UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:47 PDT

boys Northwest Catholic 1
  
Northwest Catholic    
W-L: ( 2-13) PR = 79.2498

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 407 H South Windsor ( 9- 7, 82.2) 3- 6 409 A Lewis Mills (15- 1, 85.7) 2-13 416 H St Bernard-Wheeler ( 8- 6, 81.4) 6- 5 420 H Simsbury ( 9- 7, 87.2) 1-13 423 A Conard (11- 4, 88.3) 2-13 425 H St Paul Catholic ( 9- 7, 79.9) 3- 2 427 H RHAM ( 4-12, 77.7) 4- 6 430 A Glastonbury (12- 2, 94.3) 0-21 502 A Bacon Academy ( 6-10, 79.5) 3- 4 504 H Wethersfield (12- 4, 83.8) 1-14 507 A Avon HS ( 5-11, 83.6) 5- 7 512 A Farmington (13- 3, 88.0) 1-17 514 H Hall ( 6-10, 84.6) 4-11 518 A Southington ( 9- 8, 88.2) 1-13 523 H East Catholic ( 6-10, 83.1) 3-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H South Windsor           3- 6      -3    -3          -0.40
   409 A Lewis Mills             2-13     -11    -7           0.00
   416 H St Bernard-Wheeler      6- 5       1    -2    +      2.86
   420 H Simsbury                1-13     -12    -8           0.00
   423 A Conard                  2-13     -11    -9           0.00
   425 H St Paul Catholic        3- 2       1     0           1.35
   427 H RHAM                    4- 6      -2     2    -     -3.86
   430 A Glastonbury             0-21     -21   -15           0.00
   502 A Bacon Academy           3- 4      -1    -1          -0.40
   504 H Wethersfield            1-14     -13    -4          -0.76
   507 A Avon HS                 5- 7      -2    -5    +      2.66
   512 A Farmington              1-17     -16    -9           0.00
   514 H Hall                    4-11      -7    -5           0.00
   518 A Southington             1-13     -12    -9           0.00
   523 H East Catholic           3-13     -10    -4          -1.47

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H RHAM                    4- 6      -2     2    -     -3.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H St Bernard-Wheeler      6- 5       1    -2    +      2.86
   507 A Avon HS                 5- 7      -2    -5    +      2.66

Northwest Catholic PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Avon HS Avon HS Avon HS  
Bacon Academy Bacon Academy Bacon Academy  
Berlin Berlin Berlin   1- 6 vs 0- 7
Bethel Bethel   Bethel
Branford Branford   Branford
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   Brien McMahon
Bristol Co-Op Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic   1- 3 vs 0- 4
Brookfield Brookfield   Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford Northwest Catholic   Northwest Catholic
Canton Canton Canton   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Capital-Classical Pr Capital-Classical Pr   Capital-Classical Pr
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Conard Conard Conard  
Cromwell Northwest Catholic   Northwest Catholic
Danbury Danbury   Danbury
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic East Catholic  
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Ellington Ellington tied -  0- 1 Ellington
Enfield Enfield Enfield   3- 1 vs 0- 4
EO Smith Northwest Catholic tied -  0- 3 Northwest Catholic
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington Farmington  
Fitch Groton Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Foran Foran   Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury Glastonbury  
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford Guilford   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Hall Hall Hall  
Hamden Hamden   Hamden
Holy Cross Northwest Catholic tied -  1- 0 Northwest Catholic
Immaculate Danbury Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow tied -  0- 1 Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Northwest Catholic   Northwest Catholic
Lakeview United Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Ledyard-Griswold Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic   1- 3 vs 0- 4
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall   Lyman Hall
Maloney-Platt Northwest Catholic   Northwest Catholic
Masuk Masuk   Masuk
Middletown Northwest Catholic   Northwest Catholic
Montville Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Morgan School Morgan School   Morgan School
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 0 vs 0- 2
New Milford New Milford tied -  0- 1 New Milford
Newington Northwest Catholic tied -  0- 7 Northwest Catholic
Newtown Newtown Newtown   3- 0 vs 0- 3
North Branford North Branford   North Branford
North Haven Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Norwalk Northwest Catholic   Northwest Catholic
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy   Norwich Free Academy
Norwich Tech Northwest Catholic   Northwest Catholic
Notre Dame-Fairfield Northwest Catholic   Northwest Catholic
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Old Lyme Northwest Catholic tied -  0- 1 Northwest Catholic
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook tied -  1- 0 Old Saybrook
Pomperaug Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Prince-Cheney Tech Prince-Cheney Tech   Prince-Cheney Tech
RHAM RHAM RHAM  
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Northwest Catholic   Northwest Catholic
Rocky Hill Northwest Catholic   Northwest Catholic
Sheehan Sheehan   Sheehan
Shelton Shelton   Shelton
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury  
Somers Somers Somers   3- 1 vs 0- 4
South Windsor South Windsor South Windsor  
Southington Southington Southington  
St Bernard-Wheeler Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic  
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic  
Stamford Stamford   Stamford
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Stonington tied -  1- 2 Stonington
Suffield Suffield Suffield   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Tolland Northwest Catholic tied -  1- 8 Northwest Catholic
Trumbull Trumbull tied -  0- 1 Trumbull
Valley Regional Northwest Catholic tied -  0- 1 Northwest Catholic
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Northwest Catholic   Northwest Catholic
Waterford Waterford Waterford   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Watertown Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic   1- 1 vs 0- 2
West Haven Northwest Catholic   Northwest Catholic
Westhill Northwest Catholic   Northwest Catholic
Weston Weston   Weston
Wethersfield Wethersfield Wethersfield  
Wilbur Cross Northwest Catholic   Northwest Catholic
Wilton Wilton Wilton   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Windsor Northwest Catholic tied -  0- 1 Northwest Catholic
Wolcott Northwest Catholic tied -  1- 0 Northwest Catholic
Woodstock Academy Woodstock Academy Woodstock Academy   3- 1 vs 2- 2
Xavier Xavier Xavier   2- 2 vs 0- 4

PairWisePlus = 32


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.57

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H South Windsor   ( 9- 7, 82.2)     3- 6      -17.71      20.02      -0.33         0.97           -17.52
   0 A Lewis Mills     (15- 1, 85.7)     2-13      -14.21      23.52       0.33         0.97           -13.47
   0 H St Bernard-Whe  ( 8- 6, 81.4)     6- 5      -18.45      19.28      -0.33         0.97            18.39
   0 H Simsbury        ( 9- 7, 87.2)     1-13      -12.69      25.04      -0.33         0.97           -12.65
   0 A Conard          (11- 4, 88.3)     2-13      -11.64      26.09       0.33         0.97           -10.98
   0 H St Paul Cathol  ( 9- 7, 79.9)     3- 2      -19.97      17.76      -0.33         0.97            16.92
   0 H RHAM            ( 4-12, 77.7)     4- 6      -22.17      15.56      -0.33         0.97           -21.86
   0 A Glastonbury     (12- 2, 94.3)     0-21       -5.56      32.17       0.33         0.97            -5.08
   0 A Bacon Academy   ( 6-10, 79.5)     3- 4      -20.39      17.34       0.33         0.97           -19.47
   0 H Wethersfield    (12- 4, 83.8)     1-14      -16.07      21.66      -0.33         0.97           -15.93
   0 A Avon HS         ( 5-11, 83.6)     5- 7      -16.32      21.41       0.33         0.97           -15.53
   0 A Farmington      (13- 3, 88.0)     1-17      -11.88      25.85       0.33         0.97           -11.21
   0 H Hall            ( 6-10, 84.6)     4-11      -15.30      22.43      -0.33         0.97           -15.18
   0 A Southington     ( 9- 8, 88.2)     1-13      -11.74      25.99       0.33         0.97           -11.07
   0 H East Catholic   ( 6-10, 83.1)     3-13      -16.79      20.94      -0.33         0.97           -16.63
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -151.26

winning pts = 35.3188 losing points = -186.5773

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------