UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:53 PDT

boys Novi 1
  
Novi                  
W-L: ( 5-13) PR = 80.4375

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Troy ( 4-11, 83.7) 4- 3 321 H Hudsonville (19- 1, 95.7) 0-21 324 H Royal Oak HS ( 9- 7, 86.1) 2- 7 408 A Plymouth (11- 6, 86.9) 1- 7 410 A Farmington ( 0-12, 74.7) 14- 1 413 A Hartland (18- 4, 93.8) 0-15 417 H Salem ( 1-14, 78.9) 5- 2 420 A Livonia United ( 7-11, 85.8) 6-13 422 H Canton ( 5- 9, 83.7) 2-10 424 H Royal Oak Shrine ( 7- 9, 80.7) 7- 4 427 A Belleville ( 8- 8, 83.7) 4- 7 429 H Howell ( 3-13, 82.9) 3-11 501 H Farmington ( 0-12, 74.7) 8- 1 504 A Brighton (16- 4, 91.5) 0-19 506 H Northville (12- 6, 87.5) 1-16 509 A White Lake Lakeland ( 6-12, 82.6) 8-10 511 H Salem ( 1-14, 78.9) 4- 6 514 A Walled Lake Northern (15- 3, 88.2) 1-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Troy                    4- 3       1    -4    ++     5.00
   321 H Hudsonville             0-21     -21   -14           0.00
   324 H Royal Oak HS            2- 7      -5    -5          -0.16
   408 A Plymouth                1- 7      -6    -7           0.00
   410 A Farmington             14- 1      13     5           0.07
   413 A Hartland                0-15     -15   -14           0.00
   417 H Salem                   5- 2       3     2           0.69
   420 A Livonia United          6-13      -7    -6           0.00
   422 H Canton                  2-10      -8    -3    -     -2.47
   424 H Royal Oak Shrine        7- 4       3     1    +      2.48
   427 A Belleville              4- 7      -3    -4           1.02
   429 H Howell                  3-11      -8    -2    -     -3.28
   501 H Farmington              8- 1       7     6           0.00
   504 A Brighton                0-19     -19   -12           0.00
   506 H Northville              1-16     -15    -6           0.00
   509 A White Lake Lakeland     8-10      -2    -3           0.95
   511 H Salem                   4- 6      -2     2    --    -4.31
   514 A Walled Lake Northern    1-12     -11    -9           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 H Salem                   4- 6      -2     2    --    -4.31
   422 H Canton                  2-10      -8    -3    -     -2.47
   429 H Howell                  3-11      -8    -2    -     -3.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Troy                    4- 3       1    -4    ++     5.00
   424 H Royal Oak Shrine        7- 4       3     1    +      2.48

Novi PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allen Park Novi Novi   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Anchor Bay Anchor Bay tied -  0- 1 Anchor Bay
Ann Arbor Father Gab Ann Arbor Father Gab Ann Arbor Father Gab   2- 3 vs 2- 4
Ann Arbor Greenhills Novi Novi   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Ann Arbor Huron Novi   Novi
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Ann Arbor Skyline Novi tied -  0- 1 Novi
Bay City Central Bay City Central tied -  0- 1 Bay City Central
Bay City John Glenn Bay City John Glenn   Bay City John Glenn
Bay City Western Novi   Novi
Bedford Bedford   Bedford
Belleville Belleville Belleville  
Birmingham United Birmingham United Birmingham United   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Birmingham United B Birmingham United B   Birmingham United B
Bishop Foley Novi Novi   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   3- 2 vs 2- 4
Brighton Brighton Brighton  
Brighton B Brighton B   Brighton B
Brother Rice Brother Rice Brother Rice   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Brother Rice Orange Brother Rice Orange Brother Rice Orange   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Brownstown Woodhaven Novi   Novi
Byron Center Byron Center tied -  0- 1 Byron Center
Cadillac Cadillac   Cadillac
Caledonia Caledonia tied -  0- 1 Caledonia
Canton Canton Canton  
Cass Tech Novi tied -  0- 1 Novi
Chelsea Novi tied -  0- 1 Novi
Chippewa Valley Novi   Novi
Clarkston Clarkston tied -  1- 1 Clarkston
Coopersville Coopersville Coopersville   1- 0 vs 1- 1
Cranbrook Cranbrook   Cranbrook
Dakota Dakota   Dakota
Davison Novi tied -  0- 1 Novi
De La Salle De La Salle   De La Salle
Detroit Catholic Cen Detroit Catholic Cen Detroit Catholic Cen   2- 0 vs 1- 2
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   3- 0 vs 1- 2
DeWitt DeWitt   DeWitt
Dexter Dexter   Dexter
Divine Child Divine Child Divine Child   3- 0 vs 1- 2
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids tied -  0- 2 East Grand Rapids
East Kentwood Novi   Novi
East Lansing East Lansing East Lansing   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Farmington Novi Novi  
Fenton Novi   Novi
Flint Powers Flint Powers tied -  0- 1 Flint Powers
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Forest Hills Eastern Forest Hills Eastern tied -  0- 2 Forest Hills Eastern
Forest Hills Norther Forest Hills Norther Forest Hills Norther   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Goodrich/Lake Fenton Novi   Novi
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   Grand Blanc
Grand Haven Grand Haven   Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Grand Rapids Catholi Grand Rapids Catholi tied -  0- 1 Grand Rapids Catholi
Grand Rapids Christi Grand Rapids Christi   Grand Rapids Christi
Grandville Grandville tied -  0- 1 Grandville
Grosse Ile Grosse Ile   Grosse Ile
Grosse Pointe North Novi Novi   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South tied -  1- 1 Grosse Pointe South
Harper Creek Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Hartland Hartland Hartland  
Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston   Haslett-Williamston
Henry Ford II Henry Ford II   Henry Ford II
Holland Christian Holland Christian   Holland Christian
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa tied -  0- 1 Holland West Ottawa
Holt Holt tied -  0- 1 Holt
Howell Howell Howell  
Hudsonville Hudsonville Hudsonville  
Jackson Novi tied -  0- 1 Novi
Jenison Jenison   Jenison
Kalamazoo United Novi   Novi
Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills   Kenowa Hills
L'Anse Creuse Novi tied -  1- 0 Novi
L'Anse Creuse North Novi   Novi
Lake Orion Lake Orion Lake Orion   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Lake Shore Lake Shore   Lake Shore
Lakeview Lakeview   Lakeview
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic   Lansing Catholic
Lapeer Novi   Novi
Lincoln Ypsilanti Lincoln Ypsilanti Lincoln Ypsilanti   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Linden Linden Linden   3- 1 vs 1- 4
Livonia United Livonia United Livonia United  
Lowell Lowell   Lowell
Mattawan Mattawan tied -  0- 1 Mattawan
Midland Novi tied -  0- 1 Novi
Midland Dow Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Mona Shores Mona Shores tied -  0- 1 Mona Shores
Northview Northview   Northview
Northville Northville Northville  
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep tied -  0- 2 Notre Dame Prep
Okemos Okemos   Okemos
Orchard Lake St Mary Orchard Lake St Mary Orchard Lake St Mary   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Ortonville Brandon Novi   Novi
Oxford Oxford Oxford   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Pennfield Novi   Novi
Petoskey Novi   Novi
Pinckney Pinckney   Pinckney
Plymouth Plymouth Plymouth  
Port Huron United Port Huron United   Port Huron United
Portage Central Portage Central   Portage Central
Portage Northern Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Reeths Puffer Reeths Puffer   Reeths Puffer
Riverview Gabriel Ri Riverview Gabriel Ri   Riverview Gabriel Ri
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Rochester HS Rochester HS tied -  1- 0 Rochester HS
Rochester Stoney Cre Rochester Stoney Cre tied -  1- 1 Rochester Stoney Cre
Rockford Rockford Rockford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Romeo Romeo Romeo   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Royal Oak HS Royal Oak HS Royal Oak HS  
Royal Oak Shrine Novi Novi  
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Salem Novi tied -  0- 8 Novi
Saline Saline tied -  0- 2 Saline
Sault Area Novi   Novi
South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified   5- 2 vs 0- 7
Spring Lake Spring Lake tied -  0- 1 Spring Lake
St Clair Novi Novi   1- 1 vs 0- 2
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Novi   Novi
St Mary Catholic Cen Novi tied -  0- 1 Novi
Swartz Creek Novi tied -  0- 1 Novi
Tecumseh Tecumseh tied -  0- 1 Tecumseh
Traverse City Centra Traverse City Centra   Traverse City Centra
Traverse City West Traverse City West tied -  0- 1 Traverse City West
Troy Novi Novi  
Troy Athens Novi Novi   3- 1 vs 1- 3
University Detroit J University Detroit J University Detroit J   3- 1 vs 2- 2
University Liggett University Liggett tied -  1- 0 University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower tied -  1- 2 Utica Eisenhower
Vicksburg Vicksburg   Vicksburg
Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern  
Walled Lake Western Walled Lake Western   Walled Lake Western
Waterford United Novi tied -  2- 2 Novi
West Bloomfield Novi tied -  1- 2 Novi
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland  
Zeeland Zeeland tied -  0- 1 Zeeland

PairWisePlus = 36


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.61

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Troy            ( 4-11, 83.7)     4- 3      -16.24      14.05       0.78         0.87            12.86
   0 H Hudsonville     (19- 1, 95.7)     0-21       -4.19      26.09      -0.78         0.87            -4.31
   0 H Royal Oak HS    ( 9- 7, 86.1)     2- 7      -13.84      16.44      -0.78         0.87           -12.68
   0 A Plymouth        (11- 6, 86.9)     1- 7      -12.98      17.30       0.78         0.87           -10.59
   0 A Farmington      ( 0-12, 74.7)    14- 1      -25.17       5.11       0.78         0.87             5.11
   0 A Hartland        (18- 4, 93.8)     0-15       -6.11      24.17       0.78         0.87            -4.63
   0 H Salem           ( 1-14, 78.9)     5- 2      -21.00       9.29      -0.78         0.87             7.38
   0 A Livonia United  ( 7-11, 85.8)     6-13      -14.08      16.20       0.78         0.87           -11.54
   0 H Canton          ( 5- 9, 83.7)     2-10      -16.16      14.12      -0.78         0.87           -14.69
   0 H Royal Oak Shri  ( 7- 9, 80.7)     7- 4      -19.20      11.08      -0.78         0.87             8.94
   0 A Belleville      ( 8- 8, 83.7)     4- 7      -16.22      14.06       0.78         0.87           -13.40
   0 H Howell          ( 3-13, 82.9)     3-11      -16.96      13.32      -0.78         0.87           -15.39
   0 H Farmington      ( 0-12, 74.7)     8- 1      -25.17       5.11      -0.78         0.87             3.76
   0 A Brighton        (16- 4, 91.5)     0-19       -8.44      21.84       0.78         0.87            -6.65
   0 H Northville      (12- 6, 87.5)     1-16      -12.45      17.83      -0.78         0.87           -11.47
   0 A White Lake Lak  ( 6-12, 82.6)     8-10      -17.29      12.99       0.78         0.87           -14.32
   0 H Salem           ( 1-14, 78.9)     4- 6      -21.00       9.29      -0.78         0.87           -18.89
   0 A Walled Lake No  (15- 3, 88.2)     1-12      -11.72      18.56       0.78         0.87            -9.50
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -110.01

winning pts = 38.0418 losing points = -148.0542

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------