UPDATED: 04-16-26 09:38 PDT

boys First Flight 1
  
First Flight          
W-L: ( 3- 1) PR = 90.1443

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Jacksonville ( 6- 3, 87.6) 7- 2 326 H Swansboro ( 6- 5, 86.3) 13- 8 330 A West Carteret ( 4- 4, 85.8) 12-11 402 A Croatan ( 6- 4, 95.3) 2-13 422 A Northside ( 8- 1, 88.8) 429 H Havelock ( 1- 5, 80.3) 501 A JH Rose ( 7- 1, 88.1) 506 A New Bern ( 3-10, 84.8)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Jacksonville            7- 2       5     3    +      2.18
   326 H Swansboro              13- 8       5     4           0.85
   330 A West Carteret          12-11       1     4    -     -3.00
   402 A Croatan                 2-13     -11    -5           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A West Carteret          12-11       1     4    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Jacksonville            7- 2       5     3    +      2.18

First Flight Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca First Flight   First Flight
Asheville HS First Flight   First Flight
Asheville School First Flight   First Flight
Ashley Ashley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins First Flight   First Flight
Ballantyne Ridge First Flight   First Flight
Bishop McGuinness First Flight   First Flight
Bradford Prep First Flight   First Flight
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler First Flight   First Flight
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy First Flight tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) First Flight
Cape Fear HS First Flight   First Flight
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro   Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary Christian First Flight   First Flight
Cary HS First Flight   First Flight
Cedar Ridge First Flight   First Flight
Chapel Hill First Flight tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) First Flight
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King   Christ The King
Clayton First Flight   First Flight
Cleveland First Flight   First Flight
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders First Flight   First Flight
Cornerstone Charter First Flight   First Flight
Croatan Croatan Croatan  
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley First Flight insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) First Flight
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill First Flight   First Flight
East Forsyth First Flight   First Flight
Eastern Alamance First Flight   First Flight
Eastern Guilford First Flight   First Flight
Enloe First Flight   First Flight
Fike First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth Country Day First Flight   First Flight
Fuquay-Varina First Flight   First Flight
Garner First Flight   First Flight
Glenn First Flight   First Flight
Grays Creek First Flight   First Flight
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day   Greensboro Day
Grimsley First Flight   First Flight
Havelock First Flight tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) First Flight
Heritage First Flight   First Flight
Hickory First Flight   First Flight
High Point Central First Flight   First Flight
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange   Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hough Hough insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hough
Hunt First Flight   First Flight
Independence First Flight   First Flight
Jack Britt First Flight insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) First Flight
Jacksonville First Flight First Flight  
JF Webb First Flight   First Flight
JH Rose First Flight tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) First Flight
John Paul II Catholi First Flight First Flight   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Jordan First Flight   First Flight
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Laney
Leesville Road First Flight   First Flight
Lincoln Charter First Flight   First Flight
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville First Flight   First Flight
Mount Tabor First Flight   First Flight
Mountain Island Char First Flight   First Flight
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern First Flight First Flight   2- 0 vs 0- 2
New Hanover First Flight First Flight   2- 0 vs 0- 2
North Brunswick First Flight insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) First Flight
North Davidson First Flight   First Flight
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ First Flight   First Flight
Northern Durham First Flight   First Flight
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northside First Flight insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) First Flight
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood First Flight tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) First Flight
Page Page   Page
Panther Creek First Flight   First Flight
Parkwood First Flight   First Flight
Patton Morganton First Flight   First Flight
Pine Forest First Flight   First Flight
Pine Lake Prep First Flight   First Flight
Pinecrest First Flight   First Flight
Porter Ridge First Flight   First Flight
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Queens Grant First Flight   First Flight
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale First Flight   First Flight
Ravenscroft School First Flight   First Flight
Reagan First Flight   First Flight
Riverside Durham First Flight   First Flight
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Rolesville First Flight   First Flight
Roxboro Community First Flight   First Flight
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth First Flight   First Flight
South Brunswick First Flight   First Flight
South Garner First Flight   First Flight
South Iredell First Flight   First Flight
South Mecklenburg First Flight   First Flight
South View First Flight   First Flight
Southeast Alamance First Flight   First Flight
Southeast Guilford First Flight   First Flight
Southern Alamance First Flight   First Flight
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford First Flight   First Flight
St Davids School First Flight   First Flight
St Stephens First Flight   First Flight
Sun Valley First Flight   First Flight
Swansboro First Flight First Flight  
TC Roberson First Flight   First Flight
Terry Sanford First Flight   First Flight
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines   Union Pines
Vance Charter First Flight   First Flight
Voyager Academy First Flight   First Flight
Wake Forest First Flight   First Flight
Wake Prep First Flight   First Flight
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Walter M Williams First Flight   First Flight
Watauga First Flight   First Flight
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick First Flight First Flight   2- 0 vs 0- 2
West Carteret First Flight First Flight  
West Forsyth First Flight   First Flight
West Stokes First Flight   First Flight
Western Alamance First Flight   First Flight
Western Guilford First Flight   First Flight
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 98


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.41

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Jacksonville    ( 6- 3, 87.6)     7- 2      -12.25      17.77      -0.32         2.35            41.06
   0 H Swansboro       ( 6- 5, 86.3)    13- 8      -13.59      16.44      -0.32         2.35            37.91
   0 A West Carteret   ( 4- 4, 85.8)    12-11      -14.07      15.95       0.32         2.35            38.28
   0 A Croatan         ( 6- 4, 95.3)     2-13       -4.63      25.40       0.32         2.35           -10.13
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       107.12

winning pts = 117.2508 losing points = -10.1325

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------