UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:40 PDT

boys Novi 1
  
Novi                  
W-L: ( 1- 2) PR = 85.7672

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Troy ( 0- 2, 83.6) 4- 3 321 H Hudsonville ( 3- 1, 91.7) 0-21 324 H Royal Oak HS ( 2- 0, 92.2) 2- 7 408 A Plymouth ( 1- 0, 90.1) 410 A Farmington ( 0- 1, 85.0) 413 A Hartland ( 0- 3, 88.6) 414 A Notre Dame Prep ( 1- 4, 83.4) 417 H Salem ( 0- 0, 86.6) 420 A Livonia United ( 0- 2, 79.1) 422 H Canton ( 1- 1, 87.2) 424 H Royal Oak Shrine ( 3- 0, 86.6) 427 A Belleville ( 2- 0, 87.1) 429 H Howell ( 0- 1, 82.2) 501 H Farmington ( 0- 1, 85.0) 504 A Brighton ( 3- 0, 89.2) 506 H Northville ( 2- 0, 92.2)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Troy                    4- 3       1     1          -0.17
   321 H Hudsonville             0-21     -21    -5          -0.10
   324 H Royal Oak HS            2- 7      -5    -5           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Novi Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allen Park Allen Park   Allen Park
Anchor Bay Novi   Novi
Ann Arbor Father Gab Novi   Novi
Ann Arbor Greenhills Novi   Novi
Ann Arbor Huron Ann Arbor Huron   Ann Arbor Huron
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer   Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Novi   Novi
Bay City Central Bay City Central   Bay City Central
Bay City John Glenn Bay City John Glenn   Bay City John Glenn
Bay City Western Novi   Novi
Bedford Bedford   Bedford
Belleville Belleville   Belleville
Birmingham United Birmingham United   Birmingham United
Birmingham United B Birmingham United B   Birmingham United B
Bishop Foley Novi   Novi
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton   Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B   Brighton B
Brother Rice Brother Rice   Brother Rice
Brother Rice Orange Brother Rice Orange   Brother Rice Orange
Brownstown Woodhaven Novi   Novi
Byron Center Byron Center   Byron Center
Cadillac Cadillac   Cadillac
Caledonia Caledonia   Caledonia
Canton Canton   Canton
Cass Tech Cass Tech   Cass Tech
Chelsea Chelsea   Chelsea
Chippewa Valley Novi   Novi
Clarkston Clarkston   Clarkston
Coopersville Coopersville   Coopersville
Cranbrook Cranbrook   Cranbrook
Dakota Dakota   Dakota
Davison Novi   Novi
De La Salle De La Salle   De La Salle
Detroit Catholic Cen Detroit Catholic Cen   Detroit Catholic Cen
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   Detroit Country Day
DeWitt DeWitt   DeWitt
Dexter Dexter   Dexter
Divine Child Divine Child   Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   East Grand Rapids
East Kentwood Novi   Novi
East Lansing Novi   Novi
Farmington Novi   Novi
Fenton Novi   Novi
Flint Powers Flint Powers   Flint Powers
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Eastern Forest Hills Eastern   Forest Hills Eastern
Forest Hills Norther Forest Hills Norther   Forest Hills Norther
Goodrich/Lake Fenton Goodrich/Lake Fenton   Goodrich/Lake Fenton
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   Grand Blanc
Grand Haven Grand Haven   Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Grand Rapids Catholi Grand Rapids Catholi   Grand Rapids Catholi
Grand Rapids Christi Novi   Novi
Grandville Grandville   Grandville
Grosse Ile Grosse Ile   Grosse Ile
Grosse Pointe North Novi   Novi
Grosse Pointe South Novi   Novi
Harper Creek Novi   Novi
Hartland Hartland   Hartland
Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston   Haslett-Williamston
Henry Ford II Henry Ford II   Henry Ford II
Holland Christian Novi   Novi
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa   Holland West Ottawa
Holt Novi tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Novi
Howell Novi   Novi
Hudsonville Hudsonville Hudsonville  
Jackson Novi   Novi
Jenison Novi   Novi
Kalamazoo United Kalamazoo United   Kalamazoo United
Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills   Kenowa Hills
L'Anse Creuse Novi   Novi
L'Anse Creuse North Novi   Novi
Lake Orion Lake Orion   Lake Orion
Lake Shore Lake Shore   Lake Shore
Lakeview Lakeview   Lakeview
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic   Lansing Catholic
Lapeer Lapeer   Lapeer
Lincoln Ypsilanti Lincoln Ypsilanti   Lincoln Ypsilanti
Linden Linden   Linden
Livonia United Novi   Novi
Lowell Novi   Novi
Mattawan Mattawan   Mattawan
Midland Novi   Novi
Midland Dow Novi   Novi
Mona Shores Mona Shores   Mona Shores
Northview Novi   Novi
Northville Northville   Northville
Notre Dame Prep Novi   Novi
Okemos Okemos   Okemos
Orchard Lake St Mary Orchard Lake St Mary   Orchard Lake St Mary
Ortonville Brandon Novi   Novi
Oxford Oxford   Oxford
Pennfield Pennfield   Pennfield
Petoskey Petoskey   Petoskey
Pinckney Pinckney   Pinckney
Plymouth Plymouth   Plymouth
Port Huron United Port Huron United   Port Huron United
Portage Central Novi   Novi
Portage Northern Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Reeths Puffer Novi   Novi
Riverview Gabriel Ri Riverview Gabriel Ri   Riverview Gabriel Ri
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Rochester HS   Rochester HS
Rochester Stoney Cre Rochester Stoney Cre tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rochester Stoney Cre
Rockford Rockford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rockford
Romeo Romeo   Romeo
Royal Oak HS Royal Oak HS Royal Oak HS  
Royal Oak Shrine Royal Oak Shrine   Royal Oak Shrine
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Salem Salem   Salem
Saline Novi   Novi
Sault Area Sault Area   Sault Area
South Lyon Unified Novi   Novi
Spring Lake Spring Lake   Spring Lake
St Clair Novi   Novi
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Novi   Novi
St Mary Catholic Cen Novi   Novi
Swartz Creek Novi   Novi
Tecumseh Novi   Novi
Traverse City Centra Novi   Novi
Traverse City West Novi   Novi
Troy Novi Novi  
Troy Athens Novi   Novi
University Detroit J Novi   Novi
University Liggett University Liggett   University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower   Utica Eisenhower
Vicksburg Novi   Novi
Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Walled Lake Northern
Walled Lake Western Walled Lake Western   Walled Lake Western
Waterford United Waterford United   Waterford United
West Bloomfield West Bloomfield   West Bloomfield
White Lake Lakeland Novi   Novi
Zeeland Zeeland tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Zeeland

PowerWise = 47


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 2.50

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Troy            ( 0- 2, 83.6)     4- 3      -16.31       8.18       1.00         0.83             7.66
   0 H Hudsonville     ( 3- 1, 91.7)     0-21       -8.23      16.25      -1.00         0.83            -7.70
   0 H Royal Oak HS    ( 2- 0, 92.2)     2- 7       -7.68      16.81      -1.00         0.83            -7.24
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -7.29

winning pts = 7.6597 losing points = -14.9473

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------