UPDATED: 08-07-26 18:52 PDT

boys New Fairfield 1
  
New Fairfield         
W-L: (15- 5) PR = 91.6778

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 A Simsbury ( 9- 9, 86.3) 11- 5 409 A Notre Dame-West Have (14- 5, 93.0) 4-15 416 H Brookfield (11- 8, 85.3) 18- 3 418 H Daniel Hand (11- 9, 89.4) 7-10 421 H Notre Dame-Fairfield ( 1-14, 67.9) 24- 2 423 A Newtown (14- 6, 89.4) 8- 4 425 A Guilford (18- 4, 92.3) 5-11 428 H Joel Barlow (10- 8, 87.2) 12- 5 430 A New Milford ( 5-10, 81.9) 16- 4 505 A Weston (19- 3, 91.6) 7- 3 507 H Southington ( 9- 9, 87.8) 11- 2 511 H Staples (12- 3, 99.3) 5-11 512 H Bethel ( 6-11, 80.9) 16- 1 514 A Pomperaug ( 5-11, 79.9) 18- 5 518 H Masuk ( 9- 9, 83.8) 14- 1 521 H Newtown (14- 6, 89.4) 10- 7 526 H Weston (19- 3, 91.6) 11- 7 606 H Branford (13- 6, 84.6) 17- 2 610 N Daniel Hand (11- 9, 89.4) 14- 5 614 N Weston (19- 3, 91.6) 10-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Simsbury               11- 5       6     5           0.29
   409 A Notre Dame-West Have    4-15     -11    -2    -     -3.06
   416 H Brookfield             18- 3      15     7           0.00
   418 H Daniel Hand             7-10      -3     3    --    -5.94
   421 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   24- 2      22    24           0.00
   423 A Newtown                 8- 4       4     2    +      2.35
   425 A Guilford                5-11      -6    -1    -     -3.69
   428 H Joel Barlow            12- 5       7     5           0.00
   430 A New Milford            16- 4      12     9           0.00
   505 A Weston                  7- 3       4    -1    ++     4.61
   507 H Southington            11- 2       9     5           0.44
   511 H Staples                 5-11      -6    -7           0.00
   512 H Bethel                 16- 1      15    11           0.00
   514 A Pomperaug              18- 5      13    11           0.00
   518 H Masuk                  14- 1      13     9           0.00
   521 H Newtown                10- 7       3     3           0.07
   526 H Weston                 11- 7       4     1    +      3.33
   606 H Branford               17- 2      15     8           0.00
   610 N Daniel Hand            14- 5       9     2    +      2.69
   614 N Weston                 10-11      -1     0          -1.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Daniel Hand             7-10      -3     3    --    -5.94
   409 A Notre Dame-West Have    4-15     -11    -2    -     -3.06
   425 A Guilford                5-11      -6    -1    -     -3.69

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Weston                  7- 3       4    -1    ++     4.61
   423 A Newtown                 8- 4       4     2    +      2.35
   526 H Weston                 11- 7       4     1    +      3.33
   610 N Daniel Hand            14- 5       9     2    +      2.69

New Fairfield PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional New Fairfield New Fairfield   5- 3 vs 4- 3
Avon HS New Fairfield New Fairfield   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Bacon Academy New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Berlin New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Bethel New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Branford New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Brien McMahon New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 2 vs 1- 2
Bristol Co-Op New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Brookfield New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Bunnell-Stratford New Fairfield New Fairfield   7- 1 vs 1- 6
Canton New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Capital-Classical Pr New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   6- 1 vs 5- 3
Conard New Fairfield New Fairfield   5- 2 vs 4- 2
Cromwell New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Danbury New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Daniel Hand New Fairfield New Fairfield   3- 3 vs 2- 3
Darien Darien Darien   1- 0 vs 0- 1
East Catholic New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 0 vs 0- 2
East Lyme New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 3 vs 1- 3
Ellington New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Enfield New Fairfield   New Fairfield
EO Smith New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   4- 1 vs 3- 3
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   3- 0 vs 1- 3
Fairfield Warde New Fairfield New Fairfield   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Farmington New Fairfield New Fairfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Fitch Groton New Fairfield tied -  0- 1 New Fairfield
Foran New Fairfield New Fairfield   4- 1 vs 1- 3
Glastonbury Glastonbury tied -  2- 1 Glastonbury
Granby Memorial New Fairfield New Fairfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Greenwich HS New Fairfield New Fairfield   3- 2 vs 2- 2
Guilford Guilford Guilford  
Haddam-Killingworth New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Hall New Fairfield New Fairfield   3- 1 vs 0- 3
Hamden New Fairfield tied -  1- 2 New Fairfield
Holy Cross New Fairfield New Fairfield   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Immaculate Danbury New Fairfield New Fairfield   7- 1 vs 2- 5
Joel Barlow New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Jonathan Law New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Lakeview United New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ledyard-Griswold New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Lewis Mills New Fairfield tied -  1- 0 New Fairfield
Lyman Hall New Fairfield New Fairfield   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Maloney-Platt New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Masuk New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Middletown New Fairfield tied -  0- 1 New Fairfield
Montville New Fairfield tied -  1- 0 New Fairfield
Morgan School New Fairfield New Fairfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
New Canaan New Canaan tied -  0- 1 New Canaan
New Milford New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Newington New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Newtown New Fairfield New Fairfield  
North Branford New Fairfield tied -  1- 0 New Fairfield
North Haven New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 2 vs 0- 3
Northwest Catholic New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Norwalk New Fairfield tied -  1- 0 New Fairfield
Norwich Free Academy New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Norwich Tech New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Notre Dame-Fairfield New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have  
Old Lyme New Fairfield New Fairfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Old Saybrook New Fairfield tied -  1- 0 New Fairfield
Pomperaug New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Prince-Cheney Tech New Fairfield   New Fairfield
RHAM New Fairfield New Fairfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Ridgefield Ridgefield tied -  0- 1 Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Rocky Hill New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Sheehan New Fairfield New Fairfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Shelton New Fairfield New Fairfield   3- 2 vs 0- 4
Simsbury New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Somers New Fairfield   New Fairfield
South Windsor New Fairfield New Fairfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Southington New Fairfield New Fairfield  
St Bernard-Wheeler New Fairfield   New Fairfield
St Joseph Trumbull New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 1 vs 1- 2
St Paul Catholic New Fairfield tied -  1- 0 New Fairfield
Stamford New Fairfield New Fairfield   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Staples Staples Staples  
Stonington New Fairfield New Fairfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Suffield New Fairfield tied -  1- 0 New Fairfield
Tolland New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Trumbull New Fairfield New Fairfield   5- 3 vs 1- 5
Valley Regional New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Vinal/Goodwin Tech New Fairfield New Fairfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Waterford New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Watertown New Fairfield New Fairfield   1- 1 vs 0- 1
West Haven New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Westhill New Fairfield New Fairfield   4- 1 vs 0- 4
Weston New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Wethersfield New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Wilbur Cross New Fairfield New Fairfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Wilton Wilton Wilton   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Windsor New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Wolcott New Fairfield tied -  1- 0 New Fairfield
Woodstock Academy New Fairfield New Fairfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Xavier New Fairfield New Fairfield   4- 3 vs 1- 5

PairWisePlus = 87


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.34

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Simsbury        ( 9- 9, 86.3)    11- 5      -13.57      24.87       0.64         0.82            20.84
   0 A Notre Dame-Wes  (14- 5, 93.0)     4-15       -6.92      31.52       0.64         0.82            -5.13
   0 H Brookfield      (11- 8, 85.3)    18- 3      -14.60      23.84      -0.64         0.82            18.96
   0 H Daniel Hand     (11- 9, 89.4)     7-10      -10.53      27.91      -0.64         0.82            -9.12
   0 H Notre Dame-Fai  ( 1-14, 67.9)    24- 2      -31.97       6.46      -0.64         0.82             4.76
   0 A Newtown         (14- 6, 89.4)     8- 4      -10.51      27.93       0.64         0.82            23.34
   0 A Guilford        (18- 4, 92.3)     5-11       -7.55      30.88       0.64         0.82            -5.65
   0 H Joel Barlow     (10- 8, 87.2)    12- 5      -12.71      25.73      -0.64         0.82            20.50
   0 A New Milford     ( 5-10, 81.9)    16- 4      -18.02      20.41       0.64         0.82            17.20
   0 A Weston          (19- 3, 91.6)     7- 3       -8.25      30.18       0.64         0.82            25.19
   0 H Southington     ( 9- 9, 87.8)    11- 2      -12.14      26.29      -0.64         0.82            20.96
   0 H Staples         (12- 3, 99.3)     5-11       -0.59      37.84      -0.64         0.82            -1.01
   0 H Bethel          ( 6-11, 80.9)    16- 1      -18.97      19.46      -0.64         0.82            15.38
   0 A Pomperaug       ( 5-11, 79.9)    18- 5      -19.99      18.45       0.64         0.82            15.60
   0 H Masuk           ( 9- 9, 83.8)    14- 1      -16.12      22.31      -0.64         0.82            17.71
   0 H Newtown         (14- 6, 89.4)    10- 7      -10.51      27.93      -0.64         0.82            22.30
   0 H Weston          (19- 3, 91.6)    11- 7       -8.25      30.18      -0.64         0.82            24.14
   0 H Branford        (13- 6, 84.6)    17- 2      -15.33      23.11      -0.64         0.82            18.36
   0 N Daniel Hand     (11- 9, 89.4)    14- 5      -10.53      27.91      -0.00         0.82            22.81
   0 N Weston          (19- 3, 91.6)    10-11       -8.25      30.18      -0.00         0.82            -6.74
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       260.41

winning pts = 288.0709 losing points = -27.6593

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------