Ocean Lakes
W-L: ( 3- 6) PR = 75.6934
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
327 A Princess Anne ( 7- 3, 79.1) 9-11
417 H First Colonial ( 8- 4, 82.4) 8-20
421 H Tallwood ( 1-10, 70.8) 16- 3
424 A Kellam (11- 2, 85.4) 2-12
428 H Princess Anne ( 7- 3, 79.1) 7-13
501 A Cox ( 8- 5, 83.1) 2-16
505 H Kempsville ( 7- 3, 76.4) 9-10
508 A Salem Virginia Beach ( 3- 8, 71.8) 9- 5
512 H Landstown ( 6- 5, 75.4) 13-12
515 A Bayside ( 0- 8, 66.6)
519 A Green Run ( 1- 7, 69.2)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
327 A Princess Anne 9-11 -2 -4 1.81
417 H First Colonial 8-20 -12 -6 0.00
421 H Tallwood 16- 3 13 5 0.00
424 A Kellam 2-12 -10 -10 0.00
428 H Princess Anne 7-13 -6 -3 - -2.09
501 A Cox 2-16 -14 -8 0.00
505 H Kempsville 9-10 -1 0 -0.74
508 A Salem Virginia Beach 9- 5 4 3 0.52
512 H Landstown 13-12 1 1 0.26
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
428 H Princess Anne 7-13 -6 -3 - -2.09
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
Ocean Lakes PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Albemarle |
Albemarle |
|
 
| Albemarle |
| Alexandria City |
Alexandria City |
|
 
| Alexandria City |
| Annandale |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Atlee |
Atlee |
|
 
| Atlee |
| Battlefield |
Battlefield |
|
 
| Battlefield |
| Bayside |
Ocean Lakes |
|
Ocean Lakes   2- 5 vs 0- 7 |
|
| Benedictine |
Benedictine |
|
Benedictine   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Bishop Ireton |
Bishop Ireton |
|
 
| Bishop Ireton |
| Bishop OConnell |
Bishop OConnell |
|
 
| Bishop OConnell |
| Blacksburg |
Blacksburg |
|
 
| Blacksburg |
| Blue Ridge School |
Blue Ridge School |
|
 
| Blue Ridge School |
| Brentsville |
Brentsville |
|
 
| Brentsville |
| Briar Woods |
Briar Woods |
|
 
| Briar Woods |
| Broad Run |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Brooke Point |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Cape Henry Collegiat |
Cape Henry Collegiat |
|
Cape Henry Collegiat   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Catholic HS |
Catholic HS |
|
 
| Catholic HS |
| Cave Spring |
Cave Spring |
|
 
| Cave Spring |
| Centreville |
Centreville |
|
 
| Centreville |
| Chantilly |
Chantilly |
|
 
| Chantilly |
| Charlottesville |
Charlottesville |
|
 
| Charlottesville |
| Christchurch |
Christchurch |
|
 
| Christchurch |
| Christiansburg |
Christiansburg |
|
 
| Christiansburg |
| Clover Hill |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Colgan |
Colgan |
|
 
| Colgan |
| Collegiate School |
Collegiate School |
|
 
| Collegiate School |
| Colonial Forge |
Colonial Forge |
|
 
| Colonial Forge |
| Cosby |
Cosby |
|
 
| Cosby |
| Covenant School |
Covenant School |
|
 
| Covenant School |
| Cox |
Cox |
Cox |
 
| |
| Culpeper County |
Culpeper County |
|
 
| Culpeper County |
| Deep Run |
Deep Run |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Deep Run |
| Dominion |
Dominion |
|
 
| Dominion |
| Douglas Freeman |
Douglas Freeman |
|
 
| Douglas Freeman |
| Eastern View |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| EC Glass |
EC Glass |
|
 
| EC Glass |
| Edison |
Edison |
|
 
| Edison |
| Episcopal |
Episcopal |
|
 
| Episcopal |
| Eukarya Christian |
Eukarya Christian |
|
 
| Eukarya Christian |
| Fairfax |
Fairfax |
|
 
| Fairfax |
| Falls Church |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Fauquier |
Fauquier |
|
 
| Fauquier |
| First Colonial |
First Colonial |
First Colonial |
 
| |
| Fishburne Military A |
Fishburne Military A |
|
 
| Fishburne Military A |
| Flint Hill |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
| Fluvanna County |
Fluvanna County |
|
 
| Fluvanna County |
| Forest Park |
Forest Park |
|
 
| Forest Park |
| Fork Union Military |
Fork Union Military |
|
 
| Fork Union Military |
| Franklin County |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Fredericksburg Acade |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Fredericksburg Chris |
Fredericksburg Chris |
|
 
| Fredericksburg Chris |
| Freedom South Ridin |
Freedom South Ridin |
|
 
| Freedom South Ridin |
| Freedom Woodbridge |
Freedom Woodbridge |
|
 
| Freedom Woodbridge |
| Gainesville |
Gainesville |
|
 
| Gainesville |
| Gar-field |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Glen Allen |
Glen Allen |
|
Glen Allen   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Goochland |
Goochland |
|
 
| Goochland |
| Grafton LC |
Grafton LC |
|
 
| Grafton LC |
| Grassfield LC |
Grassfield LC |
|
 
| Grassfield LC |
| Green Run |
Ocean Lakes |
|
Ocean Lakes   3- 4 vs 0- 7 |
|
| Handley |
Handley |
|
 
| Handley |
| Hanover |
Hanover |
|
Hanover   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Hayfield |
Hayfield |
|
 
| Hayfield |
| Heritage Leesburg |
Heritage Leesburg |
|
 
| Heritage Leesburg |
| Herndon |
Herndon |
|
 
| Herndon |
| Hickory LC |
Hickory LC |
|
 
| Hickory LC |
| Hidden Valley |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Highland School |
Highland School |
|
 
| Highland School |
| Highland Springs |
Highland Springs |
|
 
| Highland Springs |
| Hylton |
Hylton |
|
 
| Hylton |
| Independence |
Independence |
|
 
| Independence |
| James Monroe |
James Monroe |
|
 
| James Monroe |
| James River |
James River |
|
 
| James River |
| Jamestown LC |
Jamestown LC |
|
 
| Jamestown LC |
| Jefferson Forest |
Jefferson Forest |
|
 
| Jefferson Forest |
| John Champe |
John Champe |
|
 
| John Champe |
| Justice |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Kellam |
Kellam |
Kellam |
 
| |
| Kempsville |
Kempsville |
Kempsville |
 
| |
| Kettle Run |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Lafayette LC |
Lafayette LC |
|
 
| Lafayette LC |
| Lake Braddock |
Lake Braddock |
|
 
| Lake Braddock |
| Landstown |
Ocean Lakes |
Ocean Lakes |
 
| |
| Langley |
Langley |
|
 
| Langley |
| Lewis |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Liberty Bealeton |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Lightridge |
Lightridge |
|
 
| Lightridge |
| Lloyd C Bird |
Lloyd C Bird |
|
 
| Lloyd C Bird |
| Lord Botetourt |
Lord Botetourt |
|
 
| Lord Botetourt |
| Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
| Loudoun Valley |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Madison |
Madison |
|
 
| Madison |
| Manchester |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Marshall |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Massaponax |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Matoaca |
Matoaca |
|
 
| Matoaca |
| Maury LC |
Maury LC |
|
 
| Maury LC |
| McLean |
McLean |
|
 
| McLean |
| Mechanicsville |
Mechanicsville |
|
 
| Mechanicsville |
| Menchville LC |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Meridian |
Meridian |
|
 
| Meridian |
| Midlothian |
Midlothian |
|
 
| Midlothian |
| Mills Godwin |
Mills Godwin |
|
 
| Mills Godwin |
| Monacan |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Monticello |
Monticello |
|
 
| Monticello |
| Mount Vernon |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Mountain View |
Mountain View |
|
 
| Mountain View |
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
|
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| New Covenant School |
New Covenant School |
|
 
| New Covenant School |
| Norfolk Academy |
Norfolk Academy |
|
 
| Norfolk Academy |
| Norfolk Christian |
Norfolk Christian |
|
Norfolk Christian   3- 1 vs 2- 2 |
|
| Norfolk Collegiate |
Norfolk Collegiate |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Norfolk Collegiate |
| North Cross School |
North Cross School |
|
 
| North Cross School |
| North Stafford |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Northern VA Home Sch |
Northern VA Home Sch |
|
 
| Northern VA Home Sch |
| Oakton |
Oakton |
|
 
| Oakton |
| Orange County |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Osbourn |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Osbourn Park |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Park View |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Patrick Henry Ashla |
Patrick Henry Ashla |
|
 
| Patrick Henry Ashla |
| Patrick Henry Roano |
Patrick Henry Roano |
|
 
| Patrick Henry Roano |
| Patriot |
Patriot |
|
 
| Patriot |
| Paul VI |
Paul VI |
|
 
| Paul VI |
| Potomac Falls |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Potomac School |
Potomac School |
|
 
| Potomac School |
| Potomac-Dumfries |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Powhatan |
Powhatan |
|
 
| Powhatan |
| Princess Anne |
Princess Anne |
Princess Anne |
 
| |
| Riverbend |
Riverbend |
|
 
| Riverbend |
| Riverside |
Riverside |
|
 
| Riverside |
| Robinson |
Robinson |
|
 
| Robinson |
| Rock Ridge |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Rockbridge County |
Rockbridge County |
|
 
| Rockbridge County |
| Rockingham LC |
Rockingham LC |
|
 
| Rockingham LC |
| Salem |
Salem |
|
 
| Salem |
| Salem Virginia Beach |
Ocean Lakes |
Ocean Lakes |
 
| |
| Seton School |
Seton School |
|
 
| Seton School |
| South County |
South County |
|
 
| South County |
| South Lakes |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| St Annes-Belfield |
St Annes-Belfield |
|
 
| St Annes-Belfield |
| St Christophers |
St Christophers |
|
 
| St Christophers |
| St John Paul the Gre |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| St Stephen-St Agnes |
St Stephen-St Agnes |
|
 
| St Stephen-St Agnes |
| Stafford |
Stafford |
|
 
| Stafford |
| Steward School |
Steward School |
|
 
| Steward School |
| Stone Bridge |
Stone Bridge |
|
 
| Stone Bridge |
| Strasburg LC |
Strasburg LC |
|
 
| Strasburg LC |
| Tabb LC |
Tabb LC |
|
 
| Tabb LC |
| Tallwood |
Ocean Lakes |
Ocean Lakes |
 
| |
| Tandem Friends |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Thomas Dale |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Thomas Jefferson |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Trinity Christian |
Trinity Christian |
|
 
| Trinity Christian |
| Trinity Episcopal |
Trinity Episcopal |
|
 
| Trinity Episcopal |
| Trinity Meadow View |
Trinity Meadow View |
|
 
| Trinity Meadow View |
| Tuscarora |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Unity Reed |
Unity Reed |
|
 
| Unity Reed |
| Veritas School |
Veritas School |
|
 
| Veritas School |
| Virginia Academy |
Virginia Academy |
|
 
| Virginia Academy |
| Virginia Episcopal S |
Virginia Episcopal S |
|
 
| Virginia Episcopal S |
| Wakefield HS |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Wakefield School |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Washington-Liberty |
Washington-Liberty |
|
 
| Washington-Liberty |
| West Potomac |
West Potomac |
|
 
| West Potomac |
| West Springfield |
West Springfield |
|
 
| West Springfield |
| Western Albemarle |
Western Albemarle |
|
 
| Western Albemarle |
| Westfield |
Westfield |
|
 
| Westfield |
| William Byrd |
William Byrd |
|
 
| William Byrd |
| William Fleming |
William Fleming |
|
 
| William Fleming |
| Woodberry Forest |
Woodberry Forest |
|
 
| Woodberry Forest |
| Woodbridge |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Woodgrove |
Woodgrove |
|
 
| Woodgrove |
| Woodson |
Woodson |
|
 
| Woodson |
| York LC |
York LC |
|
 
| York LC |
| Yorktown |
Yorktown |
|
 
| Yorktown |
PairWisePlus = 38

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.48
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Princess Anne ( 7- 3, 79.1) 9-11 -20.85 16.10 0.45 1.28 -26.01
0 H First Colonial ( 8- 4, 82.4) 8-20 -17.47 19.48 -0.45 1.28 -22.86
0 H Tallwood ( 1-10, 70.8) 16- 3 -29.08 7.87 -0.45 1.28 9.46
0 A Kellam (11- 2, 85.4) 2-12 -14.51 22.44 0.45 1.28 -17.93
0 H Princess Anne ( 7- 3, 79.1) 7-13 -20.85 16.10 -0.45 1.28 -27.17
0 A Cox ( 8- 5, 83.1) 2-16 -16.78 20.17 0.45 1.28 -20.82
0 H Kempsville ( 7- 3, 76.4) 9-10 -23.50 13.45 -0.45 1.28 -30.55
0 A Salem Virginia ( 3- 8, 71.8) 9- 5 -28.14 8.81 0.45 1.28 11.81
0 H Landstown ( 6- 5, 75.4) 13-12 -24.49 12.45 -0.45 1.28 15.31
------
-108.77
|
winning pts = 36.5796 losing points = -145.3452
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------