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Cosby Cosby   Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox   Cox
Culpeper County Potomac Falls tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Potomac Falls
Deep Run Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Dominion Dominion Dominion  
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Eukarya Christian   Eukarya Christian
Fairfax Fairfax   Fairfax
Falls Church Falls Church   Falls Church
Fauquier Fauquier Fauquier  
First Colonial First Colonial   First Colonial
Fishburne Military A Fishburne Military A   Fishburne Military A
Flint Hill Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Fluvanna County Fluvanna County   Fluvanna County
Forest Park Forest Park   Forest Park
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Franklin County   Franklin County
Fredericksburg Acade Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin  
Freedom Woodbridge Freedom Woodbridge   Freedom Woodbridge
Gainesville Gainesville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gainesville
Gar-field Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland   Goochland
Grafton LC Grafton LC   Grafton LC
Grassfield LC Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Green Run Green Run   Green Run
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hayfield Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC Hickory LC   Hickory LC
Hidden Valley Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Highland School Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Highland Springs Highland Springs   Highland Springs
Hylton Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Independence Independence   Independence
James Monroe James Monroe   James Monroe
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Justice Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Kellam Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Kempsville Kempsville   Kempsville
Kettle Run Potomac Falls tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Potomac Falls
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   Lake Braddock
Landstown Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Liberty Bealeton Potomac Falls tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Potomac Falls
Lightridge Lightridge   Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird Lloyd C Bird   Lloyd C Bird
Lord Botetourt Lord Botetourt   Lord Botetourt
Loudoun County Loudoun County   Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Marshall Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Massaponax Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Matoaca Matoaca   Matoaca
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville Mechanicsville   Mechanicsville
Menchville LC Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Meridian Meridian insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Meridian
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Monacan Monacan   Monacan
Monticello Monticello   Monticello
Mount Vernon Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Northern VA Home Sch Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Oakton Oakton   Oakton
Ocean Lakes Ocean Lakes   Ocean Lakes
Orange County Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Osbourn Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Osbourn Park Osbourn Park   Osbourn Park
Park View Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Patrick Henry Ashla Patrick Henry Ashla   Patrick Henry Ashla
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Patriot
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Powhatan Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Princess Anne Princess Anne   Princess Anne
Riverbend Riverbend   Riverbend
Riverside Riverside insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Riverside
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge Potomac Falls tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Potomac Falls
Rockbridge County Rockbridge County   Rockbridge County
Rockingham LC Rockingham LC   Rockingham LC
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Seton School Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
South County South County   South County
South Lakes South Lakes   South Lakes
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Stafford   Stafford
Steward School Steward School   Steward School
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC Strasburg LC   Strasburg LC
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Tandem Friends Tandem Friends   Tandem Friends
Thomas Dale Thomas Dale   Thomas Dale
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Trinity Christian Trinity Christian   Trinity Christian
Trinity Episcopal Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View   Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Unity Reed Unity Reed   Unity Reed
Veritas School Veritas School   Veritas School
Virginia Academy Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Wakefield School Wakefield School   Wakefield School
Washington-Liberty Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
West Potomac West Potomac   West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming William Fleming   William Fleming
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Woodgrove Woodgrove   Woodgrove
Woodson Woodson   Woodson
York LC York LC   York LC
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PowerWise = 50


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.27

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Dominion        ( 1- 0, 87.5)     7-16      -12.41      15.35      -0.08         0.82           -10.19
   0 A Broad Run       ( 1- 1, 87.3)     1-19      -12.58      15.18       0.08         0.82           -10.20
   0 A Freedom  South  ( 3- 1, 91.8)     1-13       -8.06      19.70       0.08         0.82            -6.51
   0 A Fauquier        ( 5- 0, 85.1)     6- 9      -14.81      12.95       0.08         0.82           -12.03
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -38.94

winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -38.9379

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------