Old Saybrook
W-L: (11- 5) PR = 84.5500
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
404 H Old Lyme ( 3-13, 74.4) 8- 1
407 A North Branford (14- 2, 87.5) 1- 9
409 A Haddam-Killingworth (13- 3, 88.5) 4-19
411 H Ledyard-Griswold ( 4-12, 74.5) 13- 6
421 A Cromwell ( 2-14, 65.3) 15- 1
423 H Valley Regional ( 3-13, 71.9) 14- 0
425 A Branford (12- 4, 85.3) 6- 2
428 H Haddam-Killingworth (13- 3, 88.5) 5-19
502 H St Bernard-Wheeler ( 8- 6, 81.4) 9- 6
504 H Morgan School ( 7- 8, 80.8) 7- 3
506 A Old Lyme ( 3-13, 74.4) 14- 6
507 H Cromwell ( 2-14, 65.3) 15- 0
512 H North Branford (14- 2, 87.5) 6- 4
514 A Valley Regional ( 3-13, 71.9) 13- 2
516 H Somers (14- 2, 89.0) 3-17
521 A Morgan School ( 7- 8, 80.8) 6- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
404 H Old Lyme 8- 1 7 10 0.00
407 A North Branford 1- 9 -8 -3 -1.67
409 A Haddam-Killingworth 4-19 -15 -4 -0.74
411 H Ledyard-Griswold 13- 6 7 10 0.00
421 A Cromwell 15- 1 14 19 0.00
423 H Valley Regional 14- 0 14 13 0.00
425 A Branford 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 5.04
428 H Haddam-Killingworth 5-19 -14 -4 -1.41
502 H St Bernard-Wheeler 9- 6 3 3 -0.44
504 H Morgan School 7- 3 4 4 -0.08
506 A Old Lyme 14- 6 8 10 0.00
507 H Cromwell 15- 0 15 20 0.00
512 H North Branford 6- 4 2 -3 ++ 4.66
514 A Valley Regional 13- 2 11 12 0.00
516 H Somers 3-17 -14 -4 -0.92
521 A Morgan School 6- 7 -1 3 -- -4.42
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
521 A Morgan School 6- 7 -1 3 -- -4.42
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
425 A Branford 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 5.04
512 H North Branford 6- 4 2 -3 ++ 4.66
|
Old Saybrook PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Amity Regional |
Amity Regional |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Amity Regional |
| Avon HS |
Old Saybrook |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Old Saybrook |
| Bacon Academy |
Old Saybrook |
|
Old Saybrook   3- 0 vs 2- 1 |
|
| Berlin |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Bethel |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Branford |
Old Saybrook |
Old Saybrook |
 
|
| Brien McMahon |
Brien McMahon |
|
 
| Brien McMahon |
| Bristol Co-Op |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Brookfield |
Brookfield |
|
 
| Brookfield |
| Bunnell-Stratford |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Canton |
Old Saybrook |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Old Saybrook |
| Capital-Classical Pr |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Cheshire HS |
Cheshire HS |
|
 
| Cheshire HS |
| Conard |
Conard |
|
Conard   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Cromwell |
Old Saybrook |
Old Saybrook |
 
| |
| Danbury |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Daniel Hand |
Daniel Hand |
|
Daniel Hand   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Darien |
Darien |
|
 
| Darien |
| East Catholic |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| East Lyme |
East Lyme |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
East Lyme |
| Ellington |
Old Saybrook |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Old Saybrook |
| Enfield |
Old Saybrook |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Old Saybrook |
| EO Smith |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Fairfield Ludlowe |
Fairfield Ludlowe |
|
 
| Fairfield Ludlowe |
| Fairfield Prep |
Fairfield Prep |
|
 
| Fairfield Prep |
| Fairfield Warde |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Farmington |
Farmington |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Farmington |
| Fitch Groton |
Old Saybrook |
|
tied -  3- 0 |
Old Saybrook |
| Foran |
Old Saybrook |
|
Old Saybrook   2- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Glastonbury |
Glastonbury |
|
 
| Glastonbury |
| Granby Memorial |
Granby Memorial |
|
tied -  0- 2 |
Granby Memorial |
| Greenwich HS |
Greenwich HS |
|
 
| Greenwich HS |
| Guilford |
Guilford |
|
 
| Guilford |
| Haddam-Killingworth |
Haddam-Killingworth |
Haddam-Killingworth |
 
| |
| Hall |
Hall |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Hall |
| Hamden |
Old Saybrook |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Old Saybrook |
| Holy Cross |
Old Saybrook |
|
Old Saybrook   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Immaculate Danbury |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Joel Barlow |
Joel Barlow |
|
 
| Joel Barlow |
| Jonathan Law |
Old Saybrook |
|
Old Saybrook   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Lakeview United |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Ledyard-Griswold |
Old Saybrook |
Old Saybrook |
 
| |
| Lewis Mills |
Lewis Mills |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Lewis Mills |
| Lyman Hall |
Old Saybrook |
|
Old Saybrook   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Maloney-Platt |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Masuk |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Middletown |
Old Saybrook |
|
Old Saybrook   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Montville |
Old Saybrook |
|
Old Saybrook   4- 0 vs 3- 1 |
|
| Morgan School |
Old Saybrook |
|
Old Saybrook   5- 2 vs 3- 3 |
|
| New Canaan |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
| New Fairfield |
New Fairfield |
|
 
| New Fairfield |
| New Milford |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Newington |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Newtown |
Newtown |
|
 
| Newtown |
| North Branford |
North Branford |
|
North Branford   5- 1 vs 5- 2 |
|
| North Haven |
Old Saybrook |
|
Old Saybrook   3- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Northwest Catholic |
Old Saybrook |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Old Saybrook |
| Norwalk |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Norwich Free Academy |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Norwich Tech |
Old Saybrook |
|
Old Saybrook   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Notre Dame-Fairfield |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Notre Dame-West Have |
Notre Dame-West Have |
|
 
| Notre Dame-West Have |
| Old Lyme |
Old Saybrook |
Old Saybrook |
 
| |
| Pomperaug |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Prince-Cheney Tech |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| RHAM |
Old Saybrook |
|
Old Saybrook   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Ridgefield |
Ridgefield |
|
 
| Ridgefield |
| Rockville Co-op |
Old Saybrook |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Old Saybrook |
| Rocky Hill |
Old Saybrook |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Old Saybrook |
| Sheehan |
Old Saybrook |
|
Old Saybrook   2- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Shelton |
Old Saybrook |
|
Old Saybrook   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Simsbury |
Simsbury |
|
Simsbury   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Somers |
Somers |
Somers |
 
| |
| South Windsor |
Old Saybrook |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Old Saybrook |
| Southington |
Southington |
|
 
| Southington |
| St Bernard-Wheeler |
Old Saybrook |
Old Saybrook |
 
| |
| St Joseph Trumbull |
St Joseph Trumbull |
|
 
| St Joseph Trumbull |
| St Paul Catholic |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Stamford |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Staples |
Staples |
|
 
| Staples |
| Stonington |
Old Saybrook |
|
Old Saybrook   5- 1 vs 4- 1 |
|
| Suffield |
Suffield |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Suffield |
| Tolland |
Old Saybrook |
|
Old Saybrook   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Trumbull |
Trumbull |
|
 
| Trumbull |
| Valley Regional |
Old Saybrook |
Old Saybrook |
 
| |
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech |
Old Saybrook |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Old Saybrook |
| Waterford |
Waterford |
|
Waterford   3- 0 vs 3- 1 |
|
| Watertown |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| West Haven |
Old Saybrook |
|
Old Saybrook   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Westhill |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Weston |
Weston |
|
 
| Weston |
| Wethersfield |
Old Saybrook |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Old Saybrook |
| Wilbur Cross |
Old Saybrook |
|
Old Saybrook   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Wilton |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
| Windsor |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Wolcott |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Woodstock Academy |
Old Saybrook |
|
Old Saybrook   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Xavier |
Xavier |
|
 
| Xavier |
PairWisePlus = 61

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.57
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Old Lyme ( 3-13, 74.4) 8- 1 -25.51 12.22 -0.33 0.91 10.82
0 A North Branford (14- 2, 87.5) 1- 9 -12.36 25.37 0.33 0.91 -10.95
0 A Haddam-Killing (13- 3, 88.5) 4-19 -11.43 26.30 0.33 0.91 -10.10
0 H Ledyard-Griswo ( 4-12, 74.5) 13- 6 -25.35 12.38 -0.33 0.91 10.96
0 A Cromwell ( 2-14, 65.3) 15- 1 -34.57 3.16 0.33 0.91 3.18
0 H Valley Regiona ( 3-13, 71.9) 14- 0 -28.05 9.68 -0.33 0.91 8.51
0 A Branford (12- 4, 85.3) 6- 2 -14.65 23.09 0.33 0.91 21.32
0 H Haddam-Killing (13- 3, 88.5) 5-19 -11.43 26.30 -0.33 0.91 -10.71
0 H St Bernard-Whe ( 8- 6, 81.4) 9- 6 -18.45 19.28 -0.33 0.91 17.25
0 H Morgan School ( 7- 8, 80.8) 7- 3 -19.10 18.63 -0.33 0.91 16.66
0 A Old Lyme ( 3-13, 74.4) 14- 6 -25.51 12.22 0.33 0.91 11.43
0 H Cromwell ( 2-14, 65.3) 15- 0 -34.57 3.16 -0.33 0.91 2.57
0 H North Branford (14- 2, 87.5) 6- 4 -12.36 25.37 -0.33 0.91 22.79
0 A Valley Regiona ( 3-13, 71.9) 13- 2 -28.05 9.68 0.33 0.91 9.12
0 H Somers (14- 2, 89.0) 3-17 -10.93 26.80 -0.33 0.91 -10.26
0 A Morgan School ( 7- 8, 80.8) 6- 7 -19.10 18.63 0.33 0.91 -17.08
------
75.51
|
winning pts = 134.6044 losing points = -59.0967
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------