UPDATED: 08-07-26 18:52 PDT

boys New Canaan 1
  
New Canaan            
W-L: (11- 4) PR = 99.9000

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 414 A St Joseph Trumbull (10- 7, 90.7) 15- 5 416 A Staples (12- 3, 99.3) 8-11 423 H Wilton (11- 5, 97.5) 17-11 430 A Fairfield Prep (12- 3, 97.7) 10- 8 502 H Darien (13- 2, 98.7) 13- 8 507 A Ridgefield ( 5- 6, 94.9) 14- 7 514 H Staples (12- 3, 99.3) 5- 6 516 H Brien McMahon ( 8- 9, 85.1) 16- 1 519 H Greenwich HS ( 7- 9, 91.5) 17- 7 522 H Fairfield Ludlowe (12- 7, 91.1) 15- 6 526 N Wilton (11- 5, 97.5) 13- 6 528 N Staples (12- 3, 99.3) 9-10 606 H Greenwich HS ( 7- 9, 91.5) 15- 4 610 N Staples (12- 3, 99.3) 9- 8 614 N Darien (13- 2, 98.7) 9-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A St Joseph Trumbull     15- 5      10     9           0.00
   416 A Staples                 8-11      -3     0    -     -2.96
   423 H Wilton                 17-11       6     3           1.92
   430 A Fairfield Prep         10- 8       2     2           0.48
   502 H Darien                 13- 8       5     2    +      3.12
   507 A Ridgefield             14- 7       7     4           0.68
   514 H Staples                 5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.23
   516 H Brien McMahon          16- 1      15    15           0.00
   519 H Greenwich HS           17- 7      10     9           0.00
   522 H Fairfield Ludlowe      15- 6       9     9           0.00
   526 N Wilton                 13- 6       7     2    +      2.56
   528 N Staples                 9-10      -1     1          -1.59
   606 H Greenwich HS           15- 4      11     9           0.00
   610 N Staples                 9- 8       1     1           0.41
   614 N Darien                  9-10      -1     1    -     -2.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Staples                 8-11      -3     0    -     -2.96
   514 H Staples                 5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.23
   614 N Darien                  9-10      -1     1    -     -2.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H Darien                 13- 8       5     2    +      3.12
   526 N Wilton                 13- 6       7     2    +      2.56

New Canaan PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional New Canaan New Canaan   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Avon HS New Canaan   New Canaan
Bacon Academy New Canaan   New Canaan
Berlin New Canaan   New Canaan
Bethel New Canaan New Canaan   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Branford New Canaan   New Canaan
Brien McMahon New Canaan New Canaan  
Bristol Co-Op New Canaan   New Canaan
Brookfield New Canaan   New Canaan
Bunnell-Stratford New Canaan New Canaan   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Canton New Canaan   New Canaan
Capital-Classical Pr New Canaan   New Canaan
Cheshire HS New Canaan New Canaan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Conard New Canaan   New Canaan
Cromwell New Canaan   New Canaan
Danbury New Canaan   New Canaan
Daniel Hand New Canaan New Canaan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Darien Darien Darien   6- 0 vs 6- 1
East Catholic New Canaan   New Canaan
East Lyme New Canaan tied -  1- 0 New Canaan
Ellington New Canaan   New Canaan
Enfield New Canaan New Canaan   1- 0 vs 0- 1
EO Smith New Canaan   New Canaan
Fairfield Ludlowe New Canaan New Canaan  
Fairfield Prep New Canaan New Canaan  
Fairfield Warde New Canaan New Canaan   5- 1 vs 1- 4
Farmington New Canaan   New Canaan
Fitch Groton New Canaan   New Canaan
Foran New Canaan New Canaan   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Glastonbury New Canaan New Canaan   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Granby Memorial New Canaan tied -  1- 0 New Canaan
Greenwich HS New Canaan New Canaan  
Guilford New Canaan New Canaan   2- 0 vs 0- 1
Haddam-Killingworth New Canaan   New Canaan
Hall New Canaan   New Canaan
Hamden New Canaan New Canaan   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Holy Cross New Canaan   New Canaan
Immaculate Danbury New Canaan   New Canaan
Joel Barlow New Canaan tied -  1- 0 New Canaan
Jonathan Law New Canaan   New Canaan
Lakeview United New Canaan   New Canaan
Ledyard-Griswold New Canaan   New Canaan
Lewis Mills New Canaan   New Canaan
Lyman Hall New Canaan   New Canaan
Maloney-Platt New Canaan   New Canaan
Masuk New Canaan New Canaan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Middletown New Canaan   New Canaan
Montville New Canaan New Canaan   1- 1 vs 0- 1
Morgan School New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Canaan New Canaan   1- 1 vs 0- 1
New Milford New Canaan   New Canaan
Newington New Canaan   New Canaan
Newtown New Canaan tied -  1- 0 New Canaan
North Branford New Canaan   New Canaan
North Haven New Canaan   New Canaan
Northwest Catholic New Canaan   New Canaan
Norwalk New Canaan New Canaan   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Norwich Free Academy New Canaan   New Canaan
Norwich Tech New Canaan   New Canaan
Notre Dame-Fairfield New Canaan   New Canaan
Notre Dame-West Have New Canaan New Canaan   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Old Lyme New Canaan   New Canaan
Old Saybrook New Canaan   New Canaan
Pomperaug New Canaan   New Canaan
Prince-Cheney Tech New Canaan   New Canaan
RHAM New Canaan   New Canaan
Ridgefield New Canaan New Canaan  
Rockville Co-op New Canaan   New Canaan
Rocky Hill New Canaan   New Canaan
Sheehan New Canaan New Canaan   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Shelton New Canaan New Canaan   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Simsbury New Canaan   New Canaan
Somers New Canaan   New Canaan
South Windsor New Canaan New Canaan   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Southington New Canaan New Canaan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Bernard-Wheeler New Canaan   New Canaan
St Joseph Trumbull New Canaan New Canaan  
St Paul Catholic New Canaan   New Canaan
Stamford New Canaan New Canaan   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Staples Staples Staples  
Stonington New Canaan   New Canaan
Suffield New Canaan   New Canaan
Tolland New Canaan   New Canaan
Trumbull New Canaan New Canaan   5- 1 vs 0- 5
Valley Regional New Canaan   New Canaan
Vinal/Goodwin Tech New Canaan   New Canaan
Waterford New Canaan   New Canaan
Watertown New Canaan   New Canaan
West Haven New Canaan   New Canaan
Westhill New Canaan New Canaan   5- 1 vs 0- 5
Weston New Canaan New Canaan   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Wethersfield New Canaan   New Canaan
Wilbur Cross New Canaan   New Canaan
Wilton New Canaan New Canaan  
Windsor New Canaan   New Canaan
Wolcott New Canaan   New Canaan
Woodstock Academy New Canaan   New Canaan
Xavier New Canaan New Canaan   2- 0 vs 0- 2

PairWisePlus = 96


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.34

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A St Joseph Trum  (10- 7, 90.7)    15- 5       -9.19      29.25       0.64         1.09            32.57
   0 A Staples         (12- 3, 99.3)     8-11       -0.59      37.84       0.64         1.09            -0.05
   0 H Wilton          (11- 5, 97.5)    17-11       -2.44      36.00      -0.64         1.09            38.52
   0 A Fairfield Prep  (12- 3, 97.7)    10- 8       -2.16      36.28       0.64         1.09            40.22
   0 H Darien          (13- 2, 98.7)    13- 8       -1.24      37.20      -0.64         1.09            39.83
   0 A Ridgefield      ( 5- 6, 94.9)    14- 7       -4.96      33.47       0.64         1.09            37.17
   0 H Staples         (12- 3, 99.3)     5- 6       -0.59      37.84      -0.64         1.09            -1.34
   0 H Brien McMahon   ( 8- 9, 85.1)    16- 1      -14.80      23.64      -0.64         1.09            25.06
   0 H Greenwich HS    ( 7- 9, 91.5)    17- 7       -8.40      30.03      -0.64         1.09            32.03
   0 H Fairfield Ludl  (12- 7, 91.1)    15- 6       -8.76      29.67      -0.64         1.09            31.63
   0 N Wilton          (11- 5, 97.5)    13- 6       -2.44      36.00      -0.00         1.09            39.22
   0 N Staples         (12- 3, 99.3)     9-10       -0.59      37.84      -0.00         1.09            -0.65
   0 H Greenwich HS    ( 7- 9, 91.5)    15- 4       -8.40      30.03      -0.64         1.09            32.03
   0 N Staples         (12- 3, 99.3)     9- 8       -0.59      37.84      -0.00         1.09            41.23
   0 N Darien          (13- 2, 98.7)     9-10       -1.24      37.20      -0.00         1.09            -1.35
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       386.12

winning pts = 389.5088 losing points = -3.3921

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------