Northwestern PG
W-L: ( 4- 4) PR = 83.7586
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
321 A Oxon Hill ( 7- 3, 84.2) 6-10
323 A CH Flowers ( 9- 1, 86.1) 9-10
326 A Bowie ( 8- 2, 84.4) 4- 9
409 A Bladensburg ( 0- 8, 76.8) 18- 2
411 H Parkdale ( 4- 7, 80.4) 14- 2
413 H Gwynn Park ( 9- 1, 85.5) 10-11
420 H Laurel ( 3- 7, 80.9) 10- 4
423 H DuVal ( 2- 6, 81.1) 10- 0
430 H Fairmont Heights ( 3- 3, 80.5)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Oxon Hill 6-10 -4 -1 - -3.32
323 A CH Flowers 9-10 -1 -3 1.59
326 A Bowie 4- 9 -5 -1 -- -4.11
409 A Bladensburg 18- 2 16 7 0.00
411 H Parkdale 14- 2 12 4 1.35
413 H Gwynn Park 10-11 -1 -1 0.45
420 H Laurel 10- 4 6 3 1.85
423 H DuVal 10- 0 10 3 + 2.06
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
326 A Bowie 4- 9 -5 -1 -- -4.11
321 A Oxon Hill 6-10 -4 -1 - -3.32
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
423 H DuVal 10- 0 10 3 + 2.06
|
Northwestern PG PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Annapolis Area Chris |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Archbishop Curley |
Archbishop Curley |
|
 
| Archbishop Curley |
| Archbishop Spalding |
Archbishop Spalding |
|
 
| Archbishop Spalding |
| Beth TFiloh |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Bishop McNamara |
Bishop McNamara |
|
 
| Bishop McNamara |
| Boys Latin |
Boys Latin |
|
 
| Boys Latin |
| Bullis |
Bullis |
|
 
| Bullis |
| Calvert Hall |
Calvert Hall |
|
 
| Calvert Hall |
| Chapelgate Christian |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Concordia Prep |
Concordia Prep |
|
 
| Concordia Prep |
| Cristo Rey Jesuit |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| DeMatha |
DeMatha |
|
 
| DeMatha |
| FCA LC |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Friends |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Garrett County LC |
Garrett County LC |
|
 
| Garrett County LC |
| Georgetown Day |
Georgetown Day |
|
 
| Georgetown Day |
| Georgetown Prep |
Georgetown Prep |
|
 
| Georgetown Prep |
| Gerstell Academy |
Gerstell Academy |
|
 
| Gerstell Academy |
| Gilman |
Gilman |
|
 
| Gilman |
| Glenelg Country |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Gonzaga |
Gonzaga |
|
 
| Gonzaga |
| Good Counsel |
Good Counsel |
|
 
| Good Counsel |
| Gunston School |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Heights |
Heights |
|
 
| Heights |
| Indian Creek School |
Indian Creek School |
|
 
| Indian Creek School |
| Jemicy School |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| John Carroll |
John Carroll |
|
 
| John Carroll |
| Key School |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Landon |
Landon |
|
 
| Landon |
| Loyola-Blakefield |
Loyola-Blakefield |
|
 
| Loyola-Blakefield |
| Maret |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| McDonogh |
McDonogh |
|
 
| McDonogh |
| Mercersburg Academy |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Mount Carmel |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Mount St Joseph |
Mount St Joseph |
|
 
| Mount St Joseph |
| Park School |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Salisbury School |
Salisbury School |
|
 
| Salisbury School |
| Sandy Spring Friends |
Sandy Spring Friends |
|
 
| Sandy Spring Friends |
| Severn School |
Severn School |
|
 
| Severn School |
| Sidwell Friends |
Sidwell Friends |
|
 
| Sidwell Friends |
| St Albans |
St Albans |
|
 
| St Albans |
| St Andrews Episcopal |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| St James |
St James |
|
 
| St James |
| St Johns Catholic Pr |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| St Johns College HS |
St Johns College HS |
|
 
| St Johns College HS |
| St Marys Annapolis |
St Marys Annapolis |
|
 
| St Marys Annapolis |
| St Marys Ryken |
St Marys Ryken |
|
 
| St Marys Ryken |
| St Pauls |
St Pauls |
|
 
| St Pauls |
| St Vincent Pallotti |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Sts Peter & Paul |
Sts Peter & Paul |
|
 
| Sts Peter & Paul |
| Tome School |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Worcester Prep |
Worcester Prep |
|
 
| Worcester Prep |
| Aberdeen |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Academy for College |
Academy for College |
|
 
| Academy for College |
| Annapolis |
Annapolis |
|
 
| Annapolis |
| Arundel |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Atholton |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Baltimore Polytechni |
Northwestern PG |
|
Northwestern PG   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Bel Air |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
|
 
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
| Bladensburg |
Northwestern PG |
Northwestern PG |
 
| |
| Blair |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Blake |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Bohemia Manor |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Boonsboro |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Bowie |
Bowie |
Bowie |
 
| |
| Broadneck |
Broadneck |
|
 
| Broadneck |
| Brunswick |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Calvert |
Calvert |
|
 
| Calvert |
| Cambridge SD |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Carver A&T |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Catoctin |
Catoctin |
|
 
| Catoctin |
| Catonsville |
Catonsville |
|
 
| Catonsville |
| Centennial |
Centennial |
|
 
| Centennial |
| Century |
Century |
|
 
| Century |
| CH Flowers |
CH Flowers |
CH Flowers |
 
| |
| Chesapeake AA |
Chesapeake AA |
|
 
| Chesapeake AA |
| Chesapeake BC |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Chopticon |
Chopticon |
|
 
| Chopticon |
| City College |
City College |
|
 
| City College |
| Clarksburg |
Clarksburg |
|
 
| Clarksburg |
| CM Wright |
CM Wright |
|
 
| CM Wright |
| Crofton |
Crofton |
|
 
| Crofton |
| Damascus |
Damascus |
|
 
| Damascus |
| Digital Harbor |
Digital Harbor |
|
 
| Digital Harbor |
| Dr Henry Wise |
Northwestern PG |
|
Northwestern PG   2- 3 vs 0- 5 |
|
| Dulaney |
Dulaney |
|
 
| Dulaney |
| Dunbar |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Dundalk |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| DuVal |
Northwestern PG |
Northwestern PG |
 
| |
| Eastern Tech |
Eastern Tech |
|
 
| Eastern Tech |
| Easton |
Easton |
|
 
| Easton |
| Edgewood |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Edmondson-Westside |
Edmondson-Westside |
|
 
| Edmondson-Westside |
| Einstein |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Eleanor Roosevelt |
Eleanor Roosevelt |
|
Eleanor Roosevelt   5- 0 vs 3- 2 |
|
| Elkton |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Fairmont Heights |
Northwestern PG |
|
tied -  1- 2 |
Northwestern PG |
| Fallston |
Fallston |
|
 
| Fallston |
| Forest Park |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Francis Scott Key |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Franklin |
Franklin |
|
 
| Franklin |
| Frederick |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Frederick Douglass B |
Northwestern PG |
|
tied -  3- 3 |
Northwestern PG |
| Frederick Douglass P |
Frederick Douglass P |
|
 
| Frederick Douglass P |
| Friendly |
Friendly |
|
 
| Friendly |
| Gaithersburg |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Glen Burnie |
Glen Burnie |
|
 
| Glen Burnie |
| Glenelg HS |
Glenelg HS |
|
 
| Glenelg HS |
| Gov Thomas Johnson |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Great Mills |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Guilford Park |
Guilford Park |
|
 
| Guilford Park |
| Gwynn Park |
Gwynn Park |
Gwynn Park |
 
| |
| Hammond |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Harford Tech |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Havre De Grace |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Hereford |
Hereford |
|
 
| Hereford |
| High Point |
High Point |
|
 
| High Point |
| Howard |
Howard |
|
 
| Howard |
| Huntingtown |
Huntingtown |
|
 
| Huntingtown |
| JM Bennett |
JM Bennett |
|
 
| JM Bennett |
| Joppatowne |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Kennedy |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Kent County |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Kent Island |
Kent Island |
|
 
| Kent Island |
| Kenwood |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| La Plata |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Lackey |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Lake Clifton |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Lansdowne |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Laurel |
Northwestern PG |
Northwestern PG |
 
| |
| Leonardtown |
Leonardtown |
|
 
| Leonardtown |
| Liberty |
Liberty |
|
 
| Liberty |
| Linganore |
Linganore |
|
 
| Linganore |
| Loch Raven |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Long Reach |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Magruder |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Manchester Valley |
Manchester Valley |
|
 
| Manchester Valley |
| Marriotts Ridge |
Marriotts Ridge |
|
 
| Marriotts Ridge |
| Meade |
Northwestern PG |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Northwestern PG |
| Mergenthaler |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Middletown |
Middletown |
|
 
| Middletown |
| Milford Mill |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| MJ McDonough |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Mount Hebron |
Mount Hebron |
|
 
| Mount Hebron |
| National Academy Fou |
National Academy Fou |
|
 
| National Academy Fou |
| New Town |
New Town |
|
 
| New Town |
| North Caroline |
North Caroline |
|
 
| North Caroline |
| North County |
North County |
|
 
| North County |
| North Dorchester |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| North East Cecil |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| North Hagerstown |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| North Harford |
North Harford |
|
 
| North Harford |
| North Point |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Northeast AA |
Northeast AA |
|
 
| Northeast AA |
| Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Northwest |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Northwood |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Oakdale |
Oakdale |
|
 
| Oakdale |
| Oakland Mills |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Old Mill |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Overlea |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Owings Mills |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Oxon Hill |
Oxon Hill |
Oxon Hill |
 
| |
| Paint Branch |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Parkdale |
Northwestern PG |
Northwestern PG |
 
| |
| Parkside |
Parkside |
|
 
| Parkside |
| Parkville |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Patapsco |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Patterson HS |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Patterson Mill |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Patuxent |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Perry Hall |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Perryville |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Pikesville |
Pikesville |
|
 
| Pikesville |
| Poolesville |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Queen Annes County |
Queen Annes County |
|
 
| Queen Annes County |
| Quince Orchard |
Quince Orchard |
|
 
| Quince Orchard |
| Randallstown |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Reginald F Lewis |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Reservoir |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Richard Montgomery |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Rising Sun |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| River Hill |
River Hill |
|
 
| River Hill |
| Rockville |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Seneca Valley |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Severn Run |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Severna Park |
Severna Park |
|
 
| Severna Park |
| Sherwood |
Sherwood |
|
 
| Sherwood |
| Smithsburg |
Smithsburg |
|
 
| Smithsburg |
| South Carroll |
South Carroll |
|
 
| South Carroll |
| South Hagerstown |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| South River |
South River |
|
 
| South River |
| Southern AA |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Sparrows Point |
Sparrows Point |
|
 
| Sparrows Point |
| Springbrook |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| St Charles |
St Charles |
|
 
| St Charles |
| Stephen Decatur |
Stephen Decatur |
|
 
| Stephen Decatur |
| Suitland |
Northwestern PG |
|
Northwestern PG   3- 2 vs 0- 5 |
|
| Surrattsville |
Surrattsville |
|
 
| Surrattsville |
| Thomas Stone |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Towson |
Towson |
|
 
| Towson |
| Tuscarora |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Urbana |
Urbana |
|
 
| Urbana |
| Walkersville |
Walkersville |
|
 
| Walkersville |
| Walt Whitman |
Walt Whitman |
|
 
| Walt Whitman |
| Walter Johnson |
Walter Johnson |
|
 
| Walter Johnson |
| Watkins Mill |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Western STES |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Westlake |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Westminster |
Westminster |
|
 
| Westminster |
| Wheaton |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Wicomico |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Wilde Lake |
Wilde Lake |
|
 
| Wilde Lake |
| Winston Churchill |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Winters Mill |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Woodlawn |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Wootton |
Wootton |
|
 
| Wootton |
| Archbishop Carroll |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| DC International PCS |
Northwestern PG |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Northwestern PG |
| Jackson Reed |
Jackson Reed |
|
 
| Jackson Reed |
PairWisePlus = 107

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.55
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Oxon Hill ( 7- 3, 84.2) 6-10 -15.72 15.79 0.26 1.07 -16.52
0 A CH Flowers ( 9- 1, 86.1) 9-10 -13.81 17.70 0.26 1.07 -14.48
0 A Bowie ( 8- 2, 84.4) 4- 9 -15.51 16.00 0.26 1.07 -16.29
0 A Bladensburg ( 0- 8, 76.8) 18- 2 -23.08 8.43 0.26 1.07 9.29
0 H Parkdale ( 4- 7, 80.4) 14- 2 -19.54 11.97 -0.26 1.07 12.52
0 H Gwynn Park ( 9- 1, 85.5) 10-11 -14.43 17.08 -0.26 1.07 -15.70
0 H Laurel ( 3- 7, 80.9) 10- 4 -19.04 12.47 -0.26 1.07 13.05
0 H DuVal ( 2- 6, 81.1) 10- 0 -18.82 12.69 -0.26 1.07 13.28
------
-14.86
|
winning pts = 48.1374 losing points = -62.9983
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------