UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:53 PDT

boys St Johns/Ovid-Elsie 1
  
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie   
W-L: ( 4-12) PR = 76.3565

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 H Bay City Central (15- 6, 81.3) 5-12 325 A Grand Rapids Christi (10- 6, 85.0) 4-14 407 H Kalamazoo United ( 1-12, 69.6) 12- 1 409 A Haslett-Williamston (12- 6, 88.3) 1-19 410 H Ann Arbor Greenhills ( 1-12, 71.8) 12- 2 413 H Pennfield ( 1-13, 70.4) 18- 2 414 A Okemos (13- 6, 92.4) 1-25 421 H DeWitt ( 4-15, 84.5) 1-19 423 A Holt (13- 5, 90.0) 2-13 424 A Bay City Central (15- 6, 81.3) 7-16 427 H Grand Rapids Christi (10- 6, 85.0) 5-10 428 A East Lansing ( 7- 7, 86.9) 0-18 430 H Grand Ledge (16- 3, 94.7) 0-18 504 A Ortonville Brandon ( 9-10, 78.7) 2- 8 506 A Pennfield ( 1-13, 70.4) 10- 5 516 A Forest Hills Eastern (11- 8, 92.6) 1-22

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Bay City Central        5-12      -7    -4          -0.86
   325 A Grand Rapids Christi    4-14     -10    -9           0.00
   407 H Kalamazoo United       12- 1      11     8           0.00
   409 A Haslett-Williamston     1-19     -18   -13           0.00
   410 H Ann Arbor Greenhills   12- 2      10     5           0.00
   413 H Pennfield              18- 2      16     7           0.00
   414 A Okemos                  1-25     -24   -17           0.00
   421 H DeWitt                  1-19     -18    -7           0.00
   423 A Holt                    2-13     -11   -14           0.00
   424 A Bay City Central        7-16      -9    -6           0.00
   427 H Grand Rapids Christi    5-10      -5    -8           0.00
   428 A East Lansing            0-18     -18   -11           0.00
   430 H Grand Ledge             0-18     -18   -18           0.00
   504 A Ortonville Brandon      2- 8      -6    -3          -1.85
   506 A Pennfield              10- 5       5     5           0.00
   516 A Forest Hills Eastern    1-22     -21   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

St Johns/Ovid-Elsie PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allen Park Allen Park tied -  1- 0 Allen Park
Anchor Bay Anchor Bay   Anchor Bay
Ann Arbor Father Gab Ann Arbor Father Gab tied -  1- 0 Ann Arbor Father Gab
Ann Arbor Greenhills St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie  
Ann Arbor Huron Ann Arbor Huron   Ann Arbor Huron
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer   Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Ann Arbor Skyline tied -  0- 1 Ann Arbor Skyline
Bay City Central Bay City Central Bay City Central  
Bay City John Glenn Bay City John Glenn Bay City John Glenn   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Bay City Western Bay City Western Bay City Western   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Bedford Bedford   Bedford
Belleville Belleville   Belleville
Birmingham United Birmingham United tied -  0- 1 Birmingham United
Birmingham United B Birmingham United B   Birmingham United B
Bishop Foley St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied -  1- 0 St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton   Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B   Brighton B
Brother Rice Brother Rice Brother Rice   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Brother Rice Orange Brother Rice Orange   Brother Rice Orange
Brownstown Woodhaven St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied -  1- 0 St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Byron Center Byron Center Byron Center   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Cadillac Cadillac   Cadillac
Caledonia Caledonia Caledonia   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Canton Canton   Canton
Cass Tech Cass Tech tied -  1- 0 Cass Tech
Chelsea Chelsea tied -  0- 1 Chelsea
Chippewa Valley St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied -  0- 2 St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Clarkston Clarkston tied -  0- 2 Clarkston
Coopersville Coopersville Coopersville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Cranbrook Cranbrook Cranbrook   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Dakota Dakota tied -  0- 1 Dakota
Davison Davison Davison   1- 1 vs 0- 2
De La Salle De La Salle   De La Salle
Detroit Catholic Cen Detroit Catholic Cen   Detroit Catholic Cen
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   2- 0 vs 0- 2
DeWitt DeWitt DeWitt  
Dexter Dexter Dexter   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Divine Child Divine Child Divine Child   2- 1 vs 1- 2
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   2- 1 vs 0- 3
East Kentwood St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied -  1- 1 St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
East Lansing East Lansing East Lansing  
Farmington St Johns/Ovid-Elsie   St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Fenton St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied -  0- 2 St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Flint Powers Flint Powers Flint Powers   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Forest Hills Eastern Forest Hills Eastern Forest Hills Eastern  
Forest Hills Norther Forest Hills Norther Forest Hills Norther   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Goodrich/Lake Fenton Goodrich/Lake Fenton tied -  0- 2 Goodrich/Lake Fenton
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Grand Haven Grand Haven Grand Haven   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge Grand Ledge  
Grand Rapids Catholi Grand Rapids Catholi tied -  0- 2 Grand Rapids Catholi
Grand Rapids Christi Grand Rapids Christi Grand Rapids Christi  
Grandville Grandville Grandville   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Grosse Ile Grosse Ile   Grosse Ile
Grosse Pointe North St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied -  1- 0 St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   Grosse Pointe South
Harper Creek Harper Creek Harper Creek   3- 3 vs 2- 4
Hartland Hartland Hartland   1- 1 vs 0- 3
Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston  
Henry Ford II Henry Ford II   Henry Ford II
Holland Christian Holland Christian Holland Christian   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa   Holland West Ottawa
Holt Holt Holt  
Howell Howell   Howell
Hudsonville Hudsonville Hudsonville   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Jackson St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied -  2- 0 St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Jenison Jenison Jenison   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Kalamazoo United St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie  
Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills   1- 0 vs 0- 1
L'Anse Creuse L'Anse Creuse   L'Anse Creuse
L'Anse Creuse North L'Anse Creuse North   L'Anse Creuse North
Lake Orion Lake Orion   Lake Orion
Lake Shore Lake Shore   Lake Shore
Lakeview Lakeview Lakeview   4- 2 vs 2- 4
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic   Lansing Catholic
Lapeer St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied -  0- 1 St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Lincoln Ypsilanti Lincoln Ypsilanti   Lincoln Ypsilanti
Linden Linden Linden   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Livonia United Livonia United   Livonia United
Lowell Lowell Lowell   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Mattawan Mattawan tied -  2- 2 Mattawan
Midland Midland tied -  0- 3 Midland
Midland Dow Midland Dow Midland Dow   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Mona Shores Mona Shores Mona Shores   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Northview Northview tied -  0- 2 Northview
Northville Northville   Northville
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Novi Novi   Novi
Okemos Okemos Okemos  
Orchard Lake St Mary Orchard Lake St Mary   Orchard Lake St Mary
Ortonville Brandon Ortonville Brandon Ortonville Brandon  
Oxford Oxford   Oxford
Pennfield St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie  
Petoskey Petoskey   Petoskey
Pinckney Pinckney   Pinckney
Plymouth Plymouth   Plymouth
Port Huron United Port Huron United   Port Huron United
Portage Central Portage Central tied -  2- 2 Portage Central
Portage Northern Portage Northern tied -  2- 2 Portage Northern
Reeths Puffer Reeths Puffer tied -  0- 1 Reeths Puffer
Riverview Gabriel Ri Riverview Gabriel Ri   Riverview Gabriel Ri
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Rochester HS   Rochester HS
Rochester Stoney Cre Rochester Stoney Cre   Rochester Stoney Cre
Rockford Rockford Rockford   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Romeo Romeo tied -  0- 1 Romeo
Royal Oak HS Royal Oak HS   Royal Oak HS
Royal Oak Shrine Royal Oak Shrine tied -  1- 0 Royal Oak Shrine
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Salem Salem   Salem
Saline Saline tied -  0- 2 Saline
Sault Area Sault Area Sault Area   1- 1 vs 0- 2
South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified   South Lyon Unified
Spring Lake Spring Lake tied -  0- 1 Spring Lake
St Clair St Johns/Ovid-Elsie   St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
St Mary Catholic Cen St Mary Catholic Cen   St Mary Catholic Cen
Swartz Creek St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied -  0- 4 St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Tecumseh Tecumseh   Tecumseh
Traverse City Centra Traverse City Centra   Traverse City Centra
Traverse City West Traverse City West Traverse City West   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Troy Troy   Troy
Troy Athens Troy Athens Troy Athens   1- 0 vs 0- 1
University Detroit J University Detroit J   University Detroit J
University Liggett University Liggett tied -  1- 0 University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower   Utica Eisenhower
Vicksburg Vicksburg tied -  2- 1 Vicksburg
Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern   Walled Lake Northern
Walled Lake Western Walled Lake Western   Walled Lake Western
Waterford United Waterford United   Waterford United
West Bloomfield West Bloomfield West Bloomfield   1- 1 vs 0- 2
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland tied -  0- 1 White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland Zeeland   Zeeland

PairWisePlus = 14


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.61

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Bay City Centr  (15- 6, 81.3)     5-12      -18.63      11.66      -0.78         0.98           -18.94
   0 A Grand Rapids C  (10- 6, 85.0)     4-14      -14.91      15.38       0.78         0.98           -13.79
   0 H Kalamazoo Unit  ( 1-12, 69.6)    12- 1      -30.28       1.00      -0.78         0.98             0.22
   0 A Haslett-Willia  (12- 6, 88.3)     1-19      -11.61      18.67       0.78         0.98           -10.57
   0 H Ann Arbor Gree  ( 1-12, 71.8)    12- 2      -28.09       2.20      -0.78         0.98             1.38
   0 H Pennfield       ( 1-13, 70.4)    18- 2      -29.52       1.00      -0.78         0.98             0.22
   0 A Okemos          (13- 6, 92.4)     1-25       -7.47      22.81       0.78         0.98            -6.53
   0 H DeWitt          ( 4-15, 84.5)     1-19      -15.42      14.86      -0.78         0.98           -15.81
   0 A Holt            (13- 5, 90.0)     2-13       -9.87      20.41       0.78         0.98            -8.88
   0 A Bay City Centr  (15- 6, 81.3)     7-16      -18.63      11.66       0.78         0.98           -17.42
   0 H Grand Rapids C  (10- 6, 85.0)     5-10      -14.91      15.38      -0.78         0.98           -15.31
   0 A East Lansing    ( 7- 7, 86.9)     0-18      -12.97      17.31       0.78         0.98           -11.90
   0 H Grand Ledge     (16- 3, 94.7)     0-18       -5.22      25.06      -0.78         0.98            -5.86
   0 A Ortonville Bra  ( 9-10, 78.7)     2- 8      -21.17       9.11       0.78         0.98           -19.90
   0 A Pennfield       ( 1-13, 70.4)    10- 5      -29.52       1.00       0.78         0.98             1.74
   0 A Forest Hills E  (11- 8, 92.6)     1-22       -7.28      23.00       0.78         0.98            -6.35
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -147.69

winning pts = 3.5520 losing points = -151.2406

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------