Northern Calvert
W-L: ( 4- 2) PR = 87.4004
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
320 H Thomas Stone ( 0- 2, 82.8) 14- 4
324 H South River ( 1- 2, 90.3) 6- 8
325 A MJ McDonough ( 0- 3, 81.8) 11- 2
327 H St Charles ( 0- 1, 82.8) 15- 0
331 H Crofton ( 2- 2, 91.6) 3-15
402 H Southern AA ( 1- 4, 85.6) 10- 7
408 H Huntingtown ( 4- 0, 96.0)
410 A Calvert ( 2- 0, 89.3)
413 A Lackey ( 0- 5, 81.8)
417 A Great Mills ( 3- 1, 86.3)
420 H Patuxent ( 2- 2, 86.4)
422 A Glenelg HS ( 1- 1, 93.5)
424 H Leonardtown ( 4- 1, 93.5)
429 H Chopticon ( 2- 1, 90.5)
501 A North Point ( 2- 1, 83.2)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
320 H Thomas Stone 14- 4 10 5 0.01
324 H South River 6- 8 -2 -2 0.48
325 A MJ McDonough 11- 2 9 5 0.00
327 H St Charles 15- 0 15 5 0.00
331 H Crofton 3-15 -12 -4 -1.22
402 H Southern AA 10- 7 3 2 0.76
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
Northern Calvert Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Annapolis Area Chris |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Archbishop Curley |
Archbishop Curley |
|
 
| Archbishop Curley |
| Archbishop Spalding |
Archbishop Spalding |
|
 
| Archbishop Spalding |
| Beth TFiloh |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Bishop McNamara |
Bishop McNamara |
|
 
| Bishop McNamara |
| Boys Latin |
Boys Latin |
|
 
| Boys Latin |
| Bullis |
Bullis |
|
 
| Bullis |
| Calvert Hall |
Calvert Hall |
|
 
| Calvert Hall |
| Chapelgate Christian |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Concordia Prep |
Concordia Prep |
|
 
| Concordia Prep |
| Cristo Rey Jesuit |
Cristo Rey Jesuit |
|
 
| Cristo Rey Jesuit |
| DeMatha |
DeMatha |
|
 
| DeMatha |
| FCA LC |
FCA LC |
|
 
| FCA LC |
| Friends |
Friends |
|
 
| Friends |
| Garrett County LC |
Garrett County LC |
|
 
| Garrett County LC |
| Georgetown Day |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Georgetown Prep |
Georgetown Prep |
|
 
| Georgetown Prep |
| Gerstell Academy |
Gerstell Academy |
|
 
| Gerstell Academy |
| Gilman |
Gilman |
|
 
| Gilman |
| Glenelg Country |
Glenelg Country |
|
 
| Glenelg Country |
| Gonzaga |
Gonzaga |
|
 
| Gonzaga |
| Good Counsel |
Good Counsel |
|
 
| Good Counsel |
| Gunston School |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Heights |
Heights |
|
 
| Heights |
| Indian Creek School |
Indian Creek School |
|
 
| Indian Creek School |
| Jemicy School |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| John Carroll |
John Carroll |
|
 
| John Carroll |
| Key School |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Landon |
Landon |
|
 
| Landon |
| Loyola-Blakefield |
Loyola-Blakefield |
|
 
| Loyola-Blakefield |
| Maret |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| McDonogh |
McDonogh |
|
 
| McDonogh |
| Mercersburg Academy |
Mercersburg Academy |
|
 
| Mercersburg Academy |
| Mount Carmel |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Mount St Joseph |
Mount St Joseph |
|
 
| Mount St Joseph |
| Park School |
Park School |
|
 
| Park School |
| Salisbury School |
Salisbury School |
|
 
| Salisbury School |
| Sandy Spring Friends |
Sandy Spring Friends |
|
 
| Sandy Spring Friends |
| Severn School |
Severn School |
|
 
| Severn School |
| Sidwell Friends |
Sidwell Friends |
|
 
| Sidwell Friends |
| St Albans |
St Albans |
|
 
| St Albans |
| St Andrews Episcopal |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| St James |
St James |
|
 
| St James |
| St Johns Catholic Pr |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| St Johns College HS |
St Johns College HS |
|
 
| St Johns College HS |
| St Marys Annapolis |
St Marys Annapolis |
|
 
| St Marys Annapolis |
| St Marys Ryken |
St Marys Ryken |
|
 
| St Marys Ryken |
| St Pauls |
St Pauls |
|
 
| St Pauls |
| St Vincent Pallotti |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Sts Peter & Paul |
Sts Peter & Paul |
|
 
| Sts Peter & Paul |
| Tome School |
Tome School |
|
 
| Tome School |
| Worcester Prep |
Worcester Prep |
|
 
| Worcester Prep |
| Aberdeen |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Academy for College |
Academy for College |
|
 
| Academy for College |
| Annapolis |
Annapolis |
|
 
| Annapolis |
| Arundel |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Atholton |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Baltimore Polytechni |
Baltimore Polytechni |
|
 
| Baltimore Polytechni |
| Bel Air |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
|
 
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
| Bladensburg |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Blair |
Blair |
|
 
| Blair |
| Blake |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Bohemia Manor |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Boonsboro |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Bowie |
Bowie |
|
 
| Bowie |
| Broadneck |
Broadneck |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Broadneck |
| Brunswick |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Calvert |
Calvert |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Calvert |
| Cambridge SD |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Carver A&T |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Catoctin |
Catoctin |
|
 
| Catoctin |
| Catonsville |
Catonsville |
|
Catonsville   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Centennial |
Centennial |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Centennial |
| Century |
Century |
|
 
| Century |
| CH Flowers |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Chesapeake AA |
Chesapeake AA |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Chesapeake AA |
| Chesapeake BC |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Chopticon |
Chopticon |
|
 
| Chopticon |
| City College |
City College |
|
 
| City College |
| Clarksburg |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| CM Wright |
CM Wright |
|
 
| CM Wright |
| Crofton |
Crofton |
Crofton |
 
| |
| Damascus |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Digital Harbor |
Digital Harbor |
|
 
| Digital Harbor |
| Dr Henry Wise |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Dulaney |
Dulaney |
|
 
| Dulaney |
| Dunbar |
Dunbar |
|
 
| Dunbar |
| Dundalk |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| DuVal |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Eastern Tech |
Eastern Tech |
|
 
| Eastern Tech |
| Easton |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Edgewood |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Edmondson-Westside |
Edmondson-Westside |
|
 
| Edmondson-Westside |
| Einstein |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Eleanor Roosevelt |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Elkton |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Fairmont Heights |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Fallston |
Fallston |
|
 
| Fallston |
| Forest Park |
Forest Park |
|
 
| Forest Park |
| Francis Scott Key |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Franklin |
Franklin |
|
 
| Franklin |
| Frederick |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Frederick Douglass B |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Frederick Douglass P |
Frederick Douglass P |
|
 
| Frederick Douglass P |
| Friendly |
Friendly |
|
 
| Friendly |
| Gaithersburg |
Gaithersburg |
|
 
| Gaithersburg |
| Glen Burnie |
Glen Burnie |
|
 
| Glen Burnie |
| Glenelg HS |
Glenelg HS |
|
 
| Glenelg HS |
| Gov Thomas Johnson |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Great Mills |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Northern Calvert |
| Guilford Park |
Guilford Park |
|
 
| Guilford Park |
| Gwynn Park |
Gwynn Park |
|
 
| Gwynn Park |
| Hammond |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Harford Tech |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Havre De Grace |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Hereford |
Hereford |
|
 
| Hereford |
| High Point |
High Point |
|
 
| High Point |
| Howard |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Northern Calvert |
| Huntingtown |
Huntingtown |
|
 
| Huntingtown |
| JM Bennett |
JM Bennett |
|
 
| JM Bennett |
| Joppatowne |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Kennedy |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Kent County |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Kent Island |
Kent Island |
|
 
| Kent Island |
| Kenwood |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| La Plata |
La Plata |
|
 
| La Plata |
| Lackey |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Lake Clifton |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Lansdowne |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Laurel |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Leonardtown |
Leonardtown |
|
 
| Leonardtown |
| Liberty |
Liberty |
|
 
| Liberty |
| Linganore |
Linganore |
|
 
| Linganore |
| Loch Raven |
Loch Raven |
|
 
| Loch Raven |
| Long Reach |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Magruder |
Magruder |
|
 
| Magruder |
| Manchester Valley |
Manchester Valley |
|
 
| Manchester Valley |
| Marriotts Ridge |
Marriotts Ridge |
|
 
| Marriotts Ridge |
| Meade |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Mergenthaler |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Middletown |
Middletown |
|
 
| Middletown |
| Milford Mill |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| MJ McDonough |
Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
 
| |
| Mount Hebron |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| National Academy Fou |
National Academy Fou |
|
 
| National Academy Fou |
| New Town |
New Town |
|
 
| New Town |
| North Caroline |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| North County |
North County |
|
 
| North County |
| North Dorchester |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| North East Cecil |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| North Hagerstown |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| North Harford |
North Harford |
|
 
| North Harford |
| North Point |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Northeast AA |
Northeast AA |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Northeast AA |
| Northwest |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Northwestern PG |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Northwood |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Oakdale |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Oakland Mills |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Old Mill |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Overlea |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Owings Mills |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Oxon Hill |
Oxon Hill |
|
 
| Oxon Hill |
| Paint Branch |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Parkdale |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Parkside |
Parkside |
|
 
| Parkside |
| Parkville |
Parkville |
|
 
| Parkville |
| Patapsco |
Patapsco |
|
 
| Patapsco |
| Patterson HS |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Patterson Mill |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Patuxent |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Northern Calvert |
| Perry Hall |
Perry Hall |
|
 
| Perry Hall |
| Perryville |
Perryville |
|
 
| Perryville |
| Pikesville |
Pikesville |
|
 
| Pikesville |
| Poolesville |
Poolesville |
|
 
| Poolesville |
| Queen Annes County |
Queen Annes County |
|
 
| Queen Annes County |
| Quince Orchard |
Quince Orchard |
|
 
| Quince Orchard |
| Randallstown |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Reginald F Lewis |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Reservoir |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Richard Montgomery |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Rising Sun |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| River Hill |
River Hill |
|
 
| River Hill |
| Rockville |
Rockville |
|
 
| Rockville |
| Seneca Valley |
Seneca Valley |
|
 
| Seneca Valley |
| Severn Run |
Northern Calvert |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Northern Calvert |
| Severna Park |
Severna Park |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Severna Park |
| Sherwood |
Sherwood |
|
 
| Sherwood |
| Smithsburg |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| South Carroll |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| South Hagerstown |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| South River |
South River |
South River |
 
| |
| Southern AA |
Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
 
| |
| Sparrows Point |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Springbrook |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| St Charles |
Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
 
| |
| Stephen Decatur |
Stephen Decatur |
|
 
| Stephen Decatur |
| Suitland |
Suitland |
|
 
| Suitland |
| Surrattsville |
Surrattsville |
|
 
| Surrattsville |
| Thomas Stone |
Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
 
| |
| Towson |
Towson |
|
 
| Towson |
| Tuscarora |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Urbana |
Urbana |
|
 
| Urbana |
| Walkersville |
Walkersville |
|
 
| Walkersville |
| Walt Whitman |
Walt Whitman |
|
 
| Walt Whitman |
| Walter Johnson |
Walter Johnson |
|
 
| Walter Johnson |
| Watkins Mill |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Western STES |
Western STES |
|
 
| Western STES |
| Westlake |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Westminster |
Westminster |
|
 
| Westminster |
| Wheaton |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Wicomico |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Wilde Lake |
Wilde Lake |
|
 
| Wilde Lake |
| Winston Churchill |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Winters Mill |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Woodlawn |
Woodlawn |
|
 
| Woodlawn |
| Wootton |
Wootton |
|
 
| Wootton |
| Archbishop Carroll |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| DC International PCS |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Jackson Reed |
Jackson Reed |
|
 
| Jackson Reed |
PowerWise = 98

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.26
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Thomas Stone ( 0- 2, 82.8) 14- 4 -17.08 7.98 -0.41 0.54 4.12
0 H South River ( 1- 2, 90.3) 6- 8 -9.61 15.45 -0.41 0.54 -5.45
0 A MJ McDonough ( 0- 3, 81.8) 11- 2 -18.09 6.98 0.41 0.54 4.01
0 H St Charles ( 0- 1, 82.8) 15- 0 -17.14 7.93 -0.41 0.54 4.09
0 H Crofton ( 2- 2, 91.6) 3-15 -8.32 16.75 -0.41 0.54 -4.74
0 H Southern AA ( 1- 4, 85.6) 10- 7 -14.33 10.73 -0.41 0.54 5.61
------
7.65
|
winning pts = 17.8356 losing points = -10.1870
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------