UPDATED: 04-04-26 09:07 PDT

boys North Central 1
  
North Central         
W-L: ( 2- 4) PR = 88.5149

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 H Penn ( 6- 4, 91.4) 12-16 311 A Westfield ( 5- 1, 93.5) 5-18 314 A Homestead ( 2- 4, 84.7) 11- 3 318 A Carmel ( 4- 0, 99.9) 1-19 321 H Carroll ( 2- 2, 84.8) 17- 5 325 A Park Tudor ( 4- 1, 90.2) 5- 8 410 H Crown Point ( 3- 3, 91.1) 415 H Brebeuf Jesuit ( 0- 6, 82.5) 418 A Castle ( 2- 1, 85.9) 418 A Evansville Reitz ( 1- 5, 80.1) 422 H Center Grove ( 1- 1, 91.4) 425 A Bishop Dwenger ( 0- 0, 86.0) 501 H Avon ( 3- 2, 86.6) 502 H Northridge ( 2- 1, 85.9) 505 H Heritage Christian ( 2- 0, 91.8) 509 A Bloomington North ( 2- 0, 90.3) 512 A Lawrence North ( 0- 2, 77.3)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Penn                   12-16      -4    -3          -1.41
   311 A Westfield               5-18     -13    -5           0.00
   314 A Homestead              11- 3       8     4           1.48
   318 A Carmel                  1-19     -18   -12           0.00
   321 H Carroll                17- 5      12     4           1.00
   325 A Park Tudor              5- 8      -3    -2          -1.05

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

North Central Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Argos North Central   North Central
Avon North Central tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) North Central
Bishop Chatard Bishop Chatard insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Bishop Chatard
Bishop Dwenger North Central   North Central
Bloomington North Bloomington North   Bloomington North
Bloomington South North Central   North Central
Brebeuf Jesuit North Central tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Central
Brownsburg Brownsburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Brownsburg
Carmel Carmel Carmel  
Carroll North Central North Central  
Castle North Central tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Central
Cathedral Cathedral   Cathedral
Center Grove Center Grove   Center Grove
Chesterton North Central   North Central
Columbus North Columbus North   Columbus North
Concordia North Central   North Central
Crown Point Crown Point insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Crown Point
Culver Academy Culver Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Culver Academy
East Side LC North Central   North Central
Edgewood North Central   North Central
Elkhart Memorial North Central   North Central
Evansville Central North Central   North Central
Evansville Memorial Evansville Memorial insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Evansville Memorial
Evansville North North Central   North Central
Evansville Reitz North Central insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) North Central
Fishers North Central tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Central
Franklin North Central   North Central
Gibson Southern North Central   North Central
Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Guerin Catholic
Hamilton Southeaster Hamilton Southeaster   Hamilton Southeaster
Heritage Christian Heritage Christian insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Heritage Christian
Homestead North Central North Central  
Lafayette Harrison North Central insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) North Central
LaPorte North Central   North Central
Lawrence North North Central insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) North Central
Leo North Central insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) North Central
Marian North Central tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Central
Mater Dei North Central   North Central
Munster North Central   North Central
New Prairie North Central   North Central
Noblesville North Central tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Central
Northridge North Central   North Central
Park Tudor Park Tudor Park Tudor  
Penn Penn Penn  
Perry Meridian North Central   North Central
Roncalli Catholic North Central   North Central
Snider North Central   North Central
South Bend Adams North Central tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) North Central
Southport North Central   North Central
St Joseph South Bend St Joseph South Bend   St Joseph South Bend
Valparaiso North Central   North Central
Victory Christian North Central   North Central
Westfield Westfield Westfield  
Whiteland North Central   North Central
Zionsville Zionsville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Zionsville

PowerWise = 37


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.43

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Penn            ( 6- 4, 91.4)    12-16       -8.53      15.65      -0.27         0.57            -5.03
   0 A Westfield       ( 5- 1, 93.5)     5-18       -6.42      17.76       0.27         0.57            -3.51
   0 A Homestead       ( 2- 4, 84.7)    11- 3      -15.17       9.01       0.27         0.57             5.30
   0 A Carmel          ( 4- 0, 99.9)     1-19       -0.00      24.18       0.27         0.57            -0.15
   0 H Carroll         ( 2- 2, 84.8)    17- 5      -15.12       9.06      -0.27         0.57             5.02
   0 A Park Tudor      ( 4- 1, 90.2)     5- 8       -9.70      14.48       0.27         0.57            -5.39
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -3.76

winning pts = 10.3224 losing points = -14.0839

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------