Northwest Catholic
W-L: ( 2- 5) PR = 80.0150
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
407 H South Windsor ( 6- 4, 83.1) 3- 6
409 A Lewis Mills ( 6- 1, 86.5) 2-13
416 H St Bernard-Wheeler ( 3- 2, 81.6) 6- 5
420 H Simsbury ( 4- 3, 88.0) 1-13
423 A Conard ( 7- 1, 90.3) 2-13
425 H St Paul Catholic ( 3- 4, 80.3) 3- 2
427 H RHAM ( 2- 6, 78.4) 4- 6
430 A Glastonbury ( 4- 1, 94.8)
502 A Bacon Academy ( 2- 5, 81.0)
504 H Wethersfield ( 5- 2, 85.3)
507 A Avon HS ( 1- 7, 86.2)
512 A Farmington ( 5- 2, 89.0)
514 H Hall ( 2- 5, 86.4)
518 A Southington ( 3- 4, 89.1)
521 H East Catholic ( 4- 4, 84.0)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
407 H South Windsor 3- 6 -3 -3 -0.04
409 A Lewis Mills 2-13 -11 -7 0.00
416 H St Bernard-Wheeler 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.51
420 H Simsbury 1-13 -12 -8 0.00
423 A Conard 2-13 -11 -10 0.00
425 H St Paul Catholic 3- 2 1 0 1.16
427 H RHAM 4- 6 -2 2 - -3.77
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
427 H RHAM 4- 6 -2 2 - -3.77
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
416 H St Bernard-Wheeler 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.51
|
Northwest Catholic PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Amity Regional |
Amity Regional |
|
 
| Amity Regional |
| Avon HS |
Avon HS |
|
tied -  0- 2 |
Avon HS |
| Bacon Academy |
Northwest Catholic |
|
Northwest Catholic   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Berlin |
Berlin |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Berlin |
| Bethel |
Bethel |
|
 
| Bethel |
| Branford |
Branford |
|
 
| Branford |
| Brien McMahon |
Brien McMahon |
|
 
| Brien McMahon |
| Bristol Co-Op |
Northwest Catholic |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Northwest Catholic |
| Brookfield |
Brookfield |
|
 
| Brookfield |
| Bunnell-Stratford |
Northwest Catholic |
|
 
| Northwest Catholic |
| Canton |
Canton |
|
 
| Canton |
| Capital-Classical Pr |
Capital-Classical Pr |
|
 
| Capital-Classical Pr |
| Cheshire HS |
Cheshire HS |
|
Cheshire HS   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Conard |
Conard |
Conard |
 
| |
| Cromwell |
Northwest Catholic |
|
 
| Northwest Catholic |
| Danbury |
Danbury |
|
 
| Danbury |
| Daniel Hand |
Daniel Hand |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Daniel Hand |
| Darien |
Darien |
|
 
| Darien |
| East Catholic |
East Catholic |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
East Catholic |
| East Lyme |
East Lyme |
|
East Lyme   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Ellington |
Ellington |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Ellington |
| Enfield |
Enfield |
|
Enfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| EO Smith |
Northwest Catholic |
|
 
| Northwest Catholic |
| Fairfield Ludlowe |
Fairfield Ludlowe |
|
 
| Fairfield Ludlowe |
| Fairfield Prep |
Fairfield Prep |
|
 
| Fairfield Prep |
| Fairfield Warde |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Farmington |
Farmington |
|
Farmington   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Fitch Groton |
Fitch Groton |
|
 
| Fitch Groton |
| Foran |
Foran |
|
 
| Foran |
| Glastonbury |
Glastonbury |
|
Glastonbury   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Granby Memorial |
Granby Memorial |
|
 
| Granby Memorial |
| Greenwich HS |
Greenwich HS |
|
 
| Greenwich HS |
| Guilford |
Guilford |
|
 
| Guilford |
| Haddam-Killingworth |
Haddam-Killingworth |
|
 
| Haddam-Killingworth |
| Hall |
Hall |
|
 
| Hall |
| Hamden |
Hamden |
|
 
| Hamden |
| Holy Cross |
Holy Cross |
|
 
| Holy Cross |
| Immaculate Danbury |
Northwest Catholic |
|
Northwest Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Joel Barlow |
Joel Barlow |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Joel Barlow |
| Jonathan Law |
Northwest Catholic |
|
 
| Northwest Catholic |
| Lakeview United |
Northwest Catholic |
|
Northwest Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Ledyard-Griswold |
Northwest Catholic |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Northwest Catholic |
| Lewis Mills |
Lewis Mills |
Lewis Mills |
 
| |
| Lyman Hall |
Lyman Hall |
|
 
| Lyman Hall |
| Maloney-Platt |
Northwest Catholic |
|
 
| Northwest Catholic |
| Masuk |
Masuk |
|
 
| Masuk |
| Middletown |
Northwest Catholic |
|
 
| Northwest Catholic |
| Montville |
Northwest Catholic |
|
Northwest Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Morgan School |
Northwest Catholic |
|
 
| Northwest Catholic |
| New Canaan |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
| New Fairfield |
New Fairfield |
|
New Fairfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| New Milford |
New Milford |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
New Milford |
| Newington |
Northwest Catholic |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Northwest Catholic |
| Newtown |
Newtown |
|
Newtown   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| North Branford |
North Branford |
|
 
| North Branford |
| North Haven |
North Haven |
|
 
| North Haven |
| Norwalk |
Norwalk |
|
 
| Norwalk |
| Norwich Free Academy |
Norwich Free Academy |
|
 
| Norwich Free Academy |
| Norwich Tech |
Northwest Catholic |
|
 
| Northwest Catholic |
| Notre Dame-Fairfield |
Northwest Catholic |
|
 
| Northwest Catholic |
| Notre Dame-West Have |
Notre Dame-West Have |
|
 
| Notre Dame-West Have |
| Old Lyme |
Northwest Catholic |
|
 
| Northwest Catholic |
| Old Saybrook |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Pomperaug |
Pomperaug |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Pomperaug |
| Prince-Cheney Tech |
Prince-Cheney Tech |
|
 
| Prince-Cheney Tech |
| RHAM |
RHAM |
RHAM |
 
|
| Ridgefield |
Ridgefield |
|
 
| Ridgefield |
| Rockville Co-op |
Northwest Catholic |
|
 
| Northwest Catholic |
| Rocky Hill |
Northwest Catholic |
|
 
| Northwest Catholic |
| Sheehan |
Sheehan |
|
 
| Sheehan |
| Shelton |
Shelton |
|
 
| Shelton |
| Simsbury |
Simsbury |
Simsbury |
 
| |
| Somers |
Somers |
|
Somers   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| South Windsor |
South Windsor |
South Windsor |
 
| |
| Southington |
Southington |
|
 
| Southington |
| St Bernard-Wheeler |
Northwest Catholic |
Northwest Catholic |
 
|
| St Joseph Trumbull |
St Joseph Trumbull |
|
 
| St Joseph Trumbull |
| St Paul Catholic |
Northwest Catholic |
Northwest Catholic |
 
| |
| Stamford |
Stamford |
|
 
| Stamford |
| Staples |
Staples |
|
 
| Staples |
| Stonington |
Stonington |
|
 
| Stonington |
| Suffield |
Suffield |
|
 
| Suffield |
| Tolland |
Northwest Catholic |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Northwest Catholic |
| Trumbull |
Trumbull |
|
 
| Trumbull |
| Valley Regional |
Northwest Catholic |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Northwest Catholic |
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech |
Northwest Catholic |
|
 
| Northwest Catholic |
| Waterford |
Waterford |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Waterford |
| Watertown |
Northwest Catholic |
|
Northwest Catholic   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| West Haven |
Northwest Catholic |
|
 
| Northwest Catholic |
| Westhill |
Northwest Catholic |
|
 
| Northwest Catholic |
| Weston |
Weston |
|
 
| Weston |
| Wethersfield |
Wethersfield |
|
Wethersfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Wilbur Cross |
Northwest Catholic |
|
 
| Northwest Catholic |
| Wilton |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
| Windsor |
Northwest Catholic |
|
 
| Northwest Catholic |
| Wolcott |
Northwest Catholic |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Northwest Catholic |
| Woodstock Academy |
Woodstock Academy |
|
Woodstock Academy   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Xavier |
Xavier |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Xavier |
PairWisePlus = 30

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.67
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H South Windsor ( 6- 4, 83.1) 3- 6 -16.81 15.35 -0.12 0.95 -16.12
0 A Lewis Mills ( 6- 1, 86.5) 2-13 -13.35 18.81 0.12 0.95 -12.61
0 H St Bernard-Whe ( 3- 2, 81.6) 6- 5 -18.26 13.90 -0.12 0.95 13.13
0 H Simsbury ( 4- 3, 88.0) 1-13 -11.85 20.31 -0.12 0.95 -11.40
0 A Conard ( 7- 1, 90.3) 2-13 -9.64 22.52 0.12 0.95 -9.07
0 H St Paul Cathol ( 3- 4, 80.3) 3- 2 -19.61 12.55 -0.12 0.95 11.85
0 H RHAM ( 2- 6, 78.4) 4- 6 -21.54 10.62 -0.12 0.95 -20.63
------
-44.85
|
winning pts = 24.9758 losing points = -69.8258
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------